Can he bounce back in 2017?
In a case of out of sight, out of mind for most east coast dwellers, Dom Sheed has become something of a forgotten man in the West Coast midfield rotation.
He had a very strong second year with the Eagles, playing every game as they made it all the way to the big dance. But a torn pectoral muscle just before the season derailed his 2017 campaign.
Can Sheed bounce back and prove to be a SuperCoach bargain this year?
|2017 SC Price||$267,400|
|2017 Est. Position:||MID|
|Games last season:||5|
|Average last season:||55|
|100+ games last season:||0 (3 in 2015)|
|Sub 80 games last season:||4 (12 in 2015)|
|Price range last season:||$318-386K|
|Missed games last season:||
At face value, the above figures don’t show an attractive option for 2017. A deeper analysis shows they aren’t quite as bad as they seem.
Sheed struggled in his first two games of the season, scoring a meagre 20 & 30. His next three were more of what to expect from the West Australian with scores of 66, 70 and 80.
According to Champion Data’s AFL Prospectus 2016, Sheed’s first 33 games compared well to Jack Redden, Trent Cotchin and Jack Steven, all of whom were also high draft selections and have gone on to average three figures. Here’s how Sheed stacks up in the first years of his career:
Sheed’s development in his third year was derailed by his injury, but his strong second year SuperCoach output does suggest he was on the right path to emulating these players.
Sheed has the tools to exceed at AFL level and in fantasy circles. He has the size to win his own ball and take marks and the skills to hurt the opposition when he has the ball. As Sheed enters year four, will he be able to emulate the other three men on this list and push his average to 90 and beyond in 2017?
After what was essentially a lost year in 2016, it’s hard to determine exactly what Sheed’s position in the Eagles hierarchy is. He’d need significant midfield minutes to warrant selection in 2017 and at this stage we haven’t seen any proof that this will eventuate.
As for West Coast, the loss of Nic Naitanui for the majority of the 2017 season will probably have a negative effect on all of the Eagles midfielders as they are starved of first use of the pill at stoppages. The other variable is the addition of Sam Mitchell. If he takes on a midfield role then that’s one less spot in the rotation for players on the fringes such as Sheed. On the other hand, if he’s deployed at half-back, his disposal going forward may assist those further up the ground. Watch Mitchell’s pre-season closely as it will affect all of West Coast’s players.
At his price, painting the fence won’t cut it for Sheed. To be judged a successful selection, he should be used in a sideways trade to pick up a fallen premium just before his bye in Round 12. He’d have to appreciate to around $450k, which would represent an average of 83.4.
This is the magic number for Sheed. If he can exceed this average he will save a valuable trade in the upgrading process. If not, the extra $120k would be better invested elsewhere in your starting side.
- Showed promise prior to 2016
- Is in prime breakout territory – entering his fourth year in the AFL system after being a high draft pick
- Has the tools to be an excellent SuperCoach player
- Uncertainty regarding his role in the side
- Lost year in 2016 could set back his development
- Is yet to go large for a big score in his short career. This means he won’t off-set his inevitable inconsistency as a young player to boost his average.
Sheed’s age and talent are indicative of a breakout candidate. However concerns over his role in the side make it hard to commit to him at this stage. Monitor his pre-season very closely.
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|This article has been penned as part of the Jock Reynolds Community Series, where anyone from within our proud community can have their say in front of their peers. These men and women have displayed the spirit of togetherness, positivity and community that we value significantly.|
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