FLESH FOR FANTASY – ROUND 8
This is the period of the season where men and women of robust constitution announce themselves as “the real deal”. Will you march towards finals with the regimented discipline of a battle hardened warrior? Or will you flail along like so many mangy dogs. Your call students.
The trade table is rich with pickings this week – lets dine.
“GET HIM IN”MATTHEW PRIDDIS (WCE) MID – $392,800 DT/$451,500 SC – Next 5 Games: NTH, GWS, RICH, STK, BYE – Recent Scores: 97, 113, 5, 104
Have a look at that Supercoach 5 he scored 3 weeks back and thank your lucky stars for it’s existence. This was the day that Matthew himself saw more than a few stars as he was un-ceremoniousnessly knocked out. That 5 will be in his price calculation ONLY this week before it becomes forgotten to the 3 round moving average price calculation formula. I could bang on all night regarding the value that he represents but I wont. It’s very simple. GET HIM IN. If you really feel like the low down Mick The Mad Irishman explored Priddis as a selection in this week’s uncouthly names “Tight Arse Tuesday” Click here.PATRICK DANGERFIELD (ADEL) MID – $508,900 DT/$599,800 SC – Next 5 Games: STK, NTH, FREO, SYD, RICH – Recent Scores: 147, 173, 89, 119
Great to see Patrick back in the land of the super elite premium. Here is one midfielder who will be overlooked this week in terms of value and potential to win you a pennant and I would not be at all surprised if this week is the best opportunity for many to select him. I want to alert you to a very important fact re: Patrick and the rest of the Adelaide unit. They play Port Adelaide in the first week of our Supercoach and Dreamteam finals.. just as Danger will be peaking prior to his finals taper. Get on and get on with fervor.LANCE FRANKLIN (HAW) FWD – $406,700 DT/ $459,500 SC – Next 5 Games: GWS, GCS, MEL, BYE, CARL – Recent Scores: 86, 45, 57, 116
I would be inclined to give Lance a sizeable clip above the ear if I was Mr Clarkson. Has been pathetic. And his hair stylings have been an outright blight on the name of the club who he represents. However. Lance will rather relish the opportunity to feast on a tired GWS back line who were powerless even to stop a freshman by the name of Thomas Lynch from the Adelaide football club last week. He will play himself back into form and he will tempt many away from Priddis this week. High break even around the 165 mark… so will be available at this price next week. Round 11 bye.
“GET HIM OUT”JUSTIN WESTHOFF – (PTA) FWD – $400,400 DT/ $469,300 SC – Next 5 Games: CARL, GEEL, WBD, BYE, GWS – Recent Scores: 70, 48, 53
Even the old fellow himself Mr Reynolds – with his staunch anti-sideways trade principles – concedes that Westhoff NEEDS TO GO. He is simply NOT long term Premium fodder.. nor would any self supporting fantasy footballer be pleased to enter a finals series with him stumbling around in their forward line. Has averaged a score befitting a tired young rookie in recent weeks and if you have him – and heavens hopes you have not – you need to show him the door post haste.PORT ADELAIDE ROOKIES (PTA) MISC – Next 5 Games: CARL, GEEL, WBD, BYE, GWS – Recent Scores: Rubbish, Rubbish, Rubbish
They are young. They are tired. They have appreciated enough value for you to make a fair old profit. It is time to take the money and run. Now. All the boys down back, Neade up forward, Wines in the belly. Get rid of the lot of them
And so it is that I turn now to the all important break evens of the upcoming round. Critical if you would like to assess the likelihood that a player will either rise or fall in value this week:* = approximate figures
– Mark Blicavs (GEE), -1 BE
– Kane Mitchell (PORT), -9 BE
– Nick Vlaustin (RICH), -49 BE
– Tom Rockliff (BRIS), 74 BE
– Matthew Leuenberger (BRIS), 66 BE
– Majak Daw (NM), -77 BE
– Todd Goldstein (NM), 49 BE
– Will Sierakowski (NM), -36 BE
– Jarryd Roughead (HAW), 55 BE
– Paul Duffield (FRE), 54 BE
– Jack Hannath (FRE), -34 BE
– Ben Kennedy (COLL), -8 BE
– Sam Dwyer (COLL), 10 BE
– Brent Macaffer (COLL), 21 BE
– Patrick Dangerfield (ADEL), 41 BE
– Sam Kerridge (ADEL), -56 BE
– Rory Laird (ADEL), -25 BE
– Dean Terlich (MELB), 14 BE
– Jack Viney (MELB), -21 BE
– Max Gawn (MELB), -6 BE
– Jesse Lonergan (GCS), -10 BE
– Brett Goodes (WBD), 25
– Jobe Watson (ESS), 158 BE
– Jake Neade (PORT), 77 BE
– Hamish Hartlett (PORT), 218 BE
– Lewis Stevenson (PORT), 78 BE
– Olive Wines (PORT), 86 BE
– Dayne Zorko (BRIS), 164 BE
– Nic Naitanui (WCE), 226 BE
– Dean Cox (WCE), 131 BE
– Lance Franklin (HAW), 146 BE
– Grant Birchell (HAW), 165 BE
– Dan Hannebery (SYD), 135 BE
– Dane Swan (COLL), 166 BE
– Travis Cloke (COLL), 154 BE
– Scott Pendlebury (COLL), 134 BE
– Steele Sidebottom (COLL), 144 BE
– Marc Murphy (CARL), 132 BE
Community, if there’s one thing you do well – you’re not afraid to ask the big question in quest for SuperCoach supremacy. Here are the top 5 burning questions from you heading into round 8. Again, thank you for flooding those in.
ANSWER: Interesting question, and one I too ask myself when downgrading. You want to maximise the cash generation, and this includes those playing on your field and sitting on the bench. So in most cases, you should trade out a rookie not playing for someone who will generate cash. That said, if a rookie has hit their ceiling and under serious threat to drop in value, you got to pull trigger on them first. The rookie not playing won’t drop in value, whereas a case like Rowe won’t so you could almost sit on him ‘til a rookie forward/ruck hits the bubble. But basically, if a rookie has a high BE, trade them first before they begin to drop in value.
ANSWER: In short, yes. Gibbs was one of the first picked at the start of the year for a key reason: he’s a defensive premium. Unlike the midfield, the defence isn’t spoilt for riches in way of premiums. Players like Gibbs, who also as the DPP, is invaluable and when fit will push 100+ every week. Should be right to return this week, and with guys like Heppell and Hartlett not turning out consistent scores, you’d be mad to ditch him. HOLD!
ANSWER: I personally believe there’s plenty of merit behind it, and personally a plan of attack I’ll be undertaking. Priddis is a must this week, and if you’ve got Wines, you simply have to go up to him. A premium that’ll consistently bank you 100+ scores at $450,000 must be snapped up. So that’s this weeks trade now. Next week should be Operation Buddy, and I’ll tell you why. Lance’s break even is still quite high at roughly 146. Even if he were to cover this, I’d back the price of the rookie (if you have Dwyer) to rise more than Franklins. But, if you’re stuck with Jake Neade, there’s a significant chance that, given his form, Lance’s price may drop more than Neade’s. He is playing GWS, but did only manage 109 last time on back of better form. It’s a calculated risk, but one I would make.
ANSWER: Personally, I’d be waiting right up ‘till he hits the bubble before you make any decision on him. He’s coming off a significant injury and a limited pre-season, which saw a set back. Many coaches had Staker in their side when SuperCoach first opened up for this season, and the only reason was price. He is dirt cheap, and would be the ideal trade-down option as his job security would be high. He’s a wait and see for mine, because we saw what happened with Embley and sometimes these things can be too good to be true.
ANSWER: If you had of asked me this a week ago, I would of put Dwyer at the top of the list. A week is a long time in footy as they say, and with a BE back in the negatives, I would try milk as much coin out of him as you can. Sam Mayes has an achievable BE, so hold off on him, but start considering dumping him in the coming weeks. Terlich in similar boat to Mayes, however, he will have that 100 in his rolling 3 week average so BE will remain low and will continue to rise. That leaves the Port boys of Neade and Stevenson, and without justification…TRADE!! Get them out. Both been fantastic in generating cash, but it’s time to say goodbye and make yourself some money.
That’s it community. All the best for the weekend, and don’t forget to shoot us a question at @Mr_Crimmins, or leave a comment below.