Tight Arse Tuesday – Round 10
Sorry if I’m a bit sloppy with my sentences, but I’m writing just after having polished off the last Carlton Draft from my victorious slab. That’s right community, I’m up and about this week after a great win over an arch rival at the weekend. This is what this game is all about! Unlucky “Maso’s Muppets”, but I’m sure we will meet again in finals.
So let’s get into it shall we. Plenty of cheapies out there in Supercoach land, even if there isn’t quite the same buzz as we had with Priddis and Franklin over the last couple of weeks.
Matthew KreuzerAverage 78.5
Current Price $380,000
Priced to Average 73.9
I know I say this a lot, but what a difference a few weeks can make in the fantasy football world. After the first two rounds I was watching Matthew Kreuzer dominate as Carlton’s number one ruckman and was contemplating making a corrective trade before round three to bring him in. Six weeks on and he gets a feature in my “Tight Arse Tuesday” column coming in at ridiculously low price of $380,000.
Let have a look at some of his numbers. The tables below show his scores from this year and his averages since his debut season.
As you can see Matthew started the season very promisingly with two scores over 100 and had a healthy average of 111 after the first two rounds. It looked like he had taken his game to the next level and was building on a very respectable average of 92.35 from 2012. This number one draft pick was entering his fifth season at the age of 24, appeared to be top dog in the rucking department, and all the signs were saying “Breakout Contender”.
So why is he so cheap now?
Well I’m sure you’ve all picked up a recurring theme in most “Tight Arse Tuesday” selections and Matty is no different.
That score of 35 that came against Geelong in round 3 was an injury affected score after he was subbed out at quarter time with a cracked thumb and just 1 possession to his name. He was then rushed back in round 7 to give the Blues some sort of forward target due to Jarrad Waite’s ill-discipline in the previous round. Watching that game it was clear that Matthew had little confidence in his thumb and looked pretty lost as a lead up target inside Carlton’s attacking 50. He only managed 6 possessions and just as many hit outs for a low score of 42. Remarkably this was actually Kreuzer’s lowest (non-injury affected) Supercoach score since his debut season back in 2008, which in my option indicated that he was brought back probably a week too early. This isn’t a score we are likely to see again anytime soon though, as he seems to be building back into form with scores of 80 and 92 over the last two rounds.
Now before I go and get you all excited in thinking Matthew is going to start producing big scores of 110+ like he did in the first two rounds, I’m afraid the dynamic has changed since then and I don’t foresee his numbers getting that high.
You see in the first three rounds Mick Malthouse preferred to play just one recognised ruckman and Kreuzer was Mick’s number one choice over Robbert Warnock as I guess he felt Kreuzer offered more around the ground. However since Kreuzer has gone down, Warnock has been exceptional for the Blues and has proven that he is one of the best tap ruckmen in the completion. He has played his role so well that it has made it very hard for Malthouse to drop him and has forced his hand into playing them both. This has meant that Kreuzer will play predominately as a forward who will pinch hit in the ruck and therefore won’t get the opportunity to contest as many ball ups as he would be getting as the sole ruckman.
However I still think Kreuzer is a great option at his current price. We must remember he did average 92 last year playing in the same side as Warnock and I don’t think he’ll be too far away from those numbers again this season. With the bye (GWS) this week he is likely to tonne up and this will most likely be last time he will below $400,000 for the rest of the year.
The Mad Irishman’s Verdict2013 Predicted Status: Strong Midpricer
Predicted Average from here on out: 89-94pts
With Sam Jacobs causing so many coaches strife this season and his performance at the weekend being the straw that broke the camel’s back for many, I’d be strongly looking at Kreuzer as a very solid option this week. Likewise he could also come into many calculations with the injury to Luenburger and for all those that are still relying on Rookies in your rucks. Seriously Consider.
Mick the Mad Irishman
Mad as a cut snake, tight as a fishes arse, but one hell of a fantasy footballer. Click here for more from the Mad Irishman
And make sure you follow him on twitter https://twitter.com/Da_Mad_Irishman