Supercoach 2015 – Josh Caddy
There is a saying that you can lead a horse to water but you can’t make it drink! 2014 was the year, the General is the horse and the weight of numbers in the community made me drink! Those in the community would be well aware that I would tell anyone thinking of Caddy to stay away from this false idol. I wasn’t rapt in the kid who at AFL level had very average disposal and appeared to be an only slightly better than average locater of the pill. In hindsight it would have been a nice early POD to not select Caddy.
One little sip from the Caddy cup left a bitter taste in my mouth that could not be washed away despite the best efforts from the crowd at Austin Nichols. Caddy was proving for many to be the burnman of 2014.
Starting the season with 81, 73, 53, 24 he then had the audacity to break his foot at training consigning him to a 9 week holiday. Returning with a couple of vest affected games Caddy then went onto pump out the next 8 games at an average of 97.5 including 3 scores above 100 (112, 121, 140). It also includes a sub affected 50 when he came on in the final term knocking out 8 touches, 1 goal and 5 tackles. Removing this score his average improves to 104.2. He was disappointing from a supercoach score perspective in the finals loss to Hawthorn but was outstanding in the loss to North racking up another 121 point game.
All averages below exclude 2 finals.
|Games last season:||14|
|Average last season:||77.1|
|100+ games last season:||3 (not including finals 1 @ 121)|
|Sub 80 games last season:||6 (not including finals 1 @ 48) (4 of 6 starting in the green vest).|
|Price range last season:||$245K – $423K|
|Missed games last season:||9 games rounds 5-13 with a broken foot|
|Significant history:||Averaged 77.1 in 2014, 60.3 in 2013, 61.5 in 2012,
57.5 in 2011
Drafted at pick 1, 7 overall in the 2010 national draft
2010 All Australian U/18
2010 TAC Cup captain for Northern Knights
His start to the 2014 season may well be ignored for the following reasons:
- He did not have a full preseason at the start of 2014
- His captain kicked him in the head in Round 1
- The 24 points in round 4 was sub affected when he came on late in the third quarter
Whilst I remain of the opinion his disposal skills are not great they are vastly improved on what I had seen prior to his resumption late in 2014. Currently he doesn’t find the pill near enough to go premo averaging 16.7 per game in 2014. However four games were sub affected removing these his average was 19.7 still unders in my opinion especially given his disposal efficiency. Interestingly in 4 or his last 5 games including the final he had 24, 24, 26 and 28.
His disposal efficiency has increased from 59.7% in 2013 to 68.9% in 2014 clearly they are improving his disposal at the cattery. I expect he will be starting alongside his captain at most bounces in 2015. For the record the captain went at 25.6 disposals per game at 76.2%.
He plays a contested style of game which may result in missing games through injury.
He has been inconsistent across his AFL career to date, only remedying that in the latter half of 2014. I have serious concerns about his ability to provide consistently high Supercoach output, without him tossing in the odd sub 80 and worse sub 60 scores thrown in. If those magicians at the cattery can get his disposal efficiency up even further and he finds a little more of the pill the scores will follow.
If he retains his DPP status he will be one of those prized genuine midfielders that you can pop into your forward line and is likely to be a solid pick at his price and potential output despite his risks. If he loses his DPP which is what I predict will occur, at the price and known output there will be better options to put into your midfield in the long term. Depending on your strategy he may be useful as a future upgrade option but again there will be better at the price (read: Ryan Griffen).
Contested ball winner and loves to cuddle the opposition which would ordinarily ensure elevated Supercoach point scoring in low possession games but…( – see downside).
- A major player in the midfield of a top 8 and usually top 4 side which doesn’t hurt when the “impact on game” weightings are applied.
- Can go large(ish) with scores of 121 (x2), 140 in 2014.
- If DPP will be a pure mid with forward eligibility = supercoach gold.
- Doesnt get the ball enough and with a poor disposal efficiency his potential scoring output is affected.
- Inconsistent history and when he crashes, he BURNS! 53 Rnd 2 2014, and 48 in QF 2014 for example.
- I predict he will lose his DPP status this year.
The potential ultimate burnman of 2014 turned into a gem in the latter half of the year after missing through injury. His 2015 may cement him as a burnman or prove that he has what it takes to deliver good verging on premo output. Watch his preseason with interest.
I expect his 2015 to be better but do not see a scoring average of 100+ in his future. I expect him to average 90-95 as a pure mid without the DPP status. If that’s the case” move along there is nothing to see here”. If DPP status is retained consider starting him in your forward line at the risk of taking some low scores but with the potential for him to go large on occasions.
I doubt he will make it into the General’s final side but then again, I’ve trotted down this road before.
Retain DPP – CONSIDER / YAY
NO DPP – NEIGH
What’s your call on Josh Caddy in 2015?
|THE 2015 SUPERCOACH OFF SEASON SERIES.
This article has been penned by an elite Supercoach analyst hand picked from the talent pool of the Jock Reynolds Fantasy Footy Community. He has stood up within our community as a man of fantasy substance, and has displayed the spirit of togetherness, positivity and community that we value significantly.Off season?