Flesh for Fantasy – Round 15
5 weeks ‘till finals. Gee times flies when you’re at the mercy of the SuperCoach gods. Weekend before it was Stevie J, last weekend it was Marc Murphy. Many will flying home with a tail breeze, while coaches like myself are being slaughtered by all these late changes and blokes in form becoming out of form moment you trade them in.
But this is why we love the game, and it was never meant to be easy – otherwise every man and his dog would be playing. We are a special group of people within our society, and I am here to preach guidance to the followers of his religion we call fantasy football.
Here is this week’s Flesh.
GET HIM IN
Levi Greenwood (NM) MID – $530,000 SC
- Next 5 Games: BRIS (A), HAW (H), STK (H), CARL (A), GEE (H)
- Recent Scores: 119, 137, 107, 101, 106, 134
- Breakeven: 74
Consistent. Last 6 games has produced 100+ scores and some great form that deserves recognition. He has played run with roles on some of the league’s best midfielders and more than held his own. 27 touches and 8 tackles on Gary Ablett, 32 touches and 1 goal on Patrick Dangerfield and 29 touches and 5 tackles on Trent Cotchin. Considering his price, Levi’s scores have been far more consistent than any valued higher. A nice run of games coming up, including Brisbane, St Kilda and Carlton, but that is almost irrelevant because he has shown to be able to run with the best and get the footy himself. An outside pick, but has shown more than enough to be a very good scorer in the run home.
Steven Motlop (GEE) FWD – $378,700 SC
- Next 5 Games: ESS (H), WBD (H), MELB (H), GWS (A), NM (A)
- Recent Scores: 61, 112, 105
- Breakeven: 7
At value, Motlop isthat player you can trade in if you have no money in the kitty. He is value. A solid 3 goals, 24 touches and 9 marks to back up his performance against St Kilda shows he may be in for a very solid run home. Much like Levi, has a very handy run home so plenty of opportunity to score big.
Heath Shaw (GWS) DEF – $501,700 SC
- Next 5 Games: SYD (A), ADEL (H), FRE (A), GEE (H), RICH (A)
- Recent Scores: 95, 127, 109, 116
- Breakeven: 72
After dipping as low as $438k, Heath Shaw has had a very handy last 4 weeks. Against Carlton Everitt originally tagged him, before playing off Daisy, and against Essendon was playing off Dell’Olio. He is starting to show that Collingwood form that went missing at the early stages of the season – running off forwards and getting 25+ touches while taking upwards of 8 marks a game. Granted, his next run of games won’t be quite as easy as the recent few, but if he can keep this up, at $501,700, he’s a bargain.
GET HIM OUT
Dom Tyson (MELB) MID – $419,600 SC
- Next 5 Games: WB (A), FRE (H), GEE (H), PORT (A), BRIS (H)
- Recent Scores: 95, 37, 92, 71
- Breakeven: 85
I think its’ time to move on Dom Tyson. Before you say “we got rid of him ages ago”, yeah no worries, but 50,000+ coaches still own him. His consistency is not there anymore. Mid-season he has getting 100+ weekly. Now its 30 one week, 90 the next. An awkward break even could see his price drop too. Dom also isn’t getting the footy as much as he once was, and given after the Western Bulldogs he plays 2 of the 3 competition’s inform teams. Move him on.
Tom Langdon (COLL) DEF– $370,100 SC
- Next 5 Games: CARL (H), GCS (A), ESS (A), ADEL (H), PORT (H)
- Recent Scores: 58, 88, 74, 79, 12
- Breakeven: 128
Expected to miss this week with concussion. Also not scoring as well as he did mid season should prompt a trade out. You could go up to a Heath Shaw or Paul Duffield if you’ve got the $$$. But if you don’t, Zak Jones from Sydney could be a viable option now that Rhyce Shaw is expected to miss some games. Also, if you’re playing Langdon off the bench, Mitch Brown from WCE could be another option too. Guaranteed to play and score every week, he is a safe option for under $200k if you just need someone on your bench who will score – plus you will make nearly $200,000 from the trade.
Rhyce Shaw (SYD) DEF – $422,700 SC
- Next 5 Games: GWS (H), WCE (A), CARL (H), HAW (A), ESS (H)
- Recent Scores: 118, 75, 107, 17
- Breakeven: 126
Here the key break-even scores to keep in mind heading into round 15:
- Dustin Martin (RICH) 71 BE
- Anthony Miles (RICH) -44 BE
- Lance Franklin (SYD) 33 BE
- Travis Cloke (COLL) 61 BE
- Harley Bennell (GCS) 57 BE
- Dion Prestia (GCS) 66 BE
- Steven Motlop (GEE) 7 BE
- Nathan Fyfe (FRE) 68 BE
- Brendon Goddard (ESS) 56 BE
- Shane Mumford (GWS) 66 BE
- Ryan Griffin (WBD) 133 BE
- Josh P Kennedy (SYD) 148 BE
- Kieren Jack (SYD) 153 BE
- Tom Liberatore (WBD) 134 BE
- Robbie Gray (PORT) 146
- JarrydRoughead (HAW) 145 BE
- Dayne Beams (COLL) 144 BE
- Joel Selwood (GEE) 125 BE
- Steve Johnson (GEE) 123 BE
- Tom Rockliff (BRIS) 134 BE
- Patrick Dangerfield (ADEL) 133 BE
- Callan Ward (GWS) 123 BE
- Andrew Swallow (NM) 119
Here are this week’s burning questions.
ANSWER: There’s not a great deal of rookie options down back, probably the most significant one to note this week is Zak Jones from Sydney. Looked very solid against Richmond and given Rhyce Shaw is expected to miss some games, may be worth getting him in. Another one may be Mitch Brown from WCE. If you’re going to just park the rookie on your bench, at under $200k, may be worth getting him in and having there as guaranteed points on the bench – even if he doesn’t score too well.
ANSWER: I reckon Heath Shaw for reasons mentioned above. Kade Simpson has been a disgrace since I traded him in and I won’t want my fellow community members to feel the same pain.
ANSWER: Certainly an interesting prospect. I personally wouldn’t, just doesn’t have the frame or the match fitness to score big like Tom Mitchell did. Should play out the season, but in terms of scores, Jack Martin is a couple of years away from really dominating the competition.
Good luck this weekend community
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