G’day there boys and girls – hope you’re having a sensational week.
When you match Round 17 up against most of the other mongrel rounds so far it must be said that most of us have had a pretty stress free week. Only a few injuries to worry about… your Stevie J’s and your Tippett’s. It is important to appreciate these weeks when they happen folks. Take the opportunity to catch up with your paid work, wives, friends and families. We all know the finals are just around the corner so the time to put time into social obligations is NOW.
As is the case with most weeks I have some real value for the wise Fantasy Footy coach this week… as always, also make sure you have listened into this weeks podcast. Our Travis Cloke songs have set the social media outlets into a frenzy.
BACKLINE BARGAINSGrant Birchall – Hawthorn $498,500 | Avg 98 | breakeven 94 Next 2: ESS, GEE Finals: PTA, GCS, SYD, WCE
My value selection for the second week running. Magnificently reliable of late with 6 Supercoach scores of 100+ over his last 7 matches. With a belter of a first 2 weeks of finals he is hard to look past. Won’t mind things this week against the Essendon forward line – lock him in.Heath Shaw – Collingwood $518,800 | Avg 106 | breakeven 77 Next 2: GWS, STK Finals: SYD, NTH, WCE, ESS
It is a bloody good sign for fantasy footy coaches when a player is soundly beaten but still racks up Supercoach and Dreamteam points. Will be looking to well and truly tear into the GWS this week and this may well be as cheap as Heath Shaw gets this season. Some would query his first round finals clash against Sydney – but history suggests he scores well against them. A real consideration this week if you don’t have him.Heath Scotland – Carlton (also MID) $484,400 | Avg 101 | breakeven 74 Next 2: RICH, SYD Finals: BRL, ESS, GCS, STK
Has been consistent without being red hot this season. Higgo reckons he has a bloody good standard derivation. Reliable choice going into finals. Interesting to note that he has Brisbane first round of the finals followed by Essendon who he averages 122 against, then GCS and St Kilda. I’ve been in close discussions with Heath to push on for a few more seasons. A good egg.Pearce Hanley – Brisbane $501,400 | Avg 94 | breakeven 120 Next 2: WCE, RICH Finals: CAR, ADE, PTA, WBD
Averaged 84 up until round 12, but has ripped out an average of 116 since. The penny has dropped for my old mate Pearce. I often remind Pearce about the day he looked me dead set in the eye and says to me “Jock me old man come here, tell me this n tell me no more… so you think I can make the big time d’yaKnowWatIMeanLike?”. I told him then… as I remind him now… you are made for the big time son. The big time has arrived for Pearce. Get onboard.Jack Grimes – Melbourne $379,900| Avg 83 | breakeven 12 Next 2: NTH, GCS Finals: STK, GWS, ADE, FRE
Every now and then a Fantasy Footballer feels the need for a good old fashioned flutter with some risk. In young Jack Grimes we see a young colt who has proven himself as a potential high scorer. He has also proved himself as an injury waiting to happen… and also a bit of a spud this season. Walked smach bang into some form on the weekend with a lovely 138. Still has Gold Coast and Greater Western Sydney to come. Consider.. but buyer beware folks.Paul Stewart – Port Adelaide $384,600 | Avg 69 | breakeven 32 Next 2: FRE, GWS Finals: HAW, WCE, BRL, RICH
Some of the lads down at the RSL laughed themselves hoarse when I spoke well of this young upstart – but take notes here my friend, Paul Stewart is a name we will hear quite a bit of. Missed much of last season with injury after a promising 2010. A dangerous forward/solid half backs who can run through the middle and provide depth some real depth. 5 sausage rolls on the weekend and 124 Supercoach points to back up solid scores of 104 v Adelaide and 79 v Essendon in his previous 2 clashes. Not for the conversative but one for those of you who need to roll the odd dice.Mark Baguley – Essendon (also MID) $94,700 | 79 & 57 first 2 games Next 2: HAW, ADE Finals: NTH, CAR, RIC, COL
On the bubble and looks the best rookie option for those looking for a trade down in the backline this week. I’d pull the trigger once his place in this weekend’s side is confirmed on Thursday night.Tom Bell – Carlton $104,700 | 75 in first game Next 2: RICH, SYD Finals: BRL, ESS, GCS, STK
Another to keep in the back of the mind in young Tommy Bell. Very encouraging first up effort of 75, of his 13 disposals 8 were contested which is definitely what you want to see in a new young Pup. Watch him this weekend.
MIDFIELD BARGAINSTom Rockliff – Brisbane Lions $490,800 | Avg 108 | breakeven 89 Next 2: WCE, RICH Finals: CAR, ADE, PTA, WBD
Started the season costing $615,600 so has drifted heaps since. We love to pick up our Premiums as they reach the bottom of their price bell curve at the Jock Reynolds Fantasy Footy Community and Tom fits the bill this week. Has just cranked out a 121 against the Gold Coast which should provide him with the spring board required for the remaining part of his season. Reasonable finals run, with his last 2 weeks of finals looking very juicy with Port Adeladie and the Doggies.Scott Thompson – Adelaide $555,300 | Avg 116 | breakeven 130 Next 2: GEE, ESS Finals opponents: FRE, BL, MEL, GCS
May as well just keep Scotty here for the rest of the season. The most reliable midfield option in the team with the most delicious finals run in the business this year. Will forgive him his 92 against West Coast last weekend, he still had plenty of the pill. This week or next week if you don’t have him as his breakeven will keep him affordable for another few weeks.Marc Murphy – Carlton $452,100| Avg 105 | breakeven 57 Next 2: RICH, SYD Finals: BRL, ESS, GCS, STK
Interesting one here with my old mate Marc. This is as cheap as he’ll get – sure. Invest in him now to reap the benefits later. He will attract an absolute crap load of tagging attention till Chicken Wing Steggles Reddy Red Rooster Judd is back in town, but you’ll well and truly reap the benefits when Judd does return come Supercoach and Dreamteam finals time.Rory Sloane – Adelaide $520,200 | Avg 110 | breakeven 91 Next 2: GEE, ESS Finals opponents: FRE, BL, MEL, GCS
Was a thing of bloody beauty with a 141 against West Coast last weekend. No secret to members of our beloved community that Adelaide players are fair dinkum blue chip real estate come finals time – and Rory looks one of the better options. Strongly considerAnthony Miles – Greater Western Sydney $113,200 | Avg 84 | breakeven -98 Next 3: COL, PTA Finals opponents: GCS, MEL, STK, NTH
RED HOT selection this week in the midfield if you have the opportunity and/or trades available to free up some cash. Scored of 93 and 84 in his first 2. Was spoken about with some gusto in the preseason but has finally broken into the lineup. Buy if your situation calls upon a midfield rookie.
RUCK BARGAINSJosh Jenkins – Adelaide $285,500 | Avg 75 | breakeven -30 Next 2: GEE, ESS Finals: FRE, BL, MEL, GCS
Good on ya Joshy boy! Outscored Sammy Jacobs last weekend has come out with 2 very reasonable scores (106 last weekend). Some starting to scratch their chin about the prospect of going Giles into Jenkins this week…. not forgetting the magical finals Adelaide wonderland. Not for old Jock but needed to list this one for those who need to get themselves out of a pickle with some ruck shenanigans.
FORWARD LINE BARGAINSJordan Lewis – Hawthorn (also MID) $502,200 | Avg 100 | breakeven 86 Next 2: ESS, GEE Finals: PTA, GCS, SYD, WCE
Since the Hawks round 13 bye Jordan has smacked out scores of 103, 130, 105 and most recently 116 against the ordinary Collingwood. Was simply bloody tops against Heath Shaw on the weekend and confidence will be sky high going into Essendon and Geelong.. but more importantly Port Adelaide then Gold Coast in week 1 and 2 of the finals.Dayne Beams – Collingwood (also MID) $584,700 | Avg 115 | breakeven 59 Next 2: GWS, STK Finals: SYD, NTH, WCE, ESS
Could be the last chance to get this gun before he drifts back up above the 600K mark. There is absolutely not a poopteenth of a doubt in my mind that fitness being sound this bloke is here to stay as a premium. Has averaged 132 since round 9 – that is Swan, Ablett and Pendlebury like.Clancee Pearce – Fremantle (also MID) $434,300 | Avg 86 | breakeven 24 Next 2: PTA, WCE Finals: ADE, RICH, NTH, MELB
Adored by Ross the Boss and playing a very lucrative brand of AFL Football. Wary of the fact that his last 3 scores of 92, 117 and 125 have been against poor opposition but optimistic about his scoring potential coming into Port this weekend. Worth a thought.Patrick Dangerfield – Adelaide (also MID) $515,700 | Avg 110 | breakeven 68 Next 2: GEE, ESS Finals: FRE, BL, MEL, GCS
I’d be all over Danger if I didn’t already have him in my mob. Bloody love the bloke. Love how he rips into this game of ours. No need to keep bangin on about Adelaide’s finals run. Very nicely priced again and a great 2nd chance to grab him before he goes nuts come finals time.Brad Green – Melbourne $268,800 | Avg 50 | breakeven -17 Next 2: NTH, GCS Finals: STK, GWS, ADE, FRE
Back from his holiday from the senior team. Hungry to prove himself. Crappin himself to keep his spot. Solid scores of 89 and 93 since his return. Melbourne still have Gold Coast (round 19) and GWS (week 2 of fantasy footy finals) to play. A cheeky bargain…. A fair dinkum consideration in my extensively informed and experienced opinion for those looking for a magnificent cheap point of difference. I reckon he’ll kick into gear.
Next 2: NTH, GCS
Finals: STK, GWS, ADE, FRE Has looked real good young Tommy. I reckon he’s a good chance for games for the rest of the season and a very nice bench option for those after a tidy forward line downgrade.
Next 3: COL, PTA
Finals opponents: GCS, MEL, STK, NTH
Cracked another game and was pretty good against Fremantle on Sunday. 15 disposals @ 80% efficiency which Ross will note with interest. I like Tom Couch’s job security better, but nonetheless worth investigation. Will call Ross to enquire in the morning.