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Jock Reynolds Fantasy Footy Podcast – finals week 1

Published by Jock on

AFL Fantasy finals week 1Let the games begin.

Legends will be created over the next four weeks. The strong will prevail. The weak will not. Does your team have what it takes to win a Supercoach and/or AFL Fantasy premiership in season 2013?

We go through a series of weapons tonight. These weapons reside in few teams. These weapons could be the difference between a flag and a flop.

Let the prelude to the big dance begin. Enjoy the show.

 


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Chris

Jock, thoughts on this trade

Staker-Dixon
Tom Mitchell- Sam Mitchell

Could get rid of duffield instead of staker but think duffield has the easier run

throttlefinger

Strong moves. Staker's freshness date has expired. Doubt he'll go ton again. Sam is the man.

Walto

While I agree Sam is the better pick . a lot people always say players who have bad games won't do well and have been proven wrong.
Terlich : scored 25 , is still doing well .
Wines : went down then came up with big games
People said if Hanley came back he wouldn't be the same , what he score 108 ?
O'meara a lot of people traded out because his price was maxed yet his still scoring like a premium despite his 66 this week even though he had a good game.
A lot of people said get rid of Selwood after his bad few rounds now look at him.
I'd say back your own judgement , don't get rid of players after one poor scoring game.

Jono

I agree, when terlich scored 25 he was playing Geelong who are awesome and at Simmonds stadium in the wet with only 19 inside 50s for the game 😉 I think people doubted him too quickly and I think next year I might hold some rookies a little longer

Walto

Yeah I made the mistake of trading O'meara to early , traded him for Fyfe who has been very good of late but O'meara has still been scoring very good.
Surprised people haven't said get rid of Heppell yet given he only scored 77 yet was being tagged lol.

Jack

Not so sure about these "easy" games .. surely there must be big points available for performing against higher ranked opposition?

Zimmer

I agree with this. I think its a bit of a fallacy that easy opposition simply equals big points. There are many more variables and its not that straight forward.

Watto

If you have any more cash look to get in fyfe at 507,000. Instead of Mitchell. He hitting some form and has the easiest next 3

Fabian

Can't wait to listen to this tomorrow on the road to work.

Had a horrid week but still in 4 out of five finals. Missed out one by percentage 🙁 .

I don't want to sound like a douche, but what's happening with the Donors league for 2014. I donated a bit back because you guys are worth it, and I was hoping to be entered in one of the donor leagues. You read my name out a few weeks back, but my name isn't in the list of donors. I'm not fussed that my names not there but I was wondering if this means that the donor leagues are full… or something like that?

Anyway keep up the great work.

Will

Hey jock

I’ve got a few under performing premiums in jpk and priddis. I’m considering burning 2 of my last 3 trade to get someone like danger field, beams, and jobe as pods

What do you think thanks.

SCaddict

Probably not worth it. Would keep those trades for injuries or late withdrawls where they could transmute into pure gold.

Still 4 rounds to go and many coaches have no trades left so these could prove to be real aces up your sleeve.

Certainly if Pridda isn't back this weekend you should burn one but otherwise I'd hold firm.

BestCoastEagles

I agree with SCaddict, trades are like gold. Now is not the time to panic if you can hold for one more week Watson will drop another 35K down to 462K. You can strait swap him for Priddis and bank the other 29K for further trades that's what i am doing. I have JPK as well you just have to keep him now and hope he comes good. Too many people start to panic at this time of the year and chase players with last week scores. Hope this is some help. All the Best Will

jonaayy

hey jock and the community in need of some desperate help,
i have 105k left with 3 trades, i have one spot left in my midfield and these are my options:
1. spend 2 trades and upgrade tom mitchell to beams or griffen
2. use 1 trade and upgrade mitchell or crouch to fyfe or watson??
what are your opinions?

SCaddict

Option 2 sounds good to me. Teen Wolf all the way and hang on to that extra trade mate.

jonaayy

thanks mate

john

def: goddard, scott thompson, hartlett, hanley, gibbs, mckenzie (clisby, frost)

mid: ablett, pendlebury, joel selwood, jpk, d martin, rockliff, priddis, watson (mitchell, viney)

ruck: goldstien, maric (grundy, currie)

fwd jarryd roughead, lewis, franklin, josh kennedy, staker, bartel (daniher, rowe)

have three trades left with nichols going for grundy already this week what to do from here?

Tim

Probly with that cash upgrade dtaker

Tim

If anyone can help me i have duffield omeara staker and franklin all on field with heaps of cash and 3 trades who should i trade first

throttlefinger

Upgrade Staker for mine. He's dropping off significantly and value is making a nose drive. Not sure who else you have but Rockliff if you don't have him. Bartel is a steady 95+

Eefto

Jock, failed to mention Kieran Jack… Thoughts on him, will he keep on keeping on?

Aaron

Have not one second of hesitation to get him into your side

SCaddict

Yes the 4th highest point total so you can't get it wrong having Kizza in your side.

Only knock would be the Swans tough run home with Pies, Cats and Hawks to come. But he's the sort of player who really lifts for big games so even that really isn't much of a reason to pass on him.

Aaron

Crouching on fire tonight with those tunes bloody love it!

Chicken

Should I trade luke brown or duffield to Harry Taylor?

Recently, brown has been scoring more so I'm unsure on what to do…

Aaron

Jock Charlie Dixon is alive and well and fresh as a bloody daisy with an outstanding finals run. Gibbs – Dixon, welcome!

Bruds

Hey Community!
will it be most benificial to use my last trade on getting rid of zorko scoring via goodes and moving staker back and getting walker, harvey, batel…
or
Getting either griffen or jack by trading up priddis or JPK?
Any advice appreciated!

pieofgod

depends how much of an underdog (if at all) you are coming into 1st week of finals. If you really should dominate your opponent id sit on last trade. Ive been holding onto my last one for 2-3 rounds (at Jocks insistence) and with Danger and P.Hanley coming back from injury surprisingly early last round…im really glad i did.

If you can hold this week with relative comfort…then hold.

Bruds

yeah good call, i'm 1,1,1,4,2 in my five leagues but my oppenent in my main was +50 on me last round, also if griffen goes up by too much or one of my mids go down i won't be able to afford it with 95k in the bank, might hold or make a mid round trade if some early scorers perform badly!

Jack

With super cash cow Jaeger Bombastic O'meara still owned by 46% of teams as of Rd 19 it would appear we have a community full of vegetarians Jock …

SCaddict

Sorry Crouching and Higg but I'm 100% with Jock on the question of Big Sandi.

Hasn't scored a ton all season largely because he hasn't been able to get on the park. This is not a new story to seasons past either.

Just asking for the fantasy footy gods to play dice with your aggots with those kinds of shenanigans. Damaged goods for mine!

Also Goodesy is still probably 4 weeks away according to Horse's own words in the post game earlier today so not really fantasy relevant unfortunately.

Walto

Hey guys , finished 6th , 2nd and 2nd in my leagues.
Scored 2106 this week with 20 players . Priddis and Nic Nat.
So I have 1 trade left
My rucks and Forwards look like
Ruck Cox , Maric (Nicholls,Currie)
Forward : Walker , Rockliff , Martin , Zorko , Staker , Nic Nat (B Kennedy , Daniher)
Does anyone know if Nicholls will play this week or is it to early? because if he is i'll switch Cox back to the forward and Nic Nat in the ruck and put Nicholls on , if his not should I use the last trade on nic nat ? I only have 13k so the best I can get is either Franklin or Cloke?

Kevin

What do you think of Charlie Dixon Jock?

Rick Grimes

Couple of questions if you could please help me out:

1) I finished 3rd so I have two bites at the cherry. I have 2 trades left. Should I use them to upgrade, or hope to win with the team I have. Comparing sides I feel I have the better team already, but you just never know.

2) I had been planning on keeping Staker as D6 and upgrading O'Meara and Hutchings to a couple of ultra premiums. Should i still do that or is Staker a liability?

big fella

staker is dropping off more than O'Meara, might want to hold Jaeger and get rid of Staker.

pieofgod

for me its Stakers possbility of devaluing vs the value of a trade.

The key thing there is you feel confident you'll win with what youve gto

Sad truth is you could trade him out and then still loose your 1st final.

Id hold

BestCoastEagles

Hold this week Rick, don't be to concerned about Staker as all Defenders are Liabilities this year. You trade Staker to a so called Premo defender that will more likely will only give you a 100 anyway. Upgrade your Mid's if needed they are the ones that can bang out the 130-170's.. I'm in the same boat as you with trades going to keep them for the following week and use them during the rolling lockout's. Hope this put's your mind at ease. All the Best Rick

Watto

Who should I get in for staker via Stevie j. Fyfe, keiren, danger, Griffen. Have enough cash for all of them just 194k to upgrade staker. Would like to keep some cash for my remaining two trades. First, which players will average more and is it worth holding onto the cash for my later 2 trades.

Sam

Choose 3 of the following:
Dangerfield, Watson, Barlow, Cotchin, Kennedy, Fyfe, Priddis

cotchandmurph

Cotchin, Dangerfield, Watson

jas

barlow,cotch,fyfe

ShinbonerSpirit

Dangerfield, Watson, Barlow.

Genco

G'day Jock mate. I love the website everyrhing you do is top notch. I just have one query over your cheat sheets at the start of the year. Give the disappointments of bennel rich and the like and the breakouts of liberatore and steven etc. I feel you should break up the premium cheat sheet into two parts. A breakout candidates cheat sheet and a premium cheat sheet. This will allow the community to distinguish between the reliable super premiums, and the lesser priced risks like bennel and shuey etc. anyway it's just a thought i had, as many teams flopped at the start of the year owing to these failed breakout players like Zorko, watts, Jacobs and bennel.

Kind regards, Genco

jas

mate next you'll want jock to pick your bloody team for ya

cotchandmurph

finally, rockliff and hartlett, starting to find form

Rick Grimes

One swallow does not a summer make….

BestCoastEagles

It doesn't but a 5 week average of 130.5 form Rockliff does

BestCoastEagles

Rocky has been a godsend for me the last month.

Remy

Who is the best upgrade option for Sam Mayes?
Also, who would be the best downgrade option for Duffield?
DEF Goddard, Ibbotson, Gibbs, D. Pearce, B. Ellis, Duffield (Birchall, Thurlow)
FWD Stevie J, Martin, JJK, Roughy, Buddy, Mayes (Macaffer, Daniher)

Jay

If you can afford it than I'd go Mayes to one of Walker, Bartel or Boomer (probably in that order)
You've got Birchall still sitting on the bench – might look to get rid of him before Duffield – not sure you want to be carrying injured players into the Finals – you can downgrade Birchall to Heath Scotland and keep Duffield/Ibbotson/Pearce!! You're not getting much value from having 420k sitting on your bench!

James

Is it worth getting rid of Priddis for an ultra premium, such as Fyfe? Have 3 trades left.

Jay

Fyfe is on fire and with Freo's easy draw coming up – could pump out a few more huge scores, so definitely worth bringing in..

BestCoastEagles

Yes

George

Does anyone think that Nic Nat or Tom Nicholls will be back next week?

pieofgod

i really hope so mate.

If NicNat has OP as the Jock team have suggested then its hard to see why you bring him back and indeed him having good form if they do.

I should think they'll bring back Nicholls before seasons out going on the GCS press responses that ive heard

Jay

Only 1 trade left & my team is pretty much set, just looking for the final upgrade for Priddis:
Can afford the following:
Watson, Griffen, Cotchin, Barlow, Harvey?
Thoughts suggestions?

Jay

Current Midfield is: Ablett, Pendles, Dangerfield, J Selwood, JPK, Fyfe, Mundy, Priddis (T Mitchell, K Martin)

Top Cotch

Fresh and loaded to go Weapons akimbo in the Jock Reynolds Bungalow. Love it (Y).

Top_Cotch

Been a stellar run over the last five weeks – lowest score was a 2356. Double chance in all five leagues. 4 Trades and 250k in the Bank. Only weakness is Priddis, O'Meara/T Mitchell in my Mids. I want to go Fyfe but the severe swelling in my nurries says don't do it.
Really am thinking I might not trade at all this week as the double chance will save me if I have a mare.

Valks

Save the trades if you have a flop. Like fyfe had him all year, he is a freak. If only he could get his DE up!!

BestCoastEagles

Have Priddis as well i am swapping him for Watson next week when he drop's another 35k to 462k.

Remy

Should I trade out JPK?

Gilly

I am tossing up the same trade, it's frustrating he is getting enough of the ball he has just forgotten that you are allowed to kick it.

I am leaning to Griffen, bit cheaper than some of the other options and the Doggies play 3 of the last 4 games at etihad where they and Griffen play well.

Ash

Hey jock, I have 80k in the bank and 3 trades left, should I trade jpk to okeefe?

cotchandmurph

maybe or even K.Jack

Ash

10k short of jack

BestCoastEagles

Hold and save your trades. If you trade JPK to ROK you are not gaining anything both have a tough final's run home. The moment you Flick JPK he will turn on the 150+ tap.

Starky

I really need to get rid of Zorko as he’s costing me games.

I have 3 trades left and 60k in the bank. I’m thinking Rioli is probably the only option available.

What does the community think? Good gamble or any better options?

I have Staker on the bench for injuries.

Gilly

Coming from a Hawks fan with a man crush on Cyril, I wouldn't have him.

Will be mainly playing forward which will limit his scoring and historically doesn't score well against Geelong and Sydney.

I traded him to Monfries after about the 4th game and he has been solid. Probably not the highs of Zorko but hasn't had the lows. Maybe in a pinch Michael Walters from Freo.

Not a lot of great options though

Nat 'the Knife' Fyfe

serious question
Who to get out of Griffen, Barlow, Jack, Beams and cotch?
Thoughts appreciated

cotchandmurph

Cotch

BestCoastEagles

Griffen by a country mile

Jack

3 trades left.

Current DEF is: Goddard, Shaw, Hanley, Heppell, Gibbs, Duffield.

Duffield out but for who??? I can get anyone. (Total 634k)

Was thinking S.Thompson, Murphy, the cannon. I dont know?????

ShinbonerSpirit

Bob Murphy.

nick

get Enright then get dayne beems if your mids not set

Ruddy

Who is the better option to downgrade to provide cash for the rest of the year? Mitchell or Staker

Alan

Hi Jock, loved the Pod cast!!.
I finished on top of all 3 leagues. But feel as if much of the filed has caught up in recent weeks.
My question, who do you think will be the best ruck upgrade for Nichols. Cash not a problem. I already have Kruezer and subs in Grundy and Rowe.
I am torn between Minson & Goldsteien and Sandilands. Keep looking at the fixture to see who has an easier run and who is likely to score better. Completely torn on this one. Would love community and Jock opinion…. regards Alan from http://www.inmysportingopinion.com.au

Alan

Thanks for the heads up Jock, More habit then anything. Ill ensure that it wont be done again as I'm a big follower of the site,

I agree Minson might be the go, chances are Nichols might play this week anyway, which might be one to stick with considering who Gold cost play.
Best regards Alan

ShinbonerSpirit

Great podcast boys! Does anyone know if Priddis is back this week?

Watto

I think Johan worst old says he will be a likely in

Osh

I have one trade left: Should I upgrade Staker to Cotchin (via Stevie J) or Staker to Goldstein/Minson (via Cox) Have 152k left.

Joe Carnegie

Hey Guys need your opinions:

B] Goddard, Hibberd, Heppell, GIbbs, Staker, Shaw (Docherty, Colquhoun)
M] Ablett, Pendles, Swan, Selwood, Fyfe, T.Mitchell, JPK, Barlow (K.martin, L.hunter)
R] Goldstein, Pyke (Grundy, currie)
F] Cox, ROckliff, JJK, Franklin, Johnson, Tom Lee (Macaffer, Atkins)

Not sure on what trades to make (7 trades left – 143k in the bank)

All help will be greatly appreciated!

Luke

Hey guys need your hand with what moves I should make:

Backs: Goddard, Heppell, Shaw, Gibbs, McKenzie, Goodes (Clisby, Webster)
Mids: Ablett, Pendles, Swan, Selwood, Barlow, JPK, T.Mitchell, Rockliff (Priddis, Crouch)
Rucks: McEvoy, Jacobs (Nicholls, Currie)
Fwds: Cox, JJK, Walker, Martin, Bartel, Staker (Daniher, Oxley)

Don't know what moves to make, currently 2 trades left and only 11k in the bank.

What would be a good premium upgrade in the leadup to my qualifying finals matches this week? I'm very much the underdog against the opponents I'm facing this week.

Luke

I’m really thinking at the moment on moving on Goodes, since the EMG loophole can only be so effective one week but then useless another week, and clearly relying on rookies like Clisby and Webster to score well could really lower my teams colours.

Luke

With the Goodes situation who looks like the better replacement you reckon guys?

S.Thompson, Hanley or Enright?

cotchandmurph

Enright has scored well in recent weeks,

Watto

Probebly Enright just because Hanley has Geelong in th GF and tompsons scoring is a bit erratic

davidzita1

Selwood, Kieran Jack or Griffen?

Watto

Griffen because he averages 123.3 have melbourne in GF and Brisbane and Adelaide before.
Then selwood, has been in ripping form, 2-3 match at home I think. Has trouble with a tag on occasions.
Then Keiren Jack, In very good for. But can give us a bad game every couple of weeks

Watto

What captain option should I go this week.
1.) loophole Cotchin or selwood to Gablett
2.) loophole Ablett to Fyfe or Watson

Watto

Ive been falling back to ablett scores the last couple of week and have not been happy

Beama17

with 1 trade left and with tom hawkins not performing, would you trade him or keep the trade for back-up

BestCoastEagles

Keep the trade for an emergency unless it is do or die.

Daniel

G'day fellas! Another great podcast! Got I trade left thinking about doing Mayes/a.black for boomer, but with one trade I'm not sure. What do I do? Thanks

Watto

Hey Jock, love your podcast.
I was just thinking it would be great if you could put up a page for the players that were subbed on and off and how much game time they were given. It's a really hard stat to find. Although not relevant no it can be mid season when players prices are "sub- effected". Like Cyril Rioli's and Brandon Ellis's were. I was going to pick up Eliis after his 130 but didn't know all his thirty's before were sub effected so I didn't.
Just an idea, but could be really helpful.

Watto

Although not relevant now* (spelling error)

Weasel

Thoughts on Montagna. 550K but has scored 145, 128 & 122 last 3 weeks in losses. 7 scores 120+ for the season. Only owned by 1% of teams. 'high risk high return' or leave him alone?

Dash

I think he's a good option. He just keeps on getting the ball, and is carrying St Kilda at the moment. His price is good too for the scores he's been chalking up. Has a couple of low scores, but who doesn't this year? (excluding Ablett and Pendlebury of course)

Dolls_87

Been thinking of him myself.. He is in good form, but up against tough opposition in the finals.. would have loved to have been on him earlier in the season, but too risky for mine atm…

Dash

Hey community,

Got one trade left, and bugger all money in the bank. First year playing SC so I made some bad early decisions and wasted a few trades. It paid off early but my team peaked a few weeks too soon. Four options keep going through my head. Finished first in my important league but facing the form team first up. Have been forced to play Staker as a FWD with NicNat and Nichols down. JPK is killing me also

1 >> Nic Nat to Cloke or DPP to get Mumford (with Nichols as R3)
2 >> Priddis (if out again)/JPK to a Deledio/S Mitchell or similar
3 >> T Mitchell to Dixon via DPP with Goddard, allowing me to bench JPK/Priddis
4 >> Hold, cop a likely loss and next week Nicholls and Priddis come back and Watson will be super cheap

@CulCul_Clint

Mate, if you've only got one trade and you finished on top, you have to hold it until your back's against the wall (elimination final). Out of that lot, I'd probably go NicNat to Cloke or someone like Boomer Harvey, as NicNat seems the least likely of that bunch to come back from injury. Priddis, Barry Mitchell's son and JPK are at least on the park, so I wouldn't trade them until grand final week once the name of the bloke you bring in is on the team sheet.

Gilly

Option 4 for me, while there is still light at the end of the tunnel, hold your trade

@CulCul_Clint

Hey Jock,
with a name like Jock, I'm sure you have strong ties to Scotland, as I do having lived here for 12 years. Managed to get my Scottish wife to play Supercoach, and one of my mates whose never seen a game, but is ranked in the top 20k in SC.

Anyway, I've playing the wife in the first qualifying final, have 3 trades left and I'm stuck with the following injuries: Nicholls, Natainui, Ibbotson and Priddis.

My plan is NicNat > Boomer this week, and either hold there or Ibbotson > R Henderson or "Scott-D-Thomp-a-san" if Ibbo is out again. I can wait till Saturday to decide on Ibbo. (Time zones and partial lockouts absolutely kill me BTW!)

My last trade would then be Priddis to any midfielder as cash is no problem. What do you reckon? 3 trades, 4 injured premiums (if you count Nicholls). Who would you trade, when do you trade and who do you hold and hope they come back?

Clint,
Edinburgh, Scotland

chandanrajdb

"whether you're on top of your wife on Saturday night"!!!!…….nice comment there Jock…….people can read it in number of different ways………

Raj……

Beama17

Thoughts on Cyril Rioli leading into finals, after being very poor last week would you think that he might bounce back with a coulp of big scores and finally being injury free, to me in the nexyt couple of weeks he might explode and at 413K he might be someone to get on if short on cash. Thoughts???

Gilly

As above, I love Cyril but wouldnt pick him this year while he will be mainly playing forward. Doesn't score well against Sydney and Geelong normally.

Alan

Agreed, Rioli is likely to score big against the depleted Saints this week, but the rest is unknown, and he does tend to go quiet against stronger opposition like Swans. To risky to take deep into finals for me.

James D

jock i donated a bit of money to you and i havn't been put on the donners page. just wondering if you got the money or not. love ya work!

Joe

Hey Guys need your opinions:

B] Goddard, Hibberd, Heppell, GIbbs, Staker, Shaw (Docherty, Colquhoun)
M] Ablett, Pendles, Swan, Selwood, Fyfe, T.Mitchell, JPK, Barlow (K.martin, L.hunter)
R] Goldstein, Pyke (Grundy, currie)
F] Cox, ROckliff, JJK, Franklin, Johnson, Tom Lee (Macaffer, Atkins)

Not sure on what trades to make (7 trades left – 143k in the bank)

All help will be greatly appreciated!

Beama17

I would upgrade Pyke, who has a big breakeven and is starting to drop in price and swing cox into the ruck. I would then recommend upgrading to another premium forward position in your forward line. Not sure how much Brent Harvey is but he could be a point of difference.

Lukeeejay

You've got a few holes but at least you have plenty of trades up your sleeve. Well done for amassing such a quality outfit with this many trades at this point of the season. There's a few competing priorities at this point. Upgrade unperforming midfield, upgrade to twin premo rucks, complete forward line or finish off backline.

I'd say your biggest liabilities are the holes in your fwd and back lines. I'd be looking to trade Macaffer and Staker. If you're in top 4 you've got a week to generate some rookies and use that to upgrade to premiums the week after. Macaffer's break even is higher than his average so it's time to cut your losses and lose him, use the cash to upgrade a defensive option like Staker (he's cooked and is only going to lose more cash at this point). I'd go Staker to Hartlett and Macaffer to Mitch Robinson. Beefs up your structure, then cull a couple of rookies for cash and boost Pyke and T Mitchell in that order the next week.

Joe

true really good idea, not sure how to go about it as i was also thinking

I could downgrade Martin to Grigg (make 100k) and upgrade staker to Hanley (will have 182k in the bank) or charlie dixon (will have 224k in the bank)

thoughts??

Alan

Hartlett or Scotland. I know the podcast was pumping up the great Scotland to come home strong. I will pickup one of them this week to strengthen backline, Just which one??

chandanrajdb

Scotland for mine……just because he is a proven premium in the past and lately finding some good form and main thing is his price very cheap….

Cheers,
Raj…..