FLESH FOR FANTASY – ROUND 10
Welcome to another edition of Flesh for Fantasy.
It was a high-scoring round last week, with many coaches breaking the 2300 or there about. We have the usual suspects in Jobe Watson and Gary Ablett to thank for that. Also, those who were still stick with Kane Lucas and Koby Stevens were rewarded with 110 and 127 respectively.
However, I feel it’s the footy gods giving us some SuperCoach happiness before they smash us over next 3 weeks. The byes are looming, and as much as we might think we’ll be OK, averages and rankings will be smashed.
So this week I’ve come up with a something to help get the mind ticking over about just how to go about tackling the bye rounds. It’s a big 3 weeks and can mean the difference in winning league/prize.
Time for some Flesh.
The most dreaded part of the year is a week away, and for many, it can make or break where you stand at the end of the season. While for others, the league win and bragging rights over fellow office workers is everything.
The bye rounds span from round 11 to round 13, with 6 sides having a bye on each of the 3 rounds. Here is the breakdown of which club has what bye.
- Rd 11: PA, RICH, WBD, BL, FRE, HAW
- Rd 12: NM, STK, WCE, SYD, GEE, MELB
- Rd 13: ADEL, GCS, GWS, CARL, COLL, ESS
So as you can see, there will be no way to avoid some carnage unless you’ve really structured your team and got a serious swing set going. How do you tackle the byes? There’s 2 ways to go about it:
LEAGUE WIN APPROACH
For some, the appeal of winning a league premiership is greater than the ranking. If you are setting sights for ultimate bragging rights, I believe you approach these next 3 weeks with an eye on season end. So if you’re in a good position on the ladder, treat the next 3 weeks as any other and don’t be too concerned about poor scores. The team you have at the end of the season is more important than the one you have for 3 weeks.
However, for others, the bye rounds could be a good opportunity to get a few wins under the belt and launch yourself for a 2nd half assault to the season. In this case, I would trade to win. By this, I mean timing upgrades throughout the byes to get the edge over your depleted opponent. It might mean sending O’Meara to a premium midfielder if it means having one extra scorer than your opponent. Plan strategically throughout next 3 weeks, because it could be difference between minor and major finals.
There are also those want the prize at the end of the season, and are gunning for that high overall ranking. This one provides a more delicate situation compared to those aiming for the league win. It’s all about trading smart to ensure you’re not blowing the extra trade you get, while also having some in the kitty for when the general (soreness) arrives in town.
Having numerous dual position players (DPP) in your team is critical for this time of the year. For example, if you’ve got Tom Rockliff (yes, he is out this week, I know) in your midfield, and a Jimmy Bartel in your forward line, you can simply swap Bartel to midfield in round 11 and bench Rockliff in your forward line if you’re lacking mid rookies like myself. Visa versa when Bartel has the bye in round 12. Swing sets provide flexibility to interchange players who are out in the bye and minimise trades used to cover players.
Another approach is to trade your way through. The people at Virtual Sports are very kind in giving us an extra trade throughout the bye period, jacking it up from 2 to 3. So, this means we’re able to cover more zeros and ease the short-term pain. All well and good, but it can also be a trap.
If you’re going to trade out zeros for points, keep 2 things in mind. 1, swing sets. Look for DPPs who will be an asset later in year when the general takes his victims. Also, be smart when you trade. If you trade out a player with round 12 bye, don’t get in a player with the round 13 bye. Get in a player with the round 11 bye, otherwise you’re only going to end up in the same predicament as before.
It’s a big time of the year for those with rankings in mind, and how you attack the next 3 weeks can go a long way towards the prize at the end of it all.
“GET HIM IN”BRENT STAKER (BRIS) DEF/FWD – $132,600 DT/$128,00 SC – Next 5 Games: COLL (H), BYE, FRE (A), GEE (H), HAW (A)
– Recent Scores: 73, 98
The ultimate cheap FWD 6/DEF 6 player that was taken from us at the start of the year has returned. After a delayed start to the year, Brent Staker is back and on the bubble. With a price-rise due this week, do not hesitate to get him in. Rookie priced players won’t come with as much job security as Staker. He will play every game from here on in (barring injury) and as he’s shown so far, has ability to score quite well. We didn’t fret getting him in when SuperCoach opened, and don’t fret trading him in. MUST HAVE this week.WILL MINSON (WBD) RUCK – $422,100 DT/559,700 SC – Next 5 Games: PA (H,TIO), BYE, COLL (A), RICH (H), MELB (A)
– Recent Scores: 102, 106, 120, 127, 109
He’s flown under the radar for the past 9 weeks, but now it’s time to consider the man who can speak 1033242 languages, Will Minson. He’s had just the 1 game under 100 this season (94 v Richmond) and has the round 11 bye. Another club that has the round 11 bye is Brisbane. Most likely your second ruck plays for Brisbane, and I can take a stab at his name…Matthew Leuenberger? Going Leuey to Minson makes sense. It’ll cost you a touch over $100k, but you’re swapping him for someone with the same bye, and who’s dropped under 100 once all year. Going Jacobs to Minson is also another trade worth considering. When there’s a Will, there’s a way.
“GET HIM OUT”JAEGER O’MEARA (GCS) – $399,600 DT/$425,600 SC – Next 5 Games: GEE (A), NM (H), ESS (A), BYE, ADEL (H)
– Recent Scores: 119, 90, 89, 109, 74
You look at that list of recent scores, and you’re probably thinking what mad man is silly enough to get rid of a player like Jaeger. Don’t worry, there’s a method to Crimmins’ madness. Firstly, his BE is dangerously high. 74 is the magic number, and it’s a worry. You don’t want him leaking money during the bye period and unable to trade him out. This leads me into my next point. He has the round 13 bye, so even if you don’t ditch this week, it would be wise to do so for a Fremantle jet like Barlow or Fyfe, who have the round 11 bye and an easy run home. It may not be this week, but it’s almost time to drink this Jaegerbomb, it’s ready.MATTHEW LEUENBERGER (BRIS) RUCK – $358,00 DT/$449,800 SC – Next 5 Games: Resting that thumb, maybe back for 5th game
– Recent Scores: Irrelevant.
Poor Leuey. He just can’t get a good run at it, and it’s extremely frustrating for us coaches who had high hopes for the great man. An injured has created an awkward conundrum. What do we do? Well, if you’re aiming for the league win, holding him might be the way to go. You’re not concerned about how you go in the bye rounds and going to cop the low scores either way. However, if you’re all about the rankings, he has to go. He’s fluctuated a handy $150k and now it’s time to use the big man as a stepping-stone to Nic Nat. How you deal with Leuey depends on way you attack the bye rounds, but I would strongly consider getting rid of him.
– Sam Dwyer (COLL), 39 BE
– Brent Macaffer (COLL), 33 BE
– Adam Goodes (SYD), 34 BE
– Daniel Hannebery (SYD), 70 BE
– Steve Johnson (GEE), 90 BE
– Mark Blicavs (GEE), 19 BE
– Jimmy Bartel (GEE), 91 BE
– Nic Naitanui (WCE), 69 BE
– Josh J Kennedy (WCE), 65 BE
– Matt Priddis (WCE), 77 BE
– Jimmy Webster (STK), -20 BE
– Jackson Thurlow (GEE), -9 BE
– Brent Staker (BRIS), -93 BE
– Sam Docherty (BRIS), 8 BE
– Marc Murphy (CARL), 78 BE
– Jobe Watson (ESS), 58 BE
– Brent Stanton (ESS), 94 BE
– Nick Vlaustin (RICH), -9 BE
– Lance Franklin (HAW), 69 BE
– Sam Kerridge (ADEL), 17 BE
– Michael Barlow (FRE), 58 BE
– Nat Fyfe (FRE), 72 BE
– Dane Swan (COLL), 177 BE
– Josh P Kennedy (SYD), 151 BE
– Joel Selwood (GEE), 140 BE
– Dean Cox (WCE), 136 BE
– Nick Riewoldt (STK), 175 BE
– Ben McEvoy (STK), 179 BE
– Andrew Walker (CARL), 158 BE
– Dustin Martin (RICH), 144 BE
– Tom Rockliff (BRIS), 168 BE
– Brett Deledio (RICH), 144 BE
– Patrick Dangerfield (ADEL), 159 BE
– Dean Terlich (MELB), 38 BE
Here we go community; Pub Talk is upon us for another week. In the perfect world, every coach in Australia will be at the Seaford RSL spinning yarn about our great game. Unfortunately, it’s not logistically possible, but Pub Talk is the closest we’ll get. Thank you for your questions, here are the burning issues for this week. Questions that don’t get answered in this week’s edition will be answered personally on Twitter.
ANSWER: Only you will know if you’re burning trades too fast. As long as you have got enough trades to cover yourself in the finals, when some serious carnage can occur, you should be right. Also, sometimes trades must be burnt to get rookies and premiums in. If it’s any consolation, I have 15 trades left. But yeah, as long as you’ve got a set plan and not side-ways trading for the sake of it, you’re not burning trades.
ANSWER: Leuenberger for 2 reasons. Firstly, Rockliff claims it will only be a week injury and they have the round 11 bye, so he’ll be given extra week to get ready. This injury are tricky in that it could be longer than just 2 weeks, but for now, we got to hold him to his world. Secondly, it’s the perfect time to get Nic Nat in. Leuey hasn’t been scoring that well recently, and an injury like this is an excuse to upgrade to a consistent scoring DPP ruck. Last thing you need is a player like Leuey sitting on the pine throughout the bye period. Make the trade and get as many points as possible in a time where they’re scarce.
ANSWER: Sensational midfield, envy of most, me especially. For one, I’d get Nathan Fyfe. Easy run home, and if you’re planning to get in during the byes, has the round 11 bye. Another player to consider is Trent Cotchin. He too has that round 11 bye, and a reasonable run home. Price has dropped from start of season so you can get him on the cheap. Worth considering those two, but really depends on when you make these upgrades.
ANSWER: Interesting question. Has dropped $100,000 in value from start of season, but that’s because he’s either been good, or very poor. 3 scores about 100, but also 3 scores below 80. While Griffin does cop the tag, I’m not convinced just yet. I would have another look before considering, has the round 11 bye so if he backs up the 155 against St Kilda with another good score, going O’Meara to Boyd in round 12 should be considered.
ANSWER: Great question, because even the premiums can become too expensive. I think you need to judge price based on output. You want to get the best value possible from your purchase – you’re paying big bucks for these players. Bartel’s price should stay around $550k and I reckon that’s good value given his output. Dropped under 100 twice this year, and while he may be a rest risk, I would not let that sway you too much. Bartel not too expensive, get him in.
Well, that’s it for this week’s edition. All the best for this round of fantasy footy. Send any questions to @Mr_Crimmins, and also comment below. If you do have a bye strategy you want to share with the community, don’t hesitate to post that too.
We are all in this together.