Supercoach Captains 2015 Preview – Part 2
O Captain! My Captain!- Part 2
Every bloody movie gets a sequel nowadays, so why sshouldn’t Supercoach articles?
Howdy folks, Barron Von Crow here and we’re here today with Part 2 of our Supercoach Captains preview. Last time we took a look at the best scorers Supercoach had to offer us in 2014, now in Part 2 we’re looking at the best of the rest.
These guys are still top notch Supercoach players to have in your sides, but how did they fare as Captain material last year? That’s what we’re here to find out. There’s a good chance these players won’t be one’s you can rely upon each and every week, but if you like to play the field, then this will be what you’ll need to know.
First up, we’re going to take a look at the 2014 Brownlow Medal Winner Matt Priddis.
Priddis had a slow start to 2014, only hitting his baseline once in Rd 8 (and he barely hit it with a score of 120). After the bye round Priddis put in some Brownlow worthy form however, hitting above the baseline in 50% of his games, while having a further 3 games where he scored 110-119. He was also a big scorer in the 2nd half of the year, with 71% of his above baseline games being way above the line with 5 of games of 130+ Supercoach Points.
Verdict: The slow start of the year would be a concern, but if he could have duplicated that 2nd half of the year form over the entire season he could be a very interesting prospect. 2014 was his 2nd best result in Supercoach however and he’ll be 30 by the time the 2015 season starts, so we probably can’t expect any major improvements from him that’d launch him to a “Set and Forget” option.
I may have reacted a few times to Rory Sloane the same way Bill Lawry reacted to Merv Hughes on those 12th Man tapes in 2014, but how did he look as a Supercoach Captain? Not bad, he spent a large portion of the year hovering above or just near the baseline of 120, but the biggest problem was those games where he scored between 100-110 of which he had 7, as well as a further 3 games below 100 Supercoach Points. Overall he had 9 games, or 41% above the baseline of 120, but only 44% of those games were well above the baseline with scores of 130+.
Verdict: He’s still young and there’s room to improve, but Sloane is a hard one to gauge. If he improves again he could almost be a “Set and Forget” option if you want to play it safe and take scores that hit near the baseline most weeks, but you only had an 18% chance of getting a really massive score of 130+ out of him last year if you used him as a week to week option. Still has worth as a midfielder pick, but you’d likely look elsewhere for your Supercoach Captain.
Well, that certainly looks like a graph of Supercoach suckage! At least if it came to picking your Captain. Danger only hit above the baseline in 4 games last year, though 3 of those were scores above 150, including a 2014 competition high of 192 in Round 5 (so congrats if anyone picked him in that game!). Over 54% of his games last year were with scores below 100 points, so you had a better chance of completely missing everything than hitting it for 6 if you used him as a week to week pick in 2014.
Verdict: I do think he’ll be better in 2015 (biased maybe!), but Danger has never been one you could think about as a “Set and Forget” option. He’s even a risky week by week pick, but if you nail it than you’d likely be really pleased with the result. Play the matchups maybe, but probably you’d probably look at other options first, unless he’s playing GWS.
If there was a Most Improved Player award in the AFL than I think Gray would have won it in 2014. Gray scored above the baseline in 9 of his 22 games, but 5 of those scores came in the last 6 weeks of the 2014 season. He also showed some nice big scoring potential, hitting above 130 Supercoach in 55% of his above baseline games. The biggest downside to Gray was he had 7 games where he scored below 100 Supercoach Points.
Verdict: If last years form repeats itself than you’d almost have the same chance of hitting a below 100 score as you would a score of 120+ from Gray. That’d eliminate him from becoming a “Set and Forget” option, but there isn’t any reason you couldn’t use him as a week by week choice if you’re willing to take the risk.
The new kid on the block for the Swans, Parker scored above the baseline in 7 of his 22 games last season, though 6 of those scores came in the final 10 rounds. He didn’t display any outrageous scoring potential with only 3 games above 130, but at only 22 years of age, he does display the potential to have a Pendlebury like scoring graph in 2015.
Verdict: 7 games below 100 would usually be unacceptable, but if he can continue to improve and add some more scoring punch to his Supercoach game I think we could be looking at him as a safety pick during the 2015 season. But let us not forget Parkers teammate…
Josh P. Kennedy
JPK was a fairly solid Captain pick before the Swans hit the bye round, scoring above the baseline in 5 of his first 9 games, with 4 of those being above 130 and 2 being above 150. Kennedy struggled a bit after the bye rounds however, only hitting above the baseline a further 3 times, it’s probably no coincidence that Parkers graph started to rise while JPK’s started to fall a bit.
Verdict: The question is now, which JPK performance can we look forward to in 2015? The 1st half Kennedy where he was averaging 124 Supercoach Points until the bye round or the JPK who averaged 113 over his next 11 games? If it’s the latter than we’d probably look elsewhere for our Captain pick most weeks.
Maybe one of the more underrated Captain options in 2014, Ward scored above the baseline in 11 of his 20 games, while scoring above 130 in just over 54% of his above baseline games. He likely could have scored even more if he didn’t get a concussion in Round 4, which slowed him down for the next fortnight or so. He also had a late season fadeout with two scores below 100, which up until that point he’d only had 1 game of if you don’t count Round 4 -5 where he was dealing with concussions.
Verdict: The potential is obvious, with a bit more consistency than he could very well have been a “Set and Forget” Captain in 2014.The issue now becomes with the addition of Griffen and the continued development of young GWS midfielders like Shiel, Treloar and Greene, can Ward keep up the same sort of pace in 2015?
Mumford started off the year HUGE, with scores of 132, 158 and 164 before injuring his knee. That obviously took some life out of his early season form, only hitting above the baseline 3 times in his next in his next 14 games, though he did score 150+ in 2 of those. He went above 150 in 66% of the games he scored above the baseline, when Mumford goes off, he really goes off with a bang.
Verdict: The potential is there and if you look at the teams he went large against (Sydney, St Kilda, Melbourne, Brisbane, Carlton and Collingwood) it probably shows an easy trend (ie teams that don’t have great ruckman) to follow that’d make him an week by week pick. We must also consider how the new rules will benefit a ruckman like Mumford, which means he’s not the only big man who comes into contention…
Jacobs scored above the baseline in 10 of his 22 games last season, while also having a further 6 games where he scored 110-119 Supercoach Points. He also had 4 games below 100 Supercoach Points in 2014, which was only 18%of his games, compared to 29% from Shane Mumford. He also had 2 games above 160 Supercoach Points to his name too.
Verdict: If the new ruck rules favour Jacobs and push his scoring up (Jacobs led the league in Hitouts to Advantage last year) and he takes those 6 games where he scored 110-119 and pushes them above the baseline we’re looking at a guy who could potential hit above the 120 Supercoach Point baseline 14-16+ times next year if his form holds up. He won’t have the huge scoring potential that Mumford or some of the other midfielders display, but that sort of scoring consistency would turn him into a safe “Set and Forget” Captain option for 2015.
Maybe the forgotten man in the Pies midfield, the Pies might rely upon Sidebum even more in 2015 with the loss of Beams and Ball. Sidebottom had a career year Supercoach wise in 2014 and 7 of his 19 games where above the 120 Point baseline, with another 12 games below the baseline, 5 of which where below 100 Supercoach Points total.
Verdict: Sidebottom had another 7 games where he scored between 100-115 Supercoach Points, if he takes on a larger role again in 2015; these are the sorts of games where we’d be looking for him to push above the baseline. If you got 12-14 games above the baseline for him, that wouldn’t be too bad. The question is will that happen though? I’m not so sure of it myself.