After 4 weeks and 20 bets, the data is starting to point in favor of The Machine line with 15 bets getting up – a 75% strike rate. I have put on $100 worth of bets and turned a profit of $44.
What I find most interesting is that The Machine line is clearly beating the Sportsbet predition(by 4.3 points per game). While this does not sound significant, it can give us a little leverage against the line and swing the balance in our favor.
And here are last week’s results;
The Machine has done its thing for Round 11 and formulated a few very interesting results;
|Rd. 11||Formulated Winner||Formulated Margin||Sportsbet Line||Difference||Higgo’s Bet||Stake|
|Geelong V Carlton||Geelong||38||14.5||23.5||Back CATS at the line||$5|
|Richmond V Freo.||Richmond||24||30.5||6.5||No bet|
|G.Coast V Saints||Saints||29||43.5||14.5||Back GCoast at the line||$5|
|Essendon V Sydney||Sydney||12||(Ess)10.5||22.5||Back SYDNEY at the line||$5|
|Port V Hawks||Port||4||(Hawks)26.5||30.5||Back PORT at the line||$5|
|Melb. V C’wood||C’wood||52||46.5||5.5||No bet|
Sydney to beat Essendon? Port to beat Hawthorn?
I must have faith in The Machine.
Looking at the Port game, The Machine has favored Port mainly due to Hawthorn’s poor Break Even factor. The only Hawks with break-evens below their current average are Buddy, Mitchell, Burgoyne, Whitecross and The Shoe Maker(Port have 15 players). This three week rolling form factor, linked with a slight home ground advantage, has formulated Port winning by less than a kick.
For those Multi-punters out there, putting CATS line …. into …. GCOAST line ….. into … SYDNEY WIN …. into PORT WIN offers odds of around 35 – 1. A return of $175 for your $5. But Port couldn’t win could they?
Go well and let logic rule your decision making.