add_filter('comment_flood_filter', '__return_false');

Dex Files – Travis Boak

Published by Jock on

Concrete Booking Agency

TG Footy Tracgic - Dexter

Well; if you traded in Seedsman, all isn’t lost – he did score a 93 – although my “curse” seems to be in full swing. Surely, this weeks’ candidate has a better run. For all those Port Adelaide fans and coaches with Travis Boak in their sides – I apologise in advance.

Travis Boak seems to be doing alright.

For those who started with the Port captain; I’ll bet you considered booting him before he lost a chunk of cash – but for those that kept faith – he’s surely repaid that faith shown.

After a 68 and 82 in the opening two rounds, he’s come out with 106, 147 and 124, (a 3 round average of 124) to average 105.4 for the season. Considering he started at $568k (priced to average 106), he’s dropped 10k, and slightly better value with an achievable break-even of 64. If he hits his projected of 100; he will rise to 575k. Now is the time to jump.

For those looking to do their first midfield upgrade – Boak is surely value.

Sitting in only 4.4% of teams; you could do worse than bring Boak in – considering he has already had 2 bad games – the odds of him having many more are low. For the last 2 years; Boak has averaged less in the first 8 rounds than the last 15 rounds.

In the last two completed seasons Boak has amassed 4459 Supercoach points, at an average of 106.2 from 42 games – with 23 100+ scores and only 9 scores below 85. Not bad odds I say.

Look at these numbers for reference (Thanks Old Ocker!)

boak1

Going by the previous two seasons, (Hinkley era), he has averaged 4.5 sub 85 scores – he’s already had 2. If he continues along this vein, he’s due for 2-3 more sub 85 scores.

Obviously, this is all hypothetical – but the best way to project a result is to look to the past; and going by this – Boak is expected to hit the ton 9-11 more times and average approx. 106-110 from here on out.

Surely, those numbers are good enough for an M7-8 player – as I expect Boak to be.

The best part about Boak; his tasty round 13 bye situation helps us immensely.

We can’t forget his run until the bye: West Coast (H), Brisbane (A), Richmond (H), Melbourne (Darwin), Western Bulldogs (H), Geelong (H), Carlton (A). I don’t know about you, but that run alone has me seriously contemplating dropping Boak into my side; not to mention, I’d expect PA to win most (if not, all) of these games.

In the last 2 years; Boak has averaged 108.8 in wins (high of 172, low of 58) and 102 in losses (high of 162, low of 65).

Let’s look at his numbers:

Boak

Looking over his past two completed seasons, we see his numbers stay relatively steady. Similar disposal numbers, marks, tackles and contested possessions. Even his clanger numbers are similar. It wouldn’t be a stretch to say Travis Boak is a pretty safe bet to get you a 105-110 average from here out.

For me; I’m seriously considering him as my M7-8 finisher – I’m looking to upgrade Salem by swinging Lambert forward and dropping Boak into the guts.

What are you doing this week? To trade or not to trade, that is the question.

Over to you Community… is Travis Boak for you? We’d love to hear your thoughts.


Subscribe
Notify of
guest
176 Comments
Oldest
Newest Most Voted
Inline Feedbacks
View all comments
Liam

Great stuff Dex

You've been Dexed

Poor Trav he has just got the “KISS OF DEX” or the “DEX NAIL” 🙂

judd0

I was considering bringing Boak in this week.
But not now that Dex has written about him, his words are cursed and his knowledge is great.

Patch

Love it, Dex! Seriously considering changing my Salem-Goddard to a Salem-Boak. I doubt I will, but only because I have a very weak forward line. Dilemmas, dilemmas.

Tom

I believe Barlow is better value if your looking to upgrade your midfield

Kev

Agree, Tom. Fyfe is getting all the attention and Barlow/Mundy/Neale are waltzing around doing as they please

Tigertanic

uh..JPK anyone?? Priced at 547k….could even wait one more week with a be of 104

youngy55

Feel like there are better options than Barlow out there.

Such as JPK, Goddard or if your looking for a player of the same price possibly Parker?

Aaron

First mid upgrade Rich to Boak!

dognino

Love the research you put in mate, but I use these articles as guides of who not to trade in. Boak to either injure himself or average 60's now

Dee

hahaha…..

Avzmo

Since you've plugged Boak, I'll trade in JPK this week.

Jason WindowLicker

Can’t handle the tag and puts up too many stinker scores. Better off going with JPK at this price, better average and more consistent

Ethan

but who gets more attention gray or boak

Jason WindowLicker

Boak.

@Seekersupacoach

I have $372K in the bank and 24 trades left (thanks to injuries and downgrades). I am in two minds:

1) a single trade NVB to Pendlebury leaving 23 trades but only $22k in the bank (but have most of the cash cow rookies)

2) two trades, NVB & Newnes to two of either H Taylor, J Pittard or R Murphy (with Adam Saad swingset to MIDS) leaving 22 trades and btw 77k – 111.8k in the bank.

First option leaves little in the bank but brings in a dependable MID keeper, second one brings in two likely keepers and leaves money in the bank, but defence is still off.

Further 'complication' is that I have held onto Ollie Wines who should be back in 1-2 weeks.

I'd love some advice

@Rem_Wah

NVB to Pendles

@KingWinter7

1st option

Trab Pukcip

Really? Surely you don’t need to be told which of the above trades is the better option mate?? It’s pretty clear!

@Seekersupacoach

Trab it's my first year taking SuperCoach seriously so it might be clear to you but I'd like to be told what and why so I can learn…

judd0

Go the first trade.
Pendles is a must have this year again, the other reason being you do not want to waste any more trades.
You've already used quite a few so stick with the single trade this week.

@Seekersupacoach

Much appreciated

WombatsFC

Is NVB your only trade out option?
If NVB is currently on your bench who will you bench to put Pendle onfield?
If you'll be benching an under performing midpricer like judd or Griffen you could be better off to replace one of them with Pendle and hold on to some cash or upgrade a 2nd midpricer to a gun premium.
It's OK to trade every week if you think that you need to, just make sure you bring in reliable level headed premiums and not other midpricers

@Rem_Wah

What's Priddis' break-even this week?
Thinking that, if it is still high, I'll give Griffen another week to prove himself since Priddis may lose more cash… Otherwise, if Grifffen struggles again, Priddis looks a good in trade next week. Thoughts?

jake

sounds pretty good, have you considered selwood aswell

@Rem_Wah

Selwood is still up around 600k – probably too expensive just at the moment.

Wattsieesq

Priddis is at 110. There won't me much of a shift in his price barring injury.

Dustbin Feltchers

if you google priddis break even, a footy stats website will be available…u can check out all the break evens..welcome

@Rem_Wah

Thanks for the help – will be holding Griff for at least another week

Tigertanic

footywire has all the weekly BEs and projected prices for the next 3 weeks

I N Pieman

The curse continues Dex. Seedsman is out with a glute problem. Can you do lachie Neale next week please. People keep knocking me over in leagues when he goes big.

medadsson

That's strange, I keep losing when he goes low 🙂

General Soreness

Stay away from Lachie Neale

jake

should i trade salem for goddard or franklin?

@KingWinter7

Goddard

Bye Week

budddy

judd0

Goddard, he is probably the cheapest we will get him all season right now.

Frosty

Would love people’s thoughts on Mundy. Is this his year

Enrage!

Great pick! I’d get him but I’d be to Freo heavy with Fyfe and Neale already.

youngy55

I feel like he is to much now and your would be buying him at a peak, but trust your gut!, if you like him go for him.

I was tossing and turning on starting Mundy but went with Griffen cause I thought Griffen was to big of a risk not to go in with, kicking my self now though.

r2d2

Ebert presents better value I think or even wines when he back

Emma

Haha I started looking at salem to boak on monday due to his great run of games pre bye and round 13 bye. My only concern is are we paying to much for him when we could get priddis for 25K cheaper? Also I had a look at the pre season article about boak on this site and the main concern about him was he did not score as well against the weaker teams.

So the question I have is who do we consider to be a top 8-10 mid by end of year boak or priddis?

Kev

Good research, Emma. I agree with you. Those yearly averages don't excite me as a mid keeper

judd0

Priddis came home very strong last year, I expect him to do the same and will be getting him in around the byes.

Nash

Salem to Godard
Salem to priddis
Salem to josh Kennedy (Sydney)
Which one community?

Traderlyf

id go salem to goddard because goddards bottomed out and jpk still has a fairly high BE. Havnt really looked at priddis.

Wattsieesq

JPK BE is only 105. Priddis is 110. I'd trade in where you need the most improvement.

Avzmo

If your set on one of these three, Priddis is generally going to be the most reliable, JPK is genearlly reliable but has had some pretty average scores this year and Hannebury seems to be taking them from him.

To be honest, I'm not looking to have any of these guys in my team at year end.

Just so you know, this is how I wanna look at year end.

Fyfe, Pendles, Lewis, Beams, Ablett, Sloane, Selwood, Rockliff – Should all be Top 10~ midfielders this year.

DPT

Top 10 by average or total score?
If you are going by average, Sidebottom is currently the highest, but he has only played 1 game. Rocky & Ablett have missed too many games to be Top 10 by total score.
Or are you going by the Top 10 scorers post bye rounds?
The mids to target are the ones likely to play every game from here on end.

Bye Week

jpk

youngy55

JPK

But Trust your Gut

zeesus

NOOOOOO DEX! don't put your damn curse on one of my midfielders!

Alex

I want to hold salem because he has more left in him, or do I take the plunge and go to Goddard/Pendles/JPK, or do I get rid of griffin instead.

Avzmo

Salem has a week left at his current output. Although the three you have named have relatively low breakevens, id say wait a week.

Alex

Do u think griffen to any of the 3 would be good

@KingWinter7

Salem to Pendles this week

youngy55

Personally hold on Griffen

liam

Love it Dex
Just want to hear your thoughts on these trades
Newnes to Mckenzie
Heeney to priddis

Sarah

love the trades

Kev

Love the trades too but to early on McK. As above Priddis has a b/e of 110 this week so you could hold off till next round

Jess

Is Beams a confirmed out? Do we know yet?

r2d2

Hopefully this curse don’t strike Travis Dex !

Avzmo

I'm thinking Griffin out this week, to either Pendles at around $630k, Hannebury at around $590k, or JPK at around $540k. Who do people believe is the best option.

I can afford all, and potentially all will be top 10 midfielders this year, Pendles is safest but most costly, and it seems the cheaper they are the more risk involved as they could finish lower in the top midfielder stakes.

Love to hear the community's opinion of who to pick up this week!!!

Phil

I'd pay an extra 100k to get Pendles over the other two, 40k is a bargain!

youngy55

Tough I like em all Hannebury if your feeling like your team needs a POD, Pendlebury if you want consistency and JPK if your feeling like you need the cash in other lines,

Personally I would choose Pendles

But Trust your Gut

Wattsieesq

Good stuff Dex. He'll be a solid pick but a pass for me at the moment.

youngy55

In the same Boat

General Soreness

He was only in 4.4% lets watch that jump, brilliant Dex, the guy was not even a blip on my radar.

General Soreness

I also think we should start referring to your Kiss of Death as "The Dex Hex"

mac truk

Slight doubt about boak is his scores this year have come with wines out. When wines comes back in does he take some ball from boak?

Luviboy1

Another great article Dex. Did not even give Boak the slightest thought!

James

Hey Community,

What are your thoughts on Michael Barlow? Do you think he can average 110 from here on out or has Neale taken that scoring potential away?

Cheers

SCaddict

Too early to say. We really need to see much more out of Barlow including how many centre bounces he attends in the next few games before I'd recommend folks jumping on.

Also still has a highish BE of 135 this week so this wouldn't be the round to bring him in anyway.

youngy55

Wouldn't even consider Barlow as a option

Scott

Hey Dex I love Boak, but Hannebery is only $30,000 more but but averaging 20 more points. Wouldn't we trade in Hannebery now before he goes over $600k? Also I would be interested on your thoughts on Mundy, he's playing pretty consistent footy at the moment. This week I'm trading out Rich I think he's reached his max and I'm trading in Hannebery.

SCaddict

Yes Hanners is playing off the charts right now. The only concern is that in the past he often has these purple patches of 7 or 8 brilliant games and then drops off.

Hopefully 2015 proves different being a Swans supporter and all but I'm going to go the safer and cheaper JPK option instead even though I admit Hanners is darn difficult to resist right now.

Scott

Fair enough SCaddict, I already have JPK, but was looking closely at Mundy who's never really been on my radar before.

Booma

Thoughts on Sam Mitchell & Scott Thompson… ST 3ga is sitting around 134.

@cafosk

If Rockliff/Beams are out this week, surely that warrants holding onto Rich for another week at least. Especially those with(out) Lewis/Hodge.

Beady Eye

If Rockliff and Beams (not forgetting Hanley also) are out, who else is getting tagged this week besides Rich?

Could be proven wrong, but I wouldn’t hold my breath expecting an inflated score from him.

TOPHAWK1

Zorko the magnificient? LOL

@cafosk

Yeh, thats a fair point.
It was more of a point to those trading him out for the sake of an upgrade, when he'd more than likely pull a premium score than a shit one.

Knowing our luck, ACL in the first minute…..

@TheNoLanguage

Beams out?

Derek

There is strong mail that Delidio will play as sub this weekend. That is going to make him very cheap in a few weeks. I think Richmond have round 11 bye.

youngy55

Loving your thinking!

AMERICANMAGPIE1

Wondering whats going to happen to Bennell? Wondering if I should dump him???

Thoughts?

BT

yeah solid thinking, maybe a noble prize for common sense should be coming your way

BT

being serious, theres no chance gold coast will keep their 2nd best and most talented player (behind gaz), for more than 1 week and straight back in the team next week, especially given their current injury list. Just rocket making a statement. Half the team was drinking but with only 25 available for selection, they literally can't suspend everyone.

TOPHAWK1

Here is the million dollar/double barreled question this week. Trade Griffin for Pendlebury and then put the V on him Friday night?
(C-Fyfe)

Any views appreciated.

AMERICANMAGPIE1

I'm Trading Rich to Pendels and putting th V on Pendels and then the C on Fyfe

AMERICANMAGPIE1

But it doesnt sound good for Bennell and I'm wondering if I should trade Bennell instead of Rich?

TOPHAWK1

I am not sure how long Gold Coast have banned Bennell for boozing, but I think it will be one week.

He will have a rest and a bit of time to think about his dumb arse choice and be named the following week. You can use him as an emergency loophole perhaps. Just put him on the bench.

I would trade out Rich for Pendles and whack the big V on him!

Cheers

AMERICANMAGPIE1

Ok Thanks Mate

Cheers

Jono

Great article Dex. There goes my POD in Boak!

Community! Salem to Goddard or Heppel?

Cheers

AMERICANMAGPIE1

Thats tough but I would think Goddard just because of the DPP

Jono

Thanks guys! I’m still split. DPP is positive with Goddard

TOPHAWK1

GODDARD

@randomcliche

You'll still have POD on me. Going Priddis and JPK. Cheaper, higher ceiling & brownlow in pocket.

judd0

Goddard
Reason being I believe he will be a top 6 FWD this year but I do not believe Heppel will be a top 8 MID

youngy55

Goddard, But if you feel like Heppel is better Go for it, Trust your Gut

Jordan

Has anyone noticed Mitch Golby? 314,000 with an average of 90. I need to get rid of Hodge so do I get Golby to make some cash or a premium defender?

TOPHAWK1

Good pick up Jordan.

Mitch Golby can play.

He should get plenty of the footy with half the Brizzie midfield out.

He is on the "bubble" this week albeit from a higher base.

Cheers!

tom

Trade McIntosh to Enright/Birchall or just hold and wait??

TOPHAWK1

Sit tight for another week on K Mac! His break even is only 35.

If he scores his average of 73 SC points against North (Very likely) you will pick up another 25K without having used a trade.

If he is named a sub, then either put him on the bench or get rid of him for Birchall. (Enright locked out)

Anything else is up to the Supercoach gods!

Cheers

@randomcliche

Depends if you think Enright/Taylor et al will make more $. There are some v.low BEs there, but also plenty of risk for mine.

Joey Joe Joe

Is there any reason why every man and his dog isn't jumping on to Shiel this week? Is still dirt cheap at $530k due to one poor round, but last chance to grab him before he skyrockets. 4 out of 5 big games can't be a blip…

Griffen cannot be a top 10 Mid from his putrid performances so far this year. See you later. Welcome Dylan.

Tyler

I already have him and I'm just waiting for him to soar in price, he could even end up close to top 10 mid this year I reckon

TOPHAWK1

Yes.

Have been looking at Dylan Shiel since round 1.

I am gonna sleep on Griffen to Pendlebury or Shiel.

Tough call!

Cheers

Rick Grimes

Think I’ll go Ward instead.

Mac

Thoughts on Goodes to McKenzie and Kelly to Rance, Taylor, Houli, McDonald or anyone else around that price range

Tyler

If it prevents a donut in defence then go for it. If you don't do this trade and you still have 6 playing defenders though hold off until next week

AMERICANMAGPIE1

Treloar or Rich for Pendels??? Kind of want to keep Treloar but he's kind of went down the last few weeks?

TOPHAWK1

You have both Treloar, Bennell and Rich?

Keep Treloar, and Bennell. Rich to Pendles.

AMERICANMAGPIE1

Ok Thanks Mate!!!!! I have Sloane and Lewis as well!

TOPHAWK1

Well!

You are just gonna have to pray into the night to sort that one out.!

Danny

Hey community,
trading KK and Salem out. Get Goddard for my FWD line or JPK for mids. (clearly I can use some dpp) ?

joey

Salem + Newton out for Josh Glenn (will be in suns best for the rest of year) + JPK, Goddard or Priddis?

Tyler

I'm definitely not confident Glenn is in the best 22 for the rest of the year. Remember how many players are out. Gaz, Malcheski, O'meara, Swallow and just to name a couple. But answering your question, I would go for Priddis. Last year he started out average, then really turned it up after the byes. Considering he was over 600k at the start of the year I would say he is the biggest bargain right now

jacob

Glenn will surely get at least 5 or six games while all those guys are out. That’s all you need as a rookie. Hell work harder than a lot of those lazy gold coasters as a mature age player whos done it tough. Eade will reward that effort as well.

Tyler

Yeah you would think so

joey

Is it too early to be culling on Newton though?

Hazey

Poor old James Kelly and his boys have gtg, but now one is tickling my fancy.

Seedsman? But has a dodgy butt muscle?

Golby?

Derek

Simpson is a standout

jacob

Wait a week or two for B Smith.

Nash

Salem to premo
Or
Salem to glen
Have 460,000 in the bank
If I go Salem to premo then if I want to downgrade I will have to go a Vandenberg or miller as I don't have many swing players. One of those guys.
Thoughts

Kev

Plenty of cash there Nash. Grab a premo mate

You BloodyRippa

Looking for downgrade targets………McInnes for WCE is a fwd rookie on the bubble this week.
Any opinions on his JS??
Thinking of bringing him in for Salem to build the warchest.

Kev

Not a lot of options for forward rookies right now YBR. Salem is not losing you money so hold mate. Wraps on Langford from Essendon preseason, hopefully he is named again this week so we can have another look

Derek

I think there will be better downgrade option in mid and Def coming up. Might have to downgrade there and upgrade in the fwds

AMERICANMAGPIE1

Wondering if I should trade out Newnes for Golby to make some cash?

Thoughts?

TOPHAWK1

Why would you consider to do that?

You have enough challenges in the midfield!

Cheers

AMERICANMAGPIE1

My team looks like this right now

Def….R. Murphy, Oxley, Saad, Henderson, Hunt, McIntosh ( Newnes, J. Tippett)

Mid….Fyfe, Pendels, Gray, Swan, Treloar, Vandenburg, Miller, Heenney ( Lewis, Sloane, Bennell)

Fwd…Martin, Hogan, Tarrant, Membrey, clark, Krak (Lamb, Lambert)

Just curious what you think?

AMERICANMAGPIE1

If it's viable or not? Or logical?

AMERICANMAGPIE1

Oh and Goldstein , Maric (Gorringe) are my rucks

Traderlyf

pretty sure hendersons injured so would worry bout him

TOPHAWK1

Its viable if you move to australiaaaa.

So you can catch up with Jock, Crouching and Higgo.

Good luck Magpie USA!

AMERICANMAGPIE1

LOL…thanks! I'm learning cut me a break?

AMERICANMAGPIE1

I use to live in OZ

Traderlyf

Option 1-
Newnes -> Mckenzie
Salem -> S Martin via TBC
220k warchest

Option 2 –
Salem -> Glenn/Mckenzie via Krak
Sheed -> Pendles
70k warchest

Option 3 –
Salem -> Goddard
8k warchest

Option 4 –
TBC -> S Martin
20k warchest

Juzzy

Option 2 or 3 for mine Mate.
Pendles and Goddard are proven.
3 might be the safest option if you have Heeney, Lewis, Sloane etc..

Traderlyf

i have sloane and lewis but thats why i wanted pendles… hmm

Juzzy

Option 2 it is then.
Makes sense.

doge

ssshhhhh, boak’s my POD!

Donavan

Torn this week.

My team is –
Def – Shaw / Simpson / Saad / Ibbotson / McIntosh / Newnes / Oxley / Hamling
Mids – Fyfe / Shiel / Sloane / Priddis / Eliis-Yolmen / Griffen / Vandenberg / Cripps / Lewis / Miller / Heeney
Rucks – Goldstein / Maric / Cox
Fwd – Franklin / Gray / Hogan / Salem / Tarrant / Krakouer / Lonie / Clark

I have $309k in the warchest.

Considering the following trades-

Option A –
OUT – Griffin & Salem
IN – Kennedy (Syd) & Goddard

Option B –
OUT – Griffin
IN – Pendlebury

All of Pendlebury, Kennedy & Goddard are in my envisaged end team.

Thoughts please.

Traderlyf

go option A just because goddard is at his lowest price and if you want him at the end of the year nows the time to get him

my sc team name is sammy primo's

The question you need to ask yourself was griffen a season keeper when you picked him in your starting side if he was then dont trade him. Hold as he will come good have faith y waste a trade on a fallen primo , on the other hand salem was only ever a cash cow and pendles is a must he has fallen this week to a point that he wont be getting any cheaper untill after the bye period making him your last upgrade with a break even of 103 he will hit and his prices will rise this week looking at your team i see.plenty of cash generation in your team so i advice you trade salem up to goddard as he will only be going up from this week and thats it no more trades next would be a down grade upgrade week to jpk as your next target hope this helps

Donavan

Thanks Sammy Premo's,

Griffen was a spec inclusion in my round 1 team, in other words I thoughts there was a chance he perform like a premo and stay in the team, but equally would perform at about his price point and require upgrading.

I have heaps of cows in the paddock, all of whom (except maybe Heeney) will be a few weeks.

I think I am going option A, as I suspect Goddard & Kennedy are at near there cheapest, hoping that Pendlebury will be at around the same price in 2-3 weeks, when my next batch of cows are ready for market.

my sc team name is sammy primo's

The question you need to ask yourself was griffen a season keeper when you picked him in your starting side if he was then dont trade him. Hold as he will come good have faith y waste a trade on a fallen primo , on the other hand salem was only ever a cash cow and pendles is a must he has fallen this week to a point that he wont be getting any cheaper untill after the bye period making him your last upgrade with a break even of 103 he will hit and his prices will rise this week looking at your team i see.plenty of cash generation in your team so i advice you trade salem up to goddard as he will only be going up from this week and thats it no more trades next would be a down grade upgrade week to jpk as your next target hope this helps

Liam

option A if Griffin is your only problem otherwise stick fat.

Derek

I was planning to upgrade TBC @ R2 to a keeper. I also have Goldy.

I just don’t know who to go to. Grundy, Bilcavs etc are traps, I want a proven lone wolf tried and tested.

Mummy, Sauce, Sandilands, maric?

Except of Mummy they are all still free falling in price, so no rush to get them in, can wait a week or two.

Who to get?

Juzzy

Toss the coin between Mummy and Sauce. Love Sandi but you know he will miss a few closer to finals time.

Traderlyf

wait til jacobs hits bottom price, im pretty sure his BE is around 160 atm

Juzzy

Looks like keeping Griffen and Newnes will be a “shark move” this week.
I am. Even though he isn’t scoring great I actually like the way Newnes is playing. I think he can average 80ish until the byes.
And Griffen … even though he has been a bit worse than ordinary, I can’t help thinking about a couple of years back. He started ok and then came home like a rampaging bull.