FLESH FOR FANTASY
Hello Community, hope you all enjoyed the never-ending round 1 and aren’t licking your wounds like a few of us. Gee it’s good to have this great game of ours back.
I’m going to step away from the usual “Get Him In” and “Get Him Out” segments – that’ll return next week. This is because I strongly believe knee-jerk trading so early in the season is a recipe for disaster. Chasing scores will burn you and burn you badly. If you can, I would strongly suggest you hold off trading.
However, a high % of fantasy players have been stuck with an injury to LeCras, missing out on boom rookies, or like myself, fielding terrible 2nd rucks. We could be forced into making a trade to ensure our teams are right for beginning of league matches and price changes.
So, this week, Mr Crimmins will be taking a class on 3 key subjects to come out of round 1: LeCras, rookies and rucks.
LeCras is expected return in Round 5
Right up until that bump which snapped Mark LeCras’s arm, he was flying. Sitting on 91 and looking bloody good. Now, we’re faced with an almighty dilemma. Jock has spoken about the issue in the latest podcast, suggesting maybe to hold onto him a few weeks and suss out the market. He has to go before the price change, simple as that. Whether you choose to trade now, or next week is another issue.
If you decide to trade this week, you should definitely downgrade. His injury does present a good opportunity to begin building war chest for the upgrades later in season. Here are a few that should be considered:
Josh J Kennedy (WCE), FWD – $299,600 SC/$272,300 DT
– Next 5 games: HAW (H), MELB (A), CARL (H), PORT (A), WBD (A)
– Recent scores (SC): 109
I will admit, this old bat was surprised by young Joshua’s score last week. I had the belief that coming off a serious ankle injury, along with return of LeCras, would see him pull out more key forward-type scores. Seemed the opposite. Kennedy collected 19 touches, 8 marks, 4 tackles and 2 goals. Very nice output. If you forecast ahead, on previous years, Josh has scored quite well against opposition in next 5 games – especially the Western Bulldogs, who he seems to feast on (scores of 115 and 190 in past 2). Kennedy is setfor a big year, and will also generate A LOT of cash if you decide to dump Le Cras for him.
Arryn Siposs (STK), FWD – $316,600 SC/$325,000 DT
– Next 5 games: RICH (H), GWS (A), ESS (H), SYD (H), COLL (A)
– Recent scores (SC): 96
96 SuperCoach points for a mid-priced player is a successful return. He kicked the ball 12 times for 19 touches (84% disposal efficiency), took 7 marks and pumped the ball inside 50 3 times. It was a solid night out in really tough conditions for Arryn (almost like wet weather footy up there). As the season goes on and St Kilda play more games under the roof of Colonial Stadium, Siposs will suit those conditions much better. However, he’s got a tough period coming up, playing the likes of Richmond, Essendon, Swans and the Pies. Long term Arryn could be a very nice pick-up, but expect pain in the next few weeks if you decide to go with him.
Angus Monfries (PORT), FWD – $356,700 SC/$352,300 DT
– Next 5 games: GWS (H), ADEL (H), GC (A), WCE (H), NM (A)
– Recent scores (SC): 112
How about them Power? While they did take on the Melbourne Rejects Football Club, they were mighty impressive. So was Gus, who produced an 18 disposal, 3 goal game for 112 SC points. It’s the type of game those brave enough to select him wanted from Angus – kicking goals and finding a bit of the ball. However, don’t get sucked in just yet, as Melbourne would’ve made my beloved Seaford Football Club look AFL standard. Port Adelaide have an interesting run coming up, with good sides like Adelaide and West Coast at home, along with GWS and Gold Coast. I’d definitely give Angus another week, as he isn’t renown for his consistency, but he’s an interesting case – one that Crimmins will be keeping a close eye on.
On the flipside, you may decide to hold onto LeCras for 1 more week and keep an eye on the market. Like mentioned above, if you are going to do this, you only 2 weeks to do so. Price changes come at the end of round 3, and you’d want to be jumping on the likes of Siposs, Kennedy or Monfries before then. However, 1 poor performance from a forward around the $400k mark could bring them into calculations too.
My verdict: hold LeCras, but only if you have a playing bench forward. Assess the field for another week; see who is performing well and able to back up their performance. At the end of the day, you really don’t want to be burning multiple trades to fix up a knee jerk mistake.
The introduction of the Gold Coast Suns and Greater Western Sydney Giants spoilt us in way of rookie-priced players. We were able to load up our benches and have confidence in them playing every week. Fast forward 12 months, and coaches are still trying to work out the best ones – including old man Crimmins. The added trades in both forms of the game allow us to do a bit of corrective trading. If you have missed out on a rookie-priced player in starting team, don’t stress – you still have 2 more weeks to get it sorted.
These players don’t need any introduction, but here is a list of the MUST HAVE rookies:
- Brett Goodes (WBD) DEF/MID
- Jack Viney (MELB) MID
- Jasper Pittard (PORT) DEF
- Lewis Stevenson (PORT) DEF
- Ollie Wines (PORT) MID
- Jake Neade (PORT)FWD/MID
- Jaeger O’Meara (GCS) MID
- Brad Crouch (ADEL) MID
- Sam Rowe (CARL) FWD/RUCK
These 8 players are ones that will not only generate good cash, but also score at a consistent level. Sam Rowe and Brad Crouch are the only 2 on that list who didn’t play round 1. Shaun Hampson was one that was keeping Rowe out of side IMO. Now he is out for a few weeks, expect Sam to line up against Collingwood this week and slot in as that leading hit up forward. Brad Crouch, on the other hand, was very close to making his debut in round 1, being named as the emergency. However, a solid run in the SANFL over the weekend may do enough for Brad to get a game v Brisbane this week.
If you get your rookies right early, it can set you up for a great season. You still have time to get in the guys who you’ve missed, and get out any blokes that have burnt you so far ie Lee, Currie and Terlich.
THOSE RUCKIN’ RUCKS
I haven’t been able to sleep over this position. It’s driven me to breaking point. Crimmins here decided to go with Longer, a-LONG with a few others in the community. Boy was I burnt. A horrible 55 for Longer, and had Blicavs on bench, who ended up scoring higher (all of 2 points mind you). It was a bad mistake from myself, should really have played Blicavs and left Leuenberger on the bench. To make matters worse, Matthew Leuenberger dominated in the NEAFL on weekend, so now trades must be used. You can’t hang onto a Longer or Smith, that can’t happen. If you do NOT have Leuey in your side, you must get him in if he is selected tomorrow night. This is the third and only reason you should be using trades this week. A good ruck pairing can set you up for a good season. We can lock down Leuenberger as R2 and not touch him all year (except for bye and no doubt some injury problem). I’m now pleading to you community; OUT with the Long, and IN with the Leu.
I’ve opened up the forum to the community over past couple of days, and I’ve been inundated with questions, and I want to thank you community. Here are the questions I’ve answered for this week, and hopefully they answer any you may have too.
– @BennSmythe: Mr Crimmins how many points does Jack “The Bearded Man” Watts need to score in R2 for me not to trade him out?
ANSWER:On the back of Jack’ 48 SC points, unless he pulls out some record scores, he should see a price drop first up. Definitely hold onto him this week, cannot stress enough the importance of holding fire on premiums. For me, Jack’s spot would be under serious pressure. Not only did he score the lowly 48 SC, but he failed to register a mark and had 2 kicks all game. He did manage 111 SC points last year v Essendon, but I think anywhere above 90+ would be enough to keep spot anothe
– @matt_northage: is there a player better than Ablett to have as a Captain every week?
ANSWER: The easy answer would be no. It’s a safe option to leave the C on Gary every week, but he is human (amazing, right?) and he is able to produce quiet games. What will separate you from the rest is picking a unique captain, or a strategic captain – and not just Gary. I’ll give you an example. Geelong went into game v WCE last season without their #1 ruckman. Cox come out, as a result, and scored a whopping 190 SC points. Those smart enough would have picked up on this and gone with Cox as C, given Cat’s ruck situation. You’dbe brave to take captaincy off Gary, but with great risk, comes great reward.
– @ejengua: I regret having no ablett. Should I make it priority no#1 in bringing him in for Rich or Hannebery this week?
ANSWER: You wouldn’t be alone. There are many coaches out there who didn’t go with Gary for one reason or another. If you can get him in, I would straight away. When selecting “Crimmins’ Class”, the first player I selected was Gary, and then built my team around him. He will score big most weeks and have chance of having 2 scores of 150+ with the C on him. Get Gaz now!
– @bomberman73: With dangers break even 220 what do u think of trading him for viney then when he drops 150k pick him back up?
ANSWER: This is an interesting question and one that many coaches will be thinking about. It would be a knee-jerk reaction to dump Dangerfield after 1 game. He did play poorly, but historically, Patrick tends to start the season slow before getting red hot. Last season he didn’t break 100 ‘till round 5, to which he then scored some massive scores of 141, 122, 96 and 173 in next 4 games. Even with the added trades, still treat them like gold. I’d hold onto Dangerfield and maybe trade out an underperforming rookie for Viney next week.
– @StuClark67: Vickery for a LeCrashank Redemption?
ANSWER: To put it harshly, NO! One of the worst things you could do is chase scores. Sure, Vickery did tear it up, but he will not be the number 1 man at Punt Road all year. Due to Jack’s great record v St Kilda, I’m expecting it to be a one off. I’ve already discussed how to deal with Mark’s injury, but please young Stu, DON’T GO VICKERY!!
– @bennyisles: Watts for Rockliff?
ANSWER: This is one of very few trades I’ll endorse this week. I believe there are 3 must haves in your side if you are to be successful this year: Gibbs in backline, Ablett in midfield and Rockliff up forward. Structurally, I selected Ablett, Gibbs and Rockliff, left them there and selected the rest of my team. Rich was tagged out of game successfully on the weekend, which gave free roam to Rockliff. The same should happen again this week. Watts, on the otherhand, couldn’t buy a touch. It’s a trade you won’t regret burning.
– @ChrisWorner07: Trade or keep Beams????
ANSWER: Dayne Beam’s injury is an awkward one. Not long enough to dump straight away, but not sure if you really want to be keeping a $650k+ MID sitting the pine for 2-3 weeks. To be honest, I would actually trade him out. You won’t be seeing him ‘till round 4 at earliest, and a quad injury will limit his ability to do any running. At his price, you got a large number of choices that will give you 100+ points every week. Trade for me.
– @ndummelow: if bailey and hale are name this week should I consider trading roughy? And will mundy get the tag now?
ANSWER: Good question. With the Roughead situation, I would stick with him. Hawthorn will welcome back Brian Lake this week, and I expect Bailey probably won’t get named – otherwise they’ll be going in too big to a ground as wide as Subiaco. He’ll play forward, and alternate in ruck with Hale, which will mean points. Keep. As for Mundy, I don’t expect him to cop tag. Sides who decide to tag him will risk the likes of Fyfe and Hill running riot on them. Lower did a great job in tagging Rich out of the game, and I reckon Mundy might be safe from him this week.
Good luck this weekend community, hopefully we can see some big scores from the premiums we paid so much for (looking at you Mr Dangerfield). Make sure you read up next week, a bumper edition preparing you for the price changes.
Make sure you also tweet yours questions through to @Mr_Crimmins, or post a comment below – may feature in next week’s article.
All the best,