Supercoach 2015 – Mathew Kreuzer
Micky the Mad Irishman said it first; Kreuzer is a lock for 2015.
I agreed, in fact I was praying that Kreuzer didn’t get back on the park last year just so his 2015 starting prize would be unavoidably low.
Kreuzer was going to be the Jock Reynolds Community pick of the year this year, we could have taken the Supercoach world by storm and no one would have been able to stop us…that was until good old Mick Malthouse opened his gob and announced to the world that Kreuzer was here to play.
Micks not so secret boom recruit, could have been pick of the year but Malthouse has been parading around Lygon Street trumpeting the Kreuzer name for all to hear. And the Supercoach public has heard him loud and clear; expect Kreuzer to be in everyone’s team in round one.
The bloke hasn’t run in November during his senior footy career…ever, until this year at least. He’s out on the training track for pre-season for the first time in his seven-year career and from all reports is tearing it up.
Quite frankly it’s about time.
|Games last season:||1|
|Average last season:||69|
|100+ games last season:||0|
|Sub 80 games last season:||1|
|Price range last season:||$527,900K|
|Missed games last season:||Every game after RD1|
|Significant history:||High scores of 145, 144 and 140
Number one draft pick
As a Carlton fan I am finally as excited about this kid as I was back when I watched the Blues “not tank” the Kreuzer-Cup. As a Supercoach fanatic I am frothing at the thought of this bloke being in my team, he has scorned me in the past but not this year and here’s why. Kreuzer has finally got some feeling back into that gimp foot of his. It’s like Footloose all over again and he’s Kevin Bacon saving the day.
He’s going to be cheap and I mean really cheap, we are talking sub-400k. This can’t be ignored. On top of his price Kreuzer never leaves the ground, averaging around 90% Time On Ground for his career. This year will be no different. Mick has said he’ll be spending time up forward, now he isn’t a goal scorer so we can assume he’ll just be resting up forward between ruck stints and if he can kick a few that’s just the cherry on top that we need.
As Kreuzer essentially didn’t play last year it’s hard to appropriately discuss his potential output. Instead of hypothesizing about what he could average in 2015 I’m going to crack open the footy records and have a look at his past stats in great detail.
I’m going to basically ignore Kreuzer’s first four years in the system, during which his highest yearly average was 82, and focus on his last three years. During his last three years (including a solitary injury affected game in 2014) Kreuzer has played 38 games for the Blues. Amongst those 38 games Kreuzer has registered at least 25 hitouts in 17 games (close enough to 50% in my mind), in those 17 games Kreuzer has averaged a very impressive 108.5 Supercoach points with high scores of 140, 139 and 136. Now to go into even more depth if we remove the games in which players like Shaun Hampson scrubbed it up and shared the ruck role with Kreuzer his average jumps to a delicious 113 Supercoach points.
In the other 21 games since the start of the 2012 season where Kreuzer has had less than 25 hitouts he averaged a respectable 82 (including several injury/sub affected scores) and his possession count and goal count increased. During these games Kreuzer has registered high scores of 125, 116 and 113
This means that as the solo ruck in games where Carlton aren’t getting smashed Kreuzer averages 113 points, when sharing ruck duties he averages 108.5 points. Now clearly he is capable of some poor scores but he is also capable of some big scores. After finally getting a pre-season into him I think that he will have a solo ruck role for most of the season with Cameron Wood chipping in here and there, I do not think that Warnock will get a look in despite Malthouse once saying he was the best tap ruckman in the game.
Shared Ruck since 2012
● Average with <24 H/O = 82
● Average 25> H/O * = 108.5
Solo Ruck since 2012
● Average with 25> H/O = 113
The risks for Kreuzer are obvious, he’s injury prone and he might spend some ineffective time in the forward line. I honestly think he’s finally over his injury and should spend the majority of his game time around the ground as a solo ruckman.
Lock him in and forget about him for 11 weeks. By then he’ll either have given us a 110 average and be a keeper or he’ll average around 90 and have appreciated enough value for an upgrade at the byes.
- He just got married so he won’t be out and about all night, his Mrs will have him home early and well rested
- Too cheap to ignore
- Solid scorer (90’s plus)
- Micks love child
- Doesn’t tweet about the team
- Should be main ruckman for 2015
- Won’t be off the ground at any stage
- Injury prone (appears to be past that)
- Carlton don’t seem to be too fantasy relevant
- In his contract year
- Might spend a few ineffective quarters in the forward line
Lock him in. At his price, even his lowest averaging period since 2012 (82) is enough to appreciate value. More than that I think the big boy is finally over his injuries and could easily have a 105 average. I have to say it again, lock him in.
He’s already in my team; let me know what you guys think.
|This article has been penned by an elite Supercoach analyst hand picked from the talent pool of the Jock Reynolds Fantasy Footy Community. He has stood up within our community as a man of fantasy substance, and has displayed the spirit of togetherness, positivity and community that we value significantly.|