Flesh for Fantasy – Round 18
Another bleepin’ split round. The AFL just loves drawing everything out. SuperCoaches are gagging at the bit to play some finals, while many (myself included) just want this season to end. However, I have an inkling the AFL doesn’t really considered the interests of the JR Community when formulating the draw so we must push on.
The first week without Gaz was an empty one. I personally had forgotten how to change my captain, but we must continue to push on and strive for greatness. We do it for Jock and for ourselves.
GET HIM IN
Sam Mitchell (HAW) DEF/MID – $412,800 SC
- Next 5 Games: SYD (H), WBD (H), MELB (H), FRE (A), GEE (H)
- Recent Scores: 86, 96, 9, 76, 103
- Breakeven: 81
Brilliant in his second game back from injury, Sam Mitchell at $412,800 is definitely worth considering if you’re in need of a cheap defender. 28 touches and 7 tackles in a hard working, battling performance shows me Sam has a bit left in the tank after a long lay off. He won’t score 110+ every week, but with the Dogs and Melbourne to come in a difficult period and given his price, I reckon Mitchell could be a solid pick up late in the season.
David Myers (ESS) MID – $428,000 SC
- Next 5 Games: WBD (A), SYD (A), RICH (A), WCE (H), GCS (H)
- Recent Scores: 83, 77, 85, 123, 100
- Breakeven: 34
Left field, and basically owned by no one, David Myers could be the bloke that helps you make and win a final. His last couple of weeks have been excellent and funny how it has coincided with Essendon’s last 2 performances. Bomber has sent him head to head with some of this season’s inform midfielders and while this may limit his scoring to some extent, the past two weeks have shown an ability to win his own ball and limit his opposition. He has a racking left foot and also hits targets better than most. Definitely worth a look at. POD.
Hamish McIntosh (GEE) RUCK – $437,300 SC
- Next 5 Games: GWS (A), NM (A), FRE (H), CARL (A), HAW (A)
- Recent Scores: 81, 65, 100, 144
- Breakeven: 13
Another risky one given he’s to come up against Mumford, Goldstein and Sandilands in his next 3, McIntosh presents another POD-type selection. Given he was up against Will Minson and Mark Jamar past 2 weeks, you’d expect him to dominate the ruck? Wrong. He lost to Minson 2 weeks ago and merely beat Jamar for tap outs. Where McIntosh won his points was around the ground. 20 touches and a goal v Melbourne and 17 touches v the Dogs. Cheap ruck option if you’re in need of one.
GET HIM OUT
Matthew Jaesnch (ADEL) DEF – $396,200 SC
- Next 5 Games: COLL (A), WCE (H), BRIS (A), RICH (H), NM (A)
- Recent Scores: 38, 70, 92, 58, 103, 78
- Breakeven: 57
If you haven’t dumped him already, now is the time to do so while Sam Mitchell is cheap. You won’t win a final with a bloke who is just not pumping out consistent scores. Not much analysis needed when you look at his scores – 38 one week, 70 next, 92 the following, then backs it up with a 58. Been like this since his return from injury and while I would usually say it’s going to be tough to move him on at that price, if you can muster up a spare$17k, you can move him on to Mitchell.
Dane Swan (COLL) MID – $429,100 SC
- Next 5 Games: ADEL (H), PORT (H), WCE (A), BRIS (H), GWS (A)
- Recent Scores: 76, 90, 90, 70, 68
- Breakeven: 120
Dane looks shot. Once the Ned Stark to Robert Baratheon (Gary Ablett, King), Swan just looks like someone really struggling with form and injuries. Bucks playing him more as a high half forward, which tells you Bucks doesn’t have the confidence in Dane. That 68 from Dane on the weekend has to be one of his lowest scores ever. Telling from someone playing in a side that really need to step it up a gear now. Wouldn’t surprise me if he were rested at some point in the run home because I just don’t think Collingwood can drag him along in a time where they need 22 blokes firing to make the 8. Dump him.
Here the key break-even scores to keep in mind heading into round 18:
- Patrick Dangerfield (ADEL) 73 BE
- Sam Mitchell (HAW) 81 BE
- Steven Motlop (GEE) 27 BE
- Steve Johnson (GEE) 67 BE
- Brent Harvey (NM) 90 BE
- Todd Goldstein (NM) 77 BE
- Luke Dahlhaus (WBD) 59 BE
- Luke Parker (SYD) 64 BE
- Marc Murphy (CARL) 64 BE
- Anthony Miles (RICH) 67 BE
- Hamish Hartlett (RICH) 40 BE
- Sam Jacobs (ADEL) 161 BE
- Jimmy Bartel (GEE) 153 BE
- Pearce Hanley (BRIS) 144 BE
- Matthew Priddis (WCE) 123 BE
- Josh P Kennedy (SYD) 141 BE
- Lance Franklin (SYD) 144 BE
- Dustin Martin (RICH) 130 BE
- Dyson Heppell (ESS) 114 BE
- Dayne Beams (COLL) 124 BE
- Scott Pendlebury (COLL) 151 BE
- Dane Swan (COLL) 120 BE
- Nathan Fyfe (FRE) 139 BE
- David Mundy (FRE) 125 BE
- Aaron Sandilands (FRE) 136 BE
- Paul Duffield (FRE) 146 BE
Here are this week’s burning questions:
ANSWER: Hmmmm, good question. I think Hanley should be kept purely on his ceiling. While his consistency may be questioned, you can’t fault fact on his day he is a 150+ scorer. David Swallow is another one in pretty good knick, so I reckon Hibberd by process of elimination, and the fact he just hasn’t scored nearly as well as he did at the start of the year – very little scores of 100+.
ANSWER: On form, those two are definitely the ones to go in with RIGHT NOW. However, most will still go in with Sandilands and while having him at R2 and Goldstein/Sauce at R1 is safe, I think to really be knee deep in finals, you may need to consider dumping Sandi. He is in a rut of sorts, and I base this on the fact he is no longer a walk up 100+. If you can get someone like Goldstein/Sauce in who look likely to score 100+, you’ll hold yourself in much better stead to go deep.
ANSWER: Almost a six to one-type question. Both not giving anywhere near the output they can. Both at same price and both pumping out similar scores. Purely because he is a midfielder and has the greater potential to score, I’m going to say dump Tex before Wingard. However, you should definitely make a play to trade out Wingard soon too.
ANSWER: Depends. How gutsy are you? Safety Crim would keep that one trade in case someone goes down – which I guarantee will happen the General arrives in a few weeks time. However, I think Shenton needs to be moved on and Boomer is in outrageous form. Personally, I would hold that trade, but if you decide not to, enjoy the big scores from Boomer.
Good luck this weekend community
Feast Your Eyes On What’s Offered This Week: