Supercoach 2015 – Nathan Freeman
“I am not a number….”
The 2013 number 10 draft pick and Collingwood’s second selection overall was one of only two top ten draft picks that did not play last season. The other was Collingwood’s first selection, number six overall in Matthew Scharenberg. The main difference between the two is that Scharenberg was drafted broken, Freeman was not until he tore his hammy in the preseason game against Geelong, and continued to re-injure and rehabilitate for the rest of the 2013 season.
His stats are largely irrelevant, but for the price. In 2014 we saw the introduction of loading on top 20 draft picks resulting in them having significantly higher prices than the remainder of the talent pool that were priced at $123K or lower. Freeman’s opening price was $172K. For 2015 it is predicted that he will open around $137K or lower (confirmed price $123,900), which means bargain basement price for a top 10 pick.
|Games last season:||Has not played|
|Average last season:||N/A|
|100+ games last season:||0|
|Sub 80 games last season:||0|
|Price range last season:||$172k|
|Missed games last season:||All of them (Injured hamstring preseason and then kept doing it, was fine toward the end of the season but did not risk him)|
|Significant history:||Pick 10, 2013 National Draft
Top 10 at draft combine for endurance (beep test), and #2 for sprint test.
If we have a look at those around him in the draft such as Kolodjashnij $197K starting price peaked at $397K round 12. Aish $187K starting price peaked at $374K round 9. McDonald $182K starting price and peaked at $349K round 20. I haven’t used Sheed or Salem as they did not get consistent game time or bother the supercoach scorers in terms of output.
Will Freeman be like Sheed or Salem getting adhoc game time, vest affected scores and therefore supercoach irrelevance? Possibly, that is why like most Rookies you should pop Freeman on a watchlist for the pre season to see where he is playing and what he is producing.
However I recommend you put him closer to the top of your watchlist especially with the imminent departure of Beams and the retirement of Ball. The kid is a contested ball winner averaging 10 per game with the Dragons, he not only has elite endurance finishing top 10 in the draft combine beep test but is also bloody quick, 2nd fastest in the sprint test at the combine meaning he can win the ball and break lines i.e. Juddy. He also is a goal kicking mid having 14 goals from 18 games in the TAC. At 183cm and 87kg’s he was ready to go last year but for his injury and the Pies midfield depth.
The main knock on the kid was his kicking efficiency (60% at TAC level) which I am informed is on the improve since arriving at Collingwood.
Those hamstrings are a cause for concern but given the slow risk free approach Collingwood adopted should see a solid preseason followed by a solid debut. Keep a watch on him any sign of hamstring injury preseason – put a line through him.
He is also a vest candidate, given his pace, endurance, contested ball style, goal kicking ability, he can fill a variety of roles regardless of whether required to take the field early or late in a match.
Discounted top shelf rookie. Do what you normally do with rookies, if he is playing round 1 with solid preseason, bring him and and ride the wave to nearest to its crest then BANG, upgrade to premo or trade for cash for later upgrade to premo. If not a round 1 prospect keep him on your watchlist for a downgrade target, barring injury.
- Top 10 rookie at a discount price
- Likely to get midfield time with the departures at Collingwood
- Kid can play, which is why he went first round.
- Contested ball winner at TAC level
- Those hammy’s (see Risk Factor)
- Poor kicking efficiency at TAC Level may not improve when the game goes up a notch or two at AFL level which may impact supercoach output
- Collingwood midfield, even with the retirement of Ball and imminent departure of Beams, midfield still has Swan, Dependles, Sidebottom with Williams, Thomas, Adams still in the midfield mix may make it tough for the rookie to get consistent game time
- Vest candidate with his pace, endurance and contested ball ways make him a perfect vest candidate.
I like what I see here with Freeman and his potential, however I suspect by the end of the preseason there will be others that will be just as impressive without the downside list. The key here is to put him on your watchlist and do just that, watch. If he gets injured preseason put a line through him, if Collingwood don’t rotate him through the midfield preseason put a line through him. Otherwise if those boxes are ticked it will come down to his vest risk and the amount of games he is expected to play and price will remain a consideration.
50/50 erring on NO
What’s your call on Nathan Freeman in 2015?
|THE 2015 SUPERCOACH OFF SEASON SERIES.
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