Flesh for Fantasy – Round 16
4 weeks to go and it looks like the players are going up a gear. What an amazing round of scoring. Given all the late outs and failures, it was a good round to regenerate hope and motivation for the pointy end of the season.
If you’re not close to full strength team I reckon you may need to get a wiggle on. Most of the best SuperCoach sides are set now and basically tinkering with the odd trade in readiness for the assault on the overall win, or the premiership.
So, let’s begin.
GET HIM IN
Mitch Duncan (GEE) MID – $494,800 SC
- Next 5 Games: WBD (H), MELB (A), GWS (A), NM (A), FRE (H)
- Recent Scores: 95, 86, 52, 136, 100, 105
- Breakeven: 89
There are two reasons why I’ve thrown up Mitch Duncan as an option: 1) His form, and 2) His next run of games. Western Bulldogs, Melbourne and GWS. Good opportunity to go big, his 136 came against St Kilda. He’s had a SuperCoach-type game last 3 weeks, kicking goals and getting 20+ touches. While Geelong have been somewhat heading their head above water in the race for top 4, now gives the Cats a good opportunity to put the foot on the peddle against these lower sides and finding some form. Reckon Mitch may be a beneficiary to that and definitely worth a look in.
Paul Duffield (FRE) DEF – $523,400 SC
- Next 5 Games: MELB (A), GWS (H), STK (A), CARL (H), GEE (A)
- Recent Scores: 109, 130, 102, 114, 132
- Breakeven: 65
Coincidence or not, but Fremantle’s run of form late has coincided with the form of Paul Duffield, who has been finding plenty of it recently. On the weekend v West Coast, he amassed 30 touches and clunked 9 marks. He has been playing as the loose in defence and you can just see he is thriving in that role. Much like Duncan and Geelong, Fremantle’s run home is so good and may not be forced to play a lock down role for quite some weeks. Get on if needing a defender, $523,400 for a player who is scoring at will at the moment is value.
Steele Sidebottom (COLL) MID – $564,900 SC
- Next 5 Games: GCS (A), ESS (A), ADEL (H), PORT (H), WCE (A)
- Recent Scores: 138, 90, 72, 115, 101, 178
- Breakeven: 57
Owned by just 0.70% of teams, he is a touch on the pricey side, but his scores have been very good. Granted he has just come off a 3 week holiday, but to pump out 178 makes you take notice. If you look at the scores prior to that 138, he scored 155, 109 and 131. So that makes it 7 100+ scores in his past 9 games…and big 100s too. He is the type in a similar mould to Duncan – gets touches and scores goals, and while Collingwood’s run home isn’t all that kind, don’t forget how horrid their start to the season was. If you’ve got the $$$ to burn and need a POD, I reckon Steeley may be your man.
GET HIM OUT
Jimmy Webster (STK) DEF – $351,400 SC
- Next 5 Games: Out for season
- Recent Scores: –
- Breakeven: –
Many may still be stuck with Webster for reasons unknown, but now is your chance to trade him out. Out for the remainder of season.
Cyril Rioli (HAW) FWD – $441,200 SC
- Next 5 Games: Injured
- Recent Scores: –
- Breakeven: –
Like Webster, will miss the rest of the regular season. Many will probably say “c’mon Crim, no-one owns Cyril”, and why that may be true, until he has 0% ownership, someone does and it is my duty to inform those people to trade him out.
Michael Hibberd (ESS) DEF – $445,600 SC
- Next 5 Games: PORT (A), COLL (H), WBD (A), SYD (A), RICH (A)
- Recent Scores: 96, 83, 69, 105, 73
- Breakeven: 92
What to do, what to do. Besides that purple patch just after the start of the season, Hibberd has been quite ordinary. At certain points of the season he has battled injury and while 80/90+ scores aren’t toooo bad, they’re not good enough for the price we paid at the start of the year, and now. He was in double for last week’s loss to Geelong, but managed to get up for the game. So clearly he is carrying something at the moment. Given his price and the potential to trade in your Zak Jones’ and your Shane Kerstan’s, going Hibberd to Duffield or Pearce Hanley might not be the worst idea.
Here the key break-even scores to keep in mind heading into round 16:
- Luke Breust (HAW) 49 BE
- Gary Ablett Jr (GCS) 92 BE
- Harley Bennell (GCS) 64 BE
- Trent Cotchin (RICH) 34 BE
- Brett Deledio (RICH) 73 BE
- Anthony Miles (RICH) 9 BE
- Nathan Fyfe (FRE) 63 BE
- Paul Duffield (FRE) 65 BE
- Lance Franklin (SYD) 76 BE
- Stefan Martin (BRIS) -3 BE
- Pearce Hanley (BRIS) 94 BE
- Tom Rockliff (BRIS) 91
- Marcus Bontempelli (WBD) -6 BE
- Bernie Vince (MELB) 60
- Sam Jacobs (ADEL) 49 BE
- Travis Boak (PORT) 91 BE
- Jimmy Bartel (GEE) 130 BE
- Brendon Goddard (ESS) 125 BE
- David Zaharakis (ESS) 159
- Aaron Sandilands (FRE) 137 BE
- Kieren Jack (SYD) 126 BE
- Jarryd McVeigh (SYD) 126 BE
- Shane Mumford (GWS) 117 BE
- Callan Ward (GWS) 133 BE
- Brent Harvey (NM) 155 BE
- Tom Liberatore (WBD) 194 BE
- Dom Tyson (MELB) 105 BE
- Rory Sloane (ADEL) 131 BE
- Robbie Gray (PORT) 137 BE
- Hamish Hartlett (PORT) 144 BE
Here are this week’s burning questions
ANSWER: Excellent question. I think if you’ve got trades you have to get rid of him. This isn’t a 2-3 game slump, he hasn’t scored 100+ since ANZAC Day, nearly 10 weeks ago. Price is awkward, but not low enough that you can’t move to someone like Andrew Swallow or Mitch Duncan who are coming into form. Some tough games for Dane coming up, no GWS or Brisbane ‘till finals so it’s not worth holding onto him in hope he’ll come good. Dump now while he has currency.
ANSWER: At value he is nicely priced, but form wise, I’d stay well clear. Andrew Mackie at $450k isn’t too bad an option considering his form of late and Geelong’s next run of games. Also Corey Enright if you don’t have him. But I’d stay clear of Kade Simpson, and try get Langdon up to one of Hanley or Duffield.
ANSWER: Keeping Pav because I like Fremantle’s run home so he may be able to string a couple together. As for Wingard, I hate to say it given I suggested he was a trade in option, but we may have to dump him. Giving us nothing and doesn’t look like a player who is going to score big…which we’ll need come finals time.
Good luck this weekend community
Sit Down and Hang On For An Action Packed Week: