FLESH FOR FANTASY – round 17
Well, the Supercoach gods are turning fortunes more than young gun Ashton Agar. Steve Johnson, Lance Franklin, Patrick Dangerfield, Matthew Pavlich, Nic Naitanui have all caused Supercoach headaches over the past week or so.
It seems just as we’re about to lock our teams down, in comes the S.C Gods from the member’s end throwing down a wrong’un. What will separate the good coaches from the great is the ability to fight on. Every decision we make here on in could make or break our seasons.
We must tackle some of these big issues head on and Nic Nat, Dangerfield and Buddy are all discussed in this week’s edition of Flesh for Fantasy.
So let’s begin!
“GET HIM IN”JACK STEVEN (STK) MID – $428,300 DT/$516,400 SC – Next 5 Games: PORT (H), GEE (A), BRIS (A), HAW (H), SYD (A)
– Recent Scores: 89, 99, 99 106, 127
While it’s noted how difficult St Kilda’s run home is, Jack’s recent form has stood up against some of the competition’s better sides – including 106 v Fremantle and 127 v Carlton. He’s currently ranked 2nd at the Saints for disposals (career high of 25), while also averaging career high tackles. Those 2 100s have come after the return of Lenny, which suggests that sides still go to Hayes first, giving Steven some more freedom. Potential PoD if you’re considering upgrading a Crouch or Kyle Martin for a premium.SCOTT PENDLEBURY (C0LL) MID – $561,800 DT/648,000 SC – Next 5 Games: GCS (A), GWS (H), ESS (H), SYD (A), HAW (A)
– Recent Scores: 132, 145, 112, 154, 153
It wouldn’t have been just if I didn’t mention the current Supercoach king. Scott Pendlebury’s form over recent weeks has been good enough to warrant him temporary stay as the number 1 scorer in the league. He has a last 5 average of 139.2, including 153 v Adelaide which saw him hog the footy 42 times, take 6 marks, kick 2 goals and send the ball I50 8 times.
It’s almost reached the point where sides contending for both the overall and league wins will be the beneficiaries of having Pendles. Not having Scott could be what separates you from the very best in the land, for the worst. If you don’t have the Collingwood champion, I strongly urge you cash in some trades and get him. It’s a must.JACK GUNSTON (HAW) FWD – $424,900 DT/$491,300 SC – Next 5 Games: WBD (H), ESS (A), RICH (H), STK (A), COLL (H)
– Recent Scores: 100, 94, 103, 104, 110
Hard to believe the form of Jack Gunston has gone unnoticed like it has. It took a follower of mine, Terry G (@TG_Footy_Tragic), to point out to me just how well he is going. Since round 7 v Sydney, Jack has only dropped under 100 once (94 v WCE) and is averaging 15 touches, 6 marks and 2 goals a game. Buddy’s underwhelming season has allowed both him and Jarryd Roughead to step up and play bigger roles.
For a man that’s in the form he is, Jack’s only in 1.52% of teams. Given the evenness of the top 4-5 teams this year, I doubt Hawthorn will take the risk by releasing the foot off the peddle. They’ll go hard here on in, which should see Jack continue with the high level of output. Definitely worth considering, ultimate PoD.
“GET HIM OUT”DEAN TERLICH (MELB) DEF – $410,300 DT/$424,700 SC – Next 5 Games: BRIS (H), NM (H), GWS (A), GCS (A), FRE (H)
– Recent Scores: 88, 88 107, 119, 27
I’ll be sad to see Dean Terlich leave ‘Crimmins’ Class’. When Bryce Gibbs was out, he stepped up and scored 100+. More recently, he’s been more than serviceable replacing Paul Duffield. However, it’s now time to say goodbye. The 27 on weekend v Geelong will see the beginning of Dean leaking value.
The old saying goes, know when to hold them, and know when to fold them. It’s time to fold, and given the value he’s yielded, there should be no issues turning him into a Hanley or Heppell. From all of us here at the community, thank you for your services Dean. Not sure where myself, and thousands of coaches out there, would’ve been without your bench coverage.NIC NAITANUI (WCE) RUCK/FWD – $374,400 DT/$481,900 SC – Next 5 Games: SYD (H), WBD (A), GCS (H), ESS (A), GEE (H)
– Recent Scores: 109, 114, 73, 79, 69
The community’s own Jay Clark from Herald Sun reported this morning that the Eagles have been advised to rest Nic Nat in fears he may have Osteitis Pubis. There are rumors he may also be having issues with his back. Any way you look at it, Nic Nat isn’t fit, and it’s bloody frustrating for the thousands of coaches that traded him in, including myself.
Given how delicate things are getting as we head towards the latter stages of the season, it’s time to say goodbye to Nic Nat. His injury could be a burden on sides that can’t trade him out in the finals. Burn the trade you have left now and get rid of him while he still possesses some value. You really don’t want to be stuck with him come week 1 of an elimination final because you didn’t have the trades to dump him. When in doubt, get him out.
PATRICK DANGERFIELD – WHAT DO WE DO?
There are reports circling that Patrick could miss anywhere from 1 to 4 weeks with an AC joint injury. That’s the worst news we could hear, as it creates serious confusion. What do we do with a player that could be back next week, but also could miss 4 weeks? If you’ve got Tom Mitchell sitting on your bench, I would hold Patrick until news of his injury becomes a bit clearer. Even Brad Crouch, who many still have, may benefit with Dangerfield out.
However, if you have limited cover, I would consider maybe trading him out for Pendlebury if you don’t have him. As mentioned above, Scott is a MUST if you are to contend for both the overall or the league win. Michael Barlow also one worth considering if you are going to trade him out. For mine, I would hold for at least 1 more week if you can and give yourself more time to assess the field, and who knows, he may be back next week, but I’m not counting on it.
– Scott Pendlebury (COLL), BE 94
– Dane Swan (COLL), BE 87
– Brad Crouch (ADEL), BE 41
– Travis Boak (PORT), BE 85
– Joel Selwood (GEE), BE 46
– Trent Cotchin (RICH), BE 97
– Dustin Martin (RICH), BE 84
– Matthew Kreuzer (CARL), BE 79
– Tom Rockliff (BRIS), BE 27
– Brent Staker (BRIS), BE 9
– Pearce Hanley (BRIS), BE 47
– Nick Malceski (SYD), BE 56
– Tom Mitchell (SYD), BE 21
– Brett Goodes (WBD), BE 39
– Patrick Dangerfield (ADEL), BE 172
– Cyril Rioli (HAW), BE 185
– Jimmy Bartel (GEE), BE 137
– Dean Terlich (MELB), BE 117
– Gary Ablett Jr (GCS), BE 179
– Jaeger O’Meara (GCS), BE 121
– Bryce Gibbs (CARL), BE 176
– Ryan Griffin (WBD), BE 207
– Michael Barlow (FRE), BE 155
– Aaron Sandilands (FRE), BE 267
Thanks for the inundation this week. Nothing brings me more joy than seeing my Tweeter blow itself up with questions. Here are the burning issues heading into this week’s action
ANSWER: As mentioned above, it really depends on what’s available on your bench. If you have Tom Mitchell, you could bring him off the bench and hold Patrick for at least one more. But if you don’t, I would strongly suggest trading, but only for a top of the range premium. Personally, I would hold 1 week and assess next week, but really depends on where you sit in overall/league and if you’ve got cover. It’s a delicate situation, that’s for sure.
ANSWER: You have the luxury of trades up your sleeve. I would hold Ivan Maric. Has had a good couple of weeks, and may begin to play some good football as we head towards finals. Trade him out on eve of finals if he begins to play poorly. Buddy, on the other hand, with the trades you have, I would dump him. He’s too inconsistent this year, and word of a knee injury could keep him out for a little while. He’s still some value, a good launching pad to a premium forward. Keep Maric (for now), dump Buddy.
ANSWER: That is a dilemma. I would dump Vlastuin, only because I like Darling’s scoring potential more than Vlas’. 109 and 88 in 2 of his past 3 games for Jack is a good sign. I would hold onto him for a little while long and assess as we get closer to finals. Vlastuin is cooked, and the quicker you trade him down for cash, the better.
Anyway, all the best this weekend community. Remember to send any questions to @Mr_Crimmins or any of the great members of this fine establishment. May you score hard, and score well.