Supercoach 2015 – Ryan Griffen
The captain always goes down with the ship.
Unless that Captain is Ryan Griffen.
What does it mean when your captain requests a trade to GWS? It means potential trouser bursting supercoach GOLD!
If he gets to GWS, I am predicting that you cannot win supercoach in 2015 if you do not start with Griffen who is likely to punch out the elite style numbers of 2013 given that he is surrounded by more young guns than Emilio Estevez.
Whilst his first year as captain of the Doggies 2014 was forgettable by Ryan Griffen standards knocking out a sub 100 point average of 98.7 after averaging over 106 for the past three seasons and a career best average of 116.4 in 2013 many expected much of the same in 2014. As fortune would have it, many supercoachers managed to avoid including him in their starting line ups due to his ongoing back tightness injury which forced him to miss round 1. Those that rolled the dice I am sure were left lamenting his form after paying the hefty opening price of $627,700 which by round 17 had dropped to $451,100.
The all important data shows:
|Games last season:||19|
|Average last season:||98.7|
|100+ games last season:||9|
|Sub 80 games last season:||5|
|Price range last season:||$451K – $627K|
|Missed games last season:||1 games round 1 (back tightness)1 game round 15 (back tightness)1 game round 17 (omitted but read back tightness)|
|Significant history:||Averaged 116.4 in 2013, 106 in 2012, 108.2 in 2011 and93.8 in 2010 from 20,20,21 & 22 games respectively.2013 All Australian2005 Rising Star nomineePriority Pick #3, 2004 National Draft|
Some may suggest that 2014 was the beginning of the end? So what do you do if you’re worried about the end being nigh? Request a trade to GWS, aim to get a big arsed contract and a be in a team full of youthful exuberance to rekindle that lost fire similar to those nasal sprays advertised after midnight.
It is clearly not if his last game was anything to go by pumping out a career high 189 against the might of GWS. He still managed to post 9 games of 100+, 4 of those coming in his last 6 games after missing round 17.
Clearly the back injury hampered his preseason and affected his season proper, having missed the NAB Challenge matches from early February with back tightness it appeared he was a week by week prospect until he was ruled out for round 1 before clearly being rushed back in underdone for round 2 pumping out a measly 63 followed up by a tear jerking 49 with only 11 and 12 touches respectively. It was this injury that forced him to miss round 15 and most likely the round 17 match also even though he was listed as an omission against the gold coast suns.
In 2014 he only had four games with 30 plus possessions compared with 11 in 2013 with his average possession dropping from 28.9 to 22.9 per game (6 possessions less, 3 of which were contested). This drop in average possessions is almost entirely due to his injury affected games 11, 12 and 14 touches to go with the Crowley’d 10.
Despite his injury in 2014 he has averaged more supercoach points per possession than in 2013 which, is remarkable considering.
Historically Griffen has averaged between 3.94 (2012) and 4.5 (2011) supercoach points per possession. So his 2013 and 2014 results of 4.02 and 4.31 respectively fall within his normal parameters.
So what can we take from this? For every additional possession we can expect and increase in his scoring to be in the vicinity of four supercoach points. He has averaged 22+ possession per game since 2009 and 24+ from 2011 – 2013. And for every 30+ possession game you can expect a score of 120+, he went 30+ 11 times in 2013 for 9 120+ scores, enough to burst even the strongest levi zipper and the 501’s don’t stand a chance.
So it is clear that whilst he was set back by injury which affected his averages he was still good enough to produce good supercoach output. So if we ignore his injury affected games of rounds 2, 3 & 14 he averaged 107.31 with an average disposal count of 24.
Now let’s factor in a move to a club housing the likes of ball getters such as Ward, Greene, Treloar, Shiel etc and the front of your Chino’s start to bulge without the need of your best pair of footy socks.
It is evident that with Griffen that for him to go 105+ he needs to average around 24 possessions per game. With an up and coming midfield at the Doggies or in any trade to GWS there is a risk that they may reduce his possession count and thus his supercoach output. Whilst this may appear to be a risk it may also be a massive positive and provide him with even greater possessions and output. Time will tell.
Age shall not weary them, Griffen will turn 29 next season and given the bout of back tightness last year there is some concern that there is an ever increasing injury risk. However history including last season shows that he is a resilient bugger who keeps turning up and pumping out 100+ supercoach scores with the odd trouser stretching 140+ monster.
At his expected starting price and scoring output bring him in and throw away the key. A potential strategy is to start him in your side instead of another premo at a higher price and look to swoop on overpriced premos (aka Rockliff) toward the bye rounds.
- Proven jet
- Starting price of an upcoming midfielder for a proven jet cannot be ignored.
- 105+ from 2011-2013
- Potential for injury and/or team mates to affect his scoring output
- Everyone will have him
- Watch preseason with note if Doggies trade Will “Skinflute” Minson and any resultant effect on midfield output.
- Can drop in the odd stinker sub 70 score
Regardless of where he plays, Lock him in Eddie! Expect him to go 105+ again in 2015, proven jet at a discount.
What’s your call on Griffen in 2015?
|THE 2015 SUPERCOACH OFF SEASON SERIES.
This article has been penned by an elite Supercoach analyst hand picked from the talent pool of the Jock Reynolds Fantasy Footy Community. He has stood up within our community as a man of fantasy substance, and has displayed the spirit of togetherness, positivity and community that we value significantly.