Community it’s well known that I obsess about fantasy football. I analyse trends, look for patterns and probably read into things a little too much.
This off-season has been my biggest, I started writing for Jock, talking to all of you and most importantly I didn’t stop watching footy.
It’s all well and good to look at numbers and trends but when it comes down to it you’ve got to WATCH footy, you need to SEE what is happening before you on the ground NOT just on the stats sheet.
Every player in my team has been analysed and had to pass a series of rigorous tests. Some players who I had absolutely locked in have had to be sacrificed for the greater good of my team and that’s a lesson I’ve taken away from all this, sometimes we just need to let go of what we hold dearest to us.
Lekdog’s Puppies 2015
My structure: Guns and Rookies
Going into this year I was absolutely set on not picking a Guns and Rookies team. But as my team has evolved and players have been dropped and picked up my team has clearly taken the shape of a Guns and Rookies team.
I am a believer community, I know that there is only one true god in Gary Ablett Junior, but here I am having not selected him for the first time since I began my path down the Supercoach road. But Gaz will forgive me, he will forgive my ways and I will offer Chris Judd as tribute to appease him. If Judd is not enough for our Lord then I will offer Cripps and Newton instead.
Lekdog’s my name but proven premiums are my game. Judd, Griffen and Dane Swan are in my team for one thing and one thing only, to produce points as fallen premiums. I believe every single one of these players will vastly increase on their 2014 average and if they do so my reward will be bringing Gary Ablett in to an already pumping side. Throw in proven premiums like Jimmy Bartel and Joel Selwood and now we’ve got something cooking. Bartel was called too old at the beginning of this year but as they say, “form is temporary, class is forever”.
My bolters include Dayne Beams, Luke Parker, Christian Salem and Jack Newnees. Once again I expect all of these players to increase on their 2014 averages. I believe that Newnes will be a top 8 defender and that Beams and Parker will both be top 10 midfielders.
Cash generation is also important for me, because I have not started Gaz or Fyfe I must generate enough cash to bring them in as quickly as possible (before too much damage has been done). Newton and Cripps will do the bulk of the cash generation and I expect them both to increase by at least 300k come the bye rounds. Every other rookie (with the exception of Read) should also generate enough cash to justify their selections with Heeney, Ellis-Yolmen, Salem and Clark the clear standout candidates.
Robbie Gray gets his own section here. I never in a million years would have considered picking Gray, until I truly WATCHED him. All of last year I saw his numbers and shook them off but after spending a day just looking at him play Adelaide I realised that he is the real deal. If you haven’t considered him do so. His highlights don’t do him justice, you need to watch what he does in an entire game, do this and you will see fantasy greatness.
*Rookies are subject to selection
Selections of community debate:
Robert Murphy (DEF $475,700)
Murphy is my favourite selection this year, I locked him into my side in November. Murphy averaged 90.5 in his final ten games in 2014 and 104.8 in his final 5. With his newly appointed captaincy this man will play every week and give that extra 1% in every contest he enters. I have the cash to turn him into a 500k defender but I refuse to because I believe he will be my BEST selection for the year.
Shane Mumford (RUC $613,700)
This man has never left my side. He is fit, lost some weight and I am treating him as another midfielder. I expect midfielder scores from Mumford this year, I don’t mind forking out 600k for a man who will score 450 points in the first three rounds. Don’t mess around with you rucks.
Dayne Beams (MID $621,00) and Luke Parker (MID $583,000)
I expect both of these players to be top 10 midfielders this year. My research shows that beams should increase his average being at a new club and I am confident the tag won’t go to him. Luke Parker averaged 120.2 after his bye-round last year and I expect him to carry that momentum into this year. Will increase to a 600k+ player and will cement himself as a true premium performer this year.
What’s nagging me:
Like everyone who doesn’t have him, it’s not having Gary Ablett, but I believe my other selection will subsidise his points as well as make cash to allow for an early pickup of the great man. Dane Swan’s output worries me but most people have him so he basically cancels himself out.
Beyond that I have no real concerns, I’ve done the research and believe in my team.
Selecting a team is only half the battle, it’s what you do in the season that counts.
Have at it community, try an tear Lekdog’s Puppies apart!