Supercoach 2015 – Dom Sheed
In the 2013 National Draft Dom Sheed was taken at pick eleven by his home state based club West Coast Eagles.
Having just torn up the National Championships with an average of 27.8 disposals per game, and having previously been judged the best player at the Under 18 Championships the young kid with the big future and body to match was expected to make an immediate impact at AFL level for a team that could use some injection of a big bodied youth.
However that impact did not eventuate predominately due to the fact he played only 10 games of which he was sub vest affected in six of them.Β So what was wrong? Personally I think Sheed suffered from being drafted to a team with a first year coach who did not offer much opportunity to his new draftees perhaps instead sticking with tried and true to avoid ridicule or deflect team woes.Β Simpson in a recent interview admitted to not giving kids enough of an opportunity but stated that would change in 2015.Β Does this translate to more TOG and less vests for Sheed, I expect it will and I expect that that extra TOG will be midfield time.
I often look for guys getting more TOG in their progression as that nearly always translates to more supercoach points.Β With Sheed being a contested ball winner and a great ball user I expect his numbers to soar from the paltry 39.9 average of 2014.
The upside is that his 6 vests means value in 2015.
2015 Price: | $214,500 |
2015 Position: | MID |
Games last season: | 10 (6 sub affected) |
Average last season: | 39.9 |
100+ Games last season: | 0 |
Sub 80 games last season: | 10 |
Price range last season: | $166K – $212K |
Missed games last season: | 0 through injury |
Significant history: | Larke Medalist 2013U/18 All Australian 2013U/18 WA MVP 2013U/18 WA Captain |
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If we exclude his sub affected scores his average rises to 52.25 still nothing fantastic.Β But, in some games he wasnβt sub affected he still only had 60% and 66% game time in two of those games.Β I expect that he will get up to 75%+ if given a good run at a midfield role.
RISK FACTOR
Unknown quantity from a second year player, therefore inconsistency in scoring but given his starting price I do not see too much downside or risk that would normally be associated with rookies such as the sub vest, Simpson knows Sheed wore it enough in 2014.
SELECTION PURPOSE
Rookie cash cow, I cannot see him doing a Wines in his second year especially because he is coming off a much lower base than Wines however an average of between 70-80 or beyond is not out of the question for this kid. For those thinking of picking NVB I personally think that the upside of Sheed is significantly higher Sheeds estimated minimum of between 70-80 which is the equivalent of the maximum for NVB makes him a better choice.
THE GOOD
- Likely to see more regular game time in 2015.
- Will be a POD
- Cash Cow
THE DOWNSIDE
- Unproven rookie in second year
- SomeΒ risk of sub vest
THE VERDICT
Dom Sheed is a must watch come NAB challenge.Β His 2014 was a little underwhelming even in the games he played without being sub affected, looked a little unsure which wasnβt unlike all those around him with perhaps the exception of Brownlow.Β If he looks a bit more confident and is getting his hands on the pill I would have no hesitation in selecting him.Β I would definitely take him over NVB.Β Whilst I would love to get the splinters out of my arse and jump off the fence I cannot especially with the likes of Cripps and Brayshaw at a similar price.
WATCH
What’s your call on Dom Sheed in 2015?
General Soreness
Twitter: @GenSorenessSC
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Not much to disagree with, General. Rated him high last year but disappointed it didn't seem to pan out, especially given the decimated midfield. You're right about the new coach. Rated him highly from watching last preseason. This season will be watching even closer yet it's hard to see him vest-free with the midfield being healthy. Will keep the peepers on him to see if from takes noticeable rise. Rawkin' review as always, General.
Cheers Throtts, I see him as a massive POD atm but if he has a solid NAB Challenge he may not stay that way, looking at him, Cripps, Salem. Lots talking up Biggs but I haven’t looked into him yet so cannot pass comment.
I've been seeing Biggs in a lot of teams, yet having read anything that would make me consider him just yet. Lot of speculations.
If you had to rate your top 5 $200K and under mids, who would they be?
Cripps, Freeman, Boekhorst, Morabito and Sheed would probably be on my most likely to make R1 list. (not all of them…just who I'm considering the most). Connor Blakely is firmly locked as my M11.
Very tough of those I reckon will get lots of game time Freeman, Boekhorst, Cripps, Salem, Sheed, Acres, Templeton. I know that’s more than 5 π Special mention unknown game time Heeney, Steele, Anderson, Laverde, De Goey.
I think Steele has a decent shot at round 1 from all reports. See how it pans out preseason. All a guessing game until then and R1 selection.
I've been pumping Biggs up a bit. I saw his first couple for the Swans and he was xlnt.
He will walk straight into a bulldogs midfield that lost 3 regulars during the off season.
It's not just about having a good club PR person, sometimes there has to be a spot available before a bloke can get a game.
IMO after Hogan he's the most likely under 220k to get a game, cos Clark is broken again.
Has some nice numbers for only 3 games and playing for the Swans. Seems like a really nice fit for the Doggies. Well done again, my marsupial loving buddy.
Longmire has said Heeney will more than likely used down back as one of the options to cover loss of Malceski could see early season game time
As a certain abacus-loving, mother-foot-rubbing, Hyundai Excel-driving scholar would say, "Significant!"
Biggs averaged 33 disposals a game in the NEAFL last year. Second only to a bloke named Tom Mitchell.
Recorded 40+ twice and another 52 disposal game.
Good stuff GS,
I'm 50/50 on him, which isn't to do with him as a player, but more with how my midfield is currently structured, but I'd certainly be more inclined to pick up Sheed or someone like Salem than any of the uber-expensive rookie mids like Brayshaw or Petracca and if you're starting him, then he could be good. Not Dom Tyson good, but good enough.
Great point B. Taking a Hogan over a Mccartin is a lot easier to swallow given the js and price.
"Need to graze the field every week to become a cash cow." Sophocles.
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Cheers Barron, Mid field structures will be interesting this year I’m seeing a lot of NVB Rich combo’s which I am not a fan of when the likes of Salem as you mention, Cripps and Sheed are on the table similarly priced.
I have the same thoughts about Cripps from Carlton , O’Rourke and Anderson from Hawthorn, Zak Jones from Syd
Agree shezza, Cripps solid, I’m not sure about O’Riurke yet but Anderson could be a jet if given opportunity I am interested in what role Jones will play but may not be SC relevant.
o rourke rnd 1 pick 2 by gws could be the next miles/tyson if NAB numbers are good ill take a punt, Anderson also highly rated
Top review and great discussion lads. Great call on Sheeds definitely has to be watchlisted and I agree on picking him over NVB, heaps more upside.
Can't say I'm that keen on Biggs as a MID only. I know he put out some ridiculous numbers in the second tier, but so did Viv Michie (in a stronger comp) so buyer beware. Although Wombat does make a very relevant point about spots opening up in his side.
I'd prefer to bank on 2nd year players that were high draft picks. Hogan averaged 96 in the VFL 2 yrs ago so i think he will be solid. Cripps, Sheed, Broekhurst, Krakouer (with DPP) and Freeman would probably be my top5 mids. Not at all interested in Morabito, he has never been a big scorer. After his smashing review I'm very keen on Salem too. Not sure Laverde will be best 22, of course ASADA could change that dramatically though. Anderson is an interesting one, I reckon he could be quite the POD. I think he will get plenty of opportunities ala Langford in 2014.
Brilliant as always general. I’d pick him over vb as well. If there is a lack of rookies & my research behind the scenes indicates plenty of them in the mids & fwds then I’d rather a cheapie option. Nonetheless I’ll be keep big an eye on him. Love rookie reviews
Hi Guys have a query (off topic), just wondering what people think is a good number of players for the byes to start the year with as per the higginator? This is my 2nd year in (got hammered in the byes last year) and just wondering what a good set up is initially??
Hi Trab,You only score from your best 18 players during the byes. I don't take the byes into consideration at all when structuring my teams,. You have 9 weeks of injuries and suspensions before the byes start so I usually start trading about 3 weeks before the byes to ensure 18 on the field. With 3 trades p/round during byes you'd have to be very unlucky not to have 18 on the field.
Last year I started with 14 first bye players and didn't get any donuts during byes.
Thanks heaps boys!!
Cheers, General. West Coast midfield make-up in 2015 will be interesting to see. Plenty made of their lack of 'big-bodied' mids, together with an apparent lack of genuine pace and flexibility. Selwood, Yeo and Wellingham looking for a clear run with injuries; some good wraps on their latest batch of draftees; and talk of a few newer additions to the midfield rotations including Lecras & Darling (every preseason for the last few years), as well as Colledge (drafted as a KPF, but showing some promise in WAFL). Hopefully some somewhere in there some value can be found – I'll be watching preseason with interest!
is it to late to buy the mag?
Hi Billy have a look at the banner on the right???
Great article, I'm a big fan of Sheed. NVB was in my mids before i stumbled across Sheed and i think he'll have a better year, as far as scores go than NVB.
Cheers Lads