Will the injection of superstars steal his points?
Tom Rockliff was priced $591k to begin the 2014 season and many people thought he was too big a risk at that price. He was my third picked midfielder behind GAJ and Beams, and while he missed a few games, I was bloody chuffed to have started with him! I looked into his 2013 and was floored by his final 9 games, I’m sure many just looked at his overall season 2013 numbers…
The 2014 AFL season saw Tom Rockliff announce himself as a super-elite Supercoach option.
New coach Leppitsch put Rocky in the guts – where he belongs – instead of up forward where Voss put him in 2012 and parts of 2013. The result saw him finish the 2014 season with the second highest Supercoach average – behind Ablett. Looking over his stats, he was up on almost everything, but the standouts were; avg. disposals – 32.7 in 2013, up from 27.4 in 2013. Avg. tackles – 9.1 in 2014, up from 5.1 in 2013 (a 60% increase!) and clearances – avg. 6.4 in 2014, up from 4.6 in 2013.
When you look at his stats over the last 3 years, a majority of them have shown the same upward trend in growth. For three consecutive seasons his disposals have risen, as have contested possessions, marks, tackles & clearances. His Supercoach Ton ratio went 40.9% in 2012, 61.9% in 2013 and 83.3% in 2014. His sub 80 scores have dwindled in this time also; with 31.8% in 2012, 14.3% in 2013, and 5.6% in 2014. This is a clear trend indicating that Rockliff has taken that next step to Supercoach Elitehood.
|Games last season:||18|
|Average last season:||132|
|100+ games last season:||5|
|Sub 80 games last season:||1 (74)|
|Price range last season:||$583K – $711K|
|Missed games last season:||4; RD2 (suspended), RD10 (Gastro), RD17 (Suspended), RD23 (Officially listed as Illness, Pretty sure it was tonsillitis)|
|Significant history:||Averaged 109.7 in 2013
Averaged 97.3 in 2012
Averaged 113.6 in 2011
Suspended for 2 games; Striking & Rough Conduct
Drafted at pick 5 in the 2009 Pre-Season draft.
I can hear you saying “But what about when Rich, Redden and co return? Won’t that reduce his output?” – Maybe. Just have a look at this little table I have put together. This table has looked at Tom Rockliff’s Supercoach Scores from 2012-2014 and averaged his scores in the seasons he played with them.
Example – He played the 2012 and 2013 seasons with Black, his 2012-2013 season average was 103.5 points. In that time he averaged 94.59 when Black played and 103.58 when Black didn’t play.
This table has shown his numbers aren’t massively affected from these players. He went gang-busters in the back-end of 2014, that’s why his avg. post-Redden is so huge. He did get 3 150+ scores with Redden in the team in 2014. He only played in 1 match without Aish and got 158. My money is on Rocky maintaining the rage and going 120+ for 2015 – with the incoming talent he has to share the opposition attention with, he’s sure to get off the chain.
The simple fact is; Tom Rockliff is a beast. He missed 4 games in 2014 and still bettered his overall tackle count of 2013 by 55. 3 less games than 2013 and 55 MORE tackles! He went 40+ disposals 5 times. He had 10 or more contested possessions in all but 3 games. His disposal efficiency was a very tidy 67%, for such a contested player, is nothing to scoff at. He also registered 18 more clearances in 3 less games than 2013. Simply put, Rocky has arrived.
The return of midfield stars in Rich & Redden, add the inclusion of Beams and Christensen have some people worried that his output will diminish. Maybe, but I think he’ll still average 120+.
Set and forget Super-Elite premium & captain worthy scorer. You MUST go Rocky if you don’t go GAJ. If not, then he’s an upgrade target – either way – he must be in your round 23 team.
- Contested BEAST! Avg. 13.6 CP and 9.1 Tackles a game in 2014.
- High Disposal getter. Avg. 32.7 in 2014.
- Since 2012 Rocky has averaged 120 in wins, 106 in losses.
- Of his last 27 games; he has tonned up 24 times! 24 TIMES OUT OF 27!!!
- High ceiling, 10 150+ scores in last 3 years, high of 182.
- Durable, injury wise – missed 1 game in last 3 years (quad soreness).
- Prone to swing the arm and sit out a match or two.
- Plenty of star-power to share in the 3300 points on offer.
- Price. 710k (confirmed price $709,500) is a fair chink to part with.
I seriously can’t find much to fault with the Rocklobster. His numbers are sublime! He exploded in the back end of 2013 and maintained the rage for 2014 – so I’m tipping a continuation of this form into 2015.
For me though, his price dictates that it’ll be him or GAJ in my starting team – so sorry Rocky, GAJ wins. Although, if GAJ doesn’t come up or looks under-done come 2015 kick-off, then I’ll pick Rocky – but either way, he WILL be a feature in my team for 2015. The sooner I have the coin, the better!
NO to start – YES to upgrade
Do I have Rocks in my head? Or am I on the money?
|This article has been penned by an elite Supercoach analyst hand picked from the talent pool of the Jock Reynolds Fantasy Footy Community. He has stood up within our community as a man of fantasy substance, and has displayed the spirit of togetherness, positivity and community that we value significantly.|