Patch’s Panic Room – Round 7
Well, well, well, community. I wasn’t sure I was going to be here today after Lekdog’s awe-inspiring Thursday Night Podcast broke the site’s motherboard.
But it has been fixed and here we are. We were expecting to put the old team on autopilot for a few weeks and sail through to the byes with a bit of upgrading, a bit of downgrading, generally taking things pretty easy.
The midfield has fallen apart, with Sloane, Ellis-Yolman, Heeney, Glenn and Jordan Lewis all missing this week. We’ve got to jump on Dan McKenzie, but beyond that it’s whack-a-mole to fix your side. Let’s get into it!
Rory Sloane is due to miss four to six weeks with a cheekbone fracture, which means we have to trade him out, locking in a loss of $100’000. He’s averaged just 68 in his last three games, which have all been injury affected, after his phenomenal start to the year. Those without him, lick your lips: he’ll be dirt cheap after the byes. Or.. perhaps he won’t be out as long as we think? This from Barron:
Walsh on Sloane’s injury. “Sometimes, it’s only 3/4 weeks and other times a bit longer, so we’ll just see how Rory goes with it.”
— Barron Von Crow (@BarronVonCrow) May 15, 2015
If he could come back in 3-4 instead of 5-6 then I’d think twice about trading him out.
— Barron Von Crow (@BarronVonCrow) May 15, 2015
Isaac Heeney has done a knee and will be gone for six. Has to go, especially with Sloane, Jordan Lewis and Cam Ellis-Yolman on the bench for some, you can’t keep him. Lost a lot of his cash generation with that 7 and now a 41. On the bright side, his absence locks Tom Mitchell into the Sydney side, and hopefully into the midfield. Check out Chicko’s write up of him on Monday for more.
The go-to rookie in the defensive line, Adam Saad, has gone down with a hamstring. He misses this week, and probably next week as well. His breakeven is low and he’s going to play every game he’s fit for when he’s back, so hold.
Josh Glenn is out with an ankle. This is why we don’t jump the gun on rookies unless we have no other option. Those of you with him have to hold – should only be a week. Likewise, Cam Ellis-Yolman should be back next week, according to the crows.
Joel Selwood is in the clear following his absurd level of swelling in Friday night’s game last week. His hand was absolutely massive, but medicos cleared him of a fractured hand and he will be right to play!
Kade Simpson has hamstring tightness and pulled out of last week’s game. He hasn’t pulled up well enough this week to play. If you’ve got him and can cover both him and Saad, hold. If not, you’ve got to assess your risks and maybe use some sneaky DPP to cover.
Ben Newton – dropped. A sign that he should be culled. At a breakeven of 62, he wasn’t going to be making much more cash anyway. Brenden Whitecross and Jed Anderson have also been omitted, for anyone still with these two, they’ve been dropped.
Jake Carlisle suffered a nasty neck injury this week and was taken to hospital in an ambulance. Essendon hope he plays, but highly likely to be a late out. Not that anyone has him, mind you.
Harley Bennell has come back into the Gold Coast side, however they couldn’t suspend him if they wanted to at this rate.
And to top it all off, unverified reports of Patrick Cripps tweaked his ankle this morning would have him have to pass a fitness test before playing on Saturday. Keep an eye out for any further news and if I hear any I’ll tweet it.
..and then there’s this from Jake.. anything to this community?! Argggghhhh:
@jock_reynolds rumour going around is that Hogan is out. Have you rot eh community heard any more?
— Jake Amos (@Jamosamos) May 15, 2015
The midfield. Fix that. Upgrade is you can – the podcast and Lek’s weekly video – run through options in depth, talking about Priddis, JPK, Parker, Dangerfield and others, and if you need a defender Dex has got you covered, but the difficult think to manage in coming weeks will be dealing with culling rookies while managing injury and trades.
Briefly, this week you need to move on Heeney and possibly the three Melbourne rookies that aren’t Salem: vandenBerg, Newton and Hogan. While these three shouldn’t lose cash unless they have a stinker, their days of cash generation are over as their breakevens sit around their average. Newton isn’t even playing. We should look to move some of these on in coming weeks. The rest can be kept this week, and we’ll reassess next week.
Going to alter this to list SC relevant breakevens instead of the top 5 and bottom 5.
-72 – Dan McKenzie
-67 – Josh Glenn*
-32 – Schade
-8 – Adam Oxley
-5 – Jake Kelly
-4 – Adam Saad
12 – Nathan Krakouer
Tom Rockliff no longer has the highest breakeven. The time to swoop is coming. Be ready. That says, Deledio needs to actually play football for his price to go down.
206 – Brett Deledio
199 – Tom Rockliff
169 – Todd Goldstien
164 – Rory Sloane
162 – Dyson Heppell
147 – Joel Selwood and Lance Franklin
THE ROOKIE RUMBLE
They are dropping like flies and it’s hard to keep track of who is playing and who isn’t, added on to new players who I may not have picked up, or may not be as fantasy relevant. If I miss a rookie you have and you want me to slot him in, let me know in the comments and I’ll let you know. Otherwise, I’ll cover the major rookies here.
No Saad makes this irritating, as he is the first picked. Fortunately, none of our defensive rookies are a sub risk.
Decimated this week. No Heeney, no Ellis-Yolman, no Newton, doubt on Cripps. In round three, the thought of Touk Miller being the #1 onfield rookie now would have had be laughed out of town, but desperate times lead to desperate measures. However, Miller has proven himself now so deserves it.
MCBAIN HAS ARRIVED.
Okay, I know it’s actually Liam McBean, but if I can get me a Simpsons reference into an article by gum I will. The ruck section is pretty irrelevant anyway because they’re not onfield. Oh well.
I don’t expect Salem to do what he did last week again, but if you can loop him do so. Both Lonie and Krakouer look like they might be sub (#TheKrak might not even make the team looking at the extended bench) so proceed with caution on those two.