FLESH FOR FANTASY – Bye 1, ROUND 11
It’s here lads.
The beast that lingered in the background all pre-season and in the early stages of the season proper has attacked. The byes. That bastard which will send averages plummeting and cause some serious fantasy pain. As a community, we must meet in the trenches of fantasy football and battle our way out.
Before I plunge with gay abandon into this week’s advice – make sure you have fitted yourself out with all the intelligence that has been published this week to date:
- This week’s Jock Reynolds Fantasy Footy Community Podcast
- Tight Arse Tuesday with Mick The Mad Irishman
- Ruckman Poll
- Jock’s weekly video advice
Last week I gave an overview of how to treat the next 3 weeks. Now on, I’ll be walking you guys through week-by-week to ensure you come out not only unharmed, but in a better state of health than before.
It’s a short Flesh for Fantasy this week because it’s phase 1 of the battle. Let the monster come towards us, and once we engage in battle, we’ll attack. We’ve been through a lot so far in our short time doing Flesh for Fantasy, and have always come out on top. Let this be no different.
Time to begin.
“GET HIM IN”
Jock’s nephew nailed it in this week’s podcast: NO TRADES. There really is no point trading out a player for someone you’ll lose to byes later on. Given we’ll be scratching for every point, don’t put yourself at a disadvantage.
Jock and the boys spoke about it in previous podcasts; the players you want to be considering are those with the round 11 bye, in particular, Fremantle and Richmond. The Dockers have an easy run home, and with the round 11 bye, should not hesitate to send the likes of Moloney or O’Meara to a Fyfe or Barlow. Their last 4 games include GWS Giants, Melbourne, Port Adelaide and St Kilda. Wait 1 week, the load up.
“GET HIM OUT”
As mentioned above, if you can help it, I would hold off any trading this week. But, there are many with players that are leaking cash. I’ll only be giving you those that you MUST consider trading this week. One last plea…hold off trading if you can!!MARK LECRAS (WCE) FWD – $357,900 DT/$359,200 SC – Recent Scores: 117, 65, 47, 81, 32
– Next 5 Games: STK (A), BYE, HAW (A), ESS (H), ADEL (A)
If there was a worst time for LeCras to have a serious form slump, it was now. He is now almost at price he started and has a BE of 105. You could one more week, given he has St Kilda this week, but his form suggests he will only leak more money. It’s almost at the point now you turn him into the best forward you can, suffer the 0 and think long term.
If you’ve got a nice warchest, use it up to send him to a Franklin, or all the way to a Bartel/Stevie J. Then build it back up again when you dump an O’Meara for a Hrovat/Mitchell, who hit the bubble next week. If he was $25,000 – $50,000 more in value, I’d tell you to hold, but it’s getting desperate now for LeCras. Trade him out before he leaks too much $$$ and becomes impossible to trade out.
Many are probably wondering what about Brent Moloney? Well, he has the round 11 bye so his value won’t drop. He is absolutely cherry ripe to send to a Richmond or Fremantle midfielder next week. Hold, then fold.
While it is strongly suggested you hold onto your trades for next round or so, it is important to keep an eye break evens, especially with a few premiums set to drop in value. Those with the bye will not feature in this week’s edition because, of course, their price won’t change. * = approximates
– Luke Ball (COLL), BE 1
– Ben Kennedy (COLL), BE -13
– Matthew Kreuzer (CARL) BE 34
– Sam Kerridge (ADEL) BE 8
– Adam Goodes (SYD), BE -18
– Mark Blicavs (GEE), BE -19
– Mark Hutchings (WCE), BE -63
– Dane Swan (COLL), BE 120
– Scott Pendlebury (COLL), BE 133
– Heath Shaw (COLL), BE 125
– Marc Muprhy (CARL), BE 136
– Josh P Kennedy (SYD), BE 171
– Jobe Watson (ESS), BE 135
– Brendon Goddard (ESS), BE 132
– Gary Ablett (GCS), BE 135
– Jaeger O’Meara (GCS), BE 112
– Joel Selwood (GEE), BE 134
– Nick Riewoldt (STK), BE 162
– Ben McEvoy (STK), BE 139
– Mark LeCras (WCE), BE 105
Another week, another edition of Pub Talk. Thanks for your questions, here are the burning questions going into these dreaded bye weeks.
ANSWER: It’s a tough one, but the call has to be made – trade. You have 2 options for mine. One is Pearce Hanley, who is priced at $516,900. Has the round 11 bye, and can score consistent 100s. Another is Paul Duffield, who is priced a bit cheaper at $515,800. He too has the round 11 bye and has hit form, with 100+ scores in 3 straight games prior to game v Adelaide. I would hold Dixon for 1 more week, then send him to a player who’s already had the bye so you’re not suck with another 0 later on in bye rounds.
ANSWER: I reckon this is probably the issue of the bye rounds for me – what to do with Jaeger O’Meara. Firstly, I’d wait a week. He will drop in price, but you want to use his round 13 bye to your advantage. So hold for 1 more week, then I would send him to any player that’s had the round 11 bye – mainly a Freo/Rich midfielder. This is because they’ve got their bye out of the way, so you won’t cop a 0 throughout the period, and really, we’ll need to scrap for every point. Sure, he may leak value, but it won’t be significant enough to panic. Hold, then trade.
ANSWER: Big fall from grace for the Frenchman. Has dropped almost $100k in 5 weeks, and it’s getting desperate for coaches that still have him. I’m all for no trades this week, but if you’ve got cash in the bank, I reckon pull the trigger. As they’re not a great number of forwards available in the round 11 bye, you’re going to have to cop a 0 for an upgrade down the track, but long term, it will be worth it.
ANSWER: Tom Mitchell is a must for mine; he has to be brought in. You saw what he did in a quarter, imagine in a full game (scary). I’m not as sold on Kyle Martin, only because Nathan Hrovat will hit the bubble next week, so he should be prime downgrade option. Getting someone in this week, if they’re going to sit on your bench, isn’t such a bad idea. In the case of Tom Mitchell, he can come in and start on the field for this round of byes, then go to bench and someone on bench who had round 11 bye can cover him. I’m a believer of holding trades this week, but if you’re desperate to cover 0’s, Tom Mitchell is a good option.
ANSWER: HOLD this week, that’s vital. Trade him next week, and send him to a Richmond or Fremantle midfielder – that being, your Fyfes, Barlows, Cotchins, Deledios etc. This is because they have their bye in round 11 so you won’t cop any 0s throughout the byes. As I mentioned in previous question, you will want every point you can snag.
So, that’s it for Flesh for Fantasy this week. Any questions you may have, feel free to post in comment box or tweet me at @Mr_Crimmins. All the best this round, and I’ll see you next week where we’ll start upgrading and dumping these out of form fantasy footballers.