Supercoach 2015 – Patrick Dangerfield
Raging Bull. Rodney. The People’s Captain.
Just some of the names bestowed upon this gun from Victoria who may end up being one of the greatest Adelaide players of all time.
Those close to the man himself refer to him as the Danger Mouse.
He’s the greatest..
Wherever there’s danger he’ll be there
He’s the ace..
He’s the strongest he’s the quickest he’s the best
And so on.
For those of you old enough to recall – these are the lyrics to the theme song of the prophetic animated series Danger Mouse from the early 80’s. Those not old enough I am sure you have already started googling before completing this sentence.
However, regardless of your age and understanding of the origins of Danger Mouse the cartoon series, Danger Mouse the man is an out and out jet, queue Danger Zone music…………..now the highway to the Danger Zone looks much like this…..
|Games last season:||22|
|Average last season:||105.6|
|100+ games last season:||10|
|Sub 80 games last season:||4 (all 73 or less)|
|Price range last season:||$478K – $626K|
|Missed games last season:||0|
|Significant history:||Averaged 118.9 in 2012, 112.9 in 2013
Missed only 2 games since the start of 2011 and a total of 8 games since the start of 2009
2 x All Australian (2012, 2013)
3 x Grand Final Sprint Winner
With his 2013 DPP status Danger Mouse was one of the first picked and locked into many teams early. 2015 may present a little differently though with it being highly likely that Danger will lose his DPP status and be a MID only option (confirmed). If this is the case he will be competing with 23 “pure” mids who had a higher supercoach average than Danger in 2014.
His drop in scoring from his previous two years is interesting, a cautionary reminder but is not yet alarming. Clearly the crows have had their issues in 2014 with their team performances which ultimately resulted in the sacking of their coach. Some pundits have suggested that Danger was part of this. Some have suggested he carried an injury during the season and in Round 18 against the Pies he looked to be gone with a knee but the bastard is as tough as old boots and pumped out 117 in that game and still had a 96 the following week.
His drop in scoring this year appears to be a predominately a function of an increased use of handball over kicking with a slight drop in his DE%. This can be ascribed to being tagged more, which would explain lift in contested footy, carrying a leg injury as per rumour or game plan affecting his run and carry. Regardless what is clear is that his 2014 are not that diverse from his 2012 stats and a 118.9 supercoach average.
Whatever the reason for his 2014 drop, I expect that Danger will be back in 110+ mode in 2015 with the Crows soft”ish” draw and change in coach resulting in supercoach joy. In that draw against the teams he plays twice since 2012 he averages, 104, 125.5, 109.33, 125.25 and 112 with highs of 141, 169, 134, 138, 133, this will account for 36.36 percent of all crows games in 2015 which if he maintains his average provides some lovely numbers.
Based on his history the only risk with Danger is not picking him perhaps because the supercoacher waited for the price to drop to pick him up. That worked this year, it won’t happen again. His first four games are against teams he goes at averages of 103.2, 106, 113.66 and 102.75 over the past three seasons with only one sub 80 score and 11 + 100 scores including four over 120 (one 152) from 16 starts, that is 100+ 68.75% of the time.
Plays Essendon in week 1 of the supercoach finals, he averages just 87 since 2012 against them with a high of 127 and a low of 63(2013), had a 71(2014).
Really struggling to find any other risks, history says he is tough and resilient missing so few games which is remarkable for a person who plays his style of game.
Indomitable as an M6-M8, could produce the goods like in 2012, 2013 where you would be happy having him in the M3-M5 range.
- Proven jet
- Can go extremely large 192, 187, 174, 173, 169 etc
- Contested beast
- Priced on 2014 which is below anticipated 2015 output
- Other than week 1 of supercoach finals averages since 2012 of 109.33 (week2), 125.5(week 3) and 112(grand final) with highs of 134, 138 and 133 respectively.
- May lose DPP (Confirmed – MID only)
- Will stink it up 2-3 games a season at sub 80
- Plays Essendon week 1 of supercoach finals (SC Average of 87 – his worst, high score of 127)
I originally wanted to do this article because my gut told me as a Mid only Danger may not be that relevant. Having reviewed Danger doing this article I have become certain that DPP or no DPP, he is a solid “round 1 and set and forget”.
What’s your call on Patrick “Danger Mouse” Dangerfield in 2015?
This article has been penned by an elite Supercoach analyst hand picked from the talent pool of the Jock Reynolds Fantasy Footy Community. He has stood up within our community as a man of fantasy substance, and has displayed the spirit of togetherness, positivity and community that we value significantly.