Dex Files – Jack Marin
Community; what a testing weekend that was. It had late outs, injuries to popular players and ordinary scores from Premiums to boot.
This week had it all. I endorsed “Bont” last weekend, and I still stand by my decision – he’s a gun – but that calf is questionable. I hope you; like me, held off trading him in. I saved that trade and instead got in Tom McDonald (when Melbourne v Adelaide teams were confirmed), who may even be a keeper.
Jack Martin is under the microscope this week.
Not for the safe SuperCoach, that’s for sure. Jack Martin will test your intestinal fortitude. Coming off a nice 117 though – he is surely tempting to those of us who like value and money-making. His 3 round average sits nicely on 94.7 – from a kid priced at $349k, is value. Especially when his break-even sits at a crisp -13; he’s sure to make money.
Is Jack a Keeper?
Not likely. You’d only bring him in for the cash injection, and move him on once his price peaks.
His season averages to date are good: 16.7 disposals (10 kicks, 8.3 contested) at a slick 81.1% efficiency, 6.3 marks, 4.7 tackles, 1.7 clearances, 3.3 inside 50’s, 1 goal and 2 clangers for 94.7 SC from 79% ToG.
Last year, with McKenna as coach and being injured in game 1 and 21; Martin Averaged 11.3 disposals (7 kicks, 5.5 contested) at 58.9% DE, 3 marks, 2.3 tackles, 1.2 clearances, 1.7 I50’s, .9 goals and 2.2 clangers a game. He averaged 56.5 SC in this time.
If we take out the two injury affected games that year, (Round 1 he dislocated his shoulder 5 minutes in and round 21 he injured his leg mid-way through Q2). Jack averaged 66.1 SC, with a jump in all categories, but not really inspiring numbers.
I’d only consider Martin to come in to my team if Ablett misses at least 3 more games. Why?
Combine his output in the 2014 and 2015 seasons to date and you will see a little trend appear. He does remarkably better with Ablett OUT of the team than with. This could be put down to a positional shift – when Ablett is in, Martin goes forward.
Look at this little table I compiled and see:
This table isn’t a be-all, end-all argument. Rocket may decide to keep Martin in the guts/wing while Ablett recovers up forward. I’m just going by what’s already transpired – which shows Martin fares better sans Ablett.
Should I bring Martin in my team?
As I stated earlier, it’s entirely up to you. Yes, bring him in if you feel he can keep up his hot start to 2015, but be wary – history has shown –his output with the little master in the team isn’t as good.
For me, I was lucky. I didn’t have Bartel and I don’t have any underperforming players to move on. So it’s a no for martin from me, but I can definitely see the value there.