TOM BELLCHAMBERS – 2018 Supercoach Spotlight

Filed in Essendon 2018, Premiums, Ruckmen, Supercoach 2018 by on 23/02/2018 • views: 5937

By Damien

There was a story Dermott Brereton told on League Teams about Tommy Bellchambers being a well built unit, and if his injury history wasn’t so glaring, the “well built” mightn’t be so hard to argue. When Bellchambers is playing, he does alright, his hitouts to advantage, his average time on ground, disposals, disposal efficiency, are all around the mark of a top SuperCoach ruckmen. He just needs to stay on the field, fit and raring to go.

This year the ruck department in SuperCoach is not so cut and dry, there is no dual position relevancy, there is no Luke Strnadica to keep our Captains hat warm, and there is not a lot of ruckmen who aren’t going to be sharing duties with their rookie counterparts.

2018 Facts $504,500 RUC
2017 Games 13 (14 including finals)
2017 Average 91.8
2017 100+ Scores 4
2017 Sub-80 scores 5
2017 Highs & Lows High of 150, low of 45 (in the final)


THE GOOD

John Worsfold rarely uses his ruckmen as resting forwards, he loves them in the middle as a big bodied extra midfielder. Don’t get me wrong, he will use them as a resting forward sometimes, but he likes the big body in the centre. We saw some of it last year too, Essendon starting stringing things together when the big lamp post was in the middle of the ground pushing and shoving his way through contests. In 2017, Bellchambers averaged 32.9 hitouts, and has recorded the 5th most hitouts to advantage percentage since 2015. With Heppell, Merrett, Goddard and new recruits Stringer and Smith to hit to, that statistic could rise.

In my eyes, the number one ruck position is Bellchambers to lose, and Matthew Leuenberger is unlikely to play as second fiddle with Joe Daniher in the forward line.

THE BAD

Bellchambers averaged 10.2 disposals and 2.7 tackles a game last year, so doesn’t pick up most of his points from his work around the ground. If he has an off day in the tapping department, or comes up against a monster, he could be in for a rough score. His rough scores last year came against the Swans in the final (45), Matthew Kreuzer’s Blues (48), the Bulldogs (58) and a 57 against Stefan Martin in round round 15.

Essendon do line up against every one of the competition’s top rucks aside from Goldstein before the bye, too.

THE UGLY

 

He’s injured, like all the time. He’s never played more than 18 games in a season for one reason or another. So, it would be hard to put trust in him to be a set and forget ruck prospect.

He had knee issues which hampered his pre-season last year, and came in for a single game in round six before being dropped. He came back in for Luenberger in round 10 and held his spot for the rest of the season, but that he was dropped last year isn’t a good sign.

THE VERDICT

So why consider Bellchambers?

Well for one, you could always just use him to keep Ryder’s seat warm until round 11. He’s the type of player who could hold onto that 505k price tag allowing you to jump onto Ryder fairly easily. You could also consider Bellchambers as he is unlikely to be affected by sharing ruck duties with anyone, unlike most the other top ruckmen.

Luenhameneggenburger isn’t likely to take his place as he’s useless around the ground, and the Dons’ backup includes some young developing rucks and *checks notes* Shaun McKernan. The guy who let Goldstein score 220-odd that one time. 

Goldstein has Preuss to worry about, Grundy and Cox, Martin and Smith. Who does Bellchambers have? Nobody, really. You can make the argument that Joe Daniher partners up with him, but Daniher is about as useful in the ruck as wet towel. Not taking too much away from Bellchambers, in other words.

I’m not sold on Naitanui, with all the conflicting news surrounding his return from injury. Then we have all these questions about ruck partners for Goldstein, Grundy, Martin, etc.

S  in terms of solo rucks, it’s left us with Jacobs, who struggles to get an advantageous knock, injury prone Bellchambers, the 150K more expensive Kreuzer, or taking Ryder and his inconvenient round 10 bye and Max Gawn, who everyone has.

I can’t write Bellchambers off that short list just yet, but he’s not in my team at the moment. 

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Comments (35)

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  1. hedski says:

    Thanks Damo, no thanks Damo. <img draggable="false" class="emoji" alt="👍" src="https://s.w.org/images/core/emoji/2.4/svg/1f44d.svg"&gt;

    • SCDamien says:

      Fair enough. I figured that would be the response from most. Something different to consider though, for sure.

      • hedski says:

        Yeah was a bit surprised by his average last year Damo, still just can't trust him, I'd rather start with Paddy and cop his bye, I reckon he'd score more points overall by round 11?
        Cheers bud.

        • SCDamien says:

          Many people have been looking for ideas to cope with Ryder's inconvenient bye, and this is just one of the many options out there. As I said, I can't write Bellchambers off yet, but I also haven't got the balls to put him in my side either.

          • hedski says:

            Yep, you'd need massive nuts.
            I'm looking at taking Kreuz and if he breaks down should be able to get whoever is showing some form and have change left over.

  2. Big G says:

    After 2015, never, never, never, never, never…

  3. Andrew says:

    Interesting post thanks Damien,
    I think that most Essendon fans would be hoping that Sam Draper takes a huge leap forward this year and surpasses TBC as soon as possible. He has looked very good at training and in the VFL. Unfortunately for Tom, as you rightly point out, he is made of cardboard and breaks in half when it rains. A no for me.

    • Patch says:

      Draper probably a year or two away from AFL footy in mind. Not sure they'll throw him to wolves until they have to.

      In a few years we might see Draper take the #1 ruck role though.

  4. Patch says:

    Love the left-field thinking, Damo.

    Got me thinking about him to keep a seat warm for Ryder, but others ahead of him for the moment.

  5. George says:

    Reckon if dawson simpson is named solo ruck round 1 and lobb still seems a while away from being 100% fit he could be a viable selection until ryders bye. Scott lycett also seems like he could be worth a gamble. Last year we had sandi and witts. Could simpson and lycett be them this year? 2 rucks for the price of 1? #DawCett

    • SC_Kev7 says:

      2017 was just one of those years for rucks. Wouldn’t try to force it again

    • Canny says:

      I've had Dawson Simpson at R2 for a while now. I'm hoping they play him as a number 1 ruck even when Lobb is back, leaving Lobb in a mainly CHF role. In last year's JLT, Simpson scored 96 from the first game and 44 (from 17% TOG!!!) in the second. In the 2 regular season games he played last year, he scored 91 (round 19) and 85 (round 21). Rory Lobb played in both of these rounds also.

      The thing that worries me though is that when Mumford went down last year in the qualifying final last year, the Giants left him Simpson out of the semi final and prelim final lineups, giving the ruck duties exclusively to Rory Lobb. If they continue to play Lobb as the sole ruckman he becomes an absolute lock in my opinion, even if he misses round 1.

      I don't think Lycett is in the best 22 for all of the first 11 games – when Naitanui and Vardy are both fit I think Lycett misses out.

  6. Steeeve says:

    If Goldy is going as well as reported he's locked in my side.

    • dontblushbaby says:

      Agree Steeeve, I have him with Gawn atm , the mail from North is promising, however my concern is hitting to advantage as their mids aren’t A Grade imo

  7. DukeCambridge says:

    Not for me! Gawn with Nank until after Ryder’s bye!

  8. FCAbel says:

    So left it may be right

  9. TRIGGA_HAPPY says:

    Sandi?
    Same reason.
    He only has to last until rd 11 then upgrade to Ryder?
    So crazy it may just work?

    • hedski says:

      I don't think those massive strings will last 5 rounds Trig.

      • SCDamien says:

        The thing about Sandilands is, Ross Lyon has been quite public about the fact that he wants to reduce the load on Sandilands, allowing someone like Sean Darcy or Lloyd Meek to play in the same side. Mind you, Matt Taberner, Brennan Cox and Alex Pearce, all in the best 25, if not 22, can do part time ruck work.

        • hedski says:

          I could see Sandi resting in the goal square and snagging a few, but bloody Ross Lyon….

      • TRIGGA_HAPPY says:

        In an interview the other day he said he wanted to play every game in his final year. Lmao.
        However he is playing on the weekend first time for a long time he has.lined up in JLT 1
        And he can score 👍

  10. The Ranger says:

    Thanks for the write up Damo, the rucks are wide open again this year eh?
    There will be a few that are prepared to go for a leftfield option like BC but he's not for me.

  11. StevoRivo says:

    JLT will tell us plenty next 2 weeks. TBC a No for me. Ryder/Gawn combo as Nic Nat presents too much risk for now. Will have to navigate the Round 10 bye but safe picks when Ruck options are thin.

  12. Mayniac says:

    Anyone else looking at Smith?
    Hitting to the likes of Ablett, Danger and Selwood could be a good year!

    • BrownlowBoy says:

      Don't think he gets enough hit outs to advantage.

      • hedski says:

        Hey BB, I invited Lekdog into your league hope that's OK. Still a few spots open, I deleted the code after he jumped in. Cheers.
        Smith is a bit hit and miss for me Mayniac..

        • BrownlowBoy says:

          All well and good Hedski! I did invite Lek via twitter!

          Smith is funny to watch! Love when he gets the ball and goes for his little run.

          • hedski says:

            Yeah he is a gangly bugger, bit giraffeish..
            Looking like a good league mate, be sweet if B von Crow jumps in too, couple of spots there still, INPieman and the Ranger and more regulars would pad it out nicely.

            • BrownlowBoy says:

              Yes if you can get Pieman and Ranger in somehow I'd appreciate it!

        • hedski says:

          Ha ha you've doubled up again.
          Yeah he is a gangly bastard.
          Looking like a good league, would be good if B von Crow jumped in too, IN Pieman and a few others would round it out nicely.

  13. Dylan says:

    Thoughts of Jake Lloyd as a defender? Considering a 3 premo and Lloyd defence with rookies

    Cheers

    • SCDamien says:

      Depends on the rest of the team, and where Lloyd plays. Not the worst option, but his scores suffer when he plays on the wing for Sydney.

      • dontblushbaby says:

        He had 1 bad score where he was injured early in a game last year , his price would be 20k – 30k more if it wasn't for that , currently not in my team but he still could be

  14. Randomcliche2 says:

    Working hard on my cognitive bias. 2015. No no no TBC never. Yep not working. He score over 90. No no no no. I'm not good at this thing.