Zachary Merrett of the Essendon Football Club had a huge 2016.
Absolutely YUUUGE. An average of 111.5 saw him as the highest scoring and averaging forward in the competition, as well singlehandedly holding up the Dons’ midfield.
It’s no secret I love this bloke to bits. In 2016, Merrett had 15 tons, and cracked 120 ten times. But he’s now at $606,400, and is the 10th most expensive player in Supercoach. Can we fit him in?
Look, no. But, I’m going to try to mount a case to make you doubt your non-selection of him just enough for it to bug you at night, because I’m a sadist.
However, we’ll start with the reasons not to pick him: firstly, as mentioned, he’s bloody expensive next year. More expensive than Fyfe, The Bont, Treloar, Ward, Rockliff, Sloane, Heppell, and a whole host of genuine, A-grade proven performers. And with the value around in 2017, we’ve got limited space for these uber-premiums, especially if we want Dangerfield, Pendlebury, Ablett and co.
— Peter J Higginbotham (@PeterHiggo) December 11, 2016
Secondly, we have no idea what his output will be like once Heppell, Watson and the rest of the Bomber’s midfield returns. Genuinely no clue. While his output wasn’t bothered much by tags last year, he’s at least got near to no chance of picking that one up. Some have speculated he’ll spend time forward, but I can’t see it happening. He’s got too much class. But as to what impact it will have of his output, we’ll be in the dark until the pre-season begins.
I don’t think his output will change that much, but it’s also unlikely to enter the uber-premium status it needs to in order to justify the starting investment, which is why I don’t think we’ll see him in many – if any – preseason teams.
But maybe he should be considered…
|Games last season:||22|
|Average last season:||111.5|
|100+ games last season:||15|
|Sub 80 games last season:||2|
|Price range last season:||$477,000 – $550,000|
|Missed games last season:||
As I’ve mentioned, Zerrett hit 100 fifteen times, and 120 ten times. He only had 2 scores below 90 for the year, out of 22 games. His standard deviation last year was 22.33 last year. To put that in perspective, Corey Enright’s standard deviation over the past few years has been about 23. He was better than Mr Standard Deviation himself.
This will mean a few things. He won’t fluctuate much in price, so if you want him in, you’ll probably need to start him. He will be consistent as buggery, which means you can rely on him to hit his average every week.
On one of my regular flicks through the Supercoach Bible (2015 Edition) – the Jock Reynolds magazine – I re-read the article on Identifying The Next Supercoach Beast. The table with that article paints and incredible picture of the rise of some of the greats of the era in their early years.
Merrett most accurately follows the trend of one J. Selwood, who averaged 76, 98, 111 and 118 in his first four seasons. Will we see the same natural progression from him? Like Selwood, he tackles and gets contested ball, using the ball well while doing so (with 72% DE last year).
And if the Dons improve next year, which they absolutely will, the bet is Zach Merrett will improve as well. The question is how much.
Will I select him next year? Probably not, no. Does that answer keep me up at night? Yes. Yes it does.
I love him. And so do you. Thanks @PatchToTheMax
|This article has been penned as part of the Jock Reynolds Community Series, where anyone from within our proud community can have their say in front of their peers. These men and women have displayed the spirit of togetherness, positivity and community that we value significantly.|
Zach Merrett Poll: