The Bruyn Manoeuvre – Blokes I won’t touch
G’day community. John Bruyn here, coach of TheDimmaWits.
If you’ve been around this site for a while you’ll have seen and heard the odd snippet from me ever since TheDimmaWits took out the 2013 SuperCoach season.
So what brings me here today?
I won’t call it ‘giving back’ – but the fact is – this site, and those of you who participate in the discussion here, definitely contributed to my winning season. It’s because of this that I’ve decided to come on board at Jock Reynolds FC and contribute on a more regular basis.
How this will work and exactly what this (hopefully) weekly contribution is going to look like though is still being heavily debated at the Bungalow. So let us know what you’d like to see from me! Jump in the comments below or hit me up on twitter @imjohnb
To kick things off however, and to introduce myself to those of you who don’t know me, I’ve put together a bit of a ‘blokes I won’t be touching’ shortlist which includes a few names being tossed around SuperCoach circles. Of course, being so early in the piece, this list will change a whole bloody lot so I’ll promise to revise it closer to the real deal stuff kicking-off.
Righto, let’s get into it.
Welcome to ‘The Bruyn Manoeuvre’
BLOKES I WON’T TOUCH
$550k puts him way above my budget for a defender who’s last name doesn’t start with Goddard, Bartel or Deledio (those were the days eh?). Had a mortgage on Sydney’s half back line so I don’t expect to see him playing through the mids at the GCS. Post bye upgrade target 101 right here.
Would like his ceiling to be higher if I’m going to fork out $500k to start him. Getting older too which makes me wonder about his durability. Plenty of worse picks though that’s for sure. Does get the job done, no fuss, but just doesn’t entice me at his price.
A few will take him on the basis he may pick up some of Nick Malceski’s former output. In my opinion that role could fall to a number of blokes – McVeigh, Rampe or even Rohan. IMO Rampe is far from a sure thing too. Shaw though has been around long enough now that we shouldn’t be expecting an increase in output worth buying. Pass.
Never scored high enough at the Pies to be classed as a premium so I don’t see why we should assume things will change for him at the Dees. Classic ‘role change’ trap. Don’t be fooled by talk of him moving to the midfield! Buyer beware I say.
Until I hear Phil Walsh says “Brodie Smith will definitely play midfield this year” I’ll be looking for value elsewhere. Just do not see why Adelaide would move their newly minted AA half back from the role he played so effectively last year. 2nd in the comp for rebound 50’s isn’t output just anyone can provide. I’d rather select Kade Simpson in this price range.
A gun make no mistake about it. Had him last year from the start and boy did he pay me back. Truth is, I just don’t see him going higher amongst the other Sydney mids. I reckon he is priced close to his ceiling and would almost need a brownlow year to really improve his average. Better value is on offer in my opinion. Certainly won’t lose you money. Fell free to gloat to me on twitter when he wins the Brownlow.
I always say don’t let the byes dictate your starting squad but Gaz, Pendles and Fyfe is too many for me to swallow in one bye round. A hard one to bypass. Likely to go 115-120+…first sign of trouble in Pendlebury-town and this guy makes my team. Could be a reasonable POD….hrrm reconsidering this call already.
I am tempted by Tom. His round 11 bye is somewhat useful to me as well. Even though emerging teammates, like Macrae and Bontempelli, will receive increased attention Tom’s the big dog in the kennel. Struggled at times last year in games where Griffen didn’t play. If I’m paying $600k I want to know exactly what I’m buying. I would rather Danger or Cotchin.
Any Mid/Fwd players in my starting midfield.
That’s right, zero! Save them for your forward line people. Don’t fill a valuable mid slot with someone available on a different line – regardless of who is available this year as a forward. I always believe you will get the best bang for your buck from pure mids. Trade DPPs links into your side as the season progresses. If they didn’t get a guernsey in your FWD line to start with, are they really the best options for your Midfield?
Any of the young GWS gun mids
Likely to be a bottom 4 team and I think it’s extremely doubtful any of them can break the top 5 mids for 2015 = so I won’t be starting any. Why take the risk? I don’t see it.
Any $300-$500k mids
there is always someone who jumps out of the pack as the ‘one that got away’ but trust me, it ain’t gonna be the guy you (or I) start with! C-Money NAILED his Midpricers in Swallow (DEF) Parker and Gray (FWDs) last year. Did he pick Macrae (who crushed it) or Thomas (who didn’t) in the mids? Noooope. Keep Dale ‘2014 stepping stone’ Thomas in your mind…Daniel Rich will need to comeback with a BANG to really reward his selection.
Will be the first picked for some and I can see why. Who knows how Phil Walsh will change up Adelaide’s ball movement – got a lot of points as a link man in the middle last year. At present his price looms too large for TheDimmaWits this year.
If Warnock plays VFL round 1 then I will reconsider. As a forward? Biggggg pass.
Watch out if he strings games together because he is underpriced at $500k. Sadly, even though I’m a tigers fan and love the bloke, I don’t see him playing 20 games. Rucks will be crucial this year so if I’m not going cheap I want to have confidence my boy can go the journey. A better pick than Minson still I reckon. Prove me wrong Big Ivvy! Go Tiges.
Fully priced in my opinion. I think he’ll play a very similar role this year to last. Has never been a massive possession winner and without the odd 35+ disposal game his average should stay around the current mark. I’ll try get him cheap somewhere along the line.
Hasn’t given me any reason to give him a guernsey amongst the other available Mid/Fwd options. I’d rather go a more proven SC player. Might win you a league game here or there but I don’t think he’ll win you the $50k. Fools gold? I think so.
I don’t start fully priced forwards. Even a player of Franklin’s calibre is likely to give you the chance to pick him up cheaply during the year. Could be a nice POD to start the year with so certainly not a bad pick…but I’m gonna play it safer in the FWDs.
the new crows captain! He is at a similar price to Travis Cloke who exploded in the early rounds of 2013 – and was nearly responsible for me winning. If you have big enough kahunas this guy could do the same for you in early 2015. Let me know how you go. Pass for me, sorry Tex
Sorry JR, three years averaging 95 looks like a pattern to me. Fully priced with less upside then others is my call.
Before I head off community a few words of attempted inspiration.
If you see a bloke here that you’ve got locked away, don’t despair. Back yourself in if you’ve got that feeling in your guts – because right now, I’m just another SuperCoach addicted punter like yourself.
Don’t be fooled. I went into the 2013 season with absolutely zero intentions of winning the whole bloody comp – just the humble goal of doing as well as I could. If you are reading this, and already have your head in the SuperCoach game, you have as much chance of finishing no. 1 as anyone!
So at the end of the day, have a crack, do your best, and believe me don’t dump a bloke just because someone else has said so.
Let us know below which players you’ve got on on your ‘blokes I won’t be touching’ short list.
Cheers, until next time.