Congratulations on getting through the first week of the season. It was bloody long and taxing, but we have no time for rest, the turnaround is short and we’re back at it again tonight with Carlton v Richmond.
The second week of round 1 saw the usual SuperCoach stars in Watson, Selwood, Barlow and Riewoldt begin the year with a bang. Add a few blokes like Treloar, Swallow and Prestia joining the party and it looks like we’re in for a big year.
This weekend is probably one of the biggest of the season. It is the last chance we get to look at players and make changes before the prices change at the end of round 3. It’s very easy to get trigger-happy and dump underperforming players, but it is important to stay focused and remain rational. An old man once told me, cool heads must prevail.
This is the round of corrective trading. I’ll be providing corrective trade options, players you may have missed out on and my thoughts on trading this week.
So lets begin.
GET HIM IN
Tom Langdon (COLL) DEF/MID – $117,300SC
- Next 5 games: SYD (A), GEE (H), RICH (A), NM (A), ESS (H)
- Round 1 score: 111
If you don’t have Tom Langdon, I’d strongly urged to use a trade and get him in. An impressive display on debut, Langdon amassed 24 touches (20 of those kicks), 6 marks and 5 tackles on his way to 111 SC points. He was given first crack at replacing Heath Shaw as that rebounding defender and looks to have cemented his spot…for the time being.
Langdon is priced to score next to nothing, so 111 on debut will see a nice price rise when they change end of round 3. Give his price, it will be easy to trade a D7/D8…even a D6 to Langdon. You could even wait a week on McDonald and if his SC output is below par again, bank $70k and swoop on Langdon. Depends on your defensive players from D5-D8, but if you don’t have Tom Langdon, you must work out a way to get him in.
Shane Mumford (SYD) RUCK – $496,000 SC
- Next 5 Games: STK (A), MELB (H), WBD (H), ADEL (A), GC (H)
- Round 1 score: 110
Dominate in round 1, Shane Mumford has come into R1 calculations. The Mad Irishman spoke about him in this week’s Tight Arse Tuesday, and I’m basically here to echo his thoughts. Lets break down his game against Mike Pyke who isn’t your traditional monster of a ruckman – 45 HOs, 7 tackles and 5 marks. 45 Hit-Outs if you don’t mind. Next up? Tom Hickey. After that? Jake Spencer or Max Gawn. Mick has him averaging 115-119 pts before the byes.
If you’ve still got Nic Nat this plan could see you make A LOT of money. You trade out Nic Nat or you get Mumford in for whoever is R1, you sit on him till the byes, watch him increase in value while Nic Nat drops, then BANG! trade him out pot bye for Nic Nat and make $$$. Even if you’re not keen on Nic Nat, Mumford will still be a solid R1 option to compliment Sandilands. Get on.
David Swallow (GCS) MID/DEF – $429,400 SC
- Next 5 Games: FRE (A), BRIS (H), HAW (H), MELB (A), GWS (H)
- Round 1 score: 135
We had been anticipating a big year from David Swallow, and didn’t he give us plenty – 27 touches, 9 marks, 1 goal 4 and 135 SC points. He was almost the linkman, setting up play from half back and giving Gold Coast run. Not to mention pumping the ball inside 50 4 times and amassing 5 clearances. It was the complete performance from a player due for a break out year.
Swallow can have impact off HB or through midfield. Potential break out year was well documented over the summer, but if you don’t have him, I strongly urge to corrective trade him in. The kid is a star and is in for a big year.
GET HIM OUT
To jump off a player after 1 week is risky business. With price changes still a couple of weeks away, the first 3 weeks gives us an opportunity to get a look at a player’s early season form.
Lance Franklin and Dale Thomas had less than glamorous starts to the year, however, trading out after 1 week is flirting with danger. I am growing sceptical of both Daisy Thomas and Lance Franklin. If both have another stinker, they will be gone next week. The start of a SuperCoach season is akin to the start of a marathon so I cannot afford too many mediocre scores so early in the season.
Lack of certain options up forward has me wanting to see more from likes of Darling, Zorko, Gray, Howlett etc before I trade. Daisy is easier to dump because there is quality breakout potential around his price (Macrae, Shiels etc), but again, I’m holding out to see how potential trade targets back up rather than if Daisy can pump out a big score.
If you don’t nail corrective trade, you will be blowing trades to correct mistake and we must be treating our trades like gold.
Personally, I would hold off trading if you’re going for the league win. If you’re going for the overall win, trade smart and only if you have to. Only trade to bring in rookies you may have missed out on initially.
Anyway, besides trading out Jack Martin if you have him, think carefully before deciding to trade this week.
Breakeven scores are not far away, but until they are available and relevant, here are the top 10 scores from last round:
- Joel Selwood (GEE) 157/Jobe Watson (ESS) 157
- Adam Treloar (GWS) 154
- Ollie Wines (PORT) 145
- Mark LeCreas (WCE) 144/Dion Prestia (GCS) 144
- Nathan Jones (MELB) 142
- Luke Breust (HAW) 140/Gary Ablett Jr (GCS) 140
- Brendon Goddard (ESS) 139
- Brett Deledio (RICH) 136/Dayne Beams (COLL) 136
- Nick Riewoldt (STK) 133
- Michael Barlow (FRE) 132
Thank you for your questions this week. Remember, you can tweet in to @Mr_Crimmins and your question could feature in Flesh for Fantasy. Here are the burning questions of the round.
ANSWER: To answer first question, I’d dump Rohan. It may mean having to go up to burnman Higgins, but I feel Rohan is not worth the 40 or 50s he’ll score every week – especially if you’re going after the overall. Secondly, I don’t think Laidler is a must have. While he did score well, he only had 16 touches, 3 marks and 2 tackles. With that output, he won’t be scoring 90+ every week. Hold off on Laidler and see how he goes this week.
ANSWER: The 3 rookie mids on the field is no issue. Most sides have gone in with Ellis, Polec and Dunstan. Thomas to Tyson is an interesting idea, because going by form, Thomas will score similar to Dom Tyson and cost $150k more. I think it is best to wait a week and see what we get from Daisy. If he stinks it up again, I would be go after Tyson. Thinking outside box Shaun, I like it.
ANSWER: I think you have to keep an eye on his breakeven. If he continues his poor performances, his BE will be massive and his price will drop. If his breakeven hits low enough that he’ll start increasing in price (along with showing good form), I would get him in then. How many weeks? Could be at least 4-5 to the bye.
ANSWER: Definitely Terry. This is one of the most important weeks on SuperCoach calender. If Hanley puts in one more poor performance, definitely dump for Swallow. Not only will you be adding a cool $90k to the kitty, but 40-50 points.
Good luck this weekend community. Send any last minute questions you may have to @Mr_Crimmins.
Tune into the fun earlier this week: