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Dex’s Supercoach Team Reveal 2015

Published by Jock on

TG Footy Tracgic - DexterFor me, pre-season began in the second week of finals in 2014. I started jotting down thoughts and began researching potential premiums and LTI returnees for analysis and watch-listing. 6 months in, and my team has changed too many times to count – but what hasn’t changed much is the structure.

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SoapOnARope 2015

dex

My structure: Guns and Rookies.

I always go GnR – Always. This season, it has become obvious that we can’t go pure guns and rooks, but I’ve made it close enough. Goodes and Newnes are the only non-GnR players I’m running at this stage.

My strategy:

First thing you’ll notice, NO ABLETT! I have chastised myself over and over for not running Ablett, but with recent revelations that he’s not ready and pulling out of NAB – I just can’t justify his price-tag. The last time Ablett had no pre-season – he dropped 3 sub 100 scores in his first 5 weeks, also; Ablett had NEVER had a serious injury before this. I feel he will doubt his shoulder for a long time, hindering his output. Judd, I plan to move on as soon as his price peaks, and hoping Ablett drops a sub 80 or 2 in the first 5 weeks – and boom, Judd could be my ticket to an under-priced Ablett. Key word – COULD.

I’m running a pretty risky 7 Premium midfield. You know my plans for Judd, and I’m hoping at least 5 of the remaining 6 premium players remain keepers. The plethora of options we have up forward make me feel more confident that this strategy will hold me in good stead.

I’m running guns in the ruck. Nic Nat’s lack of pre-season and ordinary showing vs Fremantle have prompted my non-picking of him and I feel Maric has plenty to offer in his stead. Goldy is a gun and picks himself.

I’m running an ultra-slim forward, obviously meaning I’ll need to shore this up as soon as I can and I’d love 50 Shades (Gray) up forward, but it’s either him and Nic Nat or Dusty and Maric, and I feel the latter will offer me better output. 50 shades will hopefully drop 50-80k and I can hopefully pick him up around rounds 7-9. If not – he’ll be a round 13 inclusion.

My backline has had the most change about it all pre-season. I was going to go ultra-light back, but the lack of rookies changed that for me. Heath Shaw will be in the top 3 defenders come season end (I feel). Michael Johnson should be thereabouts also, providing his back can hold up. My only real worry is Goodes, I hope he gets elevated. He was injected when Libba had his unfortunate injury – opening the spot for Goodes.

Selections of community debate:

Ivan Maric (RUCK 535K)

Just look at the Tigers without him. They were terrible in the first half of last year. Inject Maric & give him a few games to clear the rust, and you have a monster. His final 8 he games averaged 110, they won them all and made finals. I feel he is in for a big year and if he stays on the park – I feel he could be a top 3 ruck if fit. Just take look at Chicko’s review here.

Jordan Lewis (MID $588K)

Priced to average 109 – I think he can up it to 115-120. Hawks are a unit; there are too many players to focus on so I don’t think he’ll get tagged often. I don’t think many will run him – they’ll likely go Sloane/Danger/Beams etc. Can go large and should play 20-22 games. Have a read of my review of Lewis here.

Michael Johnson (DEF $468K)

Johnson had back surgery in the off season and I almost ran a line through him. In his NAB game he showed no signs of duress and posed a nice 100+ point game to show me he’s right to go. Most will go a Gibson or a Murphy in his place, but I feel he has a much better chance to not have those 50 point stinkers. He is a great interceptor and re-bounds the ball often. He’s made the cut for consistency and potential Point of difference. Have a read of my review of Johnson here.

Dustin Martin (MID/FWD $535k).

I put dusty up for debate because many write him off as having no tank or the change in crunch-time scaling will hurt him. I agree, I think the scaling will affect his output in those instances, but I feel his added load through the guts will increase his output and void the losses we may see from that change. The next step in his fantasy elite-hood is nigh. Have a read of Big Ben’s review here.

7 premium mid-field:

7 starting premiums in the guts – is it suicide? Will it hamper my money-making ability? I say no. I feel the best 4 rooks in the guts come round 1 will be in there and I hope to make the coin from them and the forward-line rookies. Could bite me, but you need to take risks to win it.

What’s nagging at me:

Defensive structure

I’d love to keep Goodes in at D4, but may have to slim down in the guts a bit and up him to an Ibbotson or similar if he doesn’t make round 1. Obviously rookies will ultimately determine whether I go deeper down here – but we are all having the same problems aren’t we?

Not having Gary Ablett

We all know he is the Supercoach Messiah, but after all – he is human. I think this human side of him will drop his output while he regains confidence in that shoulder. He has been in and out so many times this pre-season; I hope I don’t regret it.

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Over to you community – what are your thoughts on SoapOnARope? Is there anything you’d do differently, or am I on the money? Would love to hear your thoughts in the comments below..


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Mac

Absolute BEAST midfield. Love the Lewis selection. Forward Line looks weak, but many rookies will play so I can see where your coming from. Best of Luck!

Dex_

Cheers Mac.
Forward line will struggle to generate points, but should be made up by the deep midfield.

Luck be with you as well mate!

@milesdeutscher

Since everyone seems to be sharing, i'd love your thoughts on my team. Changing constantly but pretty sure I'm getting close:

Shaw, Taylor, Newnes, Lumumba, Oxley, Saad (Hamling, Goddard)

Pendlebury, Fyfe, Selwood, Beams, Dangerfield, Newton, Cripps, Ellis-Yolmen (Heeney, Vandenberg, Miller)

Goldstein, Maric (O'Brien)

Gray, Bartel, Martin, Salem, Clark, Hogan (Daniel, Lambert).

Soapy

McKenzie, Daniel and Dawson are unlikely R1 starters – are these strategic doughnuts or will you be replacing them with selected rookies if they aren't selected?

Dex_

Rookies subject to round 1 Soapy.
Read the strategic nugget.

Patch

I thought they were hills on the horizon there Dex, but they are actually your plums.

Love it. Shark team, as Mick would say. Love the selection of Lewis. Well done, sir.

Dex_

Cheers Patch!

Been big on Lewis for a while. Hope he delivers!

Brillsy21

Great stuff dex
What do you guys think of Shannon Hurn??
What are some other alternatives if you don't like him?

r2d2

Gibson , kelly (Geel) , Taylor

Dex_

Cheers Brillsy!

Nearly slipped Hurn in there, but feel MJ has a bigger ceiling now the crunch time has been reduced.
Should go alright now he's captain.

Corey

Do you reckon Ablett will be fit for r1

shezza

He is fit, he just hasn’t had any contact work which is a worry

Kev

No bloke can touch the king anyway!

Dex_

Difficult to say Corey.
Might play, but his usual "godlike" output may be reduced – hence his non-starting in my side.

lewis kemp

hey mate i'm best mates with the head physio at the suns and he has told me that ablett will line up round 1 and will be monitored and subbed some time during the game!!!!!!!

BCHawks

Great team Dex! Love the POD's And with the amount of forward rookies there are I like your structure. Good luck for the season!

Dex_

Cheers BC!

Same to you mate.

r2d2

Solid team , but maybe you one short in def? Good cash generation likely 🙂 and you going judd as well , just like lekdog, obv just as a stepping stone for gaz , i find that interesting in itself , good Luck mate

Dex_

Cheers R2D2 (that's my message tone)

Backline grates at me sometimes, but i've always been turned off by midpricers, that's why i've tried to cheat with Goodes>
May pay off, may not..

r2d2

Could well do mate

shezza

Ive loaded up in the midfield two years ago and started off to flyer. Obviously your defence is your weakness but we all have one line that could be a bit stronger. This team will start off strong.

Dex_

That't the plan Shezza!
I just hope to keep the momentum as the season progresses.

shezza

How confident are you of Judd? Is he a better option than Scott selwood or a Jack Steven?

sam siddall

Interesting read mate everyone is going judd to get to abblett

Dex_

Thanks Sam.
I just feel he is underpriced – had a great pre-season, and is primed for a fast start,

LEKD0G

And he's someone that we can trade up no worries, won't be averaging 110 and too good to keep but won't average low enough that we need to drop him

SCOTLAND THE BRAVE

Not sure why you wouldn’t go langford to ablett freeing up the cash to go goodes to ibbo?

Brillsy21

Jordan Lewis or Luke Parker??

Patch

The correct answer could win you 50k. I'm with Dex, I prefer Lewis, but it's line ball.

Dex_

Lewis, just.
But – if bye rounds arent an issue – you cant go wrong with Parker either.

LEKD0G

Parker :p

Chicko

Both!

medadsson

Me too, gone both.

KJU FC

Loving Goodes at D4!
Best of luck DEX!

Dex_

Cheers KJU!

r2d2

I personally am starting with gaz , not prepared to sideways trade or waste 2, and you think lonie and lamb will get reg games ?

Dex_

Not sure R2.

best guess really.

As for sideways, i finished 52 last year, only 9 of my starters survived the season. I feel planned trading will get you to where you want and not knee-jerk trades.

Mozz

I have Wells in my team atm and thinking that he could be my sideways trade up to ablett, is this a good option or should i switch him to Judd instead?

Dex_

If you feel Wells will start the season strong enough (or better than Judd) to generate cash – yes, start him.

Crowls

Absolutely Wells is a good option and can upgrade to Ablett or fyfe or rockliff from him.

Mac

Look I know this is Dex's team but since many people are commenting on it, I was wondering if you could spare the time to give your thoughts on my team please

Thoughts on my team? I'm not sure wether I need a player that I can trade up to Ablett in my midfield, like Judd, as Lekdog and Dex have done.

Shaw, Gibson, Newnes, Lumumba, Goodes, Edwards, Saad, Goddard
Pendlebury, Selwood, Beams, Parker, Griffin, Newton, Cripps, Vandenberg, Ellis-Yolmen, Miller, Krakouer
Mumford, Goldstein, Read
Gray, Martin, Swan, Salem, Clark, Lambert, Hogan, Steele.

As I said, not sure wether I need a need a midfield player like Judd to trade up to Gaz when he gets fully fit and firing. Also, not too sure on Lumumba. I can generate money by trading Goodes down to someone like Hamling if I need to.

Thoughts?

r2d2

Neale could get you too gaz also if you wanted to go down that path …

Patch

Cripps and Newton might help you get to Gaz. If you play it well enough and the cards fall your way, they could get you there along with one of the other rooks.

Dex_

Solid Mac.
I'm not big on "The Gift" but there is validity in his selection.
VDB and Krak haven't been upgraded yet – so thy're ones to watch.
Solid Fwd line too!

Booma

Think your strategy depends on whether you just want to get Gaz in your team or you want to compete for an overall place. Your team in good, but its & safe team. Like Lekdog & Dex have said, if you want to win the overall you’ve got to take some risk & go balls out. Good luck to you though.

@TylerCArmstrong

Nice team dex. Not big on Nic Nat?

Dex_

Nah mate, Something is off with DogDog.

Playing it safer in the rucks, and risking the FWD line is more for me.

Andy

Very optimistic with those fwd rookies. Not sure they’ll play 3+ games in a hurry. Wait till March 31st. Everything will change again after that

Dex_

Could go south Andy, but rooks are subject to change come round one.

@RyanRhino14

how much cap space do you have left

Spifflicator

Nice team Dex! I like it, even the gamble on Judd. good luck!

Dex_

Cheers Spiff!

Can't win with a cookie-cutter team!

Throttlefinger

Definite Shark team. You know its strengths and weaknesses so that’s key when making final adjustments after selection and during the season. Mans think you gave yourself a lot of flexibility in all your lines. Well done Dex.

Envious of this team.

Dex_

Cheers Throt!

Many an hour went into the crafting of this beast!

Chicko

Strong Dex, very bloody strong! Would be frightening to face that team if all those midfielders are on song! Well thought out mix. Well done mate!

Dex_

Cheers Chicko!

Let's hope it plays as strong as it looks

sam siddall

Question to any1 say u go judd and he averages 105 til rd 6 and say abblett only avgs 110 til then what are both there prices going to be as to me u will still need 2 trades to get gaz

General Soreness

If you have $50k could be a straight swap.

Dex_

Agree General

Derek

It isn’t a simple case of what they average in first 5 weeks. As you know the prices don’t change until after 3 weeks, and then it is calculated on a 3 week rolling average, so week 1 score will only affect price for 1 week and then it is gone etc. so it depends on if Gaz starts slow say an 80 and ramps it up by week 5 to 130+, his average may be 110 but the way he scores will change his price significantly, meaning it might not drop as much as you think.

Same goes for Judd who might start strong and have a few average games week 3 or 4, this will stay in his rolling average longer than have poor scores in week 1 & 2

sam siddall

Cool cheers ive decided to bring in swallow and have him finish M8 instead of griffen finishing M8 and hope with gws easy draw griff goes 120+ and do straight swap 4 gaz

General Soreness

Wow M8

Dex_

I see your point Sam.
I may need two trades for gaz.
But 6 games into a rook and he might be a little prem, but i can definitely lop the head off if need be.

sam siddall

Yeah I think if gaz drops below 650k it will only be btw round 5 to 7 and I will if I have 2 but dont really want to have to use 2 trades to get him in and may have to cull a cash cow before he is fully fatted up

Derek

Gaz will only drop to $650 if there is something significantly wrong with him. If that the case you will stay away.

Chef's Arsse fc

Gday community. Just after an opinion. Rich, wells, adams, wallis and a rookie OR newton and cripps? Cheers

Dex_

Newton and Cripps for mine Chefs.

Chef's Arsse fc

Thanks. I’ve thought long and hard and re-jigged my defence so I can have wallis and cripps. Hope it pays off!

sam siddall

Last 2

Ben

Thoughts on Griffen, will he outscore Swallow and if so what average?

Ben

Also thoughts on Bellchambers? or should I go with two premos?

Dex_

Easily, but 5-10 points a week In my opinion.
Griff 110-115
Swallow 100-105

(My thoughts)

Nash

Very nice dex. Can you give me some feed back mate on my team. Cheers

Simpson, shaw, Gibson, Hibberd, Newns, Saad ( Goodard, Mcintosh)
Gaz (might change) Pendelbury, fyfe, Danger, Newton, Cripps, Elliss-youlmen, Vandenberg ( heeney, miller, krakour)
Goldy, maric (read)
Gray, Martin, Swan, Salem, Clark, Hogan, ( lambet, Steel)

I have gone rookies in the midfield because I think this is where the money is to be made. Plus I would rather midfield rookies scoring the defensive rookies as there score will be larger.

Anyone with any feed back would be awesome. Thanks

Dex_

Nice team Nash!
Very strong Defense line – Not a fan of Simpson personally. I feel he will throw a spud score in there somewhere and we will be able to pick him up for 420-450k
Solid Mids, see your point re-rooks. although need to watch for VDB and Kraks.
Perfect ruck set-up.
Only one I'm not sure on is Steele in forward line.

Nice team mate,

jmy7

why is even so keen on lewis or parker, have people forgottin about dangerfield and boak!?

Jayden

BOak will get tagged a lot and dangerfield generally starts the season slow and with contract rumours could go down for a rough year

Dex_

Boak has always been a perennial 100pt scorer (highest av 106.6.).

Don't think he'll better it this year.

As for Danger, new coach and contract have put me off him.

Shane

and Lewis with 1 season out of 10 averaging over 100 screams LOCK to you…

qsz

Why all the hype around Judd when Sam Mitchell is the exact same price.
Mitchells body is more consistent and in my opinion he's better value coming off his injury effected year making him currently undervalued for his proven scoring abilities
Reckon he could be a nice POD and still be a quick stepping stone to GAZ if need be

pauly walnuts

The problem is that if the Hawks are going well into the last quarter they tend to bench the likes Mitchell,Hodge ect

Dex_

Valid point qsz.

take out Judd's 6 where he twanged his hammy and he averaged 98.

Fit this year and tag will go to Gibbs or Smurf. Better option for mine.

Jayden

With Lonie and Daniel if they get selected do you see them getting vested a bit

Dex_

Definite vest candidates.

Could be a JKH from last year,

Jayden

Oh please do not remind me of that roller coaster Dex

Rock-MAN

Dagliesh, WhiteX, Geary?

Dex_

None of them for mine.

Esp. Geary, NAB trooper – only to burn in season proper.

Dee

Dalgleish will get games early you recon Dex?

Dex_

Possibly – Not keen on Ess players before the ASADA stuff is handed down.

If players suspened – Lock in Dalgleish and Edwards.

That's the only reason he's in my side.

kyle k

hi guys, torn here do I go with

boak/danger or
lewis/griffen?

Dex_

Lewis/Griffen

Boak can't deal with a tag, Danger contact issues put me off him.

JoeWoolcock

Hey Dex, do you reckon Gray will get the tag over Boak given his time in the midfield now? Boak is in my team and I'm hoping that's the case!

General Soreness

Dex a masterful team with a strong SWOT analysis done. Balanced mix of PODs, Johnson most intriguing. Nice work.

Dex_

Cheers General!

Research is paramount!

Harry

I think we all get a bit psyched with pre season. I for one am sticking with Natanui. It's his first pre season in 4 years; he's a premo at hit outs to advantage; he might be slow first round but think he'll be right by round 2 which is perfect. Not too many players dominated their first hit out.

Jonathan

EXCEPT FOR ABLETT

Dex_

i see your point Harry.
I feel he is too big a risk – considering my weaker FWD line and the defense pickle we are all in.

Don't want to stress over rucks as well.

Jonathan

What do you think?

Judd to generate cash for Ablett later on? or
Lachie Neale to generate cash for Ablett?
Will Neale go up in price as much as Judd?

Also great write up DEX!!!

Dex_

Cheers Jonathan

Both Neale and Judd ahve their pro's and cons.
Can't go wrong with either.

As for who will average more – Who knows. I think Judd, but Neale has exploded this preseason. Best guess really.

Derek

What if you started with Gaz, if he isn’t going well in first two weeks (saints & Melbourne) get rid of him before the cats game and before he has a price drop. Then you will know who is flying, Judd or Neale etc and jump on them as they are on bubble and before their price rise. Then as Gaz price drops and Judd/Neale rises you make twice the cash. When you ready, trade back to Gaz at a bargain price just as Judd/Neale have peaked. That’s an insurance trade!

Rock-MAN

Wasting one trade to get GAJ in if you start with him.

Swans2012

I like it dex! Loving the team reveals, gives a good comparison point. love the fact we all play the same game with the same info but come to completely different conclusions. I reckon the 4 rookie forward line could bleed points as forward rookies traditionally score poorly (I’m only trusting Salem and Clark on field), but could be countered by your strong ruck/mid lines. Personally I’d rather a Ellis yolmen playing on field than a hogan. I also reckon there might be more $ but maybe less points to be made out of wells vs Judd so a coin toss there. Good luck and look forward to seeing your season unfold.

Swans2012

Said hogan meant Lonie or lamb

Swans2012

And by unfold I meant see how it goes not unfolds as in unravels and falls apart. This is my last self reply. Welcome.

Dex_

Cheers Swans.

That's where i'm hoping i can win. Strong mids will hopefully counter/make up for the lask in rook scores i'm bound to get.

As for field placement, best guess a week out from round 1, may have different rooks by then.

Swans2012

But FOUR you can trust on field in the forwards, if it’s he with the biggest figs wins, then you are in with a ripping shot. I like your style. All or nothing, personally I’d play yolmen in the mids and trade one of your premo mids for gray up forward. Seems like you’d get an extra 20-30 pnts out of it. (Yolmen +20 over Lonie, gray = or close to Lewis)

Dex_

I see your point Swans.

Rooks are yet to be finalised – so we'll know more this time next week

Ben

Fyfe & Gray or Ablett & Bartel/Zorko

Dex_

Fyfe and Gray.

Ableet Qn mark makes me think we can get him cheaper.

Ben

Thanks Dex.

It will take some balls to go with Fyfe & Gray, especially if the little master saddles up R1

Dom

Would love to know your thoughts on Cotchin??

Dex_

Stay away from Cotch. Never again for mine,

Can't handle a tag and is as soft as butter.
Both Martin and Lids are better options.

eatemalive

Dom, in my team as a huge POD, i reckon this will be a huge break out year for Cotch

craig

with no ruc/fwd in forward line/no gaz, should go brooksby in r3. gives you captain loophole every week. geelong has fri night games, goldcoast don't

Dex_

Thanks forthe info Craig – I'll look that one up.

craig

i only checked until bye rounds…

Jayden

Geelong mostly play on Saturday night Sunday night pretty sure we only have 1 or 2 Friday night games this year

dukes

Best stepping stone for ablett out of judd, Mitchell, Neale, Stevens? Atm I’m leaning towards neale as I am asucker for a young players potiential. Thoughts??

Swans2012

Been tossing up the same names, but I’ve decided on wells, only has to follow his precious averages to give 90’s and a quick 140k or so. Although with Neale and Steven there is a chance of them making the keeper 110 average whereas you will definately have to trade wells. Comes down to structure. I personally reckon Neale, most points per minute at freo last year. Just needs to keep that up and increase tog to go 105+

pauly walnuts

judd

throttlefinger

I like Judd. Proven guy, won't get tagged but can handle it if it happens. Looked strong in NAB. That said, Neale is also an excellent choice.

Buddy

Need a premium defensive option over Simpson. Not a fan of malceski and already have shaw.
Any ideas

Derek

Why don’t you want Simpson?

JoeWoolcock

I might be running with Kelly this year given increased midfield time, tackling and reliability, but has nowhere near the ceiling of the Hurn, Johnson ilk. I'd advise one of those three.

Jayden

Gibson

Scott

Hey Dex love your team. Do you think Beams is a better option than JPK? Did you consider another rookie in the midfield and perhaps Bont or Michell in your forward line I like Salem, but I think its a big ask at D3. Not tempted into Wells or Rich? Good luck.

Dex_

Cheers Scott.

No mid pricers in guts. Trap waiting to happen.

As for Beams vs JPK – both are guns. I feel Parker may go past JPK this year, and Beams will benefit having Rocky/Zorko and the like around him.
Don't feel like Bont can offer enough consistency for his price tag.
Mitchell is too risky, feel he is over-hyped, considering he hasn't played more than 10 games in a year.

Derek

A lot of people talking about not going with Gaz and hoping to get him later once his price drops.

This sounds a good idea until you realise that unless he has two stinker games to start the year, we are talking about saints & Melbourne, he will score 120 by just turning up. But say he does have a slow start and has a couple of sub 80 scores before returning to his regular 130+. Those two poor scores won’t affect his price until after round 3 and when they do they will be out of his 3 week rolling average by week 4…. So when do you expect to get him cheap?

I think there is less risk by picking him, if he does have a slow start to season and isn’t looking “right” but still plays, we have the first two weeks think about him and trade him out at NO loss of value. All we have is a few below average scores but no real harm to the bank balance, and IF we do think he isn’t going well and want trade him, we can pick up someone on the bubble to replace him

Kev

Great point, Derek. To further that Gaz is a bloody proud bloke and will not take the field and half ass it while his team mates do all work. Using Judd as a stepping stone is interesting, I feel it will leave a few coaches in two minds if Juddy comes out and goes bang, why trade him out? Not to mention there is always other problems that need to be dealt with (injuries, suspensions, spud blokes) before trading out a 100+ average player.

I like the structure of your team, Dex. Though there's a very real chance the SC Gods could strike and leave in a world of pain with sub affected scores. Wouldn't mind seeing a fwd/mid rookie swing in your mids (steele?) to go with lambert a bit of an insurance policy

Dee

Agreed! In my side…

Dee

Agreed!

throttlefinger

Put simply, the highest costing player should deliver. And he won't come near 130 ave for his first 5 games. Plus you'll be missing out on scores that could put you in line for the $50K.

Think there is no bad idea whether you have him in or not. Just a preference.

The Ranger

Spot on TF.
If you think he will drop in value and you can trade him in at a point where that is economically viable or even a bonus then go for it.
If you don't have a plan for that or don't believe he will drop value much or at all then start with him.
Simple matter of preference!

throttlefinger

Great point, Ranger. Whether you have him or not, you have to have a plan. Truly believe it's 50/50 whether he will deliver or not in the first 5 rounds.

Derek

To win 50k you need to have Ablett and for him to smash it from round 1. If he does, I can guarantee you, the SuperCoach winner for 2015 will have started with Garry Ablett Jnr in their team.

If he doesn’t smash it, there is still time to trade him out to a premium on the bubble before week 3, make cash, trade back Gaz once price drops, make heap of cash and only have lost 40-60 points. Won’t be far off pace.

throttlefinger

That's a big "if", Derek. I simply don't think he will.

And because I don't think he will, no reason to put him in. If he wasn't the most expensive player, your approach would make sense. But for me, I can use the money to make other lines stronger while making it fairly seamless to get him once he returns to form.

Again, matter of preference.

The Ranger

You're burning a trade Derek.
You should never be trading out a top eight player surely?

Derek

Good discussion. I love it

throttlefinger

These discussions are the best, aren't they Derek?!? And really helps keep your strategy and choices in check.

With Gaz and the weakarse back lines, think this could be a really interesting year.

Think the real work is after R1. Last year my in-game adjustments were really poor. Mostly because I didn't soundboard them off people like yourself for feedback. Needless to say, lesson learned.

Best of luck to you this season, my man.

The Ranger

Same same TF. If I have learnt anything from these pages it's to place a very high value on your trades. I've started strongly and fallen away three years running…aiming to break that run this year by using the vast amount of knowledge on offer here!
Best of luck Derek.

r2d2

Spot on

Jono

The Gaz dilemma, I've been toying with the idea of starting my team without the great man but I just can't do it.
I'm no expert but I seem to agree with Derek in picking Ablett. We are all assuming that he is going to produce average scores and drop in value to then pick him up later, in the process burning 1, most likely 2 trades. But at the same time giving other players maybe more credit than they deserve? We don't know that they will also produce average scores and then you'll be stuffed, too strapped for cash to bring gaz in your team.
At the same time , maybe not all players in your teams will fire which will also require a change up (another burn trade).
gaz will be a keeper. Thats one sure thing. In the thick of things, if he comes out and smashes the sc scores to pieces, your already 2 trades up on everybody else who hadnt picked him.

Chris

Also, as mentioned in a the Podcast, his TOG will surely be affected early rounds, this impacting his scores. Regardless whether he performs at 100%, without a preseason they take it lightly with him

seaford scouse

great discussion this 🙂

my own view is that he is greatness personified and until its proven he's below par or not picked round 1 then he will be in my starting team.

one thing I would recommend though is to use this pre round 1 luxury to 'trade' him out of your team adjust as best you can then 'trade' him back in. my other lines look much improved as a result of this and im pretty certain that this would not have been the case otherwise. good luck with your coin toss everyone!

Shady

Epic set up mate. Is there enough room in mid to have both Dom Tyson and ollie wines do you think

Dex_

Cheers Shady!

I'd say you's have one break out contender. feel Ollie is in a better team and will benefit.
Tyson is a Gun though, but i like Wines better.

@milesdeutscher

Since everyone seems to be sharing, i'd love your thoughts on my team. Changing constantly but pretty sure I'm getting close:

Shaw, Taylor, Newnes, Lumumba, Oxley, Saad (Hamling, Goddard)

Pendlebury, Fyfe, Selwood, Beams, Dangerfield, Newton, Cripps, Ellis-Yolmen (Heeney, Vandenberg, Miller)

Goldstein, Maric (O'Brien)

Gray, Bartel, Martin, Salem, Clark, Hogan (Daniel, Lambert).

Derek

The “front” 11, rucks and Fwds, I’m seeing in almost every team, maybe with dusty instead of Bartel. Even mids have a similar look, this year the battle ground is the Defence!

JoeWoolcock

Quite right Derek, in fact my 11 are pretty much identical to that as well!

Booma

Like it Dex, it’s balls out & only way to win the overall. Best of luck.

Dex_

Cheers Booma!

The Ranger

It's a beauty Dex. Some real clarity of vision there.
I'm loving that both you and Lek have stuck with GnR.
At one point I think I had five Mid pricers but I had a good word with myself after NAB 3 and have come back to the fold.
Best of luck for the season!

Dex_

Cheers Ranger.

Feel GnR is always the way to go. Too risky and easy to stagnate any other way

The Ranger

I think a lot of people are getting sucked into thinking a hybrid will work this season but I'm sticking fat with what's worked before.
Gotta aim high…

Lostlarrikin

Another nice GnR squad.
Quality Dex.
I has been toying with a 7 prem mid for a while but appeared too many mid rook cows avail to hold that structure. I see the merit and potential jump it can give you.
My main concern is Goodes, his js and cash generation potential. But hey u gotta hang em out somewhere.
Not a Judd fan but can’t begrudge the selection.
Good luck mate.

Timmy

Love Judd, one of my favourite players, but theres absolutely no chance he's going anywhere near my supercoach team. Not in his prime, we've seen the best of him. Awkward Price, best case scenario he'll make 20-30k, definitely won't be close to being a keeper, especially in the midfield. If he was available in def or fwd it'll be a different story but when you want midfield keepers to average at least 110+ can't see any sense in picking him. Just my opinion, happy to be proven wrong. (unlikely though)

Booma

Been flipping players in & out for weeks now, rooks subject to change (am anticipating a negative outcome for Bombers come Mar 31st). Any feedback Dex would be appreciated

Shaw, H. Gibson, J. Newnes, J.
Goodes, B. Dalgleish, L. McIntosh, K.
Edwards, S. Saad, A
MID
Fyfe, N. Sloane, R. Priddis, M.
Parker, L. Griffen, R. Wallis, M.
Cripps, P. Ellis-Yolmen, C
Heeney, I. Vandenberg, A. Miller, T
RUC
Mumford, S. Goldstein, T. Brooksby, K
FWD
Gray, R. Bartel, J. Bennell, H.
Salem, C. Clark, M. Tarrant, R
Daniel, C. Lambert, K

JoeWoolcock

Sorry mate, I'm no Dex! But liking POD picks in Priddis, Parker, Wallis and Bennell – they could really help in the leagues. Only real question mark would be Robbie Tarrant given other fwd rooks (e.g. Lamb, Lonie) but there's definite potential here.

Booma

Cheers mate

splinter

im sorry to say but the superocach community is delirious if they think chriss judd will avg anything more than 95.

throttlefinger

What stat makes you think that, Splinter?

splinter

on a steep decline in sc output, and injury concerns.

throttlefinger

You take that 6 score out and that's a 98 average. And true, he's older so more susceptible to injury (as Gaz showed last year). But I only need him for 5-6 rounds at least, 11 at most.

Also, Blues schedule doesn't get daunting until R8. Before that is Richmond (120 career ave), WCE, Dons (who probably be, um, lighter than usual), Pies, STK, Lions, and GWS.

For the money, I think he's gotta a better chance of earning cash than Stevens, Wells or Rich. But that's just my gut call.

splinter

i am never wrong

skate or die

i have a feeling Josh Kennedy from west coast can average 105 leading up to the byes, with WC easy first half of the season. Also, i can see Andrew Gaff will head into the byes on 115+.. can you guys tell me if i'm cuckoo?

medadsson

They are big big calls re Kennedy and Gaff. Both of their best averages have been around 90 mark. I just cant see too much improvement at WC this year given loss of McKenzie and absence of Darling on top of last years retirements. Hope I am wrong but I don't see WC winning more than 5 or 6 up to the bye round. I wouldn't call you cuckoo, just very optimistic, which is a good place to be 🙂 but they are no's from me.