Hello community, those wise words were once spoken to a young David Carradine from the infamous Kung Fu TV series. Amongst other leaders of Supercoach significance, I speak of Mr Miyagi (paint the fence), I studied the teachings of a different wise man, that of Crouching One, and his “BANG BANG” philosophy when it comes to Supercoach, but perhaps I have been too hasty and should adopt some of the grasshopper learnings? At these times, it is important to reflect, to remain calm and to remember a quote from one of the very first fantasy football coaches walking the planet – his name was Confucius, and one of his quotes was, “he who will not economize will have to agonize”. There is something in that for all of us – be careful with your trades or you will feel pain. It is something I have felt almost every year of my Supercoach life.
As you may recall last week, I was pumping myself up for trading out Hogan for Titch, whilst I still think it was a reasonable trade, the Hulk smashed his BE of 79 with a vengeful 110. You may also recall last week that I wrote about the pending departures of Vandenberg and Oxley, who both had breakevens in the 90’s and scored 131 and 95 respectively. Well, for those of you who stayed away from the devil temptress that is the trade button, your patience has been rewarded young grasshoppers. Not for me! I went Oxley to Thurlow and the extra $20k yielded me precisely 17 less points in this round, whilst the other trade of Vandenberg to JPK cost me 27 points for the extra $250k spend. So for the week I am down $270k and 44 points and a ranking that sits squarely in the 4,000. I made these trades for the long term, so I am hoping they pay off over the long term…..carrying Sloane is killing me but I am trying to be patient!
Let’s look at another example of hasty trading; you may recall Griffin was discussed on the Thursday night podcast and the great SC mind of Dexter called in to say “hold”. Some did and were rewarded with the Griff pumping out a 120 but plenty did not. Some may have traded in Rocky and came out effectively square, but it will be interesting to see how that decision plays out if you went for a different player.
Keep notes and review at the end of the year, there may be some grasshopper style learnings for you ahead of next year.
Why am I telling you this? Well, it is to re-affirm the art of patience. The ability to sit and wait, the wherewithal to stick to your convictions and trust your intuition, the noble trait of discipline, the ability to control one’s emotions to let the game come to them a little as opposed to chasing too hard and actually end up going backwards. As Crouching says, “those who chase the car get exhausted”.
So what is this week’s dilemma?
It’s a mix dear community. There are rookies who have served their time and are due to be chopped, but the lessons of the last few weeks are fresh and we do not want the axe to fall too hastily. Cripps met his breakeven of 68 but has his time come? His breakeven is now 85, playing in a struggling side with lots of question marks. As an example of what the impact to Supercoach scoring can be by playing in a struggling side, let’s look at the flip side at winning sides and let’s look at Freo wo have been dominating the competition so far. On the weekend they had 13 players score over 90 SC points – four of which scored over 120! If you are one the coaches who started with two of either Fyfe, Mundy or Neale you will be doing very well as they are in the Top 4 overall scorers so far this year (Hannebery is the other). Can I just make a shout out to General Soreness who leapt up the rankings again this week to 12th overall! General has both Fyfe and Neale. Nuff said!
Others rookies approaching the guillotine are Tarrant, after his 36 points this week, his breakeven is up to 79. Miller has been a revelation for the Suns but alas his time may also be drawing to a close with a breakeven of 62. HOWEVER, unless you have a sizeable warchest, you will need to paint the fence and there isn’t much at all on the horizon in terms of fresh rookies who are worthy of a downgrade. Last week, I was deliberating on going up to Thurlow or down to Lever, and ended going up. I may have outsmarted myself – granted it is not a hard thing to do – but bloody hell Lever looked good on the weekend and I should have stuck to my original gut call. Harking back to the lessons in the JR Magazine, I went with the Thurlow trade as a “shark” move – I hope it proves to be that way and that I do not get eaten by a shark…but sometimes you should trust your gut and not think about it too much. This week, the only player of bubble significance is Dale from the Doggies and he started as sub this week! So do we just hold tight for the week?
So what am I thinking about this week?
Last week I was focused on upgrades. I practiced the art of being patient last week and did not rush in on the Rocky trade till we saw some evidence of tonnage, which was duly delivered this week against the Bombers. So I am thinking of one trade only this week and going from Cripps to Rocky. 38,000 coaches traded in Rocky last week. I expect another 38,000 will trade him in this week. It means my midfield is at full premium although one of them is Sloane who is sitting on the pine. I will then sit and wait for the right opportunities to present themselves to upgrade from the likes of Tarrant and Miller – and there are some tasty prospects on the horizon to bring into our teams.
Round 8 saw some below par scoring for certain premiums. If you are a coach running TBC at R2, then Xmas might come early as Goldy had a shocker in Perth with a 44 and now has a breakeven of 143 and likely to be available for less than $500k. Up forward Buddy was held scoreless for a 47 and has a breakeven of 100 and likely to be available for $430 to $440k next week and even BJ Goddard could be again available in the low $500k bracket with a breakeven of 142. There are also plenty of tasty offerings in the midfield, I speak of Selwood and Watson – with breakevens of 129 and 140 respectively and both likely to be available next week for less than $500k!