G’day community, Patch here. You may remember me from such articles such as The Luck of the Draw, and…. erm… this one.
But I feel we’ll become well acquainted in the coming season, community, as I’ll bring you the news and updates from the week you need to win those office leagues, to be the king of the schoolyard, to rub the dirt in the face of your mates.
This is the Friday Wrap, where I’ll wrap up the week of Supercoach significance, rookie wrap-ups, the likely subs and anything else, all sitting here in one neat package.
I’m going to look at any holes that may be appearing in sides due to late outs, suspension, injuries.
Gary Ablett Jnr
The bloke’s not right. Dear old Gary’s shoulder is a miss. He’ll struggle to reach 100 this week, let alone the 135 his average suggests or the 150 we want from GAJ playing St Kilda. But in the sage words of Throttlefinger, “you lie in the bed you’ve made”. Rumours coming out of the Gold Coast indicated the plan was to sub The Great Gary off at 3QT against Melbourne, yet they kept him on hoping he’d drag them over the line. Given his shoulder last week, if the suns are up by four goals late in the game, Gary might be due to be subbed off. Do not put the ‘C’ on him, but by gum don’t trade him out at the last minute. If you are thinking of dropping him; make sure you’ve got a thought-out plan to get him back in, and then a backup plan for when that one stuffs up.
Will miss this week. Richmond and Lids himself are making the right noises indicating he’ll be back next week. You’ve got to hold him. Stick him on the pine and pop your Lonies, Lambert or Hogan onto the field for round 2.
Got knocked out in a sickening collision in the dying seconds of the Easter Monday rout. While he managed to get off the field okay, and has been cleared of injury, he is a chance to be a late out. Has been named on the half forward flank for Geelong, but they might not risk it. That said it’s less likely he’ll miss playing Freo than he will if the Cats had Melbourne this week. Set your emergencies in the forward line community!
Whispers circulating that TBC may be a late out. While he looked good enough in the first half against Sydney for me to be ruing not selecting him, he got a knock to the knee halfway through the game and struggled. McKernan has been upgraded from the rookie list this week, which is a worry, but I think he’ll play.
Rockliff and Sidebottom
Trade. As has been said all week on the site, cash him in on a rolled gold elite premium. Lewis, JPK, Sloane, Fyfe, Pendlebury, Selwood – roll a dice, flip a coin, you’ll struggle to go wrong. But my picks are Fyfe, Pendles, Lewis, Selwood, Sloane, JPK or possibly even Ollie “The Quadzilla” Wines. I’ve picked Wines off the back of his write up in the illustrious Jock Reynolds Magazine (which you can get online here), and is statistically primed to enter Elite Super Premium Status this year. And the stats, like Shakira’s hips, do not lie. Well at least most of the time.
As mentioned in the podcast, this is not time to be worried. Lamb played alright coming off the snot vest, and I am genuinely surprised he is missing considering the lack of key defensive posts in the West Coast backline. But I have no doubt he will be back.
Lots of debate here community, and I am struggling to make a choice. I have Goldstein and Mummy. But indecision has made my choice easy – I will hold this week, and strongly advise you to as well, as we don’t have enough evidence to make informed decisions. Only trades this week should be to pick up missed rookies, in my humble opinion. For a more in-formed opinion, Supercoach 2013 winner John Bruyn put up a significant article this week about how and when to trade early, and needless to say this man is slightly more qualified than I.
THE ROOKIE RUMBLE
Entering the dog-eat-dog jungle of AFL is a tough ask for rookies, but there are those who can match it with the rest from day dot and pump out mammoth scores. The difference can be as much as Oxley’s 30 vs McIntosh’s 120 in round 1. It can win or lose you league games; possibly even win you the 50k. I’ll cast my gaze over the coming round and do my best to tell you which rookies I reckon you should start onfield, as well as which are at risk of being sub, either in the Kermit vest or the red vest. These guys are in order of who you should start down to who you probably shouldn’t. Let me know if I miss anyone!
McIntosh – named onfield for the Tigers and I think he should be onfield for you. Won’t back up his 120 with another one but in line for a 70+ score.
Saad – same as above. Might not score 89 again, but a good chance to score well. Unlikely to be subbed off as Abblett is in the for it this week.
Brown – Unlikely to score more than 60 as a key backman, but he’s not a sub risk.
Oxley – big sub risk. Last spot on the bench. Doesn’t look promising. Keep him off field if possible.
Cripps – should bounce back. Remember we’re not expecting the 100’s we saw in the NAB, but if he plays forward then we should be worried. If you’re like Lek and feel sneaky enough to loophole him, that’s a good idea, but I have little faith in my internet connection, and so will be starting him onfield. Should score 80 if playing in the guts. Contested beast.
Ellis-Yolman – another contested ball magnet. Named onfield, and I’d consider him unlikely to get the red vest. Expect more of the same from him.
Heeney – surprised me with a score of 97, but it did include a clutch goal. Bloody good player, and I expect the green vest to go to Towers or Laidler. Might get subbed off, though.
Lambert (FWD) – “With one hand the SC gods taketh away, yet with the other hand they giveth’.” The Book of Jock; 1:13. The Gods have taken from us Brett Deledio, and have handed us Kane Lambert in return, and have named him on the field. Makes you want to sometimes. I’d have him forward if possible, but otherwise put the E on him. Red vest chance.
vandenBerg – mentioned on the Thursday Night podcast in dulcet Irish tones, vandenBerg is a big sub risk. I think it’s 50/50 between him and Newton, and that’s enough for him to be whacked on my bench with a big purple E on him.
Miller – massive sub vest. Keep off the ground. Don’t put the E on him if you can avoid it.
Pffffft, rookie rucks! Can you imagine… *cries*
Clark – looked bloody good, no chance of a vest unless something goes badly wrong.
Salem – controversial, but I think he will bounce back. Did so after a putrid NAB 1 and tonned up. While he might not ton up, I’m optimistically hoping for an 80 from Salem against the Giants. Little vest chance.
Lambert – see MID write-up.
McGrath – not many jumped on him, but he surprised us all with a 70. Showed nothing close to that in the NAB, and we dismissed him as an early season snot-vest wearer. Named onfield again, and if you’ve got him, could be a solid E candidate or to pop on the field.
Hogan – possible red vest candidate now Dawes is back, but unlikely. Did more than expected last week, and may continue that now he’ll have the second defender.
Lonie – named on the ground, but a big red vest candidate. Small forwards also struggle for points consistently, especially early in their careers. A big E for mine.
Lamb – just like the terminator, he will be back. Just probably with less guns and explosions.
Liam Duggan – the number 11 draft pick from last year has been named on the bench for his first game with the eagles. At $172,300, his NAB form wasn’t inspiring, playing just the one game where he came on as the sub and scored 10. Will probably be sub. I wouldn’t suggest bringing him in, and in the unlikely event you’ve got him, keep him on the pine.
That’s it for me. As well as asking questions and whatnot, please let me know how the format works! If I’ve waffled on or need more information stuffed in there, tell me and the Wrap will evolve into whatever it takes to help level your head before lockout.