Dex Files – Sam Docherty
Community, as you are aware, for the 2015 season I have been bestowed the privilege of joining the Inner Sanctum – as such I’ll be dissecting the “player of the week” and whether he is value for money.
If you think there is someone to look at, let me know. You can do so either on Twitter or in the comments.
I’ll be honest. I didn’t really consider Docherty this year, as for a similar price i had the choice of Rampe, “TheGift” (Lumumba), Adcock, Higgins and to a lesser extent – Suckling; All of which I forecast for a similar or slightly better averaging season than Docherty. Add in the fact that Carlton’s season is looking to be a long one (Sorry Mick, but you’re blind – or ridiculously optimistic – if you think otherwise!) The prospect of Docherty at $412k wasn’t a bright one.
Considering Docherty is the least experienced out of the aforementioned; his stats didn’t scream “Pick Me”. His 2014 season (his first at Carlton, and third overall) yielded an average of 76.8 SC from 16 games. He averaged 18.5 disposals at 70% Efficiency (12.9 kicks, 5.6 contested), 5.1 marks, 2.6 R50’s, 2.7 tackles. He only cracked the ton thrice for a top of 110, and dropped below 80, 9 times. His numbers looked good, but his output was too inconsistent for mine.
Enter round 1, 2015 – Carlton played pretty ordinary, but Docherty played the game of his career. How are these for numbers: 23 Disposals at 91.3% Efficiency (15 kicks, 10 Contested possessions), 8 Marks, 2 Clearances, 5 Rebound 50’s, 5 Tackles, 2 Inside 50’s and a goal assist for 147 SC from 95% ToG. (Helped by 0 Clangers, 0 Frees against and 91% DE)
Granted; Docherty more than likely won’t replicate this feat – it shows he is capable of big Supercoach Scores. If Docherty can better his 2014 output by 5-10 ppg – at $412k he could be a bargain.
Was this one-off?
Yes and no.
Yes; he won’t get 147 every week.
No; Seems to be one of 3 main rebound defenders – alongside Simpson and Everitt. Neither of which amass as many contested possessions as Docherty. Yarran seems to be used more from the wing to use his speed for quick inside 50’s.
Docherty has virtually no risk of being used as a Key defender, as they have Rowe, Jamison, Jaksch and Watson to pick from. He also has a very slim chance of the vest, as Carlton usually give the vest to the smaller running blokes (Yarran, Menzel etc.)
Do we burn a trade to get him?
No. Don’t chase points.
Wait a week.
If “The Gift” gets another 60-80 and Docherty gets 80-100 and you “must” bring him in, then do so – but only if your other lines are good.
Round 2 trades should only be forced trades. i.e injury.
Round 3 trades should be “corrective” trades. Those corrective trades should be the most pressing trades. i.e. consecutive sub 80’s from an elite player or wrong rookies etc.
I have “The Gift” in my side, I won’t say I’m happy with a 73 – but if all my other lines are good come end of next round and Docherty gets another good score, i will seriously consider the sideways trade.