Can he rise from the grave to feature in 2015?
It was mid-2013; I remember listening in to the community podcast and our father Jock Reynolds broke the news that Charlie Dixon had passed away. It was a sad day. Fast forward a year and it seemed as though he was still suffering the side-effects of his reported demise.
Charlie Dixon has been dubbed a few names in his time in the game – “Burnman” & “Weekend at Bernie’s” (I’m still yet to see that movie) being the most common. It’s safe to say that Charlie has dangled the carrot in front of many of us, only to yank it back and see us fall in the trap he has set.
2015 sees Charlie enter his 5th season at a prime 24 years of age. It’s safe to say though; he’s anything but “prime” – in terms of his body. In his first year, he played only 10 games, mostly form and fitness got in his way. From 2012 to 2014, “Burnman” Dixon missed 27 games – that is over a bloody season of games missed from injury. Not just one recurring injury mind you, he’s had: Ankle, Cheekbone, Concussion, Adductor, Calf, Thigh and Quad injuries…
Let’s strip all that back and delve into the nitty-gritty to work out “if” he is to get over his injury woes – is he worth a punt?
|Games last season:||14|
|Average last season:||67.6|
|100+ games last season:||2|
|Sub 80 games last season:||8|
|Price range last season:||$323K – $487K|
|Missed games last season:||8; RD 3-6 (adductor), 19/20 (Thigh/Ankle), 22/23 (Quad)|
|Significant history:||Averaged 90.5 in 2013
Hasn’t played more than 14 games in a season yet (Debut in 2011)
Charlie Dixon has been played predominately as a key forward / backup ruckman role, although for a few games in 2012, he was tried as a key defender. His numbers in 2014 suggest he played 3 of his 14 games with significant ruck time, but most of the time as a KPF. There’s also the real possibility of retaining the DPP RUCK/FWD link.
If the start of the 2013 season is anything to go on – Dixon has the potential to BEAST out. All reports suggest he had a full pre-season and started 2013 fit and firing. Leading up to his ankle injury in round 6; his 5 games yielded 4 tons and a 77 from 2 and a half quarters to average 115. Tasty!
As mentioned above, Dixon has missed a staggering 27 games from a possible 66, that’s a shade over 40% of his time has been spent on the sidelines. Another thing to take note of; 8 of the games he has played have been cut short because of injury. His season SC averages from 2012 have gone; 73.5, 90.5 & 67.6 SC points. For potential sake; let’s take out his injury affected games from each year and look at his averages, they’d read; 76.5, 97.6 & 88.1 SC points.
As you can see, 2014 was heavily impacted by injury. RD 1 saw him concussed, RD 2 he did his adductor, RD 16 a calf, RD 18 Thigh and RD 21 Quad.
Have a look at this table to see his breakdowns:
Another thing of note, 2015 sees massive change on the Gold Coast. McKenna lost his job because MaCaffer stuffed Ablett’s shoulder, which paved the way for Rocket Eade to make his mark on the Suns. Add an injury free (touch wood) pre-season to Dixon, and another year into the kids & his potential to go large – 2015 COULD be a significant one for Dixon.
Could go all shambling corpse and break apart on the field.
New coach marks an unknown factor – Could Dixon go key defender?
This is a tough one. His price is a little tricky – I’d say (if he’s fit) he’d be a starter or round 3 corrective with the aim to jump to an under-preforming premium or make cash bringing in a bubble boy.
- Of his fit games, he has gone 100+ in 30% of his games and 80+ in 61%.
- 69% DE average since 2012 is a good thing to have, and only averages 1.8 clangers a game!
- Spends time in ruck, averaging 7.7 hitouts a game since 2012.
- 67% of his disposals are contested. With an average 3.3 contested marks a game since 2012.
- Injuries. Missed 27 out of a possible 66 games due to injury.
Charlie “Weekend at Bernie’s” Dixon, providing the GCS can pull off a miracle and revive him with no injuries attached; might be a valid option. I see a fit Dixon averaging around 90-95, so at that price – he’s a steal, especially “if” he manages DPP. Admittedly, you’d need some serious testicular fortitude to select him.
I think you need to really watch him over the preseason to see if he’s over the injuries. He’s not an out and out no from me, but he’s definitely not a yes.
If you are happy with his preseason and think he can start strong, go for it. But I seriously worry about his durability.
For me though. It’s a no at this stage.
What do you reckon folks? Am I on the money or bonkers? I’d love to hear from you.
|This article has been penned by an elite Supercoach analyst hand picked from the talent pool of the Jock Reynolds Fantasy Footy Community. He has stood up within our community as a man of fantasy substance, and has displayed the spirit of togetherness, positivity and community that we value significantly.|