Supercoach 2015 – Brendan Whitecross
The game of Australian Rules Football is a tough sport on many fronts and injuries have claimed their fair share of greats and potential greats.
It is also a bloody cruel mistress for those that love the game as the injuries can strike at the most inopportune times.
There are not too many guys running around at the moment that are more familiar with the cruelty of their mistress than Brendan “Swiss” Whitecross. In the 2012 Qualifying Final against Collingwood, Swiss ruptured his ACL in his right knee. In 2013 in an Elimination Final against Geelong he went all Brittany Spears and did it again.
He did not return at all in 2014 Hawthorn taking a very risk free approach.
So this means that poor old Brendan Whitecross (probably should have been named more aptly Red Cross) has missed all three consecutive grand finals the Hawks have played in.
So what is 2015 going to bring?
Supercoach-wise here are the hard numbers.
|2015 Price:||$198,700 (significant discount from 2014 open price)|
|Games last season:||Zip, Zilch, Nada|
|Average last season:||0|
|100+ Games last season:||0|
|Sub 80 games last season:||0|
|Price range last season:||$332K|
|Missed games last season:||Every single one after rupturing the anterior cruciate in his right knee for the second time in the preliminary final against Geelong.|
|Significant history:||Averaged 84.7 in 2012, 69.2 in 2011|
So we have an unlucky bastard who hasn’t played since September 2013, returning from his second ACL in as many years into the back to back premiership side but is priced at a significant supercoach discount price to average 36.6.
It is so mouth wateringly tantalising you feel compelled to pick him in your starting side, yes?
DON’T! NOT YET.
The lure here is the potential value. And don’t get me wrong there is plenty of value, subject to two very big IF’S, if he plays weekly as part of the Hawks best 22 and if he stays injury free.
I’m more confident he is likely to avoid injury than hold a spot in the Hawks best 22. There is plenty of underlying talent at the Hawks; Anderson, Woodward, Langford, the introduction of Truffle Frawley and the resistance of Showyourknackers, to name but a few of the issues facing Swiss.
Given his height and weight I can see Swiss playing stop gap roles as a forward against undersized defensive sides and as a defender where they have a large number of taller options. Likely to see him go in and out of the side and have his scores fluctuate accordingly, the only way we will know for sure is to pay close attention pre season.
Swiss was originally his nickname due to the Whitecross, after two ACL’s it probably is more apt describing his knees. Massive injury risk along with selection risk. However the selection risk can be discounted as it would be less than a first year rookie in many sides, therefore injury risk is the largest concern.
Simple, he is value. Priced to average 36.6. In his last two seasons he’s gone 69.2 and 84.7. If he’s playing each week he could be a significant cash cow, or better a keeper, 84.7 might be a solid D6 this year. He has never averaged that low, his lowest was 49.8 in his second season.
- Kicks over handballing
- Has(d) a devastatingly good kick
- High of 139
- Two knee reconstructions in two years
- May not be in the best 22
- When he stinks it up he does it big time lots of sub 30’s
- The high of 139 was round 18 of the 2012 season
- Rarely goes over 100 (10 in 84 games, 5 of those in 2012)
Value of this sort is very hard to ignore, however there is no value if he isn’t in the Hawks best 22. I have no doubt if he gets onto the park he will pump out SC value. I do have doubts that he will remain injury free or stay in the side as part of the best 22. May turn out to be Jed Bews frustrating. Therefore it is crucial to treat him like the rookie he is priced at and watch preseason to determine if he is seen as a best 22 performer and is providing value. He is not a lock by any means, as a $123K rook may prove mid to high 60’s and get the same price rise. Currently he has not made one of my 735 teams I have drafted since the Higginator was bestowed upon the community.
WATCH CLOSELY – I’M LEANING TOWARD NO!
What’s your call on Brendan Whitecross in 2015?
|This article has been penned by an elite Supercoach analyst hand picked from the talent pool of the Jock Reynolds Fantasy Footy Community. He has stood up within our community as a man of fantasy substance, and has displayed the spirit of togetherness, positivity and community that we value significantly.|