“Better than Simon Black at the Same Age”. Outperforming Robert Harvey.
Luke Power described Toby Greene as “Better than Simon Black at the same age” after bursting onto the scene in his first year in 2012, high praise for the GWS midfielder coming from a man that would know better than most. However it is not surprising given his history.
Greene averaged 24 touches in the National Championships and was selected in the All Australian under eighteen side.
He followed this up in this first year at AFL level where he amassed a higher average possession per game for a player of his age than any player in the modern era, beating a record held by Robert Harvey. In hard numbers he amassed 539 possessions at 28.4 per game. To put that in perspective Dependlebury this year had 596 at 28.4.
He was nominated for the NAB Rising Star award in Round 14 and would have won it but for a dubious 1 week holiday courtesy of the MRP for a rough conduct charge on Jed Adcock. He went on to come second behind Callan Ward for the Kevin Sheedy award (GWS B&F).
But like many players before him he also had a severe case of the second year blues. However unlike most his second year blues was brought on more by attracting closer attention from rival teams and being the recipient of a number of tags during the 2013 year.
The start of 2014 looked to be picking up from where 2013 ended, a floater bobbing down shit creek. That was before he decided to assault some senior citizens at a pub in Caulfield earning himself a Stevie J circa 2007 type holiday for five weeks plus a $5,000 fine.
Clearly an old bloke at that pub must have knocked some sense into the young bloke, after eking out a measly 63 in his return game he went BANG thereafter return averaging a whopping 128.5 over the last 7. That’s not including the NEAFL games where he racked up 40+ possies in the games after his ban ended and before coming back into the GWS team.
|Games last season:||15|
|Average last season:||102.9|
|100+ games last season:||7|
|Sub 80 games last season:||2|
|Price range last season:||$388k-$588k|
|Missed games last season:||7 games rounds 9 – 15 with club imposed vacation1 game round 6 suspension for striking|
|Significant history:||Averaged 73.2 in 2013, 94.6 in 2012 Second in club B&F behind Callan Ward in his first year 2012 Round 14 Rising Star Nomination 2012 before being ineligible 2012 Highest average possessions per game of any player of his age in the modern era Drafted round 1 at pick 11 in the 2011 national draft|
Over his career he is averaging 26.32 possies per game spread evenly between kicks and handballs with 10 of them on average contested, over 4 marks per game, over 3 tackles.
There is no doubt Greene knows how to get and use the pill. He is surrounded by likeminded friends. Having played 53 games in three years and missing less than a handful due to injury there is not a large injury risk.
He won’t come cheap – but premos do not come cheap. And make no mistake this kid is a premo. The risk here is you pay the premium price and end up getting midpricer output which may happen if he truly hasn’t learnt to work through a tag. And a tag affected his 2013 output. However this is a standard risk most of us Supercoach addicts live with at the beginning of each season. Notwithstanding this risk his career to date tells us that he has learnt to work through the tag and the likelihood of him producing regular scores sub 80 are low. Teams also have to choose whether to tag Greene, Treloar.. the list goes on.
Turned 21 the day before the years Grand Final. With another preseason under his belt expect him to pick up where he left off in 2014.
Bring him into your side and leave him there. Set and forget.
- Premium output but also expect premium price. However if he pumps out scores like he did toward the end of the 2014 season you would consider him cheap
- Has a big upside with a 161 and 141 last season to go with a 165 in 2012
- Lots of contested ball and a solid tackler which ensures his scores don’t bottom out in lower possession matches ala Libba.
- He will be a point of difference. Many will look elsewhere in this price range.
- He plays for GWS. There are a lot of kids around him all vying for the same spot
- His contested nature has resulted in a few holidays courtesy of the MRP. None of them ssignificant but will obviously affect your season if he has a holiday or two.
I am predicting a big year from the GWS midfielder. 110+ average is not beyond this guys capabilities and he has proven he can consistently deliver premium output with some big scores. At 110+ his starting price may prove cheap and whilst he may start as a solid POD he may not stay that way
YES – LOCK HIM IN EDDIE!
What’s your call on Toby Greene in 2015?
|THE 2015 SUPERCOACH OFF SEASON SERIES.
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