higgoThe Machine has started well.

It beat the Sportsbet line by an average of 2.5 points per game and helped me build my bank by $4.20.

You may think that this is an insignificant amount, however, it turned my initial outlay of $15 into $19.20 in one week. This is a 28% return on my investment. Excellent!


Round 1 (Week 1) output statistics

Week 1   Winner   Margin Machine Line Error Sportsbet Line Error
Collingwood V Fremantle Fremantle 70 43 61.5
GWS V Syndey  GWS 32 89 77.5
GCS V Richmond GCS 18 46 31.5
Carlton V PortAdelaide Port Adelaide 33 24 41.5
Average   Game Error 50.5 53

And the Week 1 Summary Table

Ave. Game Error       Bet Record
The Machine Sporstbet No. Bets Wins Profit/Loss Bank (Starting with $100)
Week 1 50.5 53 3 2 +$4.20 $104.20

And now to this week’s bets

Week 2 Formulated Winner Formulated Margin Sportsbet  Line Diff.  BET
5 Cats V Adelaide Geelong 13 21.5 8.5 No bet
6 North V Essendon North 21 8.5 12.5 $5 on NTH at line
7 Hawks V Brisbane Hawks 37 47.5 10.5 No bet
8 Saints V Demons Saints 7 -12.5 (Dees fav. to win) 19.5 $5 on STK at line
9 WCE V Bulldogs WCE 14 23.5 9.5 No bet

Interestingly, The Machine has formulated a win to the Saints against the odds. While I am slightly skeptical, I must trust in the system.

Have a good weekend.


Peter Higginbotham



David · 19/03/2014 at 22:40


Pigmy · 19/03/2014 at 23:31

Trust the system Higgo, the saints are good things this week the Deez are the worst team in the comp

Mike · 20/03/2014 at 00:21

I reckon there’s value straight up for the Saints

GarglesnarfFC · 20/03/2014 at 06:32

I share the machines feelings, the Demons as favourites does not sit well

SAM TAYLOR · 20/03/2014 at 09:33

Gday Higgo, great article, mate I love your work its inspirational, everyday me and da boyz check the website looking for new articles because they are so good, Jock you too do a bloody good job, Crouching keep the boys going in that gym, and wayno Keep up the grand plans,
Good Stuff fellas

Luke · 20/03/2014 at 10:54

I barrack for the Dees and can't believe we're faves. Sure Saints have no mids but we have no forwards!

    GeneralSoreness · 20/03/2014 at 10:58

    Lets hope they play some good footy regardless and doesn't come down to a game of who was less shit.

GeneralSoreness · 20/03/2014 at 12:19

Need a more dramatic title – like – PUNTING WEEK 2 – THE RISE OF THE MACHINE!

shane · 20/03/2014 at 13:49

I must admit, as a once thought reformed gambler …. this is exciting!

(Please keep the format of $100 bank and $5 bets, just like picking Higgins.. we dont want the kids getting carried away)

Jono · 20/03/2014 at 17:03

B. Martin & Vince OR Geogiou & Shuey?

    @ScatterlyCow · 20/03/2014 at 18:35

    I think a great game plan would be to post this in a relevant thread.

GeneralSoreness · 21/03/2014 at 12:47

Does anyone know what the opening price was for Port Adelaide 1-39 points v Carlton last week was?

    Liam · 23/03/2014 at 07:39

    $2.90 on sports bet

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