FLESH FOR FANTASY Prelim Final Week
Carnage. Sheer carnage. Last weekend threw up some amazingly poor scores from those we rely on most – particularly when we need them most.
37 from Heath Shaw, 62 from Trent Cotchin, 78 from Nathan Fyfe, 30 from Aaron Sandilands, 60 from Jarryd Roughead and 25 from Dustin Martin. Those who managed to score highly missed out on the majority of these score, whilst for most (like myself) it was a bitter pill to swallow.
However, many would have had the week off or may have been lucky to scrape through. For those, forget the past and focus on what lies ahead – a big preliminary final and a ticket to the big dance.
Lots of defensive issues this week, so let’s begin!
“GET HIM IN”ROBERT MURPHY (WBD) DEF – $394,900 DT/$506,000 SC – Next 2 Games: BRIS (A), MELB (H)
– Recent Scores: 79, 147, 107, 90, 103
A man who’s benefited from the Dogs’ recent good run of form is Bob Murphy. Scores of 147, 107, 90 and 103 have coincided with a win over West Coast, a competitive effort against Sydney, and wins v Carlton and Adelaide.
Key reason for his form rise is the fact he’s finding more of the footy, averaging a touch under 27 disposals per game. Owned by 2.69% of teams, and a clash against Melbourne in Grand Final week beckoning, he could be the ideal replacement for Heppell/Hartlett.HARLEY BENNELL (GCS) MID – $422, 600 DT/$490,500 SC – Next 2 Games: STK (A), GWS (H)
– Recent Scores: 75, 61, 123, 122, 137
Many who jumped on early in season are wondering just where this form came from. An average of 127 over his last 3, Harley has come from nowhere, and with an ownership of 0.70%, he could be the ultimate POD given Gold Coast’s run home – St Kilda and GWS.
A key reason for his sudden rise to form is the new found attention Gary Ablett has been receiving. It’s freeing up Bennell to do as he pleases as sides are now following Melbourne’s suit and applying a really hard tag on Gaz. Worth the punt even in the run home if you need a POD to book a spot in the Grand Final.LACHIE NEALE (FRE) MID – $353,100 DT/$412,700 SC – Next 2 Games: PORT (H), STK (A)
– Recent Scores: 63, 104, 95, 120, 113
Lachie’s form has gone unnoticed to the point where I almost didn’t bother opening up his page on SuperCoach. Glad I did because I’ve nutted out a gem. Benefiting from an easy run home, Lachie has collected 26, 24, 26 and 30 touches in his last 4 and looks to have found his role under Ross the Boss.
With Hayden Ballantyne not expected to return ‘till right on finals time, Lachie won’t be squeezed out of the team and is safe until key players return. It’s a punt, but recent form and run home suggests he can keep it up and could be the finals winner you can brag about for years to come.JED ADCOCK (BRIS) DEF – $391,400 DT/$447,400 SC – Next 2 Games: WBD (H), GEE (A)
– Recent Scores: 81, 105, 90, 89, 107
His scoring this season hasn’t been ultra-premium like, but they have been consistent scores. You’ll get what you pay for with Jed. He hasn’t dropped under 80 since round 13. His stats seem to be consistent too. When he’s not collecting 25+ disposals, Jed will lay high number of tackles.
If you’re stuck with Heppell/Hartlett and out of cash, Adcock is an option if you want to play it safe. Guarantee 80+ scores (no different to Hartlett/Heppell ATM) and is cheaper than those 2 lads. Worth considering, similar scorer to Corey Enright.
“GET HIM OUT”HAMISH HARTLETT (PORT) DEF/MID – $422,700 DT/$460,700 SC – Next 2 Games: Suspended
– Recent Scores: Irrelevant
Suspended for rest of regular season. Will play no further part in SuperCoach finals. If you’ve got him, dump him.DYSON HEPPELL (ESS) DEF/MID – $404,300 DT/$407,800 SC – Next 2 Games: CARL (A), RICH (H)
– Recent Scores: 81, 99, 77, 86, 39
Dyson too has been ruled out this week. However, is expected to return v Richmond. Wouldn’t hold onto him now we’re at the do or die stage. Turn him into a consistently high scorer and not sub to bench for a risk.
– Cyril Rioli (HAW), BE 79
– Brett Deledio (RICH), BE 42
– Marc Murphy (CARL), BE 49
– Todd Goldstein (NM), BE 99
– Jobe Watson (ESS), BE 77
– Brendon Goddard (ESS), BE 78
– Joel Selwood (GEE), BE 89
– Jimmy Bartel (GEE), BE 85
– David Mundy (FRE), BE 89
– Paul Duffield (FRE), BE 56
– Josh P Kennedy (SYD, BE 56
– Nick Riewoldt (STK), BE 75
– Rory Sloane (ADEL), BE 62
– Lance Franklin (HAW), BE 120
– Dayne Beams (COLL), BE 149
– Heath Shaw (COLL), BE 163
– Dustin Martin (RICH), BE 168
– Trent Cotchin (RICH), BE 169
– Gary Ablett Jr (GCS), BE 182
– Brent Harvey (NM), BE 192
– Josh J Kennedy (WCE), BE 158
– Steve Johnson (GEE), BE 138
– Tom Rockliff (BRIS), BE 141
– Nathan Fyfe (FRE), BE 146
– Kieren Jack (SYD), BE 186
– Dan Hannebery (SYD), BE 143
– Jack Steven (STK), BE 123
– Tom Liberatore (WBD), BE 134
– Patrick Dangerfield (ADEL), BE 143
– Ryan Griffin (WBD), BE 154
Big round this week, with some serious carnage down back. This topic of discussion dominates this week’s yarn in the pub. Here are the burning questions
ANSWER: At $416,300, he’s the perfect player to trade in if you’re low on funds. 106 in return against Collingwood is promising, but if you’ve got money in the bank, I’d go to a more consistent player. Sides will clamp down on Birchell and he won’t be given the freedom he was v Collingwood. Treat with caution for mine.
ANSWER: Depends on your financial situation. If you’ve got money in the bank, I’d go to a Murphy or Enright. However, if you don’t, Birchell and Jed Adcock (mentioned above) are good straight-swap options for the likes of Hartlett and Heppell.
ANSWER: Well, you’ll definitely have to burn a trade for Hartlett – he’s out for the rest of SuperCoach finals. Use the $$$ and send him to a gun backman. Wait and see with Hanley. If he plays this week, keep. If he doesn’t trade him out. Must have the best possible players on the park to give you best chance of winning.
ANSWER: Depends on your carnage. If you’ve got premium defenders out, trade them first. If you don’t, then I’d try moving Staker on this week. Best to hold onto Grimes now, back him in. Just depends on your current team’s situation. Wait ‘till team selection before making a judgement call.
Well, that’s it for this week’s Flesh. Good luck in what some say as the best week of the season. Glory is slowly peeping its head out in the distance. Remember, any questions can be posted below or tweeted to me at @Mr_Crimmins.