Flesh for Fantasy – Round 9, Bye 2
Hope we faired well last weekend. Another prolonged round of footy meant we were in pain for an extra day, and relief doesn’t last long – a 2-day turnaround and we’re back into it.
It is not all doom and gloom this week. While we will have missing players, we now have players who have completed their bye available on the market. This provides ideal trading opportunities and a chance to eliminate some of those dreaded donuts.
Let’s get stuck in.
GET HIM IN
Dane Swan (COLL) MID – $564,600 SC
- Next 5 Games: ADEL (A), WCE (H), STK (A), MELB (H), WBD (H)
- Recent Scores: 116, 122, 143, 93
- Breakeven: 99
After a slow start the year, now is the perfect opportunity to get Dane Swan in. He is back to the form of old. If he is not getting upward of 30 touches, he is kicking multiple goals a game – most notably 4 against Essendon on Anzac Day. He has a history of coming good after a break. A trip to Colorado in 2011 reenergized Swanny and a brilliant 2nd half to the year saw him go on to win the Brownlow medal.
Collingwood had arguably one of the toughest starts to the year. However, their draw really opens up now. After a trip to Adelaide, the Pies have WCE in Melbourne, St Kilda, Melbourne and the Western Bulldogs. Now is the golden chance to get Swanny on the cheap and ride him home.
Tom Lynch (GCS) FWD – $373,200 SC
- Next 5 Games: STK (A), WBD (H), ADEL (A), SYD (H), WCE (A)
- Recent Scores: 52, 67 102, 124
- Breakeven: -7
An obscure pick, the form of Tom Lynch over the last 2 weeks has warranted consideration. A 2 goal, 21 disposal, 8 mark game against North, along with a 5 goal, 17 disposal, 8 mark game against GWS has seen Lynch pump out 2 100+ scores in a row. He is a KPF so worth noting that the consistency in scores won’t be there, but Tom will be a major POD and comes cheap too.
A nice run of games coming up, if you’re looking for a POD player, have big plums and low on upgrade funds, Tom Lynch could be worth considering.
Nathan Grima (NM) DEF – $413,100 SC
- Next 5 Games: BRIS (H), GEE (A), WCE (A), RICH (A), ADEL (A)
- Recent Scores: 99, 69, 101, 99
- Breakeven: 45
Another POD candidate, Nathan Grima features in just 893 SuperCoach sides. However, his form of late warrants greater selection. Grima is finding a bit of the footy as a key back, collecting upward of 20+ during his little purple patch. He played on Pavlich for his 101 SC and Tom Lynch for his 99 SC.
Important to note that much like Lynch, don’t expect scores of 120+. However, do expect Grima to pump out consistent 90+ scores, playing as a key defender collecting 20+ disposals. Again, selection like this will require some guts, but Brisbane, the Eagles and Richmond to come could see this form continue. Consider.
GET HIM OUT
Jared Polec (PORT) MID – $446,700 SC
- Next 5 Games: BYE, HAW (H), MELB (A), STK (H), SYD (A)
- Recent Scores: 98, 107, 89, 141, 66
- Breakeven: 25
With the bye this week, it might be perfect time to say goodbye to Jared Polec. In the breakaway group for SuperCoach buy of the year, his stellar form has stumbled a bit of late – including a 66 against Fremantle on the weekend.
With games against Melbourne and St Kilda post-bye, you could still profit from keeping Polec. However, the byes present the opportunity to upgrade your rookies to premiums and begin finalizing your side. As Polec has the bye this week, could be ideal chance to move him to a Swan or Selwood.
Matt Suckling (HAW) DEF – $392,700 SC
- Next 5 Games: BYE, PORT (A), GWS (H), WCE (H), CARL (A)
- Recent Scores: 63, 58, 108, 58
- Breakeven: 71
Last time I suggested dumping Matt Suckling he went out and scored 108 on St Kilda. However this time round I’m more confident now is time to dump Suckers. 3 of his last 4 scores have been junk, with the 108 coming against an St Kilda side who didn’t both showing up. A bye this week and a questionable breakeven, it is time to send Suckling to a premium. He is been good value, but the inconsistency with scores is just not worth it. This week is perfect chance.
Nick Riewoldt (STK) FWD – $435,200 SC
- Next 5 Games: GCS (H), BYE, COLL (H), PORT (A), GEE (H)
- Recent Scores: 116, 58, 31, 73
- Breakeven: 204
Poor Nick. The bloke is struggling. St Kilda are giving him donuts to work with and he is forced to shoulder both the forward line and the team’s hopes and aspirations. The opposition have also worked out how to play him. As St Kilda have no other forward options, sides are just rotating defenders and sharing the workload. On Monday night, Carlton rotated Rowe, White and Jamison on Nick, minimising his influence somewhat (still kicked 4). Nick also looks to be struggling and there are questions as to whether he can get through rest of season with this workload and basically no knees. He doesn’t have bye ‘till next week, but given his breakeven, this week is the time to dump before his price gets to point where you are unable to trade out.
Here the key break-even scores to keep in mind heading into round 9:
- Dan Hannebery (SYD) 46 BE
- Jarryd McVeigh (SYD) 79 BE
- Aaron Sandilands (FRE) 74 BE
- Patrick Ambrose (ESS) -75 BE
- Dom Tyson (MELB) 8 BE
- Jay Kennedy Harris (MELB) -39 BE
- Tom Langdon (COLL) -53 BE
- Josh Kennedy (SYD) 120 BE
- Michael Barlow (FRE) 143 BE
- Brendon Goddard (ESS) 154 BE
- Tom Rockliff (BRIS) 123 BE
- Pearce Hanley (BRIS) 181 BE
- Scott Pendlebury (COLL) 156 BE
- Gary Ablett Jr (GCS) 153 BE
- Luke McDonald (NM) 96 BE
- Patrick Dangerfield (ADEL) 133 BE
- Steve Johnson (GEE) 130 BE
- Joel Selwood (GEE) 154 BE
- Trent Cotchin (RICH) 130
Unfortunately, I’ve had to close the Pub for this week. However, tweet me at @Mr_Crimmins and not only will I answer the questions already asked, but I extend opening hours and take questions from everyone.
Good luck this weekend community
This Week Is Overflowing With Fantasy Footy News: