Howdy all, we’re in the home straight with our Supercoach Scouting Reports, with only 5 more teams to take a look at and today it’s the mighty Richmond Tigers turn.
2013 would have been a good one for Tigers fans, with Richmond making the Finals for the first time since 2001 and only the 3rd time since 1982. Unfortunately for Tiger fans they got blown away by a fantastic 2nd half comeback from the Blue boys and lost in the Elimination Final, but they’re still a young team with nowhere to go but up from here.
Richmond have been an underrated source of Supercoach, AFL Fantasy and Dreamteam players from both on the cheap, and more expensive end of the price spectrum, and I think we’ll likely see that trend continue into 2014. Anyway, enough babbling from me, let’s get cracking and take a look at the Richmond Tigers for 2014.
Richmond Tigers 2014 Supercoach Scouting Report
2013 Record: 15 wins, 7 losses
Shaun Hampson (Traded from Carlton)
Ben Lennon (Pick #12, National Draft)
Nathan Gordon (Pick #50, National Draft)
Sam Lloyd (Pick #60, National Draft)
Todd Banfield (Pick #11, Rookie Draft)
Anthony Miles (Pick #27, Rookie Draft)
Matthew Thomas (Pick #42, Rookie Draft)
Ricky Pettard (Promoted Rookie)
Tom Derickx (Delisted)
Sam Lonergan (Retired)
Luke McGuane (Delisted)
Robin Nahas (Delisted)
Shane Tuck (Retired)
Matthew White (Free Agent to Port Adelaide)
2014 Team Preview
2014 Bye Round: 8
Final 4: Essendon Bombers, Adelaide Crows, St. Kilda Saints, Sydney Swans
The Tigers have done a good job rebuilding their squad under Damien Hardwick, nailing their high draft picks (something they’ve had issues with in the past), while also keeping the cupboards stocked with a variety of cast-offs and recycled players, with the likes of Ivan Maric, Bachar Houli, Shaun Grigg, Troy Chaplin, Chris Knights, Ricky Pettard and now Anthony Miles and Shaun Hampson being added for very little, or for nothing at all in the case of free agents.
For a team that finished 5th last year, the fixture gods have smiled upon Richmond in 2014, with Champion Data ranking their fixture as the 2nd easiest for the 2014 AFL season, with the Tigers receiving more games against sides out of the 8 last year (8 games), than in the top 6 last year (7 games), as well as double up games against both GWS and St. Kilda, two teams who look to be in the bottom 4 again in 2014. They only leave Victoria 6 times, with two games in Sydney, as well as trips to the Gold Coast, Adelaide, Brisbane and Perth.
Double up games will come against the Brisbane Lions, GWS, St Kilda, Sydney and Essendon. You’re potentially looking at 6 easy wins against Brisbane, GWS and St. Kilda and they should have enough muscle to beat Essendon and should be able to give Sydney a run for their money. You’d think anything less than 8 wins from that lot would be a disappointing result for the Tigers.
The Final 4 will be a mixed bag, with some potential tough games against Essendon and Adelaide, a likely tough matchup against Sydney. Their 2nd to last game should be a gimmie against St. Kilda, which has the potential for some big points, which will be a bonus for those who are looking for a league Grand Final birth.
Richmond finished 5th last year and were only 1 win away from a top 4 birth. With their easy schedule next year you’d think anything less than a top 4 birth would be a disappointing result for the Tigers in 2014.
2014 Projected Wins/Losses: 17 wins, 5 losses
2012 SC Average: 116.3
2013 SC Average: 106.0
Starting Price: 572K
Trent Cotchin suffered a 10 point dropoff in 2013, going from an elite 116 point average down to a middle of the road 106. This is reflected in his statistical numbers generally falling across the board, with Cotchin averaging 26 possessions, 3.9 marks, 3.6 I50’s, 5.4 clearances, 3.4 tackles. That left him ranked 8th in Total Kicks, 7th in Kicks per game, 20th in Total Disposals, 16th in Total Contested Possessions, 19th in Contested Possessions per game, 16th in Total Clearances, 18th in Clearances per game and 20th in Supercoach points per game. Another area Cotchin slipped a bit was his goal scoring, with Cotchin kicking 18 goals in 2011 and 21.16 in 2012, but only to 6.9 in 2013.
It’s understandable why Cotchin saw a slight fall in numbers though, with Cotchin being recorded as being under the equal 12th most pressure of the top 50 ball winners and his disposal efficiency dropped from 63.4% down to 39% in these situations, which was the 2nd lowest percentage of the top 50 ball winners. This is an area he’ll likely need to improve up if he’s to rise back up to his 2012 SC average.
Cotchin was managing to eclipse his 2012 form at the start of 2013, with Rd1-5 average sitting at 125, but it was downhill from there, with his average falling to 115 by Rd 9 and then to 108 by Rd 13. The biggest cause for Cotchin’s falling average was he was having more quiet games in 2013 than he managed in 2012. In 2012 he only had 3 sub 100 games, with scores of 73, 98 and 99 against his name, plus he had 10 games of 120+ (including a 175 against the Bulldogs). In 2013 he had 6 sub 100 games, with scores of 76, 78, 86, 99, 62 and 65, with only 3 games above 120 (though he did have another 3 at 119). In much the same way Jobe Watson had his average lowered by 10 or so points by having 4 games in the 70’s, Cotchin suffered the same, although at a slightly worse rate.
Even with all that Cotchin was still rated as an “elite” midfielder in 2013, and that’s because he is. He wouldn’t be the first player who’s had a slightly down year, and he won’t be the last. Forgetting about what he did last year, he’s in a really tasty position for 2014. His 106 average in 2012 means we get to buy Cotchin for the bargain price of 572K, which will be 50K cheaper than what you would have paid for him in 2013. I have absolutely no doubts that Cotchin is capable of jumping back up to that 116 point range again in 2014, the Tigers are hungry and Cotchin will be there leading the pack.
2014 SC Projection: 110-118
2012 SC Average: 116.6
2013 SC Average: 103.6
Starting Price: 558.8K
Much like Cotchin, Deledio struggled at times with some extra attention teams paid to him in 2013, which saw him often become the main focus of opposition taggers, which subsequently saw his Supercoach average fall 13 points for the 2013 AFL season. Games like Rd 6 against Geelong where Taylor Hunt kept him to 46, Heath Hocking keeping him to 73 in the Tigers Rd 10 clash against Essendon, Levi Greenwood limiting him to 75 in Rd 15, Crowley keeping him to 64 in Rd 17 and the next week he could only manage 75 against a Craig Bird tag. While these games are probably made up by the games where teams let him off the chain, he had 5 130+ games, with a high of 163 against Port Adelaide, they still make him a frustrating Supercoach player when you know he’s capable of being shutdown like that, although those high scores can make him a great player in close Supercoach games you play, but the low ones make him a terrible one too. As a result of opposition taggers, he was kept to 16 or less possessions 4 times from Rd 15 onwards.
Deledio was still ranked as an “elite” midfielder by Champion Data though, with 2013 averages of 23.8 possessions, 5.1 marks, 4.1 I50’s, 3 clearances and 3.7 tackles, while ranking 16th for Total Inside 50’s, 4th in Total Bounces, 7th in Bounces per game and 19th in Total Supercoach points. He’s also an incredibly durable player, having played every game since 2008 and only missing 4 games since his debut in 2005.
Lids will still have his tagging issues that are probably unavoidable at this point, but he’ll have more good games than bad, so if you find yourself slightly short on putting Cotchin in your side then Deledio would make a great alternative. He’s capable of the same sorts of scores as Cotchin; he just may have a few more bad games on his resume due to taggers.
2014 SC Projection: 104-110
2012 SC Average: 83.1
2013 SC Average: 91.6
Starting Price: 493.8K
Houli might be another overlooked defender going into 2014, but he has been a top notch player for the Tigers since his move over to Punt Rd from Essendon. Houli produced averages of 22.2 possessions, 6.2 marks, 3.4 rebound 50’s, 1.7 spoils and 1.9 tackles in his third season at Richmond.
Houli had an uncontested possession rate of 75.3%, which ranked 6th out of the top 100 possession winners in the AFL, he also recorded 71 rebound 50’s, with the Tigers generating a inside 50 from 27% of these. Hoiuli has also been an extremely dependable player for the Tigers, only missing 2 games in his last 3 years. He’s also extremely consistent, with a Standard Deviation of 18, which was 6th(with 4 others on 17, so technically 3rd best) out of the top 25 priced defenders in 2014 and out of the top 10, only Michael Hibberd recorded a better SD with 17.
Houli probably won’t be picked up by many, but if you were thinking about picking someone like Grant Birchall who was priced the same, but don’t want to deal with his tagging issues and/or already have Mitchell or Hodge in your side and don’t want to deal with more Hawthorn bye round issues, then give some consideration to Houli. He’ll score enough to keep his price consistent and towards the end of the year you’ll most likely be able to upgrade him for under 100K.
2014 SC Projection: 88-94
2012 SC Average: 56.1
2013 SC Average: 81.6
Starting Price: 440.4K
The hype train is running wild on Brandon Ellis heading into 2014, and with good reason, with the 20 year old heading into his 3rd AFL season after having a terrific 2013 where he was another player who showed the “2nd year blues” doesn’t always apply. Ellis averaged 18.6 possessions, 5.9 marks, 2.2 I50’s, 1.3 clearances, 2.1 tackles and kicked 14.7 for 2013.
It looked like another year of the same at the start of the season for Ellis, with him being subbed off in Rd 1, then being named as the sub in the next 3 games, causing his Rd 4 average to sit at a paltry 26.75. Then in Rd 5 against Fremantle, Ellis blew the roof off the place, scoring 134. In fact, his next 5 games after his stint as sub were simply awesome, with 4 100+ games, a massive 149 against Melbourne where he collected 39 possessions and 11 marks, and best of all, a 5 game Supercoach average of 119. The rest of his season was fairly consistent from there, only scoring 100+ 3 more times, with 6 scores between 70-85, as well as a 38 against North Melbourne where he was subbed out in the 2nd quarter after Firrito’s hip and Ellis’s head had a meeting of sorts. Take away Ellis’s sub affected games and his 15 game average for the year sits at 99.2.
Like Houli above, he wins the majority of his ball outside, with an uncontested possession rate of 74.8%, on the plus side, the extra space he had meant that he recorded an disposal efficiency of 81.5%, which a fantastic kicking efficiency of 79.7%, which was rated as “elite” by Champion Data.
So the question is will you put Ellis into your Supercoach side. He’s a slightly awkward price at 440K, but he should hopefully be past being named as sub and that 99 non-sub score is very tempting, a score that’d probably move his price up to the 530K range if he’d of scored that way the entire year. He’s been earmarked for more midfield time, which is where the big points will be scored. If he can put those sorts of scores up, plus with the knowledge that he can put up big 140+ scores on a good day will make him a very tempting buy. On the downside, Richmond have the Round 8 bye, which is looking like a killer at the moment, and of course you have to consider the risk that he’ll hit slightly lower than expectations and he doesn’t fully provide the scores you project. Slightly risky pick in the end and it may make it tough in Rd 8 for you, but it has a chance to pay off big. It’s a total risk vs reward pick here I think.
2014 SC Projection: 96-102
2012 SC Average: N/A
2013 SC Average: 75.1
Starting Price: 405.2K
Vlastuin is probably the poster boy for the more expensive rookies this year. Was skipped by more than a few initially due to his 159K starting price, but he had a terrific year and peaked at 422K, earning a nice 262K for you, while having a decent Supercoach average of 75.1. If you pick any players in the 170K range, then Vlastuin is the type of player you’d ideally be comparing them too.
For the year Vlastuin played 17 games for averages of 16.3 possessions, 4.8 marks, 2.1 I50’s, 1.4 rebound 50’s, 1.2 clearances and 3 tackles. Vlastuin didn’t crack the Richmond side until Rd 5 and while he only scored 39 on debut, it didn’t take him long to adjust to playing against the big boys, hitting a ton in only his 3rd game against Port Adelaide, followed up by a big 141 against Melbourne. He played across half back most of the year and recorded a under pressure disposal efficiency of 66%, which was 1st at the Tigers for players who averaged more than 15 possessions.
We’ve seen it first with Reece Conca, and then with Brandon Ellis, the Tigers young draft picks have had tremendous improvement from year to year, especially when it comes to Supercoach scores, and I don’t see Vlastuin being any different. He’s at slightly awkward price at 405K, but he does have dual position eligibility and I expect to see continued improvement from Vlastuin in 2014, especially if he see’s any midfield time in 2014.
2014 SC Projection: 80-86
2012 SC Average: 70.3
2013 SC Average: 81.2
Starting Price: 438.3K
Conca was a wanted man this off-season, with West Coast reportedly offering him a 1.6 million dollar contract to leave Richmond and head west. Conca stayed loyal to the Tigers however, signing a 3 year extension to stay in the black and yellow. For the year Conca averaged 18.4 possessions, 3.6 marks, 3.1 I50’s, 2.8 clearances, 3.5 tackles and kicked 12.11 for the year.
Conca received more midfield time this year, a move that can be seen reflected in his Supercoach average for the year, with him winning 53% of his possessions in the forward half of the ground, compared to only 38% in 2012 where he played more across half back. Conca rated “above average” in goals, score assists and score involvements by Champion Data, the only Tiger midfielder to do so, and the Tigers scored pretty well when Conca had the ball in his hands, with them scoring 35% of the time Conca was involved in the scoring chain, which was the highest out of any player at the Tigers. He also recorded the 16th highest retention rate for his forward 50 entries in the AFL.
So the big question for Conca is can he jump up another step in his Supercoach output? We know he’s rated around the league, the West Coast offer is a perfect example of that. We also saw last year with a player like North Melbourne’s Ben Cunnington, who averaged 77 in his 3rd year and jumped up to 95 in his 4th. I think Conca is more than capable of being a star midfielder for the Tigers, you always take a risk with these “breakout” players, but I might be willing to roll the dice on Conca in 2014.
2014 SC Projection: 88-94
2012 SC Average: 88.5
2013 SC Average: 101.8
Starting Price: 549.2K
Dustin Martin was in the papers for all the wrong reasons this off-season as a prolonged contract negotiation meant he initially looked like he’d be leaving Punt Rd, with a number of teams including GWS, Collingwood, Essendon and Hawthorn all looking like potential destinations for Martin to land, depending on what day of the week it was. Martin eventually settled on a deal with Richmond, wisely deciding to stay and signed a 2 year extension. All that’s behind us now though, and I’m sure Martin is keen as mustard to put that behind him and prove his worth.
Statistically it was almost a repeat of his 2012 numbers, recording averages of 24.2 possessions, 4.8 marks, 4 I50’s, 1.5 rebound 50’s, 2.7 tackles and 23.32 for the year, with a disappointing accuracy rate of 41.8% down from his impressive 70.2% (kicking 33.14) he recorded in 2011. He also ranked 6th in Total Kicks, 6th in Kicks per game, 7th in Total Uncontested Possessions and 7th in Uncontested Possessions per game.
Martin’s contested possession rate has dropped every year he’s been in the AFL, from 45% in his first year of AFL football in 2010, all the way down 28.7% in 2013, but he uses the extra space well, he was the only MID/FWD player to rank “elite” in both disposals and metres gained per game. Also putting him in elite company, out of the top 50 possession winners only Joel Selwood and Gary Ablett kicked more goals than Martin for the year, and Richmond also recorded a score from 53% of Martins I50’s, which was ranked 3rd in the AFL.
We’ve heard reports from Richmond training sessions that Martin has been training with the defensive groups playing across half back with Damien Hardwick noting:
“He’s shown the ability to play forward and through the midfield … probably the one area we haven’t really tinkered with a little bit is his ability to play down back,” Hardwick told AFL.com.au.
“That’s something we’re looking at this year. He’s a very capable player at creating scores.
“If we can get the ball in his hands through that half-back zone, it’s a very damaging scoring zone, so we feel as if we’ll certainly score from that.”
We’ve seen from players like Andrew Walker that there’s still plenty of potential for Supercoach points playing across half back, so I wouldn’t be too worried about this impacting his scoring a great deal. The majority of Martin’s possessions were uncontested last year, so if he’s getting it across half back, this won’t change, so I can’t see a dramatic dropoff due to his contested/uncontested ratio’s going crazy.
If you’re concerned about age finally catching up to Brent Harvey or about a youngster like Chad Wingard getting tagged, then Martin is a great option for your forward line. I’ve currently got him locked into my forward line next to Dangerfield, and I think they’ll be a terrific 1-2 for your forward line in 2014. It may be a common duo in Supercoach next year, but there’s good reason for that.
2014 SC Projection: 100-106
2012 SC Average: 86.9
2013 SC Average: 87.2
Starting Price: 470.2K
When people talk about the most important player at the Tigers, I’m sure Rance’s name wouldn’t be the first one to be talked about, but he probably should be in the conversation, with Rance being the third Tiger to be ranked as “elite” by Champion Data last year, with the Tigers #1 defender defending 102 one-on-one contests in 2013, the equal 5th most in the AFL and 54 more than any other Richmond player and he recorded the 13th lowest losing percentage of the top 30 in those contests.
Normally we stay away from key defenders because of their defence first mentality, but Rance has a very Supercoach friendly balance between defence and attack, with averages of 16.6 possessions, 6.6 marks, 3.3 rebound 50’s, 7.3 1%ers and 2.2 tackles per game, for a Supercoach average of 87.2.
Rance has been very consistent for the past 3 seasons now, averaging between 84-87 points and having only missed 4 games in that time. He also only fell below 10 possessions the once (in Rd 4 against the Magpies, Cloke was too good for him to handle kicking 6 goals), and had more than 17 possessions 12 times, with a high of 30 coming against the Dockers in Rd 17 (along with 16 marks and a Supercoach score of 147!). Rance started the year slow, averaging only 78 between Rd 1-8, but was hit an average of 93 for the remainder of the year.
Rance would mostly be a POD type pick, but he does have the ability to provide quality scores for you during the year.
2014 SC Projection: 86-92
2012 SC Average: 52.8
2013 SC Average: 80.0
Starting Price: 431.2K
The Tigers would have to be pretty happy with how Vickery performed in 2013, with him being a terrific 2nd option for the Tigers up forward. For the year 12.5 possessions, 5.5 marks, 1.7 I50’s, 1.6 tackles, 8 hitouts and kicked 27.19 for the year while ranking 12th in Total Contested Marks, 19th in Contested Marks per game and 16th for Total Marks Inside 50.
Vickery was the 2nd most used target for the Tigers up forward, and did record the best winning percentage at the Tigers in one on one contests and 8th best overall out of the AFL’s top 25 targets. His final 5 weeks of AFL football in 2013 were a real highlight for him, with Vickery averaging 2.2 goals and 92.6 Supercoach points.
Vickery was also used as a backup ruckman last year, averaging 8 hitouts per game, but his actual ruck work wasn’t flash, winning a hitout from 37% of his contests, which was the 12th worst percentage out of the AFL’s top 50 hitout winners. On the plus side, the recruitment of former Blue Shaun Hampson means Vickery will likely be a permanent stay at home forward in 2014.
Still, I’ll likely be skipping Vickery in 2014 due to KPF rules. He should hopefully post an improvement on his goal kicking numbers up to the 35-40 range, but the fact last year he had more -70 games (6) than 100+ games (4) would make him a no go zone for me. Also the fact we have multiple KPF options at reduced prices this year means we can look elsewhere. I have a feeling there may be a few who jump aboard Vickery and hope he can put up a Cloke like season with his goal kicking and contested marking skills, but it’s a risky proposition to me. Still, he won’t be a total dud and he’s hitting the prime age for talls to have a breakout year.
2014 SC Projection: 80-86
2012 SC Average: 85.9
2013 SC Average: 68.3
Starting Price: 368.6K
Troy Chaplin’s recruit wasn’t a boon to us in Supercoach land, but it was a wise move by Richmond, with Chaplin coming 3rd in the Richmond B&F count last year. Chaplin had averages of 14 possessions, 5.9 marks, 2.7 rebound 50’s, 2 intercept marks, 2.7 spoils and 1.6 tackles for a Supercoach average of 68.3, down 17.6 points from his 2012 average. This was mostly due to Chaplin playing a more accountable role than he did in Port Adelaide, with Chaplin being the #2 guy in defense behind Alex Rance. Chaplin was involved in 54 fewer one on one contests compared to Rance, but recorded a better winning percentage, having the 4th best losing % of the top 100 and his win % was the 7th best also.
Chaplin will likely be in the same role again next year, he’s proved that while he’s an asset to Richmond on the field, he won’t be in our Supercoach teams, so even for a reduced price of 368K, I won’t be looking at Chaplin as a good option for 2014.
2014 SC Projection: 66-72
2012 SC Average: 97.4
2013 SC Average: 83.1
Starting Price: 448.2K
Grigg suffered a 14.3 point dropoff from his 2012 averages, with him averaging 4.1 few disposals on his 2012 output. For the year his averages sat at 21.1 possessions, 6 marks, 3.2 I50’s, 1.7 clearances, 3.2 tackles and kicked 15.10 for the year, while also ranking 19th for Total Marks and 16th for Total Uncontested Possessions.
It was a fairly consistent year for Grigg though, only recording under 20 disposals 5 times (Not counting his green vest game against the Gold Coast) and has only missed 1 game since he’s been at Richmond. Grigg was rated “elite” for marks and uncontested possessions by Champion Data, but despite getting so much uncontested footy (77.1% of his disposals were uncontested), he ranked 21st at the Tigers for metres gained per disposal.
I think Grigg could start to find himself in the same position as Nathan Foley did last year as he saw his role slightly reduced as the younger players start getting more midfield time. Still, after his sub game in Rd 16 he then went on to average 94.42 between Rd 17-23 proving that he’s far from cooked yet. Still, I think there isn’t huge room for improvement in Grigg next year and at best will put up similar numbers again. Better value is had elsewhere in 2014.
2014 SC Projection: 82-88
2012 SC Average: 70.7
2013 SC Average: 68.8
Starting Price: 334.1K
Traded from Carlton for Richmond’s 2nd round pick, Hampson has been brought to the Tigers to provide some backup for Ivan Maric, as well as sitting forward and also allowing Ty Vickery to concentrate on kicking goals. Hampson played his fewest amount of games (6) for the Blues since his debut year in 2007 and he didn’t play a single game for the Blues after Rd 7. For the year he had averages of 10.5 possessions, 4.3 marks, 11.7 hitouts, 1 clearance and kicked 3.5 in his 6 games. He did rank 6th in Contested Marks per game at a rate of 2, which does show he has some skill as a tall marking forward.
Hampson didn’t produce a whole lot while playing last year, never kicking multiple goals and was held goalless in 3 of his games. He also recorded the worst kicking rating of any forward in the AFL (36.8% efficiency) to play at least 6 games. I’ve heard the word “unco” used to describe him, which might be mean, but a fairly accurate assessment of him at times. His VFL numbers were better, averaging 11 possessions and 29 hitouts per game.
I think Hampson may be the classic case of the AFL just being a level where he’s barely keeping his head above water, but he’s a big unit, so he has his uses. Don’t expect anything better from Hampson while he’s wearing the black and yellow next year, but rejoice Tiger fans because now you’ll get to take a look at Megan Gale in the stands every time Hampson manages to accomplish anything of worth out on the field.
2014 SC Projection: 64-70
2012 SC Average: 46.4
2013 SC Average: 70.6
Starting Price: 304.6K
It seems like only yesterday that I was down at Footy Park watching Chris Knights boot 60m bombs towards the goals with his massive left foot kick. He kicked 43 goals in 2009, and the Barron thought for sure the Crows had their next superstar on their hands. Unfortunately for Knights, injuries have cruelled what was once a promising looking career, with him only playing 31 games of AFL football in the past 4 years. During his brief 2013 season Knights averaged 17.2 possessions, 5 marks, 2.6 I50’s, 1.6 tackles and kicked 6.5.
Knights could only manage 5 games in his first year at the Tigers before suffering a torn patella tendon during Richmond’s Rd 7 clash against Port Adelaide. It’s a shame too as he showed some tremendous form the week before in a game against Geelong where he recorded 24 possessions, 9 marks, kicked 1.2 and had a Supercoach score of 104.
As much as I love Knights, it’s simply a case of his injury history makes him too risky to pick. He also hasn’t received any injury discount, he started last year at 248K and was at 321K by Rd 7. He was a boom or bust pick last year, one that didn’t pan out, so I don’t think there will be many who’ll take that chance again on him at 300K in 2014.
2014 SC Projection: 66-72
2012 SC Average: 113.4
2013 SC Average: 96.9
Starting Price: 522.6K
Another ex-Crow I wish was still at the club, Maric had an outstanding 2012, his first year as a Tiger where he averaged 113.4 Supercoach points and went from being called a “he’ll do for now, but Richmond will still need to find someone better” ruck option at the start of the year to “wow, he’s really good!” ruck option at by the end of the season. Unfortunately he couldn’t repeat his form in 2013, with his 113.4 average falling 16.5 points to 96.9 (He also caused many sleepless nights for the Barron as I started with Maric in my initial squad). For the year he averaged 12.9 possessions, 3.4 marks, 3.6 clearances and 23.2 hitouts in 2013, down from the 15.9 possessions, 4.4 marks and 31 hitouts he averaged the previous season. He also went from ranking 7th in Hitouts per game in 2012 to 18th in 2013. With the decrease in his numbers across the board, it’s easy to see why his SC average fell along with it.
Even with all that bad news, Maric still ranked “elite” in centre clearances and overall clearances, only one of two ruckman to do so. And while he only won 38% of his rucked contests, which was ranked 34th out of the top 50, he recorded a hitout to advantage rate of 32.1% (up from the 28.2% he recorded in 2012), which was 2nd best in the AFL.
Still, the Tigers adding Shaun Hampson means Maric will likely repeat his 2013 scores. We’ve seen with likes of Mumford and McEvoy that for the majority “classic” ruckmen, the difference between the big 110+ averages and averages in the 90’s is if the team plays a 2nd ruckman or not.
2014 SC Projection: 94-100
2012 SC Average: 90.8
2013 SC Average: 85.0
Starting Price: 458.5K
Jack Riewoldt had his lowest goal tally since 2009, kicking 58.33 for the year, but this was more because the Tigers have started to use him in the team game, having him move up the ground at times to open up the forward 50 and cut down on their reliance on him to win them games. For the year Riewoldt averaged 12.9 possessions, 5.1 marks, 2 I50’s and 1.9 tackles. He also ranked 20th in Total Contested Marks, 4th for Total Marks Inside 50, 3rd for Marks Inside 50 per game, 6th in Total Goals and 20th for Time on Ground %.
Despite kicking fewer goals, his more team oriented approach meant he recorded career highs in goal and score assists, ranking 7th in Goal Assists per game and 3rd in Total Goal Assists. J. Riewoldt was the 6th most used target inside the forward 50 in 2013 and recorded the 2nd highest retention rate behind Jarryd Roughead.
Despite his average, he’s still the classic yo-yoing KPF that are super frustrating in Supercoach. He had 4 100+ scores in 2013, and 6 -70 scores, I think Richmond will continue to use him the same way next year, so this sort of statistic just isn’t going to cut it for us. He’ll likely be a top 5 forward next year, but he’s not worth a buy in Supercoach.
2014 SC Projection: 84-90
Quick list of lower ranked players to keep your eyes on during pre-season
Liam McBean -FWD – 123.9K
Matt McDonough – FWD – 155.3K
Ben Lennon – FWD – 162.3KK
And that’s how the Barron see’s Richmond’s fortunes playing out in 2014. Any players you’ve got an opinion on? Or anyone you think is gonna boom or bust? Let us know in the comments below or hit us up on the Twitter machine @BarronVonCrow
Barron Von Crow