FLESH FOR FANTASY – round 16
Well, what an interesting round of fantasy football. We lost Gaz before a ball was even kicked, premiums pulled out some big scores and Jobe Watson injured himself in the last game of the round.
So while we await the return of Stevie J, we’re faced with one of the toughest decisions of the season – what to do with Jobe? This period seems to be the calm before the SuperCoach storm, before the general starts playing with our fortunes and decisions are ended prematurely.
This whole Jobe saga is merely a stone being thrown into calm water, a ripple affect that will impact many coaches throughout the league. It’s a Jobe-heavy theme in this week’s Flesh, as we deal with the ripple before the rip.
“GET HIM IN”JOEL SELWOOD (GEE) MID – $451,800 DT/$528,700 SC – Next 5 Games: MELB (H), ADEL (A), STK (H), NM (A), PORT (H)
– Recent Scores: 73, 137, 135, 54, 151
There have been few players in the competition that have given coaches a roller-coaster ride like Joel Selwood. The consistency of previous seasons has eluded the Geelong skipper in 2013, with his average disposals down. However, in 3 of his past 4 weeks (minus Fremantle game), he’s had 34, 31 and 29 touches, so he’s starting to hit some form. With an easy run of games coming up (none v a top 8 side), Joel Selwood could be in for a big 2nd half of the season and a nice sideways trade for Jobe Watson.MICHAEL TALIA (WBD) DEF – $305,500 DT/$379,200 SC – Next 5 Games: ESS (H), HAW (A), WCE (H), SYD (H), CARL (A)
– Recent Scores: 69, 94, 90, 77, 129
The recently nominated Rising Star, Michael Talia has been somewhat of a revelation since coming into the Dogs side. Talia has been gathering high numbers, including 32 touches on weekend v GWS, and now should come into trade-in considerations. The Dogs love to play at Etihad and play 6 of their last 8 games there, which will suit Talia, scoring 94 and 90 in his last 2 games there. Like Colin Garland, keep an eye on Michael Talia. If scores like v GWS become regulars, Michael could be the ultimate POD come finals time.DAVID MUNDY (FRE) MID – $475,000 DT/$534,600 SC – Next 5 Games: WCE (A), RICH (A), ADEL (H), CARL (A), GWS (H)
– Recent Scores: 104, 131, 81, 139, 120
One of Jock’s favourite, Mundy is one to definitely consider if you need to trade Watson into someone. Has been super this season, and if last season is anything to go by, he’s cherry ripe for a huge finish this year. He’s a tall midfielder, which means that he’s able to go forward and play as a target if need be – saw this v Brisbane a few weeks ago (139 SC points). Also heavily noted is their run in the finals, and if you’ve been absent from the Jock Reynolds’ website throughout the bye period, Fremantle play GWS, Melb, Port and St Kilda through the finals. A perfect near straight swap for Jobe, a must consider.
“GET HIM OUT”
At this stage of the season, I personally wouldn’t go trading out players willy nilly on the back of a couple of poor games. If you do trigger trade, and the bloke you trade in gets injured, that’s 2 trades you’ve burnt. Better off holding and getting a better look at the market closer to finals. However, if you’re gunning for the overall win, you’re patience won’t be as good. But that said, you would’ve weaseled out the poor scorers by now.
There is one trade that needs to be made in my opinion, no matter what your plan of attack is…JOBE WATSON (ESS) MID – $433,500 DT/$528,900 SC – Next 5 Games: Injured.
– Recent Scores: Won’t matter, on the sidelines
Bloody hell. How frustrating is this? If they is one player we didn’t want to get injured is Jobe Watson – an ultra premium. These are the guys we did all the downgrading and trading for, so we could get them in and bank their 120+ scores. Now, we’re trading one out. Many may consider holding him, which may work if you’ve got BARRY MITCHELL’S SON sitting on the bench. If you don’t you have him, time to move Watson on. This is a critical stage of the season, and if you’re one ultra premium down, it could affect your overall ranking/finals aspirations. A cruel blow, but must be dealt with accordingly.
– Brett Goodes (WBD), BE 67
– Nathan Hrovat (WBD), BE -8
– Matthew Leuenberger (BRIS), BE 73
– Pearce Hanley (BRIS), BE 43
– Brett Staker (BRIS), BE 16
– Tom Nicholls (GCS), BE 17
– Sam Mitchell (HAW), BE 66
– Brad Crouch (ADEL), BE -6
– Dean Terlich (MELB), BE 38
– Tom Mitchell (SYD), BE 4
– Ryan O’Keefe (SYD), BE 70
– David Mundy (FRE), BE 69
– Hamish Hartlett (PORT), BE 74
– Dane Swan (COLL), BE 142
– Scott Pendlebury (COLL), BE 125
– Heath Shaw (COLL), BE 154
– Marc Murphy (CARL), BE 185
– Bryce Gibbs (CARL), BE 143
– Andrew Walker (CARL), BE 134
– Ryan Griffin (WBD), BE 138
– Nick Vlaustin (RICH), BE 155
– Dustin Martin (RICH), BE 132
– Brett Deledio (RICH), BE 158
– Jarryd Roughead (HAW), BE 134
– Lance Franklin (HAW), BE 128
– Nic Naitanui (WCE), BE 128
– Dean Cox (WCE), BE 128
– Josh P Kennedy (SYD), BE 127
– Matthew Pavlich (FRE), BE 145
– Nathan Fyfe (FRE), BE 156
– Aaron Sandilands (FRE), BE
Thanks again community for the inundation of questions. We’re starting to hit a critical stage in the season, and for many, a helping hand is needed. Here are the burning issues going into round 16.
ANSWER: First things first, the issue between O’Keefe and Jack is an interesting one. For mine, I would go Jack purely on his scores. Form is everything this time of year, and you can’t go past someone like Jack, who is scoring consistent 120+. As for sideways trade for Watson, it’s a frustrating decision to make given the quality of Jobe, but for me, there are a number of options. Kieren Jack is one at $555,300. Also like Joel Selwood at $528,700. They would probably be the 2 options I’d consider in replacing Watson.
ANSWER: You wouldn’t be alone in this situation, with many very close to completely their SuperCoach sides. For mine, out of those 3, Barlow is the man if you have the coin. Easy run in finals and is in great form ATM, with 7 straight scores of 100+ (including a last 5 average of 129). However, if you don’t have the coin to go up to a Barlow, Jack is the better option out of him and Selwood. Like you said, Selwood isn’t the consistent premium we were hoping this season and Jack has been a revelation. So, in that case, go Barlow, but if can’t afford, Kieren Jack.
ANSWER: Yeah this is a real interesting question, with an argument for both sides. On one hand, going to an ultra premium is just about guaranteed 120+ each week. However, PODs are what can be the different from a finals victory or not. I think your decision should depend on the form of the POD. In your case, Priddis has been a very consistent scorer; with walk up 100s every game. Stanton has been a bit more up and down, and with the injury concerns, I would strongly consider sending him to an ultra. So for mine, keep Priddis, but ignore Stanton’s potential as a POD and send him to an ultra.
ANSWER: For mine, I’d go Dean Terlich. I’ve grown to love the man as this season’s gone on. So much so that he’s now my go to benchman, can rely on him for big scores despite the side he plays for. I believe his ceiling is greater than Goodes, better to take the punt on potentially gaining 110+ than settling for 90+ from Goodes. Terlich for me.
Anyway, that’s it for this week’s Flesh. Make sure you get your questions into the community. With the events of last weekend, it’s important to remain on tap with what’s happening. All the best this weekend, and hopefully we can have an easy round of fantasy football.