FLESH FOR FANTASY FINALS WK 2
Week 1 of finals done and dusted, with coaches either putting the feet up for a week, putting it all on the line for a preliminary final birth, or into day 4 of their post-season bender.
Even if you’ve got the week off after a qualifying final win, it’s no time to forget the team for a week and enjoy the footy without worrying about Supercoach scores. You still have to make decisions that will impact your team’s performance here on in.
And of course, those who are playing semi-finals need to be on their toes from here on in.
Those after some pre Semi Final motivation MUST listen in to this week’s podcast and/or to Jock’s interview with the man winning Supercoach 2013. Captivating material.
This week is all about getting players in that will give you an edge to win your way to another week in the finals, and beyond. While many will have little to no trades left, sometimes you need to put the plums on the line to paraphrase Jock, and make brave decisions. This is the week to do so because the second chances are done, no more next week if you lose.
Flesh is here to get you one win closer to the Holy Grail.
“GET HIM IN”RORY SLOANE (ADEL) MID – $443,500 DT/$518,600 SC – Next 3 Games: WBD (A), MELB (H), WCE (A)
– Recent Scores: 112, 77, 97, 112, 180
Rory played out of his skin against North Melbourne on the weekend, scoring himself a lazy 180 SC points. This is on the back of some good form of late, and it seems the return of Patrick Dangerfield has aided his football.
He’s not only racked up the disposals, but Rory’s also been a tackling machine – 7 tackles v Fremantle, 8 tackles v North Melbourne. Sloane clunked 7 marks v Fremantle and 10 v North Melbourne. He’s in sensational form right now, and with a match up against Melbourne in the preliminary final, and West Coast in the Grand Final, to whom their season will be over by then, he’s someone worth considering.
CALLAN WARD (GWS) MID – $496,500 DT/$538,100 SC – Next 3 Games: BRIS (A), RICH (H), GCS (A)
– Recent Scores: 104, 89, 132, 158, 126
Due to GWS’ terrible record this season, majority, if not, all their players go unnoticed. However, the last 3 weeks from Callan shouldn’t. Scores of 132, 158 and 126 would just about make him one of the in-form players going around.
Before you argue he’s got a tough run home, every game for GWS is a tough one, and 2 of those 3 scores were against sides entrenched in the top 8 (132 v Collingwood, 126 v Fremantle). Owned by just 1.04% of teams, he’s could be the ultimate POD if you need a player to tip a do or die final in your favourite.
STEVEN MOTLOP (GEE) FWD – $374,000 DT/457,700 SC – Next 3 Games: WCE (A), SYD (H), BRIS (H)
– Recent Scores: 71, 58, 149, 103, 120
It seems the day out against St Kilda 3 weeks ago has seen Motlop hit a purple patch, with 3 scores above 100. He’s kicking goals and getting plenty of the footy in a role that sees him float in and out of the midfield.
While he does have a so-so run home, take note that Geelong’s last 2 games are at Kardinia Park or whatever the young folk call it today. With Fremantle chomping at the heels of a potential top 2 finish, the Cats will not taking the foot off the pedal any time soon. Expect consistent scores in the 100s and a nice POD for those looking to dump Buddy.
SHANE MUMFORD (SYD) RUCK – $391,400 DT/$477,300 SC – Next 3 Games: STK (H), GEE (A), HAW (H)
– Recent Scores: 95, 77, 123, 113, 111
After a down patch in the middle of the year, Shane Mumford has hit form at exactly the right time. He’ finding himself in games and having more of an impact than he was during the middle stages of the year.
While Swans do play St Kilda, Geelong and Hawthorn in their last 3 games, none of them are blessed with All-Australian ruckmen, so Mumford will get first crack every time. If you’re still stuck with a Kreuzer or a Jacobs, Mummy could be the man to win you a final.
“GET HIM OUT”BRYCE GIBBS (CARL) DEF – $390,400 DT/$406,400 SC – Next 3 Games: RICH (A), ESS (H), PORT (A)
– Recent Scores: 69, 60, 96, 73, 83
As the Community’s own Crouching Tiger sang, “How s#%t is Bryce Gibb?” Answer: very. What a let down he’s been this season, prancing around, too scared to get anywhere near it. Many, including myself, were excited at what Bryce could become under new coach Mick Malthouse. How wrong were we?
Dumping Gibbs is a matter of whether you have disposable trades left. Those with less than 3 will be forced to keep in, and I’m in this unfortunate boat. Those with more than 3, and have no other trading obligations, I would dump him. There’s no point keeping this liability and put yourself at a potential disadvantage. Get him out and turn him into a consistent scorer. Nothing personal Bryce, you’re just no good at the moment.DANIEL HANNEBERY (SYD) MID – $401,500 DT/$473,500 SC – Next 3 Games: STK (H), GEE (A), HAW (H)
– Recent Scores: 122, 145, 87, 73, 79
The man many fancied as a Brownlow smoky has hit the wall late in season, and it’s significantly affected his numbers. After collecting 40 touches against the Eagles, he’s had just 26, 22 and 21. He’s not tackling either, registering just 1 tackle against Collingwood.
While he may go big on St Kilda (who wouldn’t at the moment?), he then faces the toughest road trip in footy to Geelong, and then hosting the best side in the competition to end the season. Bit like Bryce Gibbs, if you’ve got some trades up your sleeve, I would dump Hannebery and send him to any of the Fremantle boys you don’t have – they’re on verge of going nuts.
– Sam Mitchell (HAW), BE 64
– Tom Rockliff (BRIS), BE 70
– Brett Deledio (RICH), BE 52
– Shane Mumford (SYD), BE 73
– Scott Pendlebury (COLL), BE 106
– Kurt Tippett (SYD), BE 48
– Jack Grimes (MELB), BE 47
– Brendon Goddard (ESS), BE 73
– Jobe Watson (ESS), BE 64
– Dean Cox (WCE), BE 44
– Sam Jacobs (ADEL), BE 23
– Nathan Fyfe (FRE), BE 89
– Jack Steven (STK), BE 150
– Cyril Rioli (HAW), BE 141
– Brent Staker (BRIS), BE 113
– Jimmy Bartel (GEE), BE 123
– Corey Enright (GEE), BE 120
– Tom Liberatore (WBD), BE 126
– Kieren Jack (SYD), BE 142
– Dane Swan (COLL), BE 140
– Dayne Beams (COLL), BE 178
– Heath Shaw (COLL), BE 137
– Gary Ablett Jr (GCS), BE 209
– Josh J Kennedy (WCE), BE 133
– Patrick Dangerfield (ADEL), BE 130
– Michael Barlow (FRE), BE 127
After the pub had a week off to re-stock, it’s back open and the beers are flowing. Here are the burning questions heading into semi-final round.
ANSWER: Depends on your ruck situation, Chandanraj. I would go Dusty Martin, only because he has more upside, better chance of pumping out that 120+ score. That said, if your rucks a little thin, Minson for mine. Assess the situation, but if your rucks are ok, Martin.
ANSWER: Only if your opponent has all 3. As mentioned in the podcast, it’s all about matching up and getting the edge on your opponent. Keep in mind, Fremantle won’t be taking the foot off the pedal – Lyon said that in press conference recently, and they can smell a top 2 finish. Fremantle have an easy run and you don’t want to miss out on a big score from one of the big 3. Assess opposition and use trades elsewhere if needed before deciding which way you go.
ANSWER: Tough on Stuart, all 3 are similar scoring players. Henderson’s purple patch seems to be over with scores of 85 and 53 in last 2 (edit: most decidedly so.. he is OUT this week), so I’d rule him out. So out of Ellis and Hanley, I’d go Hanley purely on the consistent scores. Ellis could be a match winner, but I’m still not sold on him just yet. Hanley for mine.
ANSWER: He’s not the worst player to have on the field, given his potential to score quite well. Probably is, there’s quite a big gap between his best and worst scores. I would say no, and trade out if you can. But if you’re unable to, don’t stress too much, because as you said, Brisbane’s finals run is quite good and he does have potential to score well.
ANSWER: In short, no. Duffield looks shot, and not the player he was at the start of the season. Jack Grimes at $332,700 would be a better option if you were strapped from cash. If you’ve got $$$ in the bank, or trades to downgrade, send Clisby a bit higher, but avoid Duffield if you can.
That’s it for this week’s Flesh. All the best in this week’s semi-final action. Send any questions to @Mr_Crimmins, or post below in comment section.