Flesh for Fantasy – Round 1, Part 2
Hope you all faired well in the first week of this ridiculous split round rubbish. We all watched as Sandilands backed up his NAB Challenge form with a handy 127, while mediocre efforts from Dale Thomas and Lance Franklin has caused many headaches amongst the community.
With the rest of round 1 to be completed this weekend, many sides are already locked in. However, there are still some positions up for grabs and this week’s Flesh for Fantasy is here to help you cement those last couple of spots.
So lets begin.
GET HIM IN
Jack Redden (BRIS) MID – $528,400 SC
- Next 5 games: HAW (A), GEE (H), GCS (A), PORT (A), RICH (H)
- 2013 Average: 97
On the back of a solid pre-season, Jack Redden brings himself into contention as a potential M3/M4 option. Many will have their midfields locked away, considering Murphy, Beams, Thomas have already played. However, if you’re looking for a midfield option with a difference, Jack Redden could be the man.
In his 2 games this pre-season, Jack has scored 140 (26 touches, 10 tackles, 2 goals v GCS) and 104. Prior to 2013, he managed 2 consecutive seasons of 100+ average. He is a tackling machine, averaging nearly 7 a game. Not only that, he is rated by Champion Data as an “above average” for kicking efficiency and tend to score goals when he kicks the ball inside 50 more times than not. A POD selection, he is due for a breakout year and is the type of player whose numbers satisfy those at Champion Data. Definitely one to consider if you’re tossing up that M3/M4 spot.
Jackson Macrae (WBD) MID – $331,100 SC
- Next 5 games: WCE (A), NM (H), RICH (H), GWS (A), CARL (H)
- 2013 Average: 61
With all the talk RE Libba’s form this pre-season, there is one player that has gone under the radar, but has been just as damaging. Jackson Macrae is showing no signs of second year blues and is looking bloody good. While he did struggle at times last year, once he found his feet, he started to turn out results – collecting 20+ touches in 7 of 8 matches between rounds 8-17 (via Champion Data). He has been eating and lifting himself silly and is now built to have an impact at AFL level.
His pre-season, as mentioned, has been sensational. Scores of 106 (27 touches v St Kilda), 123 (30 touches, 10 marks v Fremantle) and 128 v Carlton has many around the kennel bullish about his prospects. Macrae will be well down the tagging pecking order, with Griffin and Libba ahead of him. This could see him off the leash as an outside mid. Many will be stuck with Daisy, and if Macrae shows serious form in early rounds, I will be contemplating going Daisy to Macrae before price changes.
Paddy Ryder (ESS) RUCK – $486,400 SC
- Next 5 games: NM (A), HAW (H), CARL (H), FRE (A), STK (H)
- 2013 Average: 90
Circumstances surrounding Essendon’s ruck situation has brought Patty Ryder into contention for that R1 spot. Before you gun me down about Paddy, hear me out. His pre-season has been very good, scoring 139 (12 touches, 32 HOs 1 goal v GCS), 75 (10 touches, 14 HOs and 4 tackles v Port) and 112 v Richmond. He has basically gone at this pre-season alone, with Fraser Thurlow providing a chop out as the 2nd ruck. Bomber Thompson has said Joe Daniher will be spending a bit of time in the ruck, so expecting much the same against North Melbourne.
A bit cheaper than most rucks, Ryder is definitely one to consider going on his pre-season form. He has shown in past years the capability to score points, averaging 100+ in 2012. It is a ballsy selection, but with Bellchambers still a little while away, Ryder could very well blossom as the main ruck and having Daniher chipping in with the odd shift.
Jimmy Webster (STK) DEF – $240,800 SC
- Next 5 games: MELB (H), GWS (H), WCE (A), ADEL (H), ESS (A)
- 2013 Average: 45
A beautiful kick and one to set up the play from HB, Webster showed bits and pieces last season – particularly an ability to score from points from fewer touches. This pre-season he has started to show a bit more, scoring 93 against the Western Bulldogs in the wet with just 11 touches and 90 against GWS with 21 touches. Webster doesn’t need a lot of the ball to score.
We’re fortunate that Suckling is yet to play because we are now afforded time to decide between Suckling and Webster. Suckling has the runs on the board, but Webster is not coming off a knee. I can see Webster making $150k while scoring well on a consistent basis. Webster + $70k over Suckling for mine.
GET HIM OUT
Nic Naitanui (WCE) RUCK – $518,800 SC
- Next 5 games: WBD (H), MELB (A), STK (H), GEE (A), PORT (H)
- 2013 Average: 96
YET. Nic Nat is one of the undisputed heavyweights of SuperCoach. Many don’t score like Nic Nat. He has the ability to score 100s with little impact on the stat sheet. However, he is coming from a long way back and when the letters OP is lingering around, it can be dangerous territory. He was originally a lock in my SC side, but now I’m having second thoughts.
Nic has had 2 games this pre-season and looks set to play round 1. Personally, I would hold off and wait for Nic Nat to work his way into the season. By the time he hits his straps and begins pumping out 100+ scores, Nic could be at a nice discounted price. But for now, while there is some uncertainty, I would strongly consider other options. You could also take the 70-80 scores now from your R1, especially with Sandi pumping out 100+ scores and save the trade. Up to you, but if you’re going from overall win, I don’t think you can start with Nic Nat.
Much like last week, here are the best averages from the rest of the NAB Challenge:
- Jack Redden (BRIS) 123
- Luke Dahlhaus (WBD) 121
- Tom Liberatore (WBD) 119
- Jackson Macrae (WBD) 119
- Koby Stevens (WBD)/Scott Thompson (ADEL) 118
- Tom Rockliff (BRIS) 116
- Liam Shiels (HAW) 115
- JarrydRoughead (HAW) 114
- Sam Mitchell (HAW) 113
- Bernie Vince (MELB)/Matthew Wright (ADEL) 111
It’s back. Thank you for your questions this week. Remember, you can tweet in to @Mr_Crimmins and your question could feature in Flesh for Fantasy. Here are the burning questions of the round.
ANSWER: Great question. There is world floating around that North are seriously considering bringing in Dan Currie to play as R2. We’ve seen with McIntosh/Goldy that Goldstein doesn’t like playing with another ruck – he needs to ruck alone. I think early on sides won’t go with 2 rucks, but as they figure out their gameplan around the interchange caps, I suspect teams will bring in an R2 and then sub them out late in game for a runner. I think it could have an impact on Goldy, but for Minson, I don’t think the Dogs will play an R2.
ANSWER: Not yet for mine. He played in NAB Challenge 2, but struggled through 30 minutes. Reckon it’ll take time for McIntosh to build his match fitness and will probably be sub candidate in the early rounds, allowing Blicavs to ruck. However, down the track if he starts showing a bit he could be worth looking at. But for now, I’d avoid.
ANSWER: There’s a few options worth looking at. Will depend on who is selected, of course. Eli Templeton is one to consider, but has low security – worried he’ll be prime sub-candidate. Mitch Honeychurch has big wraps, but not sure if he’ll be selected. Lewis Taylor from Brisbane also worth considering. But again, all depends on who is selected. Otherwise if you’re M9 played, might be worth keeping him.
ANSWER: The relationship will depend on Nic Nat. Early on (going on NAB Challenge) I suspect Cox will do a bulk of the ruck work and Nic Nat play as a rover. But as Nic Nat gains match fitness, Cox will move to forward line and pinch-hit, while Nic Nat will take a bulk of the ruck. This is why I believe it may be worth waiting to get Nic Nat in. Could decrease in value and be ready for big scores at a discount price.
ANSWER: I think both are still relevant. If Mick stops trying to Kreuzer into a pinch-hitting forward and allows him to roam around the ground as a ruck, I reckon he could be a handy SuperCoach option. Franklin I’m willing to give him a bit of time because his good is so good, but his form on the weekend was a concern. Give both time, but if they keep this up, will become irrelevant quickly.
Good luck this weekend community. Send any last minute questions you may have to @Mr_Crimmins.
See what was presented earlier this week: