Supercoach 2015 – Brodie Smith
All-Australian Brodie Smith had a career best year in 2014 – but is that enough to make him fantasy footy relevant?
I’ll start by saying this community; he is definitely fantasy football relevant. We just have to determine at what point in the season he is going to be relevant.
In 2014 Smith played brilliantly and was honored with an induction into the All-Australian team averaging 93.5 Supercoach points.
Whilst he had a stellar year and was considered to be one of the best defenders in the competition, real life footy honors don’t always translate into fantasy footy. Nick Smith of the Sydney Swans is an example of this, as he was also named in the All-Australian team but only managed to average 70.85 for the season.
|Games last season:||22|
|Average last season:||93.5|
|100+ Games last season:||9|
|Sub 80 games last season:||8 (Three were scores of 78)|
|Price range last season:||$407K-$517K|
|Missed games last season:||0|
|Significant history:||All-Australian 2014
Drafted with pick 14 in 2010
Brodie Smith managed to get into the best 22 players in the real life competition but just barely scraped into the top 50 best Supercoach players at 49. Supercoach is a harsh mistress.
However I’m sure this disparity between Supercoach rank and All-Australian rank won’t get Smith down, as he has steadily increased his average from 50.1 in 2011 to 93.5 in 2014. This climb can be attributed to several things beyond just age. Smith has increased his average Rebound 50’s to 5 a game putting him at 4th in the competition for 2014. He also was ranked 2nd for Total Rebound 50’s behind Nick Malceski (who played 3 more games than Smith).
It’s not so much Brodie Smith’s number of R50’s he produces but rather the WAY he produces them, which gives him his Supercoach points. In 2014 Smith went at 78.2% disposal efficiency for the year meaning he didn’t turn it over much and subsequently meaning he scored well. To compliment his disposal efficiency Smith also favors kicks (at 13 per game) over handballs (9.5 per game) and as we know Supercoach loves kicks.
Smith is a 500k+ defender; if you jump on him too early you will lose money. Smith’s role may change slightly with a new coaching panel which may cause his scores to drop…I’m clutching at straws here, the bottom line is don’t buy a 500k defender.
If you select Smith in your starting lineup then you are banking on his output increasing to above 105 points per-game in 2015. It is the only way we can really justify such a pricey defender in the current Supercoach climate.
My suggestion is you target him after he has lost some value, either as an upgrade or a corrective trade.
- Averaged 93.5 for 2014
- Was good enough for All-Australian selection
- Solid defensive rebounder
- Kicks over handballing
- Is still only 22 and heading into his prime
- Is a shining light in a miserable looking year for the backline
- Durable, played 22 games in 2014
- Expensive, over 500k starting price
- Can have very low scoring games
Community I like Brodie Smith, a lot.
He played bloody well last year with high scores of 144, 138 and 133 but defenders are fickle and Smith matched his high scores with scores like his 32 in round 15. I honestly think that Smith could kick it up a notch this year if Adelaide’s new game plan allows him to keep rebounding out of the defensive 50. But 500k is too much for any defender in your starting lineup.
Smith’s price will drop, at which point we should jump on as our options in the back half will be limited in 2015…until then Smith is an upgrade target for a rookie or a downgrade target for an underperforming premium for me.
I think he is capable of taking his game up a notch in 2015 but that won’t come before a price dip, I’ll be watching him very closely through the early stages of the season waiting to jump on him.
My suggestion, wait to acquire Smith at a later date.
Let me know if you’ll be starting with Smith this year community.
|This article has been penned by an elite Supercoach analyst hand picked from the talent pool of the Jock Reynolds Fantasy Footy Community. He has stood up within our community as a man of fantasy substance, and has displayed the spirit of togetherness, positivity and community that we value significantly.|