Round 6 Supercoach Scouting Report
Howdy folks and welcome to our Round 6 Supercoach Scouting Report! It was another mixed bag in Supercoach for Round 5, with a raft of players punching below their normal weight, but we did have some quality scores from a host of players also.
For once I finally managed to get my knock my Captain pick out of the park (thankyou Scott Pendlebury!) and I hope all of you did also!
Also, remember to look out for the red and green Supercoach scores, RED = bad, GREEN = good which may help you out when it comes to picking your captains for the week.
Friday, May 8, 7:50pm @ MCG
Last time they met: Round 3, 2014: Collingwood LOST TO Geelong 76-87
Key scores: Mitch Duncan 142, Joel Selwood 138, Steele Sidebottom 131, Tom Hawkins 118
Scott Pendlebury’s score of 158 Supercoach Points last week was his highest since Round 2, 2014, where he scored 182 Supercoach Points against Sydney.
Joel Selwood had his 3rd sub 100 point game out of 5 games played for the season, only scoring 83 Supercoach Points last week.
Key players:
COLLINGWOOD
Scott Pendlebury Price – $634,600 – Avg 124.6 – BE 103 Last 3 VS Geelong: Rd 3, 2014: 115, Rd 8, 2013: 118, Rd 8, 2012: 147 Total VS Geelong Averages: 11 games, 117.0 Supercoach Points, High Score of 147 @ MCG Averages: 109.9 Supercoach Points, High Score of 170 Dane Swan Price – $526,400 – Avg 107.2 – BE 139 Last 3 VS Geelong: Rd 3, 2014: 70, Rd 8, 2013: 84, Rd 8, 2012: 97 Total VS Geelong Averages: 12 games, 98.2 Supercoach Points, High Score of 131 @ MCG Averages: 113.0 Supercoach Points, High Score of 190 Travis Cloke Price – $397,400 – Avg 75.4 – BE 96 Last 3 VS Geelong: Rd 3, 2014: 29, Rd 8, 2013: 93, Rd 8, 2012: 73 Total VS Geelong Averages: 11 games, 71.2 Supercoach Points, High Score of 134 @ MCG Averages: 83.7 Supercoach Points, High Score of 195
GEELONG
Joel Selwood Price – $594,800 – Avg 100.0 – BE 189 Last 3 VS Collingwood: Rd 3, 2014: 138, Rd 8, 2013: 83, Rd 8, 2012: 140 Total VS Collingwood Averages: 11 games, 109.3 Supercoach Points, High Score of 153 @ MCG Averages: 108.8 Supercoach Points, High Score of 185 Corey Enright Price – $474,800 – Avg 93.0 – BE 73 Last 3 VS Collingwood: Rd 8, 2013: 84, Rd 16, 2012: 108, Rd 8, 2012: 98 Total VS Collingwood Averages: 11 games, 91.3 Supercoach Points, High Score of 116 @ MCG Averages: 95.7 Supercoach Points, High Score of 136 Tom Hawkins Price – $396,500 – Avg 64.2 – BE 87 Last 3 VS Collingwood: Rd 3, 2014: 118, Rd 8, 2013: 79, Rd 8, 2012: 67 Total VS Collingwood Averages: 11 games, 70.6 Supercoach Points, High Score of 118 @ MCG Averages: 74.2 Supercoach Points, High Score of 159
Captain Pick(s): Scott Pendlebury belted out a terrific score last week, and should definitely be given consideration again because of that. Swan has been a bit more subdued over the past fortnight, but he’s Dane Swan and if he gets rolling then there’s no end to what he could score. For Geelong, Joel Selwood has been as cold as ice as of late, but he’s bound to thaw out sooner or later. If you feel really confident in your Captain selection (think Nat Fyfe) then a VC on Jelwood is an option as well. He could easily belt out a score of 140+ here.
Perfect 9 Pick: Scott Pendlebury
Saturday, May 9, 1:45pm @ Blundstone Arena
Last time they met: Round 12, 2014: North Melbourne DEFEATED Richmond 116-88
Key scores: Todd Goldstein 166, Brent Harvey 145, Jack Ziebell 119, Drew Petrie 114
With a score of 165 last week, Bachar Houli finds his 3 round average sitting at 132.6 Supercoach Points
Brent Harvey’s current average of 83.6 is his lowest recorded average in Supercoach and if he keeps this pace up, will be only the 3rd out of 11 seasons he recorded a Supercoach average of less than 100 (He averaged 87.7 in 2009 and 95.5 in 2012)
Key players:
NORTH MELBOURNE
Todd Goldstein Price – $610,100 – Avg 122.0 – BE 119 Last 3 VS Richmond: Rd 12, 2014: 166, Rd 15, 2013: 131, Rd 17, 2012: 95 Total VS Richmond Averages: 7 games, 102.4 Supercoach Points, High Score of 166 @ Blundstone Arena Averages: 113.1 Supercoach Points, High Score of 166 Brent Harvey Price – $501,300 – Avg 83.6 – BE 117 Last 3 VS Richmond: Rd 12, 2014: 145, Rd 15, 2013: 125, Rd 17, 2012: 107 Total VS Richmond Averages: 11 games, 111.8 Supercoach Points, High Score of 165 @ Blundstone Arena Averages: 137.3 Supercoach Points, High Score of 150 Jarrad Waite Price – $474,600 – Avg 79.0 – BE 158 Last 3 VS Richmond: Rd 2, 2014: 104, Rd 21, 2013: 81, Rd 1, 2012: 66 Total VS Richmond Averages: 13 games, 85.6 Supercoach Points, High Score of 119 @ Blundstone Arena Averages: N/A
RICHMOND
Trent Cotchin Price – $561,800 – Avg 104.0 – BE 137 Last 3 VS North Melbourne: Rd 12, 2014: 81, Rd 15, 2013: 104, Rd 17, 2012: 98 Total VS North Melbourne Averages: 6 games, 84.8 Supercoach Points, High Score of 104 @ Blundstone Arena Averages: N/A Dustin Martin Price – $530,600 – Avg 99.6 – BE 120 Last 3 VS North Melbourne: Rd 12, 2014: 108, Rd 15, 2013: 85, Rd 17, 2012: 88 Total VS North Melbourne Averages: 6 games, 111.8 Supercoach Points, High Score of 168 @ Blundstone Arena Averages: N/A Bachar Houli Price – $540,800 – Avg 117.8 – BE 76 Last 3 VS North Melbourne: Rd 12, 2014: 108, Rd 17, 2012: 68, Rd 5, 2011: 85 Total VS North Melbourne Averages: 7 games, 79.5 Supercoach Points, High Score of 108 @ Blundstone Arena Averages: N/A
Captain Pick(s): We’ve seen Todd Goldstein belt out some big scores this year (one of the few rucks to be able to do it consistently too) and that score of 166 he had last time these teams faced would be sticking out like crazy for a number of Goldstein owners. Houli will certainly tempt some of his owners with the scores he’s put out in recent weeks, I’d probably stay away from that option, but you could still take a reasonable risk with the VC on him if you feel your C pick is solid.
Perfect 9 Pick: Todd Goldstein
Saturday, May 9, 2:10pm @ Etihad Stadium
Last time they met: Round 20, 2014: Western Bulldogs DEFEATED St Kilda 122-99
Key scores: Adam Cooney 139, Jake Stringer 129, Shaun Higgins/Adam Schneider 109, Stewart Crameri/Jack Steven 104
Matthew Bontempelli and Luke Dahlhaus have continued their outstanding seasons, they are currently ranked as the #2 and #5 forwards in Supercoach for 2015.
After opening 2015 with scores of 101 and 102 Supercoach Points, Shane Savage 3 round average currently sits at 56.0 Supercoach Points.
Key players:
WESTERN BULLDOGS
Matthew Boyd Price – $534,000 – Avg 105.5 – BE 109 Last 3 VS St Kilda: Rd 20, 2014: 38, Rd 9, 2013: 155, Rd 3, 2012: 133 Total VS St Kilda Averages: 13 games, 102.0 Supercoach Points, High Score of 164 @ Etihad Stadium Averages: 102.8 Supercoach Points, High Score of 164 Luke Dahlhaus Price – $520,100 – Avg 108.0 – BE 78 Last 3 VS St Kilda: Rd 20, 2014: 74, Rd 9, 2013: 55, Rd 3, 2012: 88 Total VS St Kilda Averages: 5 games, 64.4 Supercoach Points, High Score of 88 @ Etihad Stadium Averages: 83.9 Supercoach Points, High Score of 150 Robert Murphy Price – $485,900 – Avg 95.0 – BE 81 Last 3 VS St Kilda: Rd 20, 2014: 75, Rd 9, 2013: 97, Rd 3, 2012: 64 Total VS St Kilda Averages: 12 games, 76.3 Supercoach Points, High Score of 147 @ Etihad Stadium Averages: 87.1 Supercoach Points, High Score of 148
ST KILDA
David Armitage Price – $575,200 – Avg 118.0 – BE 99 Last 3 VS Western Bulldogs: Rd 20, 2014: 90, Rd 18, 2012: 75, Rd 3, 2012: 119 Total VS Western Bulldogs Averages: 6 games, 80.0 Supercoach Points, High Score of 119 @ Etihad Stadium Averages: 78.1 Supercoach Points, High Score of 131 Shane Savage Price – $366,800 – Avg 74.2 – BE 126 Last 3 VS Western Bulldogs: Rd 20, 2014: 46, Rd 17, 2013: 81, Rd 10, 2011: 53 Total VS Western Bulldogs Averages: 4 games, 54.7 Supercoach Points, High Score of 81 @ Etihad Stadium Averages: 72.8 Supercoach Points, High Score of 136 Jack Newnes Price – $392,500 – Avg 72.6 – BE 103 Last 3 VS Western Bulldogs: Rd 20, 2014: 92, Rd 9, 2013: 37, Rd 3, 2012: 54 Total VS Western Bulldogs Averages: 3 games, 61.0 Supercoach Points, High Score of 92 @ Etihad Stadium Averages: 69.3 Supercoach Points, High Score of 115
Captain Pick(s): The Bulldogs have been on fire this year, with several guys capable of putting up great scores. You just get the feeling here this could be the game where a Stringer/Bontempelli/Dahlhaus type busts out a 130+ score for the day. Bont owners, you could do worse than picking him this week. For the Saints, David Armitage has been the only one who looks to be worth giving any consideration to.
Perfect 9 Pick: Marcus Bontempelli
Saturday, May 9, 4:05pm @ Spotless Stadium
Last time they met: Round 11, 2014: GWS LOST TO Hawthorn 87-94
Key scores: Callan Ward 142, Devon Smith 139, Adam Treloar 129, Isaac Smith 121
Devon Smith is the #8 ranked forward in Supercoach, with an average of 103.6 Supercoach Points, which is up on the 91.2 he averaged in 2014.
Liam Shiels is currently down on his 2014 averages, with his 2015 average of 58.5 Supercoach Points being well down on his 2014 average of 88.5.
Key players:
GWS
Callan Ward Price – $581,200 – Avg 107.8 – BE 124 Last 3 VS Hawthorn: Rd 11, 2014: 142, Rd 8, 2013: 105, Rd 15, 2012: 102 Total VS Hawthorn Averages: 7 games, 83.1 Supercoach Points, High Score of 142 @ Spotless Stadium Averages: 109.7 Supercoach Points, High Score of 158 Ryan Griffen Price – $490,200 – Avg 89.4 – BE 111 Last 3 VS Hawthorn: Rd 19, 2014: 113, Rd 17, 2013: 140, Rd 16, 2012: 118 Total VS Hawthorn Averages: 11 games, 109.5 Supercoach Points, High Score of 140 @ Spotless Stadium Averages: N/A Shane Mumford Price – $513,300 – Avg 94.2 – BE 103 Last 3 VS Hawthorn: Rd 11, 2014: 115, Rd 23, 2013: 159, Rd 22, 2012: 94 Total VS Hawthorn Averages: 7 games, 112.2 Supercoach Points, High Score of 159 @ Spotless Stadium Averages: 122.8 Supercoach Points, High Score of 165
HAWTHORN
Sam Mitchell Price – $504,300 – Avg 102.5 – BE 99 Last 3 VS GWS: Rd 8, 2013: 123, Rd 15, 2012: 108 Total VS GWS Averages: 2 games, 115.5 Supercoach Points, High Score of 123 @ Spotless Stadium Averages: N/A Ben McEvoy Price – $378,500 – Avg 63.8 – BE 99 Last 3 VS GWS: Rd 3. 2013: 139, Rd 22, 2012: 85 Total VS GWS Averages: 2 games, 112.0 Supercoach Points, High Score of 139 @ Spotless Stadium Averages: N/A Jarryd Roughead Price – $531,500 – Avg 100.6 – BE 190 Last 3 VS GWS: Rd 11, 2014: 52, Rd 8, 2013: 130, Rd 15, 2012: 126 Total VS GWS Averages: 3 games, 102.6 Supercoach Points, High Score of 130 @ Spotless Stadium Averages: N/A
Captain Pick(s): The Hawks will be without Lewis and Hodge this week, with Lewis racking up so many possessions in the middle for the Hawks I’d expect someone there will need to step up. Kennedy kicked a bag of goals on GWS last week, so you might look for Roughead to do the same? For GWS we’ve seen Dylan Shiel pump out some big scores, but if I had to put money on it, I wouldn’t expect to see one from him this week.
Perfect 9 Pick: Jarryd Roughead
Saturday, May 9, 4:40pm @ Metricon Stadium
Last time they met: Round 11, 2014: Adelaide DEFEATED Gold Coast 109-77
Key scores: Taylor Walker 146, Rory Sloane 136, David Swallow/Gary Ablett 130, Matthew Jaensch 128
Scott Thompson finds himself the #2 player in Supercoach, with his average sitting at 133.7 for the year.
Rory Sloane has scores of 60 and 69 over the past fortnight, well down on the 139.6 he averaged in the first 3 rounds.
Key players:
GOLD COAST
Dion Prestia Price – $568,900 – Avg 110.4 – BE 142 Last 3 VS Adelaide: Rd 11, 2014: 127, Rd 14, 2013: 151, Rd 1, 2012: 87 Total VS Adelaide Averages: 4 games, 110.5 Supercoach Points, High Score of 151 @ Metricon Stadium Averages: 94.4 Supercoach Points, High Score of 151 Tom J. Lynch Price – $427,200 – Avg 79.5 – BE 92 Last 3 VS Adelaide: Rd 11, 2014: 40, Rd 23, 2012: 77, Rd 1, 2012: 30 Total VS Adelaide Averages: 4 games, 57.2 Supercoach Points, High Score of 82 @ Metricon Stadium Averages: 71.4 Supercoach Points, High Score of 120 Charlie Dixon Price – $363,600 – Avg 92.0 – BE 34 Last 3 VS Adelaide: Rd 11, 2014: 101, Rd 23, 2012: 82 Total VS Adelaide Averages: 2 games, 91.5 Supercoach Points, High Score of 101 @ Metricon Stadium Averages: 69.4 Supercoach Points, High Score of 130
ADELAIDE
Rory Sloane Price – $574,900 – Avg 109.6 – BE 215 Last 3 VS Gold Coast: Rd 11, 2014: 136, Rd 14, 2013: 76, Rd 1, 2012: 114 Total VS Gold Coast Averages: 6 games, 98.6 Supercoach Points, High Score of 136 @ Metricon Stadium Averages: 95.3 Supercoach Points, High Score of 114 Patrick Dangerfield Price – $522,800 – Avg 105.2 – BE 93 Last 3 VS Gold Coast: Rd 11, 2014: 99, Rd 14, 2013: 141, Rd 1, 2012: 93 Total VS Gold Coast Averages: 6 games, 122.5 Supercoach Points, High Score of 169 @ Metricon Stadium Averages: 99.2 Supercoach Points, High Score of 141 Scott Thompson Price – $551,700 – Avg 133.6 – BE 67 Last 3 VS Gold Coast: Rd 11, 2014: 68, Rd 14, 2013: 69, Rd 1, 2012: 147 Total VS Gold Coast Averages: 6 games, 116.8 Supercoach Points, High Score of 162 @ Metricon Stadium Averages: 119.0 Supercoach Points, High Score of 162
Captain Pick(s): After losing Swallow and Malckeski last week, the Suns now find themselves without Jack Martin, Steven May, Harley Bennell, Brandon Matera and Trent McKenzie. Prestia has always scored well against the Crows, and I suspect that the twin talls of Charlie Dixon and Tom J. Lynch will give the Crows defence some trouble again and likewise for the Crows, Taylor Walker could give the undermanned Suns some issues, he kicked 5 goals last time these teams met. Rory Sloane needs to bust out a big game after struggling over his last 2, but the player who looks to have the biggest boom potential is Scott Thompson, who has been thriving so far this year.
Perfect 9 Pick: Scott Thompson
Saturday, May 9, 6:50pm @ MCG
Last time they met: Round 6, 2014: Melbourne LOST To Sydney 38-69
Key scores: Daniel Hannebery 138, Lynden Dunn 133, Nathan Jones 122, Rhyce Shaw/Bernie Vince 117
Daniel Hannebery continued his fantastic play, scoring 144 Supercoach Points last week. He is currently the #6 ranked midfielder and is averaging 124.4 points per game and is the #4 ranked MID for total points scored, with 622 Supercoach Points.
Another poor game from Nathan Jones in Round 5, only scoring 66 Supercoach Points.
Key players:
MELBOURNE
Nathan Jones Price – $492,400 – Avg 82.8 – BE 122 Last 3 VS Sydney: Rd 6, 2014: 122, Rd 15, 2013: 69, Rd 8, 2012: 91 Total VS Sydney Averages: 9 games, 81.7 Supercoach Points, High Score of 122 @ MCG Averages: 86.0 Supercoach Points, High Score of 147 Bernie Vince Price – $461,200 – Avg 77.5 – BE 127 Last 3 VS Sydney: Rd 6, 2014: 117, Rd 11, 2013: 95, Rd 15, 2011: 97 Total VS Sydney Averages: 7 games, 91.1 Supercoach Points, High Score of 123 @ MCG Averages: 90.8 Supercoach Points, High Score of 162 Tom McDonald Price – $475,000 – Avg 112.2 – BE 65 Last 3 VS Sydney: Rd 6, 2014: 53, Rd 15, 2013: 97, Rd 8, 2012: 44 Total VS Sydney Averages: 3 games, 64.6 Supercoach Points, High Score of 97 @ MCG Averages: 75.3 Supercoach Points, High Score of 125
SYDNEY
Josh P. Kennedy Price – $547,100 – Avg 108.2 – BE 104 Last 3 VS Melbourne: Rd 6, 2014: 105, Rd 15, 2013: 96, Rd 8, 2012: 132 Total VS Melbourne Averages: 6 games, 88.3 Supercoach Points, High Score of 132 @ MCG Averages: 89.3 Supercoach Points, High Score of 143 Lance Franklin Price – $510,200 – Avg 95.2 – BE 126 Last 3 VS Melbourne: Rd 6, 2014: 31, Rd 10, 2013: 81, Rd 7, 2012: 140 Total VS Melbourne Averages: 10 games, 102.4 Supercoach Points, High Score of 140 @ MCG Averages: 102.6 Supercoach Points, High Score of 171 Daniel Hannebery Price – $591,200 – Avg 124.4 – BE 92 Last 3 VS Melbourne: Rd 6, 2014: 138, Rd 15, 2013: 93, Rd 8, 2012: 120 Total VS Melbourne Averages: 6 games, 95.0 Supercoach Points, High Score of 138 @ MCG Averages: 88.0 Supercoach Points, High Score of 138
Captain Pick(s): Daniel Hannebery has been the #1 mid for the Swans this year, with a 3 game average of 132.6, so if you have him you’d have to give him a serious look. Lance Franklin hasn’t broken out this year yet, but if it’s a dry day in Melbourne he could give the Dees some trouble. Tom McDonald has been the best scorer for the Demons this year, when he’s scored above 100 it’s been at least 122 Supercoach Points, but for me personally, when I’m taking a flier on a VC pick, it’s for a big score, not the minimum I’d expect from my Captain.
Perfect 9 Pick: Daniel Hannebery
Saturday, May 9, 7:40pm @ Domain Stadium
Last time they met: Round 4, 2014: Fremantle DEFEATED Essendon 113-60
Key scores: Dyson Heppell 133, Luke McPharlin 128, Matthew Pavlich 125, Brent Stanton 114
2 Dockers lead the pack in Supercoach, with Nat Fyfe as the #1 man for Total Points scored in 2015 with 657 Supercoach Points and David Mundy just behind him in 2nd place with 633 Supercoach Points. Lachie Neale rounds out the Top 10 with 564 Supercoach Points.
Coming into Round 6 in 2014, Michael Hibberd was averaging 99.8 Supercoach Points. His current average sits at 73.6 Supercoach Points.
Key players:
FREMANTLE
Nat Fyfe Price – $657,600 – Avg 131.4 – BE 121 Last 3 VS Essendon: Rd 3, 2013: 129, Rd 12, 2011: 89 Total VS Essendon Averages: 2 games, 109.0 Supercoach Points, High Score of 129 @ Domain Stadium Averages: 104.2 Supercoach Points, High Score of 171 David Mundy Price – $593,200 – Avg 126.6 – BE 93 Last 3 VS Essendon: Rd 4, 2014: 46, Rd 9, 2013: 91, Rd 13, 2012: 68 Total VS Essendon Averages: 11 games, 72.0 Supercoach Points, High Score of 109 @ Domain Stadium Averages: 91.0 Supercoach Points, High Score of 154 Matthew Pavlich Price – $458,400 – Avg 96.8 – BE 140 Last 3 VS Essendon: Rd 4, 2014: 125, Rd 3, 2013: 59, Rd 13, 2012: 117 Total VS Essendon Averages: 11 games, 114.4 Supercoach Points, High Score of 177 @ Domain Stadium Averages: 107.4 Supercoach Points, High Score of 182ESSENDON
Jobe Watson Price – $575,600 – Avg 109.8 – BE 140 Last 3 VS Fremantle: Rd 4, 2014: 102, Rd 3, 2013: 67, Rd 13, 2012: 120 Total VS Fremantle Averages: 90.0 Supercoach Points, High Score of 145 @ Domain Stadium Averages: 94.4 Supercoach Points, High Score of 145 Dyson Heppell Price – $577,300 – Avg 113.6 – BE 89 Last 3 VS Fremantle: Rd 4, 2014: 133, Rd 3, 2013: 93, Rd 13, 2012: 83 Total VS Fremantle Averages: 4 games, 89.5 Supercoach Points, High Score of 133 @ Domain Stadium Averages: 92.6 Supercoach Points, High Score of 133 Brendon Goddard Price – $507,700 – Avg 95.4 – BE 69 Last 3 VS Fremantle: Rd 4, 2014: 11, Rd 3, 2013: 108, Rd 4, 2012: 93 Total VS Fremantle Averages: 12 games, 103.9 Supercoach Points, High Score of 152 @ Domain Stadium Averages: 100.9 Supercoach Points, High Score of 157
Captain Pick(s): Nat Fyfe is our guy, he’s been our guy all year and he’ll continue to be our guy in this game as well. Not to be overlooked though, David Mundy has been in terrific form too. For Essendon, we’ve seen Brendon Goddard start to round into some very good form and Dyson Heppell and Jobe Watson have proven why their great midfielders too. If you don’t have Fyfe, then you could give them thought as well.
Perfect 9 Pick: Nat Fyfe
Sunday, May 10, 2:50pm @ Etihad Stadium
Last time they met: Rd 11, 2014: Carlton LOST TO Brisbane 91-98
Key scores: Tom Rockliff 182, Marc Murphy 156, Dayne Zorko 131, Jack Redden 125
Stefan Martin continues to be one of the few bright spots for Brisbane; a score of 125 Supercoach Points in Round 5 has boosted his year average up to 105.0.
Bryce Gibbs struggled again in Round 5, producing a score of 34 Supercoach Points, which is his worst return in Supercoach since his rookie year in 2007, where he had scores of 28 Points against St Kilda in Round 6, 32 against Fremantle in Round 13 and 32 against Sydney in Round 15.
Key players:
CARLTON
Marc Murphy Price – $541,400 – Avg 96.6 – BE 107 Last 3 VS Brisbane: Rd 11, 2014: 156, Rd 9, 2013: 105, Rd 2, 2012: 147 Total VS Brisbane Averages: 14 games, 107.1 Supercoach Points, High Score of 156 @ Etihad Stadium Averages: 101.5 Supercoach Points, High Score of 153 Bryce Gibbs Price – $475,300 – Avg 79.6 – BE 153 Last 3 VS Brisbane: Rd 11, 2014: 73, Rd 9, 2013: 109, Rd 2, 2012: 71 Total VS Brisbane Averages: 13 games, 97.3 Supercoach Points, High Score of 132 @ Etihad Stadium Averages: 100.2 Supercoach Points, High Score of 192 Chris Judd Price – $470,700 – Avg 89.2 – BE 133 Last 3 VS Brisbane: Rd 9, 2013: 113, Rd 2, 2012: 150, Rd 12, 2011: 111 Total VS Brisbane Averages: 11 games, 130.5 Supercoach Points, High Score of 232 @ Etihad Stadium Averages: 102.1 Supercoach Points, High Score of 159
BRISBANE
Stefan Martin Price – $569,800 – Avg 105.0 – BE 76 Last 3 VS Carlton: Rd 20, 2011: 48, Rd 10, 2011: 85, Rd 21, 2009: 37 Total VS Carlton Averages: 3 games, 56.6 Supercoach Points, High Score of 85 @ Etihad Stadium Averages: 76.3 Supercoach Points, High Score of 125 Jack Redden Price – $486,800 – Avg 93.2 – BE 85 Last 3 VS Carlton: Rd 11, 2014: 125, Rd 9, 2013: 90, Rd 2, 2012: 109 Total VS Carlton Averages: 7 games, 104.1 Supercoach Points, High Score of 131 @ Etihad Stadium Averages: 102.7 Supercoach Points, High Score of 131 Dayne Beams Price – $567,300 – Avg 102.8 – BE 145 Last 3 VS Carlton: Rd 15, 2014: 108, Rd 7, 2014: 125, Rd 3, 2012: 67 Total VS Carlton Averages: 9 games, 84.4 Supercoach Points, High Score of 125 @ Etihad Stadium Averages: 95.1 Supercoach Points, High Score of 166
Captain Pick(s): Probably the worst game you could think of to pick a Captain from this week, with both sides majorly struggling this year. Chris Judd has a massive career average against the Lions (though somewhat inflated due to that huge 232 point game), but even with that I wouldn’t feel comfortable picking him here. Likewise with Brisbane, apart from maybe taking a chance on Dayne Beams, I probably wouldn’t bother.
Perfect 9 Pick: Dayne Beams
Sunday, May 10, 4:10pm @ Adelaide Oval
Last time they met: Round 5, 2014: Port Adelaide DEFEATED West Coast 70-56
Key scores: Robbie Gray 139, Chris Masten 119, Brad Ebert/Ollie Wines 110, Jared Polec/Nic Naitanui 107
Things may be looking up for Robbie Gray now that the hardest part of Port’s schedule looks to be done. Many predicted doom and gloom for the early part of the year, but he’s managed to average 110.7 so far and only lost 30K on his initial starting price. He scored 134 against Adelaide last week and now has games against West Coast, Brisbane, Richmond and Melbourne over the next month.
He’s only 2 games into the season, but Matthew Lobbe finds his average sitting at 52.0 Supercoach Points, almost half of the 100.7 he averaged for 2014.
Key players:
PORT ADELAIDE
Robbie Gray Price – $566,500 – Avg 110.7 – BE 132 Last 3 VS West Coast: Rd 5, 2014: 139, Rd 5, 2013: 73, Rd 2, 2011: 94 Total VS West Coast Averages: 7 games, 93.4 Supercoach Points, High Score of 139 @ Adelaide Oval Averages: 116.7 Supercoach Points, High Score of 174 Travis Boak Price – $559,500 – Avg 105.4 – BE 64 Last 3 VS West Coast: Rd 5, 2014:97, Rd 5, 2013: 95, Rd 2, 2011: 94 Total VS West Coast Averages: 10 games, 97.2 Supercoach Points, High Score of 153 @ Adelaide Oval Averages: 115.4 Supercoach Points, High Score of 162 Brad Ebert Price – $515,300 – Avg 111.6 – BE 92 Last 3 VS West Coast: Rd 5, 2014: 110, Rd 5, 2013: 77, Rd 21, 2012: 80 Total VS West Coast Averages: 3 games, 89.0 Supercoach Points, High Score of 110 @ Adelaide Oval Averages: 101.0 Supercoach Points, High Score of 136
WEST COAST
Josh J. Kennedy Price – $489,300 – Avg 108.2 – BE 68 Last 3 VS Port Adelaide: Rd 5, 2014: 70, Rd 5, 2013: 124, Rd 2, 2011: 105 Total VS Port Adelaide Averages: 7 games, 85.1 Supercoach Points, High Score of 124 @ Adelaide Oval Averages: 127.0 Supercoach Points, High Score of 127 Matt Priddis Price – $535,200 – Avg 96.6 – BE 109 Last 3 VS Port Adelaide: Rd 5, 2014:96, Rd 5, 2013: 5, Rd 21, 2012: 107 Total VS Port Adelaide Averages: 10 games, 79.9 Supercoach Points, High Score of 108 @ Adelaide Oval Averages: 115.0 Supercoach Points, High Score of 115 Nic Naitanui Price – $453,500 – Avg 87.6 – BE 105 Last 3 VS Port Adelaide: Rd 5, 2014: 107, Rd 21, 2012: 94, Rd 2, 2011: 78 Total VS Port Adelaide Averages: 7 games, 79.7 Supercoach Points, High Score of 107 @ Adelaide Oval Averages: 133.0 Supercoach Points, High Score of 133Captain Pick(s): Robbie Gray would be the best bet here. He was fantastic against Adelaide in Round 5, winning the Showdown Medal and scored 134 Supercoach Points. Not to be outdone, Travis Boak has shown some great form over the past fortnight. I’d also expect someone like Schulz and Ryder to continue to stretch their opponents defence again as well.
Perfect 9 Pick: Robbie Gray
Barron Von Crow’s Captain Selection:
If it’s not broke, don’t fix it, so I’ll be running with the Scott Pendlebury VC, Nat Fyfe C ticket again in Round 6.
And that’ll be it for me this week. Who are you guys looking at for your Captain picks this week? Let us know in the comments below and I hope you have a ripper of a week in Supercoach and score all sorts of crazy points!
Spot on picks Barron Von Crow.
Got Goodes and minson
what should i do
I traded Minson to Blicavs last week. So far so good.
Great work Barron! Goldy to Fyfe for me. Considering trading NVB to Dalhaus this week. Good idea?
It seems as if NVB has peaked and Dahlhaus is one the way up so I would say that its valid.
CEY out with a hamstring injury. Anybody know how long he will be out for?
Says 2 weeks on Adelaide website
Not ideal! Anyway thankfully Sloane and Beams have been named. CEY can be used as a loophole option.
Cheers
No one I can loophole him with unfortunately . He plays before Heeney, Newton and krak who were on my bench. Just gotta take a chance on Heeney now and hopefully he doesn't put up another 7 lol
Probably just the week
atleast 2
Pendles and gray for me
CEY ……. Any word on how long this hammy be keep him out for ??seemed too play out showdown quite well …is it a training inj ?
2 weels supposedly
David Noble said it's similar to what Kyle Cheney had who missed the 2 weeks.
Really not sure what to do.
Is JPK or Goddard a MUST this week? Who more?
Is it time to offload Griffin or Rich?
I'm also thinking of trading in Glenn as well as I would have picked him next week.
Its such a bloody tough call. I am soooo tempted to flick Griffin for Goddard it aint funny. The fact that Hawthorn are 2 premo onballers light this weekend, I would not be surprised if Griffen gets a bit of the pill. One more week Griffo! Last chance to shine.
Goddard might find it tougher to get the footy against Freo in Perth.
I reckon Rich is pretty close topping in price. He might be the bloke to trade out. And I am watching Glenn to see how he goes before he goes on the bubble.
Hope it helps.
Cheers
Griffen will probably score well this week to raise your hopes and prolong the agony for you,
Goddard has a BE of 69, so it's probably the best price you'll get him at for the next month or so.
He had a poor round 3 score, about 80 I think, so he only has to beat 80 to drop his BE for next week as well, we won’t get him any cheaper!
Pendles or Goldy to Fyfe for me.
Probably going Pendles because i'm going to the game tomorrow night and love watching games when i have a potential captain playing…
Go the pies!
Still keen on Sloane into Fyfe
nah
Is it a good idea to loophole Lonie? If he stuffs up I can sub Salem on. I'm not convinced on Salem versing the Swans
Yes absolutely, TJM. I'm not sold on any Melbourne rooks bar Hogan this week. #PanicRoomPreviews
Thanks for the spoiler alert Patch…lol
I loop wherever I can. Has worked out quite well for me over the past couple of weeks.
Nice work Barron.
Might roll the dice on a Swan into Fyfe combo for captain this week myself.
Had to do the double take with CEY being out for two weeks??
Was getting very comfortable with his points and cash generation on field.
I was getting comfortable too CJay!
Do we trade Ellis Yolmen?
Not yet.
I'm keeping him his breakeven is only 21 and should appreciate for a few more weeks.
No way. Heaps more cash in this little cash cow! Super low be of 21. If his injury stretches more than 3 weeks, well then you may need to reassess.
But i would keep in on the bench for an emergency/captain loophole play for the next 2 weeks.
Cheers
Silly question
T.Miller or Heeney?
I like Heeney because they are playing Melbourne but not sure Heeney's sub risk atm.
I'm going for Miller this week. As Stickman said, Heeney has the sub risk.
should i get dangerfield in for sloane? thoughts
no way
why not?
Sideways waste of a trade,
Sloane is a keeper!! He'll be a top 5 MID!
But a rookie upgrade is the way to bring him in.
The concern about Sloan is that he has scored so poorly once Thompson has rejoined the Crows. Thompson is playing Sloans role on the inside, and Sloan is running the wing, instead of the middle corridor of the ground.
That siad Sloan received a heavy knock early in the game against the Bulldogs, and many Crows went missing that day.
I worry Sloane, has Thompson and Dangerfield in guts taking points, plus Crouch will be back very soon.
Crows have easy draw next few games, but after that, tough
Thinking of finally getting rid of Clem Smith. Thinking about trading him to Glenn, but dont want to trade into another dud who will get dropped.
What's everyone elses thoughts?
Cheers
I would try to wait a week to see if Glen at least plays 3 games.
If not Glenn would Boekhorst be a valid option?
No. He is a spud. If you have cover, Hold Smith. If you need a warm body this week, Glen is your man. Only go a week early if you really need to. Anything could happen in a week.
That is true, I just really want to get rid of him ASAP.
Is Andrew Swallow to Ebert a good trade?
yep
Yes. Ebert is super consistent. Have a look at Dylan Shiel as well. He ticks most boxes too.
Cheers
How does the community rate Dylan Shiel?
Currently averages 120 SC points which included a 52 SC spud in one of his games. Is this bloke the real deal? (keeper)
Considering his high average and his current price at 537K and a b/e of 57 this week, he does seem to tick all the boxes.
The fact that GWS will play hawthorn with a depleted midfield (Lewis/Hodge out) this week, could this be the time to get this bloke in?
Any thoughts?
Rate him and think he will continue to score well but stick to proven ultra premos in the guts.
The midfield is a not a place to try and take risks IMHO.
Stick with Fyfe, pendles, sloane, jelwood, JPK, Lewis etc;
Cheers mate.
I have Fyfe, Pendles and Sloane already. Instead of putting in Shiel this week, who would you pick? Jelwood or JPK?
Lewis not an option at this time, due to his suspension.
Thanks
I reckon personally Selwood is a better pick up. He is almost guaranteed top 10 if not for the whole year than at least from now on.
Wait a week or 2 on Selwood , will drop some more
I rate Shiel highly, in his poor game (against Sydney) he received an amazingly tight tag.
Shiel gets some ball himself, but is the GWS's #1 target for handball receives out of stoppages, and usually finds space & time to dispose well.
Thanks mate.
I have a gut feeling that Shiel is the guy that goes "Ultra premo" this year.
You must always look forward. Yes, your midfield must have "past proven" performers, but also "future proven" performers.
The "future proven" performers are harder to pick, but set you apart from the crowd that focuses only on "past proven" performers .
Cheers
I love your gutsy thinking Tophawk. He's had an easy start to the year, and I reckon you've missed his biggest scores, but this kid can play. Supercoach is a game of the bold and he who blinks first loses. Back your gut on him. That's reason I've kept Wines (well that and trades). It may backfire, but if he dominates against the Hawks I would absolutely look at trying to get him into my side.
Spewing I traded out wines ,,,would I be mad to get him back after his 1st game back …. Maybe for a Cripps or rich
Thoughts on Goodes and Salem to McKenzie and Glen?
wait a week
Don’t like those trades
Stefan Martin?
Now leuey is back does it mean stefan Martin will struggle to score good?
I suspect Leuy will be spending plenty of time forward. They're lacking height up there.
No, Martin is by far the #1 ruck, Luey will play forward 80% of the time.
boys
option 1
mgrath to kennedy gives me krack on bench in forward line dont have bench cover in fwd
option 2
yolmen to kennedy
and hogan to goddard
Option 1, dont trade Hogan yet, still plenty of $$ to make.
Keep Hogan. Goddard should sit in that price bracket for a few weeks, give or take 20k. So option 1.
Rate him and think he will continue to score well but stick to proven ultra premos in the guts.
The midfield is a not a place to try and take risks IMHO.
Stick with Fyfe, pendles, sloane, jelwood, JPK, Lewis etc;
Lewis is the odd one out there, unless he's polishing their boots. The others have consistently averaged over 100, Lewis has done it only once and he's 28.
Is Sloane good to go? He may be my only trade this week.
Noble said on the radio about 30 minutes ago that he was. Still, anything could happen between now and Saturday.
Keep
Thanks Sam but I'm looking at trading him in, not out.
Hasn't Sloane got a massive break even?
yeah his BE is like 215
Ouch.
1
Keep or trade Lewis????????!?
Keep
Keep.
i'm keeping to the end, he will come back big time
indeed, I'm hoping he'll be very hungry for some pill
keep for sure only 2wks mate, wack him on the bench for now
I have Hogan , Clark , Krakouer and Salem , need two on field and one as emergency …. any thoughts appreciated , thanks
Salam and Krakour, Clark as emergency
Hogan and Krakouer. Salem a big risk of being subbed out after his concussion last week.
Clark is due to fire out a big score. Tonight might be the night if he put together 4 quarters of footy
What do u guys think of these trades??
Salem to Goddard
and Griffen to JPK
I like it Sam
Who to have on field out of R Tarrant & M Clark?
Tarrant
Robbin tarrant
Clark
now that goodes is named, thinking of trading him down to mckenzie if he is the sub. both in same game so will have that info … otherwise they will be same price in a couple of weeks
CEY not playing. Don’t mind that, will give me a loophole plus he will fatten up a bit later than other cas cows , plus the rest will do him good
Yeah good call Derek.
First reaction was disappointment (probably as I wan't expecting it) but will probably loophole as well.
Everyone has CEY, so no real loss
The real POD might be to trade him. Who is to say he'll be back in two weeks. Could get vested, might have to fight his way back in.
Trade Goodes to McKenzie?
i think i will if goodes is the sub … just watched mck tac highlights and looks good! not that you can take much from that
Goodes will loose cash this week so to save money i did that exact trade this week instead of next
Currently have to field K-Mac as I only have Brown and cover so was wondering if it was worth upgrading him this week?
thoughts?
I'd back in K-Mac Tom, his season average is above 70 so technically he's only 15-20 points off the defence premiums and I'm sure you'd have a bigger worry than that on the other lines.
Brett Goodes named. Should we drop I now before he loses money?
Woops should I drop him now?
I have mate, really up to you though. BE of 98 doesn't look good
Drop him for Mckenzie
Does anyone reckon T.Mitchell will stay in Sydney's side? I really want to trade him into my forward line (next round) but am uncertain that whether he'll be in Sydney's side for the rest of the year.
Don't trade him in unless your certain he'll play. Nothing worse then trading him in to find out he gets dropped in a few weeks
I'm stuck as what I should do as I have Goodes, Van Berlo & Minson who is really starting to annoy me on the Emergency list. Also I have 27 trades left and $69,000 in the warchest…
This is my current side:
DEFENCE
Shaw, Oxley, Lumumba
Saad, McIntosh, Newnes
EMG
Geary, Goodes
MIDFIELD
Fyfe, Pendles, Sloane, JPK
Beams, Vandenberg, Cripps, Heeney
EMG
Ellis-Yolmen, Miller, Van Berlo
RUCK
Goldy, Minson
EMG
Read
FORWARD
Swan, Martin, Gray
Hogan, TBC, Krakouer
EMG
Lonie, Clark
Option 1: No trades and move TBC into my ruck AGAIN
Option 2: Trade out Goodes to McKenzie as it looks like he will be SUB although with his high 98 BE chances are he will drop again in price and generate $110k.
Option 3: Trade out NVB to McKenzie, then swap McKenzie to bring Newnes in my Midfield then trade out Newnes for either Mundy, Dangerfield, Shiel, Hippell, Ebert or Goddard and use Geary in defence as my D6 to replace Newnes.
wait on final teams for option 2 … i will most likely hold if goodes is not the sub and do it the next week … may lose a bit of cash but worth it for extra game into mckenzie
Option 3. I Like either Mundy or Heppel
Goodes down to Mckenzie then upgrade Minson to Goldy or NVB to a premium mid like JPK
I have Goldy and JPK
Can somebody please help explain how the emergency Loophole works?
Does it work if I have Tom Lamb playing on field and Salem and Clark as my emergencies then I will get the bigger score out of Salem and Clark?
I don't want to stuff it up and cost myself points.
Cheers
Jack,
You would need to have Clark as the Emergency. If he scores well you put Lamb on the ground and get Clarks score (ensure you just use the 1 emergency in the forward line).
If you think Salem is likely to score better than Clark's score, then put Salem on the ground, and so long as all your on-ground players score, then you wont take Clarks score (as the emergency).
No you must name only 1 emergency for it to work. If Clark and Salem are the two guys you're undecided on starting name the one that plays first (Clark) emergency. Then if Clark goes well (70+ or whatever you're happy with) then you put Lamb on the field so that Clark replaces him.
If Clark spuds it (-60) then you can put Salem on the field and Lamb off the field. Hope this helps
Yeah mate what you said is right
How it works is you have a non-playing player on field, that will play after one of your players on the bench. Set the 'E' on the player on the bench. Have another player on the bench who will play after the emergency player, but before the non-playing player.
Then during the rolling lockout:
If the emergency players scores well leave your team as it is. You will get the emergency players score.
If the emergency player does not score well, sub the non playing player for the other playing player on your bench. You will get the player who was subbed on's score.
So in your case, you would put Lamb on-field, with the 'E' on Clark, and have Salem on the bench with Clark. If clark does not score well or you think Salem will outscore Clark, sub salem on-field for Lamb.
Hope you understood, It wasn't easy trying to explain how it works. Good Luck!
Also if you have 2 emergency players you get the lower score
Thanks guys, understand how it all works now. Appreciate it
Great stuff Baron
Just wondering what you think we should do with CEY since he is not playing.
trade or Hold???
says hamstring … hold unless its a tear. … need to check that one myself … would hold this week anyway
Hold, out for 2 weeks only, and plenty of cash still to made from him.
Holding him for 2 week injury.
Would I be out of place in asking for a "trading thread" each week? I love these articles but the comments become a sea of trading questions after the first ten members.
Who do I play on-field in the forward line?
Certainties – Goddard, Franklin, Gray, Tarrant
and need to select 2 from – Hogan, Krakouer, Lonie & Clark
No loopholes available.
Appreciate the communities thoughts, thanks.
Hogan a must and out of Krakour, Lonie & Clark flip a coin as any one of them can score decent scores.
However if it helps I will be going in with Hogan & Krakouer
I have those guys except Lonie. I dont have a loophole possibility either.
At this stage I am playing Hogan and Clark.
If I had Lonie, I would play him ahead of Clark. But beggars cant be choosers! lol
I reckon Hogan and Lonie on the field for your side.
Just my take though.
Cheers
Hogan and Krak is what i'm going with
downgrade goodes to mckenzie then see if you can upgrade NVB to a prem mid
Yep and upgrade NVB to JPK
Downgrade Lumumba to McKenzie? Has a giant BE and has been a real disappointment. Do we think he'll pick up? Is he even worthy of being a Top 6 Defender come finals time?
Flick Lumumba.
Hold Lumumba, downgrade a cash cow to Mckenzie
Hi Community. I’m not doing this but it’s an idea for you guys to consider. If you have a dpp in defence like Hodge newnes saad etc and you’re looking to get Mc Kenzie in to make some cash this week or next, consider bringing him into your midfield. This can open up options for you which may help in case of injury in similar ways to having mids that can go forward. This may even extend to you having newnes or even saad if his form warrants it as your M7/8/9 or D7/8 at finals time. Good insurance and possibly save you trades? Like I said I m probably not doing it myself but thought I’d share it.
Sorry meant mid 9/10/11 for finals. Obviously you’d have 8 premo mids on field. Got the numbers wrong but you know what I mean. Lol
I agree.
Its already part of my strategy. Just sitting back this week to see how Newnes and Mckenzie go this round.
After this round, it should become a lot clearer on which midfield rookies to harvest and whether the Newnes-Mc Kenzie combo is viable.
Big round this one!
Cheers
Pendles into Fyfe for me, and I think that's how it will be most weeks for me.
They are the only 2 that seem to be reliable enough to get you a captain worthy score most weeks. (At least not a sub 100)
Agreed
Yep. I think Fyfe hasn't had a score below 100 this year, so worst comes to the worst you'll at least get SOME points from it. Not the best, but won't bomb out like I have with Sloane for example.
Barron need your help mate
Salem to JPK (sydney)
Salem to Pridds
Salem to Goodard.
Am still really stuck on it.
If you can get another one next week, i'd get Goddard this week and JPK next because JPK could stay around the same price whereas Goddard will rise rapidly after this week.
If you can only bring in one of them i'd jump on JPK
Yep, KingWinter7 probably hit it perfectly.
First week not trading
DEF Hibberd, Oxley, Simpson, Saad, Ibbotson, Newnes (McIntosh, H Goddard)
MID Mundy, Pendlebury, Sloane, D Beams, Vandenberg, Cripps, Miller, Heeney (Lewis, CEY, N Krak)
RUC Goldstein, Mumford (Cox)
FWD Swan, B Goddard, Bontempelli, R Gray, Hogan, Tarrant (Lamb, Salem)
23 trades left 78K in bank, rank 4,509. I am in awe of those players who may have only made a couple of trades and are top 1%.
Fyfe and Dusty are your priority players to bring in.
Next week bring in Glenn and Mckenzie for cash cows, should leave you with about 450k
Then upgrade the week after to Fyfe and Dusty
It's good to be the King.
Currently have 12 on the pine in round 12 with 4 of them in the mids and 5 down back. Fyfe, McKenzie and Glenn are also Round 12 byes, so if I'm moving things round, they'd probably be replacing any of Ibbotson, Newnes, Saad or Oxley down back, and Miller or Heeney in the mids. CEY is probably one I'd move out in round 11 perhaps based on a FWD swing.
It will be interesting to see whether Rockliff starts to ton up and when GAJ makes a return.
I've looked at Mundy as my shark v shoal for Fyfe, with the intent to bring Fyfe in for Round 13.
Is it just me or does anyone think Dusty and Eminem could have been separated at birth?
Your doing well to be ranked under 5000 with your side mate you must of had the gun rookies on at the right time.
You really need to concentrate on your midfield as thats where the bulk of your points will come from, your midfield is a little weak so try boost that up at the latest by next week by adding 1 extra premo such as Ffyfe.
However your quite low on trades, im presuming your in it for a league win, if so save those trades.
G'day guys just need help as to what to do with Jack Newnes got $207k in the bank and im not sure who to bring? Cheers
Hold.
Hold, use the money to upgrade a cash cow
I'm goin newnes down to Mckenzie to build the warchest. Newnes will be on the bench for me anyway
Ok, considering Paddy Ryder in my fwd line as I don’t have a backup ruck (Goldy and Maric are my rucks with Read to swing if need be). But! Goddard is the same price with probably a higher ceiling.
What are your thoughts community? Ryder fwd and backup ruck or Goddard with no backup ruck?
Goddard easily, most people don't have a backup ruck anyway
Want to make one trade this week. Holding Lewis on the pine.
Bringing in Pendlebury.
Who would you trade out from the following options;
1. Jack Martin (via Fwd/Mid Swing)
2. Daniel Rich
3. Ryan Griffen
Also, who to have on the field out of Mitch Clark, Hogan, Krak and Lonie. Pick two.
Love to hear your thoughts.
Trade Griffen.
Play Hogan & Lonie.
Griffen.
Trade Martin for Pendles
Hogan and Krak on the field
When can we expect the podcast?
G'day community, I want to trade Salem this week to get some cash in the kitty. Salem is in my forward line. I want a rookie to downgrade to. I already have Krak and Tarrant.
Any thoughts.
Swap him with a midfield / forward dpp (krak, lambert) and trade him down to Glenn
Thanks King but I don't have any dpp midfielders
If I have the trades and cash to upgrade McIntosh this week should I?
not sure wether to wait for him to make more cash or pull the trigger early to try and help my ranking.
if the player your going to upgrade to is also going up in price (e.g. Pittard), why not. If McIntosh does not score well this week he will be the number rookie dumped next week. If he goes like he did R1 well then you lose out on big cash generation.