139 Comments

I N Pieman · 01/04/2015 at 13:49
The job security of the defender rookies is almost non existent. Except for Nathan brown who’s not going to blow the roof off the joint. I’d remove TBC & grab a mid pricer defender. Good luck

I N Pieman · 01/04/2015 at 13:54
Wallis Tom. Big ball. If he’s removed from tagging could be an awesome pick. Touk Miller good pick. Brown on the ground. Nup. Bench him.

tom · 01/04/2015 at 13:58
Cheers Pieman! Do you think I should get another midpricer into my defence for Brown? Im looking at Geary/Kolo but dont know if I should bother

I N Pieman · 01/04/2015 at 14:02
If a couple of your rookie defenders get dropped your in strife. Fwd rooks have much better JS. I like KK he’s a gun.

tom · 01/04/2015 at 14:06
yeah, thats what I am worried about. What type of structure are you going for this year in defense?

I N Pieman · 01/04/2015 at 14:08
In defence 2 big boys 3 underpriced mid pricers (I hope) 3 rooks.

matt · 01/04/2015 at 19:25
i believe your backline is a little fragile, one more midpricer maybe wallis for a rookie then upgrade a back rookie

MASO · 01/04/2015 at 15:22
collingwood ? 😛

Dools · 01/04/2015 at 15:50
Hahahahahahahahahahha Owned INP
Classic!!! High cal.diet and steaks. Lots and lots of steak

I N Pieman · 01/04/2015 at 16:22
Leefe & Thomas will need to make a living somehow lol

LEKD0G · 01/04/2015 at 16:29
I'm a warrior of the mind not the body Pie haha

I N Pieman · 01/04/2015 at 18:00
Nice. I like it Lek. Was the mo inspired by Jock?

I N Pieman · 01/04/2015 at 14:05
If you looking for a durable mid Watson is not the answer. His number of games & average is declining since his Brownlow year. I don’t like Higgins. Be carful with Hibberrd dodgy hammies go twang lots.

Morse · 01/04/2015 at 14:57
Totally agree Pieman.
Looking at Watsons last year he averaged 106 but only hit 90+ points 73% of the time and 100+ points 53% of the time. Take out his scores after returning from injury (as he didn't score 100+ points at all after injury) and he hit 90+ 82% of the time and 100+ 73% of the time.
Even going back to his best year (BL medal in 2012), he scored 90+ 91% of the time and 100+ 77% of the time meaning he had a lower ave than say Fyfe overall and he had 5 games under 100 points whereas Fyfe only had 2 last year.
I know Fyfe is $82K more than Watson but he will likely score 400+ more total points over the year.
Leave Watson out imo, no longer as appealing as he once was.

Rick · 01/04/2015 at 14:09
I would go higgins, watson, JPK and bartel. Hyrbrid between the two

tom · 01/04/2015 at 14:11
I would go the second one.
I just can not trust Higgins the burn man

Gollyontong · 01/04/2015 at 20:27
Dont second guess yourself. All are viable options, and if it was as simple was going on previous stats, we would all be champs.

Redgumwon · 01/04/2015 at 14:41
Lock as well at M6

Just_Genetics · 01/04/2015 at 20:47
Griffen all the way in the final H&A round of last season he scored whopping 188 points and then scoring 142 in his first appearance against Gold Coast in the NAB Challenge. id say he should be a lock in most teams.

Rick Grimes · 01/04/2015 at 14:17
Minson a safer option, but I think Nicnat has the higher upside. If you haven't taken many risks across the rest of the team, maybe worth a punt.

harry · 01/04/2015 at 15:16
Nic Nat, and not even close

Just_Genetics · 01/04/2015 at 20:50
when Nic nat was r1 at westcoast he averaged 120 points per game. he should do the same this year being the number 1 ruck.

r2d2 · 01/04/2015 at 13:54
Gaz and Pendles m1 and 2

Rick Grimes · 01/04/2015 at 14:21
Possibly a premo short. Question mark on Danger, but he'll give you some big returns (Sloane more consistent). Wines is a gun and I dearly want to include him in my own side. Swallow I'm not as sold on, don't see as big an upside.

r2d2 · 01/04/2015 at 15:45
Swallow up to griffen or jpk?

Luviboy1 · 01/04/2015 at 16:41
I'd go Swallow up to Parker. But out of them two Griffo, if you already have GAJ and Pendles.

Crowmagnon · 01/04/2015 at 19:28
seriously considering him.

Redgumwon · 01/04/2015 at 14:42
Henderson

Sarah · 01/04/2015 at 15:06
Geary

Harry · 01/04/2015 at 15:27
role a dice, assign a number for each player, whatever number it lands on go with it. If they all play, should do about the same

John · 01/04/2015 at 14:42
In the same boat as you, but think option 1 may work out,
someone will pop up, because i just cant justify the midpricers in defence,
let me know which way you decide, good luck mate!

Redgumwon · 01/04/2015 at 14:42
You've answered your own question. Go with your gut and beef up defence

Samuel · 01/04/2015 at 15:09
approximately $5,375 per SC point

Redgumwon · 01/04/2015 at 15:08
Wallis

jack · 01/04/2015 at 15:24
wells

Tony · 01/04/2015 at 15:49
Wells

Redgumwon · 01/04/2015 at 15:19
He played most of the year with injury. Most have Swannie in there sides. So why not go with him and if he doesn't fire use him for an upward trade? At the price he is you really can't go wrong and if he fires you've got a scoring machine

Luviboy1 · 01/04/2015 at 15:20
He was disinterested in the NAB. I think he'll have a decent year.

Harry · 01/04/2015 at 15:22
Also Collingwood don't expect him to be fully fit until approximatlely round 6. Aswell as playing the same role in the nab cup as he did last season, it would be extremely risky to pick him.

jason · 01/04/2015 at 15:28
pick him will avg 95 minimum more of a risk not having him

Samuel · 01/04/2015 at 15:51
What about Bartel? is he safer

Harry · 01/04/2015 at 16:10
Bartel's looked great so far. Almost a certainty he'll be top 6 forward and average over 100, can't say the same about swan

Crowls · 01/04/2015 at 15:47
got like it as very similar to mine in structure

David · 01/04/2015 at 15:57
…..Martin will move fwd at first upgrade…..

SCaddict · 01/04/2015 at 16:03
Wow you're definitely in contention for the POD backline of the year award.
No doubt you would only lock in WhiteX if he gets a game on Easter Monday which is probably unlikely to happen at this stage unless you've heard something that I haven't.
Your other lines are much more conventional although the jury is still out for me on whether Newton is a good pick for the money. Hopefully he turns out to be more a Dom Tyson than a Viv Michie circa 2014.
Buddy is an interesting selection and could really carve up a match underdone Bombers defence this weekend. I just wish he had a full preseason under his belt and there wasn't rain forecast at ANZ this Saturday.

David · 01/04/2015 at 17:34
yeah….WhiteX will probably be moved on once teams are announced….On Newton, I have no doubt he will be an absolute gun….Being a Port man I have watched him play for the Magpies in the SANFL week in week out and collect thirty plus posses and 10 tackles most weeks….a real hard nut who will be a champ….spitting chips Port couldnt keep him….next year Cornes will be gone and that spot was his for the next decade…..jump on him I reckon.

Luviboy1 · 01/04/2015 at 16:39
Love your backline. Id move Martin forward and upgrade Belly, but you've already stated your intentions. Overall pretty solid side. Wish you all the best.

SCaddict · 01/04/2015 at 15:54
I like Scooter a little more myself as I think he generate more cash than Juddy but neither are season long keepers but only stepping stones to elites I'd say.
Both are good picks if you need to slot in a midfield midpricer and I would also add Wells and potentially Rich to this category too.

Dr Spock · 01/04/2015 at 17:00
Does anyone know what the rough formula is for working out potential price rises after X number of rounds?
I’m thinking Selwood can average 105-110, whilst Wells maybe 95 and Rich 90, but not sure who will rise the most by the time the byes come around. Also thinking there’s a sneaky chance I can keep Selwood at M8.

SCaddict · 01/04/2015 at 20:10
The price change formula is basically this Dr Spock:
New_Price = 3/4 * Old_Price plus 1/4 * Recent_Market_Value
where Recent_Market_Value = $5,375 (approx) * Average_Points_In_Last_Three_Games
It's not exact as all players prices are scaled to fit within the global salary cap each round but I reckon it's close enough.
So just whack this into Excel and you can do your own price change calculations per round.
If Scooter averages over 100 trust me you'll be laughing all the way to the bank.

Dr Spock · 01/04/2015 at 20:29
Thanks heaps SCaddict, much appreciated 🙂

Dr Spock · 01/04/2015 at 17:02
… It’s basically coming down to Selwood at M6 and Leuenberger at R2 (his per minute scores in NAB were good IMHO) OR Rich/Wells and Naitanui at the same positions

Donald · 01/04/2015 at 16:04
maybe look for a wells or rich instead,similar scores, save money

SCaddict · 01/04/2015 at 16:51
Reckon it's doable but a slight Lids's durability concern tips a Bartel inclusion instead for me.

Tulendeena · 01/04/2015 at 16:01
Lumumba and Parker

SCaddict · 01/04/2015 at 16:18
If HepD still had his 2013 DPP eligibility he'd be in a lot of backlines but it's a bit tough to squeeze him in as a pure midfielder much like say a McVeigh.
Bombers are quite an unknown quantity with no preseason competition to speak of and have a punishing opening fortnight @Sydney and v Hawks so that would put many off starting with Dons players as Lekdog so eloquently stated in his vid.
But in general I reckon you are running with a very solid side there Bob.

Stevo · 01/04/2015 at 16:23
Read above, but IMO he is a nice POD, young gun, but will get tagged along with Watson

matt · 01/04/2015 at 19:16
believe hes a great pick, reckon the pressure on him and essendon has been lifted and now can unleash

Stevo · 01/04/2015 at 16:22
He's a gun

Stevo · 01/04/2015 at 16:21
Hmmmm
Sheed, Bartel, Maric, Gibbo

Scarlo · 01/04/2015 at 16:27
Thanks stevo ! Appreciate it buddy

Stevo · 01/04/2015 at 16:28
All good mate

Stevo · 01/04/2015 at 16:30
I'm thinking the same thing. Bruyn said this in his article yesterday:
'Newnes – Hype player of the preseason by far! A lock? I can’t see it. Not because he is a bad pick but simply because I don’t think he’ll be a top 5 defender. Isn’t cheap at all and plays for a poor side. Will feature in heaps of teams (mine included I’d say) but he isn’t David Swallow.'
IMO he won't go up much in price, even if he does average 95 or above. That's only around 490k plus. But if you do pick him and he stuffs up, you really won't have to worry cause everyone's got him and they'll all worry too

David · 01/04/2015 at 16:36
Ok, so my rationale is, if I get someone cheaper like KK, and he gets 80-90's early on (which he should, Suns are a good team this year) and Newnes gets 90 – 100. I am losing a few points to everyone there but the value of my team is going up. If Newnes spuds it up when St Kilda get flogged then I have a huge win. I guess im finding hard to pick Newnes over KK, but so so many people are on him and i dont get it! Saints stink so hard.

SCaddict · 01/04/2015 at 16:41
While Newnes will be hugely popular he's one of the supposed must haves you could probably skip on and not get too badly burnt, however the penny falls, so long as you have an adequate replacement.
I like Thumper's game a lot but will he just tread water in 2015 with the 2nd year blues like Zorko did??
So if I was going to leave Newnes out I'd probably want to spend decent coin on an alternative such as a Hurn, Kelly or Taylor.
Thumper certainly at D2 or maybe even D3 is probably leaving yourself a bit too exposed in defence imho.

Luviboy1 · 01/04/2015 at 16:34
2nd option is probably a tad safer. But if you're willing to take a risk go with 1.

adam · 01/04/2015 at 19:13
thanks mate 🙂

Stevo · 01/04/2015 at 16:34
KK and goldy

Luviboy1 · 01/04/2015 at 16:32
Goldy and Minson 🙂
Nah, but if I had to pick number 1.

matt · 01/04/2015 at 19:21
more upside if number 1 works (Nic Nat goes 120) and goldy does what goldy does
but safer bet is number 2, like minson should average 100 and maric should go 105-110

Motsy · 01/04/2015 at 16:41
I want him in badly and am scared he will be a corrective trade against Dangerfield at the moment.
I said at the end of last year, and have though all summer long that this will be Dyson's break-out year in to supercoach elitehood.
Then ASADA and his minor injury came along and my plums shrunk.
I will regret it I'm sure.

Phil · 01/04/2015 at 17:37
I've always likened him to Pendles (pretty much coz I love the way Pendles plays) and hoped that he would reach those elite hood heights. For the record Heppell averaged 106 (last year) in his 4th year which was the same as Pendles. Pendles then went 110 before entering the 120's. So this would suggest Hepps 1 more year away.
Wines has a similar trend to Selwood and would also been 1 more year away if it continues.
Of course this could all be circumstantial and totally irrelevant so take out of it what you will.

matt · 01/04/2015 at 19:23
I reckon Heppell could go 110-115, so between 10-15 best mids, which youd be happy at the end of the year as M7 or 8

Luviboy1 · 01/04/2015 at 16:49
Hes gonna score 15,000 points against Essendon on Saturday. Could be a good enough reason to select him over Dusty.

gordo · 01/04/2015 at 18:09
i currently have him in my side as a stepping stone to gaz

SCaddict · 01/04/2015 at 16:59
Lewis is the only one of that bunch in my side although you could mount an argument for picking any of those stars really.
But for me just have a look at Jordo's scores from the back half of 2014, and much like Parker too, I reckon that bodes very well for 2015.

Luviboy1 · 01/04/2015 at 17:00
In order: Lewis, Wines, Danger, Heppell, Watson, Gibbsy, Cotchin.

Dr Spock · 01/04/2015 at 17:28
Agreed on Leuey, his per minute in NAB was solid enough for me. Haven’t seen enough of Bellchambers so speculative pick, would prefer maybe a premo ruck instead? (Although I reckon with new rules we’re paying overs for most rucks and expect many to drop in value). Looking at your team you must have a bit of spare cash?

Rick · 01/04/2015 at 17:09
Lumumba, Higgins

Dr Spock · 01/04/2015 at 17:22
Ibbotson, KK or Geary maybe if it’s D4? Higgins for D3 I reckon, Lumumba will get attention in season proper.

Keg · 01/04/2015 at 19:31
KK and pocket the cash

matt · 01/04/2015 at 19:24
honorable loss

Keg · 01/04/2015 at 19:28
I’ve gone Lewis. Reckon he will kill it this year and can go HUGE!

eatemalive · 01/04/2015 at 19:53
agree

Harry · 01/04/2015 at 20:16
Beams by a mile, proven sc gun, lewis only 1 good season in a decade

kevwal · 01/04/2015 at 19:28
My thought's, if a rookie is picked to play, on the field, round 1, pick them. A non-playing rookie is a non-money maker. They can sit on the bench, but rookies are there for one thing and one thing only, making money.

Paddy · 01/04/2015 at 23:02
Good side, not much wrong with it. One option I'd maybe consider is downgrade one of Parker, Boak or Griffen to a rookie (I don't know if all 3 will be in the top 6-10 midfielders at end of season. Maybe upgrade Goodes to Higgins and then get Gray.
I was in a similar conundrum, I had Goddard for my F1, and just tonight I upgraded Goddard to Gray.
Also if anyone is interested, 4 spots left.
NoFatChicks (196197)

Just_Genetics · 02/04/2015 at 02:13
i have enough cash fro gray atm should i upgrade bartel to him?

Just_Genetics · 01/04/2015 at 21:34
look into researching your rookies
your missing some of the essentials

Paddy · 01/04/2015 at 23:08
Midfield is ok for the premiums.
Your backline is weak and you need to get rid of Sharenberg, he has a knee injury and won't be back until late in the season (if at all). Look at McIntosh, Hamling, Saad for rookies in your defense. I'd also look at upgrading a couple of your key backs for some guys a bit more reliable.
Forward line, I'd look at getting rid of Laverde (not sure if he will be in R1) and Membrey, and look at Clarke and Lonie (if named).