Flesh for Fantasy – Round 11
IT’S OVER!! BYE PERIOD IS NO MORE!! Thank the lord. I don’t know about you guys, but it was really starting get on this own man’s nerves.
However, we are now over the hill and looking to green pastures. Many would have spent their kitty upgrading over the bye period, so it is all about trying to find value for you buck.
Let’s look to see where this week’s value lies.
GET HIM IN
Kade Simpson (CARL) DEF – $567,500 SC
- Next 5 Games: BRIS (A), GEE (A), HAW (H), GWS (A), COLL (A)
- Recent Scores: 128, 104, 98, 109, 145, 144
- Breakeven: 49
If you’re in need of a defensive premium, Kade Simpson is definitely worth considering. His form of late has come at a time where Carlton has managed to string some games on the trot now. Kade’s recent run of games has been exception – collecting 37 touches and 11 marks against Adelaide, and 36 touches and 10 marks against St Kilda. Sides at the moment are letting him do as he pleases on the wings, playing that outside role that has made him so consistent over the years. Has Brisbane this week, followed by a mini tough run so quality opposition may not afford him the freedom Adelaide and St Kilda did. His form has been so good over two months it is hard to ignore if you’ve got the cash.
Ryan Griffen (WBD) MID – $517,000 SC
- Next 5 Games: FRE (H), BRIS (H), COLL (A), PORT (A), MELB (H)
- Recent Scores: 117, 77, 111, 132
- Breakeven: 64
Another one in a purple patch of form, Ryan Griffen presents serious value after a somewhat sluggish start to the season. Priced at $517,000 and with 100+ scores in 3 of his last 4, Ryan Griffen is now at an ideal price to upgrade to him. His performance last week was very handy, collecting 28 touches and laying 8 tackles for someone who isn’t an inside player. Against Melbourne, he amassed 20 touches and laid 15 (if you don’t mind) tackles. Perfect time to get a once ultra premium in.
Chad Wingard (PORT) FWD/MID – $436,300 SC
- Next 5 Games: MELB (A), STK (H), SYD (A), WBD (H), ADEL (A)
- Recent Scores: 83, 81, 98, 100
- Breakeven: 63
A risky, but again, valuable pick if you’re strapped for cash. SuperCoach wise it has taken Wingard some time to get going. However, the last 2 weeks he has started to show that AA form of 2013. Last week against Hawthorn he was crazy good, kicking 3 goals and collecting 15 touches. Against Fremantle, slotted 5 goals and had 17 touches. The most enticing thing about Chadwick is his next 5 games. Outside of Sydney, there is a real opportunity of him to put big scores on Melbourne, St Kilda and the Bulldogs. Roughly $100k less than what he started the year,Wingard is another option if you’re looking for a fallen premium.
GET HIM OUT
Cory Enright (GEE) DEF – $430,900 SC
- Next 5 Games: OUT, CARL (H), STK (H), GCS (H), GEE (H)
- Recent Scores: 97, 49, 102, 79, 85
- Breakeven: 40
With Enright missing tonight’s game against Sydney, it presents a good opportunity to move him on. His performances have been way too inconsistent, which is strange from the king of consistency. His price won’t fluctuate too much so now might be the time to downgrade one of your maxed out rookies and send Enright to Simpson.
Luke McDonald (ESS) MID/DEF – $290,700 SC
- Next 5 Games: WCE (A), RICH (H), ADEL (A), MELB (A), BRIS (A)
- Recent Scores: 61, 66, 12, 90, 70
- Breakeven: 21
It is time to say goodbye to McDonald. His output and fact he decreased in value this week suggests it is time to dump. There are a couple of good options worth looking at as option downgrades, particularly Cam Shenton, who is at the bubble this week. It has been a disappointing run of scores, but I’m sure down the trade we’ll have McDonald in our sides. But for now, it is time to say goodbye.
Alex Fasolo (COLL) FWD – $343,000 SC
- Next 5 Games: STK (A), MELB (A), WBD (H), HAW (A), CARL (A)
- Recent Scores: 106, 132, 29, 60
- Breakeven: 116
I know he is just coming back from injury, but what worries me is his role. Maxwell’s outburst, followed by moving his forward suggest the experiment down back has not worked. Personally, I do not think it was ever going to work out. Now Fasolo becomes that 70-80 point impact player up forward. If this is the case, I would cut my loses and get rid of him. 116 breakeven means unless he can return to pre-injury form, he will start losing money. Time to say goodbye.
Here the key break-even scores to keep in mind heading into round 10:
- Kane Mitchell (PORT) -56 BE
- Cam Shenton (STK) -52 BE
- Tom Liberatore (WBD) 59 BE
- Joel Selwood (GEE) 81 BE
- Aaron Sandilands (FRE) 80 BE
- Dom Tyson (MELB) 16 BE
- Lance Franklin (SYD) 21 BE
- Brendon Goddard (ESS) 59 BE
- Patrick Dangerfield (ADEL) 125 BE
- Michael Hibberd (ESS) 125 BE
- Marc Murphy (CARL) 134 BE
- Gary Ablett Jr (GCS) 180 BE
- Steve Johnson (GEE) 171 BE
- Dane Swan (COLL) 148 BE
- Shane Mumford (GWS) 142 BE
- Dayne Beams (COLL) 123 BE
- Leigh Montagna (STK) 243 BE
Unfortunately, I’ve had to close the Pub for this week. However, tweet me at @Mr_Crimmins and not only will I answer the questions already asked, but I extend opening hours and take questions from everyone.
Good luck this weekend community
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