While still keeping just ahead in the betting, the Sportsbet line has overtaken The Machine line with a 2.4 point lead per game. Big wins from The Eagles and Essendon were not forecasted by The Machine, however, we are in this for the long haul.
Special credit must go to the Sportsbet line in the Hawks V Brisbane line – impressive forecasting.
|Round 1 (Week 2)||Winner||Margin||Machine Error||Sportsbet Error|
|Cats V Adelaide||Geelong||38||25||16.5|
|North V Essendon||Essendon||39||60||45.5|
|Hawks V Brisbane||Hawks||48||11||0.5|
|Saints V Demons||Saints||17||10||28.5|
|WCE V Bulldogs||WCE||65||51||29.5|
|Average Game Error||31.4||24.1|
And the Week 1 Summary Table
|Ave. Game Error||Bet Record|
|The Machine||Sporstbet||No. Bets||Wins||Profit/Loss||Bank (Starting with $100)|
|Rd 1 (week 1)||50.5||53||3||2||$4.20||$104.20|
|Rd 1 (week 2)||31.4||24.1||2||1||-$0.40||$103.80|
And now to this week’s bets
|Round 2||Formulated Winner||Formulated Margin||Sportsbet Line||Diff.||BET|
|1||Tigers V Blues||Tigers||24||8.5||15.5||$5 TIGERS at line|
|2||Ess. V Hawks||Hawks||12||17.5||5.5||No bet|
|3||Saints V GWS||Saints||13||-1.5(GWS fav. To win)||14.5||$5 SAINTS at line|
|4||Port V Adelaide||Adelaide||8||-6.5(Port fav. To win)||14.5||$5 CROWS at line|
|5||Freo V G.Coast||Freo||26||39.5||13.5||$5 GCS at line|
|6||Sydney V C.Wood||Sydney||38||16.5||21.5||$5 SWANS at line|
|7||Bris. V Geelong||Geelong||16||24.5||8.5||No bet|
|8||Demons V WCE||WCE||48||41.5||6.5||No bet|
|9||Dogs V North||Dogs||6||-18.5(NTH fav. To win)||24.5||$5 DOGS at line|
As you can see, The Machine deviates from the Sportsbet line by greater than 12 points in six of the nine games this week. I will be placing six simple $5 line bets in accordance with my system(click here to see my system).
The Gold Coast line concerns me, as does the Western Bulldogs result, however, I will stick to my system and be willing these teams to make their lines.
Have a good weekend.