Will you cop another year like 2014 from Cotchin?
Trent bloody Cotchin. I know he is popular, and I know he has done well in the past, I know he has just won the Jack Dyer Medal for a third time for the club’s B&F, I know he spends too much time manicuring his hair to within an inch of its natural life but I think he lets you down too many times. Insert abuse here tiger fans but before you do, stick with me for a while.
In 2013 and 2014, you were able to buy him at a significant discount to his starting price. Perhaps that’s also the way to play Trent in 2015? Wait for the dip in price then snaffle him. Trent, whilst incredibly durable (he did play all 22 games in 2014, 2012 and 2011), is too inconsistent during the course of a season. He goes BIG when you don’t need him, and when you do need him, he goes bloody SMALL. I don’t know exactly what it is; he gets a lot of the pill (ranked 8th in the comp for total disposals) but I suspect it’s a combination of his disposal efficiency and lower contested possession numbers that lets him down in the world of Supercoach. An average of 102 is not enough to justify the ride for a prime midfield position in your team.
I know there will be plenty that start with him in 2015, he is in his prime Supercoach years aged 24 but I think wait for him to inevitably fall before you contemplate buying – look at his salary range for proof on just how cheap he can get. I suspect there will be better buys and better PODs for your starting team (ie. Jordan Lewis, Rory Sloane, Dyson Heppel, Brownlow Priddis to name but a few).
|Games last season:||22|
|Average last season:||101.68|
|100+ games last season:||9 (Highest score of 168 came after Lloydy publicly questioned his manhood)|
|Sub 80 games last season:||3 (Significantly he had 5 scores in the 80’s)|
|Price range last season:||$464k-$579k|
|Missed games last season:||0, Zero|
|Significant history:||Jack Dyer Medal winner 2014, 2012 and 2011
Captain of the club since 2013
Has averaged over 100 over the past 4 years (100, 116, 106 and 102)
Ranked 4th in the comp for Total Kicks
Ranked 5th in Total Frees for
Ranked 15th in total Contested Possessions
The Cotch has been in many a supercoach team for the past few years (including mine), and was in just under 20% of teams in 2014 underscoring his popularity. Cotchin’s durability is a huge fillip – a guy that stays on the park is guaranteed points, so this goes massively in his favour – it may save you a trade and may give you a score against an opponent who cops a donut, thus edges you in front in a tight fantasy football contest. However, I expect more of a prime midfielder than just turning up.
In a word – variability. Trent can go large but, as I’ve said, can also spud it up big style. Cotchin may win you a game when he goes large but he will undoubtedly cost you a game when he has a sub-100 night, which was 36% of games in 2014 (8 out of 22 in 2014). 36% fellow coaches – that is one in every three games where you can count on him not cracking the ton.
I wouldn’t start with Cotchin, but would look to selectively add him in should his form cause a price dip. If he is cheap to start with, I would not be afraid to use him as a stepping stone to an ultra-premium midfielder. I am sure some would select him from the start, and in that case, he would have to be a keeper for those teams.
- Durability – The Bouffant will play a lot of games as per his 2014, 2012 and 2011 seasons where he didn’t miss a game
- Primed to go large – Cotchin is 24 and has just won the club’s B&F for the third time
- Finds the footy – ranked 25th for average disposals (but boosted to be ranked 8th in total disposals due to his durability)
- Cotchin’s record against Top 8 teams is appalling – only twice breaking 100
- Can go missing in games – 8 scores of sub 90 is hard to stomach for a prime midfielder
- He lets you down when you need him the most!
I’m angry with you Trent. I’m angry with the man you are, and the man you think you are. You’ve burned me one too many times and cost me a grand final berth with your 65 against the Saints. For me, you are in the same basket as Higgins and Cyril. Stop focusing on the bloody hairdo and start focusing on using the pill wisely.
Perhaps the elimination final humiliation will spur him on, but you could have said that last year when they were also beaten by Carlton – he just doesn’t seem to want it enough for my liking. If only he had a bit of Ant Miles in him, the kid could be anything. With that said, I am sure Cotchin will come out and have a blinder in 2015 but he is not for me and will not feature in Chicko’s Chumps………..unless he gets crazy cheap – what can I say, I am a sucker for a bargain.
What’s your view on Cotchin in 2015?
|THE 2015 SUPERCOACH OFF SEASON SERIES.
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