Round 15 Supercoach and DT Cattle Market
You could drive into the weekend with some real Supercoach and Dreamteam value this week. Some prime cattle available folks.
We are indeed into the run home now and the finals are no longer a distant consideration. I deplore you all – stick to the basics of the game in the run home. Look for value, look for players who have a decent run home, but above all else be disciplined in your trading.
Here are this weeks specials. Make sure you tune into the podcast also if you haven’t already had your weekly dose of Jock, Higgo and Crouching genius.
MUST have Brett Deledio… then consider:
Andrew Carrazzo (MID) – Carlton
$442,600 – Avg 94 – breakeven 41
The defender of the round in terms of value folks. Is as cheap as he will be for the rest of the season, coming off scores off 132 v WCE then 98 v Hawthorn. Has Collingwood this week, but with Brisbane in week 1 and Gold Coast in week 3 of the Fantasy Footy finals looks a sturdy option. Low breakeven. Bye this round.
Corey Enright – Geelong
$461,700 – Avg 92 – breakeven 37
Has been a thing of beauty for the Enright faithful over the past 2 weeks scoring 123 2 weeks running. Gold Coast this week and on this breakeven now is the time to snaffle him. Will come home strong along with the rest of the Cat line up. Carrazzo has the better finals run which is why I would go Carrazzo before young Corey but a splendid option nonetheless.
Sam Fisher – St Kilda
$412,600 – Avg 84 – breakeven 103
I need to see Sam for another week before advising the community to make a purchase. Still working back into form after his injury and at this breakeven is likely to be at roughly the same price next week. Not the worst selection in the world this week but would rather invest the extra cash in Carrazzo or Enright at this stage of his recovery towards ideal form. Keep firmly on radar though folks, St Kilda have both Melbourne and GWS in their Fantasy Footy finals run home.
Shannon Hurn – West Coast
$471,700 – Avg 96 – breakeven 63
Has pumped out two 110+ Supercoach performances in a row and has averaged 103 since round 5. A conservative option and anticipate a consistent but not earth shattering output from him for the rest of the season. Not exactly an easy sail home for west coast in terms of opposition with orgies against Melbourne, Gold Coast and GWS all behind them. Consider.
Chris Newman – Richmond
$383,600 – Avg 82 – breakeven 71
Could be the perfect time to pick up this proven Supercoach and Dreamteam backline legend. Has Melbourne this week followed by Gold Coast the week after. Has a very nice finals run as well with Bulldogs, Freo, Essendon then Port. For those after that point of difference to snap away from their opponents, with sizeable plums, or without the cash to go for Carrazzo or Enright I would have a real good long hard think about Newman. A real chance to join JR Brumby FC this week.
Chris Yarran – Carlton
$256,300- Avg 59 – breakeven 29
As the great Peter Higginbotham discussed in this week’s Supercoach podcast, this is a game where those who can pick the underperforming player at the right time are generally a long way towards having a solid Fantasy Football outfit. Now young Christopher seemed to return to form against Hawthorn on the weekend with a nice 98. A risk. Don’t believe he will come home averaging over 100 for the remaining games but you will certainly get excellent value for your cash here for the rest of the season barring an injury. Needs to lose those silly bloody fluorescent boots.
MUSTS: Gary Ablett, Dane Swan, Jobe Watson… speak for themselves… then consider:
Shane Tuck – Richmond
$599,800 – Avg 110 – breakeven 88
Continues to stun the Fantasy Football community with his output over the past month. Has registered scores of 148, 155, 142 and 137 over the last 5. With Richmond’s soft run home including Melbourne and Gold coast over the next few I cannot find too many arguments against having a real long hard think about him if you are still completing your midfield. Love the bloke. Mate of his Dads.
Sam Mitchell – Hawthorn
$566,400 – Avg 113 – breakeven 94
Now really hitting his straps as he approaches the run towards finals. Averaging 123 over his last four, and has games against GWS (this week), Western Bulldogs, Port Adelaide and Gold Coast still left to cash in on. Port and Gold Coast in the first 2 weeks of finals is very bloody tasty eh?
Bryce Gibbs – Carlton
$411,600 – Avg 88 – breakeven 73
The buy low sell high experts are frothing at the chops here this week. Has been is bloody terrible form this season and has just looked rubbish from whatever angle you look at him. Jungle drums are thumping about a solid midfield stint coming home. Cranked out his first ton since round 5 last week which could well be sign us cheap buggers are after in terms of grabbing a bloke just as his form turns around. Really like him this week. Would love to see this bloke get a bit more bloody urgency about him. He hasn’t been returning my calls – happy to help you through this Bryce mate.
Scott Thompson – Adelaide
$531,000 – Avg 116 – breakeven 123
His 32 disposals and 10 tackles was only enough to get him 100 Supercoach points on the weekend (128 Dreamteam). Is just rip snorting value while in his current form and at his current price. Adelaide have Port this week followed by GWS the week after so this could be the best time to bring him in. Adelaide’s finals run is very cosy as well with Freo, Brisbane, Melbourne then Gold Coast.
Chris Judd – Carlton
$466,500 – Avg 103 – breakeven 113
Many have been asking me about Chris and my opinion re: his potential as a trade in this week. Make no mistake, I reckon he will rip shreds out of a game or two in the run home but I don’t feel he can hit the line hard enough this season. Expect the odd score like last week of 126 but also expect weeks of soreness where output is low. Not for old Jock.
Nick Dal Santo – St Kilda
$515,000 – Avg 104 – breakeven 115
Yes I am a Saint Kilda football club fan and a great fan of Nicky Dal, but you can’t sit there and tell me that this is not a magnificent price for a player of this ilk. Nice finals draw, will come home like a steam train. Buy.
Rookie options: Look to see if Caolan Mooney is named for his 2nd game with the Pies, and also Murray Newman (WCE) who looked tops. Only 42 Supercoach points, but only 38% game time.
Ben McEvoy – St Kilda
$482,100 – Avg 97 – breakeven 89
Here comes big Ben! A very good 130 against strong opposition in GoldMember on the weekend and has a super run home. Just finding some post injury form and this could be the break out period that we’ve been waiting for. Strong consideration this week
Tom Campbell – Western Bulldogs
$94,700 – 89 and 45 in first 2
Ideal if you need to trade Redden or Stephenson in to grab some cash. Was bought in when Minnow was out but held his own last week when played up forward. Not fantastic job security coming home but a sound cash grab option with a possibility of giving you bench cover coming home.
Matthew Pavlich (mid) – Fremantle
$500,700 – Avg 99 – breakeven 77
The #1 forward trade in option this week in this humble genius’s opinion. More important with Matthew than his statistical output has been his form and role in the Ross Lyoned Fremantle Football club. I give him a clean bill of health on both counts here. Another with a nice run home (Dogs, Melbourne, GWS, Port still to come) and no arguments about his ability to come home strongly. Buy, especially at this price.
Ryan O’Keefee (MID) – South Melbourne
$511,800 – Avg 92 – breakeven 96
Still considerably undervalued for mine and has been in very nice form (126 last weekend). Goodes back continues to help him along. Runs into Collingwood in the first week of Supercoach and Dreamteam finals which is not ideal, but runs into league minnows Carlton and Gold Coast before that time comes.
Colin Sylvia (MID)– Melbourne
$355,300 – Avg 62 – breakeven 22
I’ve been widely criticised in football media country wide for bringing Colin Sylvia up as a valid option in this week’s podcast. The facts are these. The kid has finally learned what Heir Neeld expects of him. His output has been rubbish this season while he learned the caper hence the price drop. He has bought into the game plan. He is being groomed as a full time midfielder. His last 2 results of 97 and 99 suggest the penny has dropped for the young bloke. Melbourne are improving. Still has port, north, gold coast, GWS to play. Stuff it… I’m going to say BUY.
Leigh Adams (MID) – North Melbourne
$469,400 – Avg 90 – breakeven 1 – averaging 143 over last 2 weeks
151 v Adelaide followed up last week with 135 v St Kilda. Hells bells has this bloke smacked onto the scene or what? Risk is that West Coast will do their homework on him this week and he could be under increased attention. Still not convinced but will watch this week’s game with real interest. Good on ya Leigh.
Rookie options: Corey DellÓllio (ESS) is probably your best bet if named. Has already had his magic 3rd game but still only 135K ish and has reasonable job prospects coming home. Todd Elton (Richmond) played his 1st game last week, looked good but jib security shakey. Was impressed also by young Jordan Murdoch’s (geel) first up effort of 88, but job security is shakey as well.
Also want to add some top advice from my Facebook mate Steve Grzentic II;
“If you have a midfielder that you can upgrade use him to trade in Carrazzo. This creates a swing with Goddard you can use to avoid donuts while he serves his suspension. In 2 weeks when Goddard returns you can then upgrade a defender in to a premium midfielder by using the swinging trade option.”